USD.EUR P-Modeling Pt. 1 Harmonic Strings of the Illusive Cajun Welcome to Extreme Long Range Prediction Modeling of USD.EUR.
I am your hyperspace archaeologist Glitch420.
Welcome to the Hyperspace. This hyperspace is underdeveloped and does not contain important components of the protocols. This is a bare bones framework presented.
The protocols used here were developed to help navigate quantum hyperspaces across any 2D analog. This is an extreme prediction model of USD/EUR that is very experimental. I do not expect to be right. However, I am posting this public to instill curiosity in hopes you may ponder the unknown with me. As shown in my Bio. I have only one true belief here. Failure is a necessary component of success. Watch me fail with a smile on your face. I bet your already laughing at my chart. :) I laughed with you. Just know that.
But how curious are you? Maybe a lot... Maybe not at all... Sure is a colorful cool looking thing. But does it function? Is it valid? Guess, we have to wait and see..
Traditional Technical analysis is old. Very old. It was founded in the early 1930s + and developed from a stem of theories still used today. Although much has improved over the decades in a variety of TA domains. The times are changing and classical analysis is not as powerful as it use to be.. Technology is rapidly evolving into algorithms capable of manipulating markets like never before. In 2019, we must develop the tools to decode the ones that seek to control us. We must raise an army and take back the power that rightfully belongs to the people. There is more powerful way to model 2D analogs then Traditional TA. A more accurate way to predict the future...
Metric charting has evolved in advanced statistics and theoretical mathematics.Theory Evolves... There are hidden strings visible, plain as day in the data... Yet 100 years of Traditional TA only skirted the true ecosystem lying in the background. The quantum one.
The following chart is a trial of decoding the future, both in FA News and in Trend.
Laugh with me. Laugh at me..
I do not care. Just follow along.
Technical.
The following chart is on a 1 WEEK time-frame.
Valid Harmonic Butterflies.
Quantum Strings of Harmonics
See Mean reversion level in pink.
Valid Cyphers
Valid Shadow Harmonics
Quantum Graphing Architecture + Binary Matrix Mapping
There are two outcomes to this story that i have designed for you.. Both may simply be wrong.. Or it may play out exactly as told.. That is the fun of this... Peak your curiosity to see if I fail or succeed. Probably fail.. Right? Meh.. We will see. Won't we?
The first outcome is that Trump wins the 2020 election... We enter a great depression and WW3 starts. Period. The Great American Empire Falls by mid 2020's.. This period would mirror that of the Great Depression but most likely with a modern era touch of genocide and war.
The second outcome is that Bernie Sanders wins the 2020 election... We enter Roaring 20's, reverse a major recession, and enter a period of wealth and prosperity. This period would mirror an era never before seen in our world... Fighting Climate change.. Transforming our economies to sustainable policy..
I vote for the second outcome... Please and Thank you..
Surely, my modeling can not be right. How can it be? To predict the future? Nonsense... Time is the executioner here.. Laugh with me into madness.
The choice is in our hands...
What matters most is that I have your attention...
And if i do not yet.. I will soon. because your curiosity will compel you to return. One way or another, I will just continue to consume your time. And if not.. Excellent. You are a hard nut to crack. But crack you will. Curiosity cracks the hardest nuts. And I Glitch420 is the most curious of them all.
Thanks for pondering the Unknown with me,
Glitch420
USDEUR
USD has the potential to fall 10% over the next three monthsThere is too much pressure world wide to cope with the trade wars. It's going to be a race to the bottom. Central bankers world wide are now of the view that the only way to support ailing economies is to reduce interest rates and avoid the additional burden they bring on indebted companies.
After the US currencies rapid rise as an alternative to weaker global currencies the cycle is about to change as US continues to see low economic readings and political pressure mounts. The low inflation numbers in the US mean that for now the risk of higher inflation brought on by a weak dollar is an acceptable risk to protect businesses and avoid tantrums in the White House. US 10 year yields are going through the floor. Investors have already started pulling funds out of the USD.
