#USDJPY: Still Bullish, Next Target 163.00| SetupsFX_ |Dear Traders,
Hope you are doing great, right here we have an excellent opportunity of buying USDJPY, JPY plummeted few days ago as BOJ kept the interest rate as the same and decided not to change. Leading a heavy sell off on YEN. However, price did make strong correction right after the sell off, though we think it was temporary correction. Right now price is at perfect buying area from which it can rebound strongly.
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Usdjpyanalysis
USDJPY LOOKING FOR 160 ZONEHELLO FIRENDS
As we can see USDJPY holding the bullish trend strongly and looking for these design levels if they will not break our Stop loss zone, we are expecting these move incoming days or weeks on weekly based chart there is a clear view that why we are looking for more higher high and let the chart makes a double top on these levels let's see what market bring ahead FOMC meeting and Interest rates coming out Stay Tuned with us it's a trade idea share your thoughts with us
it help many traders
USDJPY → Aiming for 176.500!? Let's Dig In.USD/JPY broke ascending triangle pattern at the 152.00 Resistance level per my last analysis. Since then, we have seen the completion of the measured move to 154.500 followed by a third leg up to 158.350! Is this the moment to long? Or are we in for a hard sell-off?
Previous Analysis:
How do we trade this? 🤔
I would not long the market open. After a strong Friday push, traders are far more likely to take profits, likely pulling the price down to the 156.000-157.000 range with the possibility of a hard wick to the 153.000-154.000 area. That being said, we should remain long-biased and buy these pullbacks, as USD/JPY has been on this bull trend since January 2021.
This trade pertains to the Weekly timeframe. I would drill into the 4HR and Daily to find more precise entries. It's reasonable to assume the pullback at this level, so we should look for a bounce at one of the key areas mentioned and enter a long position. On the Weekly, aim for a first take profit of 169.500 where half the position is taken off the table, then move the stop loss up to the entry price. The second take profit should be taken just before the 1978 key level of 176.900.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 156.700
🟥 Stop Loss: 150.300
✅ Take Profit #1: 169.500
✅ Take Profit #2: 175.900
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Breakout of key 152.000 price level
2. Strong bullish price action completing the measured move to 154.500
3. Third leg to 158.350 complete, wait for a pullback
4. Enter a 1:3 Risk/Reward trade taking half profits at 1:2 Risk/Reward.
5. RSI at 74.00 and above the Moving Average, supports pullback.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
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USDJPY Cup & Handle Pattern Indicates Bullish Breakout PotentialInstrument: USD/JPY
Pattern Formation: Cup and Handle
Current Situation: Near Key Resistance Level
Analysis:
The USD/JPY currency pair has been exhibiting a compelling technical setup, characterized by the formation of a Cup and Handle pattern near a crucial resistance level. This pattern suggests a potential bullish continuation in the prevailing uptrend.
The Cup and Handle pattern typically signifies a period of consolidation followed by a breakout to the upside. As such, we anticipate a bullish breakout in the near term, indicating favorable trading opportunities for market participants.
Trade Recommendation:
- Entry Point: Initiate long positions upon a re-test of the price near 151.900, ideally confirming the bullish momentum.
- Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order at 150.180 to mitigate potential downside risk and preserve capital in the event of adverse price movements.
- Take Profit Targets:
- TP-1: Set the first take-profit target at 153.650, reflecting a conservative projection of the upward price movement.
- TP-2: Aim for a secondary take-profit level at 155.400 to capitalize on extended bullish momentum, considering the potential for further upside.
Risk Management:
It is crucial to adhere to proper risk management practices, including position sizing and stop-loss placement, to safeguard against unexpected market fluctuations. Traders should also remain vigilant and adjust their positions accordingly based on evolving market conditions.
Conclusion:
In summary, the technical analysis suggests a bullish outlook for the USD/JPY currency pair, with the formation of a Cup and Handle pattern near a key resistance level. Traders may consider implementing long positions, with defined entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels, to capitalize on the anticipated upward breakout.
Note:
This analysis is based solely on technical factors and does not account for fundamental or external market influences. Traders should conduct their own research and exercise discretion before entering any trades.
DeGRAM | USDJPY pullback from resistanceUSDJPY is moving in an ascending channel near the resistance level.
The volatility of the chart movement has decreased.
The price has formed locally a small double top pattern.
We think that the pair will correct from the resistance.
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USD/JPY looks set for 155 - but will the BOJ allow a breakout?At the beginning of April, Japan's ex-FX diplomat Watanabe said that the BOJ were unlikely to intervene with USD/JPY below 155. Well now the pair trade less than 80 pips beneath this key level (and less than a day's trade by recent standards), 155 is certainly the level to watch today.
The strength of the bullish 1-hour trend makes it seem that USD/JPY has little choice by to at least try and retest 155. Prices are now consolidating after a mild pullback, RSI (2) is nearing oversold during an uptrend and the daily pivot point is nearby for dip buyers to consider longs.
