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Usdchfsignals

USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekPrice is currently within a strong supply zone which has a strong memory of selling pressure at around 0.98500. Are we going to be witnessing another selling pressure from this zone this week or a breakout of this zone to the upside will signal a bullish momentum? Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
1
USDCHF Break-out and pull-back buy entries.The USDCHF pair found Support yesterday exactly on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which was the level that provided the last big rally (August 11 - September 06) within the Channel Down pattern that it has been trading in since the May 16 High. The rise however has so far stopped just below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), so there is no reason to rush into trades. It is best to take a break-out/ pull-back buy approach and buy either if the candle closes above the 1D MA50 or wait for a break below the 1D MA200, probably closer to the 1D MA300 (yellow trend-line). That would still not be a Lower Low for the Channel but we have to consider not just the Support Zone around 0.93700 but also the Higher Lows zone (dashed) that is holding since the January 06 2021 Low. In both cases, our target would be the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down. In order to buy above this level, the pair needs to break the 0.98880 - 0.98700 Resistance Zone, which formed a Double Top on the previous High. On the other hand, in order to sell, we need to see a candle break below the Support Zone, in which case our target will be the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Channel Down. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
by TradingShot
1
USDCHF | Perspective for the new week | follow- up detailThe momentum drive on the USDCF has been bullish since the beginning of the year and the breakout of the bearish trendline on the daily timeframe coupled with the appearance of a double top look-a-like structure during the latter part of last week's trade session could be a signal of a reversal phase evolving. However, I still hold a strong bullish bias on this pair and the proposed retracement move could be an attempt to retest the structure broken at the 0.95700 area Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekThe momentum drive on the USDCH has been bullish since the beginning of the year and the sudden breakout of the bearish trendline identified on the daily timeframe is likely going to be a confirmation in that regard. In this video, I shared my technical opinion on my expectation this week as I look forward to a potential rally continuation. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
3
USDCHF Pivot and break-out levelsThe USDCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Down since mid-May. At the moment it is rising after a Lower Low on August 02 but remains limited below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Last time the uptrend got rejected on the Internal Lower Highs trend-line. The 1D RSI is also trading within a Falling Wedge. As a result, below the Lower Highs trend-line, the trade is a sell targeting the 1W MA200 (red trend-line), while a candle close above is a buy targeting the top of the Channel Down. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
by TradingShot
1
USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekThe current technical structure suggests that the USDCHF remains pressured into a risk of a further decline in price. The appearance of a strong reversal pattern on the 4H timeframe gives me added reason to hold a bearish bias for the new week. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
1
USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekUSDCHF breaks below the bullish trendline that has been holding price action since the beginning of the month to set the tone for a potential bearish drive in the coming week. This video explains my plans in that regard. idenRisk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
1
USDCHF Bullish medium-term. 1D MA50 as the Resistance.The USDCHF pair has been wild on high volatility ever since the May 16 market top as within 45 days it has formed big swings of Highs and Lows within a newly developed Channel Down. At the moment the price is on a three day rebound on the Lower Lows trend-line of the Channel and more importantly the 1W MA200 (red trend-line), which is acting as a Support since the April 21 break-out. As you see the long-term trend is a Bullish Channel which on the May 16 High broke to the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. The 1W RSI since the start of that Channel suggests that we are on optimal (near the Higher Lows trend-line) long-term buy levels. A closing below the 1W MA200 could target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), as it has consistently over the past 12 months. At the moment a good strategy on the short-term could be to buy targeting the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and then wait for a pull-back. A 1D candle close above the 1D MA50 can be taken as a bullish break-out signal towards the Lower Highs (top) trend-line of the newly formed Channel Down. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
by TradingShot
2
