7 Dimension Sell Setup For USDCAD Core Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
😇7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H1
1: Swing Structure: The market is basically in a bearish to sideways zone. After the last lower low, there was no significant corrective swing move. With 4 pullbacks, it has almost reached the extreme POI OB at the Premier area of the structure.
🟢 Entry Model: ABCD
A strong resistance or demand zone has already formed at this level.
2: Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS:
Reversal: Double top at the demand zone makes this very appealing for sellers.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS:
Momentum: FOMO candle indicates last players or profit-takers are active. Dark cloud cover at the top of the move. Tower top candlestick pattern is also complete and respects the market.
3: Volume:
Very high selling volume observed at the top. After an inside correction, there is no volume when the price goes up for another move, indicating no buyers are interested. So, we can see sell opportunities here as every swing shows a decline in volume.
4: Momentum RSI
🟢 Surprisingly, the market is in a super bullish momentum zone with no signs of range shift or divergence. In terms of momentum, there is no single sign for a sell, which is strange here.
5: Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 Contraction is fully held yet and everything supports a bullish view. It’s confusing as there are no bearish signs in volatility terms. However, a bearish M pattern is forming, though it's not a strong sell signal at the start. A band puncher is also in place.
6: Strength: Bulls are in power yet.
7: Sentiment: The market does not give us any proper signal yet. According to price action, there is a bearish setup, and volume supports it, but momentum, volatility, and strength do not. It's better to wait for a proper setup. I favor bears but only after further confirmations. So, I am going to check the lower time frame (M5).
✔️ Entry Time Frame: M5
✅ Entry TF Structure: Corrective
✔ Entry Time POI: Mitigated
☑️ Trend line breakout: Done
💡 Decision: Sell
🚀 Entry: 1.3766
✋ Stop Loss: 1.3780
🎯 Take Profit: 1.3650
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 7RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 4 Days
SUMMARY: Analysis supports a cautious sell position based on Smart Money Concepts methodology, pending further confirmations due to mixed signals in momentum and volatility.
Usdcadshort
USDCAd SellsetupHello Guys today we have a major impact news event for cad which is interest rate and monetary policy i am looking forward for a trade setup to form after events, and bias is bearish looking for the optional trade entry trade setup t appear and target the lower level accordingly.
stay tuned for further updates. :)
USDCAD - Sell Stop on Break of Previous Higher LowTrade Analysis
Currently, there is a bearish divergence and 4-hour resistance indicating a potential trend reversal to bearish. Confirmation of this reversal will be evident if the price breaks the previous HL. As it breaks the HL, it will also break the support levels. Consequently, this support will turn into resistance and will be used as the SL.
Trade Plan
Entry: 1.37012
Stop Loss (SL): 1.37095
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.36929
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.36846
USD / CAD short This pair is definitely in a down trend so coupled with the USD weakness I am looking for shorts only unless there is a break above 1.36839.
The pair is in consolidation at the moment so I would either be looking for a rejection from 1.36486 or a 30m close below 1.35969 to confirm the break and look for a target of 1.35603
USD/CAD - Triangle Breakout - Weekly ForecastThe USD/CAD pair on the H8 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.3650.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3465
2nd Support – 1.3364
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.3800. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Thank you.
USD/CAD Triangle BreakoutThe USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.3630
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3592
2nd Support – 1.3572
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.3650. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Thank you
USDCAD BUY TREND 04/07/2024It's been a while...
Based on a detailed analysis of the 1M chart, we anticipate that the USDCAD pair will experience an upward movement. Although this analysis is derived from the 1M chart, the idea is published on the 15M chart for clarity and presentation purposes.
Key Points:
Trend Direction: Upward movement expected
Risk Management: Exercise caution as the pair may experience temporary declines, presenting additional buying opportunities
Timeframe: Expect changes within the next week
Take Profit (TP): A TP line has been established. Regular updates will be provided to indicate optimal points for closing all trades
Alerts: Set alerts to receive timely notifications on when to close trades, ensuring you maximize your gains and manage risk effectively
We will continuously update this idea with crucial information on when to close positions. Make sure to stay tuned and adjust your strategy accordingly.
Wishing everyone a happy and prosperous 4th of July!
USD/CAD Gains on Fed's Inflation Fight, Watching for Short SetupThe USD/CAD pair is edging higher on Wednesday, currently trading around the 1.3687 mark. This upward movement comes as the US Dollar (USD) strengthens, bolstered by commentary from several Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. Their statements collectively suggest that the US central bank remains reluctant to cut its main interest rate, the Fed Funds rate, due to insufficient progress in lowering inflation.