Should momentum turn higher from here, bulls could simply target 155.
As for how it behaves if it meets that level remains to be seen. Yet prior attempts at key levels usually sees momentum either slow down ahead of it, or a volatile breakout is followed by a shakeout before prices revert beneath the key level. The only exception in recent history was IS CPI data which saw prices smash through 152 with apparent ease.
But today we suspect market forces alone can drive prices higher without US data. The question remains as to whether the BOJ will remain quiet and allow the rally to flourish further.
USDJPY → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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USDJPY: Japan resolves currency concerns with the USThe US greenback has visible wide appreciation this year, in large part because of expectancies of a put off withinside the Federal Reserve`s circulate to reduce hobby rates. However, the yen and received have weakened appreciably towards the greenback in comparison to maximum different currencies. Following the joint statement, the yen noticed a healing as markets predicted feasible intervention, even as the received additionally stabilized.
The communicate included loads of topics, together with cooperation towards "monetary coercion and overcapacity in key sectors" with the aid of using different countries, a message simply aimed toward Beijing. Still, the forex difficulty has attracted good sized marketplace interest and is a political victory for Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, who's grappling with low approval rankings because the price of residing rises. High.
In Japan, actual wages fell for 23 consecutive months thru February, regardless of large groups supplying pay increases. A vulnerable yen worsens the state of affairs for a rustic that is based closely on imports including gas and food.
USDJPY: 1200+ Swing Buy Idea in Making | Share your views?Due to yen bearish dominance and usd strong bullish momentum USDJPY has reached a record high where it is harder to pin point the bearish reversal. Though we can identify the next swing buying opportunity and that what we did, we have identified possible bullish rebound point.
Good luck and trade safe.
DeGRAM | USDJPY is testing dynamic resistance againUSDJPY is trading in the range between the trend lines.
In the last attempt to test the dynamic resistance, the chart reacted with a sharp decline.
We expect a decline.
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USDJPY BUYHello, according to my analysis of the USDJpy pair, there is a good opportunity to buy. The pair appears to be in a positive state with the break of the downward trend, breaking a very strong double-botton pattern, and breaking the resistance at the level of 141,900. All of these factors confirm a strong entry for buyers. Good luck to everyone.
USDJPY - Expect retracement ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. For now I expect a retracement price to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block.
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UsdJpy is pressing and pressing and pressing. 155 next?Since March 20th, when FX:USDJPY once again reached the 151.50 zone, marking a decades-high for this pair, the price has been fluctuating within an extremely tight range.
However, upon closer observation of the price action, it becomes evident that USDJPY is pressing against this resistance level, with dips being consistently bought.
Even during Friday's NFP release, when USD was being sold, USDJPY experienced a quick reversal.
These signs indicate a potential upward breakout, with 155 being the next target in such a scenario.
I maintain a bullish outlook on this pair as long as the price remains above 150, and in my opinion, buying dips is the preferred strategy.
SHORT USD/JPY from 153.91Since the open last night USD/JPY has pushed stronlgy higher, so much so that the price has already reached the WR1 weekly pivot.
Its a never ending mystery to me why everyone doesn't use weekly pivots as they are lines of interest on the charts known at the start of the week and when price reaches weekly support (WS1) or weekly resistance (WR1) there's a high chance buerrs ar sellers will be lying in wait.
Usually price hits these pivot levels during the week and its unusual to see the price reached before lunch on Monday (if you're in the UK).
Its not a hard and fast rule that price will always reverse when it hits WR1 or WS1 (we'd all be millionaires if it did) so we need other confirming signs that the price may reverse.
ON this pair:
a). we have a pinbar followed by 3 dogi indecision candles on H1.
b). RSI has been over 70 for the last 6 hours and is beginnign to decline.
c). The fast MA on MACD is weakenig and heading south (we haven't crossed the slow MA so its not certain we are heaed lower
d). The R/R is massive as we can get a STOP on this trade just above the WR1 pivot at 154.05 (14 pips).
e) Target could be anything and will depend on what happens in 40 minutes when get Core Retail Sales, Retail Sales and Empire State numbers but initial target is the 200 EMA on H1 at 152.42 (+149 pips)
e). The green BUY line of the Andean Oscillator has crossed south over the signal line and the red SELL line has risen from zero.
f). The entire structure is an M-Top on the 15m time frame.
With luck I can get this trade at b/e before the news at 13:30.
If the news comes out in green numbers then this trade is doomed but if the print misses then we should see USD/JP decline by 100 pips at least over the next 24 hours.
USDJPY → At 152.000 Resistance! Will it break to 160.000?USD/JPY has been bullish since January 2021 and is currently in an ascending triangle pattern, indicating a potential push through the 152.000 resistance level. Is this the moment to long?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We need to wait for a confirmed breakout of 152.000. The probability of a breakout is high, but we need the confirmation of support at 152.000 to justify a long entry. Once we see a strong bull candle off of support, a 1:2 Risk/Reward on the Weekly timeframe is a straightforward trade to take. The RSI is around 60.00 and above the Moving Average, providing enough headroom for a move to the upside.
It's also reasonable to take a long trade on the Daily timeframe which will allow you to get an earlier entry and a better Risk/Reward, but the Weekly timeframe provides us with a clearer picture of the situation. When Take Profit #1 is hit, half of the position should be sold, the stop loss should be moved to the entry price, and the second half of the position should go to Take Profit #2. This locks in profits after the first take profit which is at 1:1 Risk/Reward.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 153.570
🟥 Stop Loss: 150.900
✅ Take Profit #1: $156.400
✅ Take Profit #2: $158.900
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Ascending Triangle at 152.000 Resistance level, a bullish pattern.
2. 30EMA providing key support above the ascending support band.
3. Wait for a breakout of 152.000 resistance and confirmation of support to long
4. Enter a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade taking half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward.
5. RSI at 60.00 and above the Moving Average, supports long bias.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
DeGRAM | USDJPY pullback from the channel boundaryUSDJPY is trading in the ascending channel, making higher highs and higher closes.
The price broke out of the accumulation range and reached the channel boundary.
We expect a re-test of the support level.
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USDJPYOn the monthly chart, we have a larger bearish trend. Presently, the price seems to be seeking the unmitigated supply at 156 price handle. Once we have a mitigated supply, we will be looking for sell limit orders targeting the monthly fair value gap and flip zone at 116.5 price handle.
On the weekly charts, upon refinement. we have equal highs at 159 price handle representing a strong liquidity zone in addition to the unmitigated order block at 153 price handle.
On the daily charts, we maintain the same bullish bias in Q2. Thereafter we will be looking for sell orders.
Yen Traders Tread Cautiously as Japan Hints at InterventionAnxiety hangs heavy over the yen market. With the Japanese currency hovering near a 34-year low against the U.S. dollar, traders are wary of potential intervention from Japanese authorities. This comes as Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki reiterated the government's concerns about the rapid depreciation of the yen.
The Yen's Slide: A Perfect Storm
The yen's recent decline can be attributed to a confluence of factors:
• Divergent Monetary Policies: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy, keeping interest rates near zero, while central banks like the U.S. Federal Reserve are aggressively raising rates to combat inflation. This widening interest rate differential makes the dollar a more attractive investment compared to the yen.
• Global Risk Aversion: As geopolitical tensions and concerns about a global economic slowdown escalate, investors are seeking refuge in dollar-denominated assets, further weakening the yen.
• Japan's Trade Dependence: Japan relies heavily on imports for essential resources like energy and food. A weaker yen makes these imports more expensive, potentially fueling inflation within Japan.
Verbal Intervention: A Warning Shot
Finance Minister Suzuki's recent statements can be seen as a warning shot to currency markets. He emphasized the government's "deep concern" about the yen's depreciation and hinted at the possibility of intervention if excessive volatility persists.
However, the effectiveness of verbal intervention is debatable. Without concrete action, traders might remain skeptical.
Intervention: A Double-Edged Sword
Direct intervention in the currency market involves the Japanese government selling dollars and buying yen to artificially strengthen the currency. While this can achieve short-term results, it comes with drawbacks:
• Costly Defense: Intervention can be expensive, draining Japan's foreign currency reserves.
• Market Distortion: Heavy intervention can distort market forces and create uncertainty for traders.
• Limited Effectiveness: The effectiveness of intervention depends on the size of the intervention and the broader economic backdrop. If underlying economic fundamentals favoring a weaker yen persist, intervention might have only a temporary impact.
Traders on Edge: Waiting for the Next Move
Yen traders are currently in a wait-and-see mode. They are closely monitoring the Japanese government's actions and statements, along with the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, for any signs that could influence the yen's direction.
The Road Ahead: A Balancing Act
The future path of the yen will be determined by several factors:
• The BOJ's Monetary Policy: Any change in the BOJ's stance, even a hint of a future rate hike, could strengthen the yen. However, the BOJ is expected to remain dovish for the foreseeable future.
• Global Risk Sentiment: If global risk aversion eases, investors might be less inclined to seek refuge in the dollar, potentially aiding the yen.
• The Effectiveness of Intervention: If Japan intervenes in the currency market and does so decisively, it might provide temporary support to the yen.
Conclusion: A Fragile Currency in Uncertain Times
The outlook for the yen remains uncertain. While the Japanese government may intervene to curb its rapid depreciation, the effectiveness of such strategies is limited without addressing the underlying economic factors. The future direction of the yen will likely hinge on global economic developments and the monetary policy decisions of major central banks.