USDCHF More downside to come unless this level breaksThis is my latest update on the USDCHF pair which on my last analysis two months ago hit both targets: The pair is currently on a strong 3 day bearish 1D candle streak following its market top on May 16. That was achieved on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension of the long-term Channel Up it has been trading in since January 2021. The rejection resembles that of the April 01 2021 top, which caused a drop of around -5.70%. A similar drop would take the pair on the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, which would be perfectly symmetrical. The 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) may come in as Support by the time it reaches this Fib level. The correction will get invalidated however if the price breaks again bove the 1.0 Fib or when it bottoms, above the 0.786 Fibonacci, which was the Resistance during the previous recovery. In that case, I expect the pair to systematically target the higher Fibonacci extension levels one by one (1.382, 1.5, 1.618). -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
by TradingShot
2
USDCHF | Live position reviewThis is a follow-up on our USDCHF posted on Monday and Wednesday (see link below for reference purposes); Price hits stop loss with 60pips profit (an approximate of 175pips - 3positions) during the course of last week's trading session. We are expecting the price to continue into the supply zone identified on the daily time frame to close at our initial profit target of 0.937 area before a reversal happens. Let's keep our fingers crossed and see how the price plays out before the week comes to an end tomorrow. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
3
USDCHF Rejected at the top of its Channel Up.The USDCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Up since June 16 2021. This week it hit and so far got rejected on the Higher Highs (top) trend-line of the Channel. Technically we should see the pull-back extending as low as the Higher Lows zone. A reasonable target is just above the zone at 0.9200. See how well the RSI can give buy signals on its Support Zone and sell signals (such as the current) on its Resistance Zone. A break-out above the Channel Up, should set in motion a short rally towards the 1.236 and 1.382 Fibonacci extensions at 0.95325 and 0.95775 respectively. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by TradingShot
2
USDCHF aiming at 0.9000 long-term.Another fractal from the past on this 1W chart for USDCHF. The price is currently testing the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support after a consolidation period of around 6 months. In May 2019, when this Channel broke to the downside, the pair targeted the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. This is currently at 0.90230. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by TradingShot
8
AUDCHF aiming for 0.6000 at leastAUDCHF has been trading inside a Channel Down since the February 2021 peak, so essentially for exactly 1 year. The 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) has been the Resistance for the better part of this Channel. The whole price action since the COVID crash market bottom is similar to the 2011/2012 period, where the pair also formed a Channel Down following a market crash. The Channel Down broke and the price hit the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels successively before a (rather minor) rebound. A repeat of that means that we should be targeting 0.6080 and 0.5795 respectively. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by TradingShot
1
USDCHF multiple failures on a key trend-line. Bearish long-term.The USDCHF pair has been under the selling pressure of a multi-year Lower Highs trend-line since the April 22 2019 1W candle. Since the market bottom of the January 04 2021 1W candle, the pair has came close to that trend-line first on March 29 and then more recently from September 27 until the current week. As you see all those attempts to break and close a weekly candle above that multi-year bearish trend-line have failed. Even though we got breaks on Sep 27 Nov 22 and the current week, they all quickly reversed, thus failing the objective of closing a week above it and reverse this multi-year bearish sentiment. Multiple failures on such long-term time-frames usually create a very strong accumulation of sellers. With the 1W RSI on a bearish trend since Sep 13, and with the price having broken below the Higher Lows trend-line of the January 04 2021 bottom and the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), I am expecting a strong dive towards the May 2021 Support Zone of 0.89800 - 0.89250. A 1W closing below 0.89800 should complete the reversal towards the 0.87600 market bottom. Notice that since March 2020, the multi-year Lower Highs trend-line is trading almost along the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), adding more to the selling pressure. Also notice how the Fibonacci retracement levels also play a key role on the rejections. The March 29 2021 1W candle got rejected near the 0.5 Fib and the Sep 27 and Nov 22 candles got rejected on the 0.382 Fib. Currently the price is supported since the August 16 2021 candle on the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by TradingShot
5
USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekFrom the weekly chart, the overall perspective is Bearish despite the uptrend scenario on the daily chart that began on the 2nd of November 2021. The Greenback climbed to over a two-week high prior to the Non-farm payroll report but was struck with a wave of "sells" after the report detailed that the US economy added 199,000 new jobs in December - a feat which was below the consensus of 400, 000. Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Trendline Observation: i. Since July 2020, it is observed that the Fr0.93750 zone has been a strong area for the bears. ii. The Bullish run that began on the 2nd of November 2021 was stalled at Fr0.93750 (an area peculiar with strong selling pressure in the last 18months) and was immediately followed by strong selling pressure which is represented on the chart bearish engulfing candle iii. Trendline: The visual representation of a line drawn above pivot highs reveals the prevailing direction and speed of price action in the last42 days. iv. And since the strong reversal, buyers have been finding it difficult to break through Fr0.92800. A character that emphasizes the selling pressure at this juncture in the market. v. The breakdown of the Bullish trendline and Key level in December 2021 is a further signal that buyers are losing steam as they make another attempt to hijack the momentum from sellers during last week trading session. vi. For me, the surge in price during last week trading session could probably lead to a retest of the bullish trendline broken to incite a further decline in price in the coming week(s). vii. The early hours/days of the new week might see a price climb into the new supply zone I have identified within Fr0.92120 &0.92450 where I shall be looking for a reversal set up to take a short position viii. If this does not happen and price decides to do an outright breakdown of key level @ Fr0.91750 then it is advisable to use the key level as a yardstick for precautionary measures... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:5 Potential Duration: 2 to 7days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekWe scooped a total of 150pips in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes) before the rally began and since the beginning of the new month, it has been a choppy session for this pair. Now, the appearance of a Bearish rectangle at this juncture technically insinuates that the USD/CHF might be set to plunge a little lower in the coming week(s). NFP negative data coupled with deterioration in risk appetite in the last days of last week trading session has seen US equities and commodities come under pressure hereby benefitting pairs such as the Swiss. Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Trend continuation (Bearish Rectangle) Observation: i. Since on the 25th of November 2021, the price continued to spiral downward to a bus stop around Fr0.91600 on the 30th of Nov 2021. ii. And since hitting a bottom, we have witnessed price moving between a horizontal support and resistance levels (supply and demand) in the last 3 days which transposes into a Bearish rectangle set-up. iii. Technically, the bearish rectangle is a continuation pattern that occurs when a price pauses during a strong downtrend and temporarily bounces between two parallel levels before the trend continues. iv. In this regard, I shall be looking forward to confirmation in the guise of a breakdown/retest of the rectangle's support level to join the decline train. NB: Under the Key level @Fr0.91800 should remain as a yardstick for bearish options in the coming week(s)... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 120 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:4 Potential Duration: 1 to 4days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
USD/CHF 4HR CHART SET UPHi everyone this is my trade set up for the USD/CHF for the new week ahead USD/CHF i think will push higher as has been making higher highs and higher lows i am expecting a pullback to the order block zones and will be looking for a buy trade look for pullback to zones lined off on chart then if it meets your criteria for a trade then execute This is my analysis only please trade with caution and risk management in place good luck for this weeks trading please like and comment both are welcome
Long
by Costy13
USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekThe probability of the Greenback to do a substantial drop in the coming week(s) seems to be high following the appearance of a reversal pattern in the structure of a Head and Shoulder on the Daily chart. Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Head & Shoulder) Observation: i. As far back as 2010, It is interesting to observe how the Fr0.92400 zone has been a major determinant of the direction of price action as soon as it is broken or tested (See your weekly chart for reference purposes). ii. Since the price broke above the Key level @ Fr0.92400, it has been difficult for buyers to continue with the same momentum as the Fr0.93700 level was met with sharp rejections that led to lower highs. iii. Head & Shoulder: a baseline with three peaks, where the outside two are close in height and the middle is highest. iv. The appearance of a Head & Shoulder at this juncture in the market describes a specific chart formation that predicts that a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal is imminent. v. In this regard, I shall be looking forward to a Breakdown/Retest of Neckline which is also a significant Key level in the coming week for confirmations. vi. This being said, the early hours/days of the new week might see a rise into the New Supply level indicated on the chart before the decline begins. However, it is most comfortable to have a position below the Neckline to join the potential decline... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3 Potential Duration: 4 to 10days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
1