This stance is viewed positively for the US Dollar and, by extension, the USD/CAD pair because maintaining a high Fed Funds rate attracts greater foreign capital inflows from investors seeking higher returns.
However, we also observe a confluence of signs that suggest a potential new bearish impulse for USD/CAD. Yesterday, we successfully closed a short position in USD/CAD with a quick profit, following the release of the Canadian CPI economic data. Today, we are considering another opportunity to sell at relatively premium prices. Specifically, we are targeting the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, which aligns with the 38.2% retracement from the major higher swing. Additionally, we have identified a divergence on the H1 timeframe within a possible bearish channel, reinforcing our bearish outlook.
Given these factors, we are looking to establish a new short position in USD/CAD, aiming to capitalize on the anticipated downward movement.
USDCAD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisUSCAD is moving in a descending channel, We expect the decline to continue after the dynamic resistance is retested.
USDCAD is near the resistance, where price dropped before.
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDCAD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
USDCAD Structure ShiftedAs per the weekend analysis it seems we are about to see a drop coming in USDCAD towards 1.3660. as we have Monday opening left, i am not expecting any gap to be occurring in the market. expecting price not to breach its current swing high of 1.3780 level while maintaining a bearish bias. Entry can be done around at current level . but i would like to wait till Monday new York opening to see more price action to come.
will update more about this pair and setup with entry and stoploss soon. do comment like share and subscribe for more detailed videos of trading setups
USDCAD Signals: Bullish Breakout Above 1.3000USDCAD – technical overview
Above 1.3000 signals an end to a period of longer-term bearish consolidation and suggests the market is in the process of carving out a more significant longer-term base. Next key resistance now comes in up into the 1.4000 area. Setbacks should be very well supported down into the 1.3000 area.
R2 1.3847 – 16 April/2024 high – Strong
R1 1.3792 – 11 June high – Medium
S1 1.3662 – 7 June low – Medium
S2 1.3586 – 10 May low – Strong
USDCAD – fundamental overview
The Canadian Dollar is coming out of a rare session in which it outperformed its peer group. Canada housing data was behind the relative strength after May housing starts accelerated at the fastest pace since September 2023. Key standouts on Tuesday’s calendar come from Eurozone and German sentiment reads, Eurozone CPI, US retail sales, US industrial production, and Fed speak.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
USD/CAD:USD Faces Pressure Amid Eurozone Political UncertaintyEid Mubarak to all our Muslim brothers and sisters,
Permit me to do a detailed commentary of economic event on EUR, CAD, and USD.
Eurozone Political Instability Impacting the Euro
The Euro remains under significant pressure, primarily due to escalating fears of a financial crisis in France. Political turmoil and economic instability in the Eurozone, particularly in one of its key economies, have shaken investor confidence. This instability has led to a weaker Euro as investors seek safer assets, impacting currency markets globally.
Canadian Dollar Strengthens on Positive Economic Data
The Canadian Dollar, commonly referred to as the Loonie, saw a notable increase in value on Friday. This upward movement was driven by positive economic data from Canada, which reported a 1.1% rise in factory sales. The stronger-than-expected performance in the manufacturing sector has boosted investor confidence in the Canadian economy, thereby strengthening the Loonie.
Federal Reserve's Policy and Its Effects on USD
The Federal Reserve's recent policy meeting introduced a slightly hawkish tone, which initially led to a rise in expectations of interest rate cuts. However, following the meeting, these expectations have diminished. The Fed’s stance suggests a cautious approach to monetary policy adjustments, which has implications for the USD's strength. The reduced likelihood of significant rate cuts has provided some support to the US Dollar.
USD/CAD Outlook and Market Sentiment
Looking at the USD/CAD outlook for Monday, bearish momentum is evident as the US Dollar experiences a decline. This drop is largely attributed to the ongoing political uncertainty in the Eurozone, which has ripple effects across global financial markets. Despite the Fed’s hawkish hints, the prevailing sentiment reflects a cautious approach among investors, influenced by geopolitical and economic concerns.
In summary, while the US Dollar initially climbed due to Eurozone instability, the overall outlook for USD/CAD appears bearish. The interplay between Eurozone political issues, positive Canadian economic data, and the Federal Reserve’s policy stance will continue to shape market dynamics in the near term.
Cheers and happy trading!