U.S. Dollar Steadies Ahead of the Federal Reserve VerdictMarkets predict that the Fed will reduce interest rates by 25-basis points. Simultaneously also raising sentiment on whether there would be further policy easing. A rate cut and further policy easing would insulate the U.S. economy from the slowing global growth and the implications of the ongoing trade conflicts.
Although the markets still expect a rate cut, likely, the Fed will not abandon the possibility for a future rate cut. At the same time, the Fed chairman, Jerome Powell, is not in a position to provide a definitive decision on whether there will be a future rate cut. As such, his promise of a rate cut is likely to remain as vague as it has been. These are views from Yukio Ishizuki, a senior currency strategist at Daiwa Securities.
Any unclear policy references would provide the greenback with an extra boost as it would temper excessive easing expectations.
About 78% of traders are expecting a 25 basis point cut. The remaining 22% vouching for the possibility of a much deeper 50 basis point easing.
The rate of federal funds is currently ranging from 2.25% to 2.50%
The Dollar Index
The dollar index measures the strength of the dollar against rival currencies. It was little changed at 98.036 after dropping from a two-month peak of 98.206 which it touched on Tuesday.
The dollar was a shade lower, trading at 108.53 yen while the Euro inched up to 1.1159, a 0.05% increase. The Bank of Japan on Tuesday steadied policy settings as many speculated on a move to further implement monetary easing soon.
Meanwhile, the pound has slipped this week as investors considered the possibility of Britain leaving the European Union without a deal. However, the currency managed to stabilize slightly.
The sterling climbed 0.1% to $1.2157, gaining from a 28-month dip of $1.2120.
However, troubles for the currency were far from over as Britain’s new Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, pledged to remove the country from the European Union. In July, the Sterling lost 4.3%, which indicates its ongoing troubles. The explicit agenda of leaving the EU, whether with transitional trading agreements or not is likely to have far-reaching impacts on the currency.
EURUSD NOPE its USDEUR " U MUST See this secret"Hello,
As many of u know EUR is weighting almost 60% in USD index, so inverse EURUSD is USDEUR is almost identical to USD index, check chart.
If we can forecast USD index correct, we can trade EURUSD 100% all the times, and this is the secret here,
This chart is USDEUR VS USD index,
We forecast a little push up in the USD index first, then a crash with POWELL speech, this would be perfect to buy EURUSD.
BUY EURUSD 1.1150 level. target 1.14-1.15
USDEUR Upward Correction Complete ... Short now for a few monthsThe second wave correction ended at the .618 retracement of 1 and 3 appears to have started.
Prices on USD based assets should increase on an accelerated pace as the dollar loses value.
This should be a sharp drop over the next few months to at least 1.6 times the drop in wave 1.
EURUSD Bear trap move?On the right we can see that eurusd made a clear break of that support line today, but bounced back up even more. Suggesting a bear trap move. Usually when we see a trap move, the market continues in the opposite direction (in this case up). It could still just be a wick that went back above support, so it could be a simple retest of former support. But doesn't look like it so far.
If the trap is real, it should not drop below the 1.1200/1.1205.
Bigger picture, it has been zigzagging a lot past half year, slowly dropping but not dumping. To me this says there are still intentions to move up on the long term.
If we move up and break the red zone and being able to touch the high of the triangle, than the triangle might be real. If we than see it stay close to the high, we could maybe make a real breakout of that big channel on the right and go towards the 1.135/1.14, target of the triangle.
Previous analysis:
Forex 9 Seasons Rainbow Indicator Watch: USD Pairs 20190423USD is strong as a whole.
USDAUD: as mentioned in my last idea "Forex Divergence Watch: USD Pairs 20190419", Bullish Divergence (Blue) has turned out to Crazy Bought (Lime)
Crazy Bought(Lime) in 1H, 85m, Bullish Run in high volatility.
USDCAD: is breaking out the resistance.
USD Pairs being monitored:
USDAUD , USDCAD , USDCHF , USDGBP , USDJPY , USDEUR
Time Frame:
1H - 2D
DISCLAIMER
This is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as investing advice NOR trading advice.
Please make their own decisions, carefully assess risks and be responsible for your own investing and trading activities.
USDEUR IS OVERBOUGHT A DROP IS COMINGUSDEUR has high probability to drop, reasons:
Overbought (Yellow) in 85m 2H time frames indicated by "9 Seasons Rainbow Multiple Time Frames Pattern PRO" Indicator;
RSI Divergence
Previous Resistance: 0.892
Previous ascending channel has been broken.
Target 1: 0.884 Fib 0.618
Target 2: 0.881 Fib 0.382
Target 3: 0.873 Fib 0.236
STOP: 0.893
Some factor that against this idea: 1H Crazybought (Lime) means Bull has just overcome some resistance and is still strong, this may keep them longer on the possible Top.
DISCLAIMER
This is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as investing NOR trading advice.
Please make their own decisions, carefully assess risks and be responsible for your own investing and trading activities.
EURUSD Long Term View part 5, Double BottomThe previous 2 analysis worked out perfectly, using sentiment analysis instead of TA :). Fooling bulls and bears with making one trap after the other. Anyway, were in the price range what i was hoping to see again when making that analysis, so assuming the double bottom on the daily is still in play, we should a low forming in this range now the coming days. Ideally we get to see a wedge form on the right, because that would make an entry much easier. Since this is a long term trade for me, i will be scaling in my first portion at the current price. I want to increase the position in the 1.124/1.128 range. The low in March will be the level where i start to decrease my position with probably a max around 1.15. So i wont be using a stop loss for a trade like this, but will decrease the position when it goes against me.
Trades like these, need a TA and FA vision and believe in it. You can not only rely on TA in this case. That means the risks are a bit higher at the start, but the reward can be very big if it works out. For example my big short play on the DAX that started at the high of 2018 and has become a dream play. But sometimes they fail completely as well, like my Cisco short from 2 months ago. But in the end, it's about making sure the profits are bigger than the losses.
Previous analysis:
EURUSD TA (Trader Analysis) :) Part 2So far it is moving against the trend, but it is starting to look like resistance has been hit already. So we might not reach that ideal trap zone as shown on the right. Don't know for sure if this is a bullish triangle or a wedge, but i think the green and red zone (the range), will probably give us an answer.
For more info, read my previous analysis to understand what the plan is here.
Previous analysis:
EURUSD TA (Trader Analysis) :)My previous analysis i wrote the following:
Ideally we see it drop towards the 1.122, making a higher low there and then seeing a big strong counter move straight through that resistance around 1.128. That would make it a false breakout once again, just like the ones i caught a few months ago. Those other times, we saw mostly SHORT on the EurUsd page here on TV', seeing the same thing again, so would be fun to see what will happen again :)
It happened once again :). So this analysis won't be TA (Technical Analysis) but TA (Trader Analysis).
We all know TA is about history repeating it self, about patterns. Well for EURUSD i have noticed this pattern. That when the first page on TV shows 90% short about EURUSD, it goes up and vice versa :). This analysis won't be what i normally do, thinking about what normal TA suggests the price could do. You know my long term view on EURUSD is up, as long as we don't break the 1.11/1.12. The double bottom pattern i showed a while back is still in full play.
The blue line on the left, is to show what a good possibility could be to fool most people again. Where most are still show posts to short it, as they did at the lows as well. I think the price will break that channel and probably make a bull flag above it. Then we will see most call for a small bull back (green zone) and go long again. Then we will probably see an even bigger drop towards the lows again. Again, fooling the basic TA.
If this all plays out, that last drop should be the last one, because there is not much room left for bearish price action to keep the double bottom alive. This one is no trading advice, not something i usually do, just wanted to show something else than the basic TA.
Previous analysis:
EURUSD Long Term View part 4, Double BottomThe double bottom is still playing out, dropped a bit more than expected upfront, but it made a good bounce up so far. So coming week might be important for the mid-term. Small rejection so far from what seems to be a resistance zone. Ideally we see it drop towards the 1.122, making a higher low there and then seeing a big strong counter move straight through that resistance around 1.128. That would make it a false breakout once again, just like the ones i caught a few months ago. Those other times, we saw mostly SHORT on the EurUsd page here on TV', seeing the same thing again, so would be fun to see what will happen again :)
Below the 1.122ish, would probably invalidate the countermove idea.
Previous analysis:
Previous counter move trade: