Usdcad could experience a significant drop in the coming daysUsdcad could experience a significant drop in the coming days.
As always, it's essential to apply proper money management and never trade without placing an appropriate stop-loss. Remember, trading is a game of probabilities, so your success should be measured over a series of trades, not just one.
Guys always read this quote.It will help you mentally."I just wait until there is money lying in the corner, and all I have to do is go over there and pick it up. I do nothing in the meantime. Even people who lose money in the market say, 'I just lost my money, now I have to do something to make it back.' No, you don't. You should sit there until you find something.” “Jim Rogers:
Thanks!
Usdcadshort
USDCAD SELL TF H1 TP = 1.3670 On the H1 chart the trend started on Oct.15. (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 1.3670
This level, which I have outlined above, is certainly not a “finish” level. But it is the level that has the “highest percentage of hits on target.”
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
USDCAD Sell Waiting don't rush USDCAD wait zone sell. SL line yellow.
Good luck.
**Forex Analysis Disclaimer**
This analysis is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. I utilize technical analysis as the basis for decision-making and do not focus on fundamental analysis. Forex trading involves high risk and can result in losses. It is advisable to conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trades. I am not responsible for any losses that may arise from the use of this information.
Usdcad short trade ideaHello everyone, I've identified a fresh supply zone in the USD/CAD pair, and the location is quite appealing.
As always, it's essential to apply proper money management and never trade without placing an appropriate stop-loss. Remember, trading is a game of probabilities, so your success should be measured over a series of trades, not just one.
Guys always read this quote.It will help you mentally."I just wait until there is money lying in the corner, and all I have to do is go over there and pick it up. I do nothing in the meantime. Even people who lose money in the market say, 'I just lost my money, now I have to do something to make it back.' No, you don't. You should sit there until you find something.” “Jim Rogers:
Thanks!
USDCAD SellUSDCAD looks like a sell on the H4 and has been moving steadily down from my last entry in UC. I believe that there will be a potential double top move looking to move towards the 1.37800s and since we are within that range it is clearly looking for prior price action to do a pullback or continue the reversal pattern of a downtrend. I am looking for this mainly to be a day trade, however, I will also be placing a swing trade for my other trading accounts to bare in mind to also use PROPER risk management.
RSI also indicates that we are long overdue a major short and will see it within the next few candles how far USDCAD can go. I also have spotted trend patterns go back to July 25th of this year and it extending all the way down for a month straight crashing USDCAD all the way down till the very bottom of the RSI.
ENTRY: 1.37951
TP 1 (Day Trade): 1.1.36230
TP 2 (Swing Trade): 1.35434
TP 3: (extended swing trade) 1.34396
SL: 30 Pips from entry
Please message me if you have any questions! Please enjoy your day and be sure to follow our page!
USD CAD The USD/CAD pair extends the rally to around 1.3745 during the early Asian session on Friday. The hotter-than-expected US inflation data and hawkish comments by Federal Reserve officials provide some support to the Greenback ahead of the US September Producer Price Index and Canadian job data.
USD/CAD extends upside to near 1.3750 ahead of US PPI, Canadian job report
Confirm chart
USDCAD 1:7 RR trade idea The dollar index almost hit a 2 year low but the price reversed only half a percent higher from the said level. After CPI news, the dollar ended its bullish streak, after touching the highs of 2020. For that reason the USDCAD, which has just finished its second bullish leg by the Elliot Wave theory(6 bullish days in a row). Currently looking for a second correction, to what quarterly VWAP high indicates. Looking for a 7% short trade setup(1% risk) targeting 1.365(Quarterly VWAP + 0.382 retarcement) for 100 pips.
This analysis is taught and provided by Fractals Trading Community.
Trade safely and expect the unexpected,
Mei
USDCAD Rally Hits Critical Resistance – Time for a Short?USDCAD has surged in October, but multiple confluences suggest a short-term selling opportunity is emerging. Let's break down the charts.
Starting with the weekly charts, we can see that USDCAD has been in a long-term range-bound market between 1.39 and 1.32, with price consistently respecting this range over the past two years. I've marked another key resistance area at 1.375 in red, which has also held strong multiple times in recent years.
This is the first confluence. The second confluence becomes clear when we zoom into the daily charts. Lining up perfectly with the weekly resistance at 1.375 is the 0.618 fib level from the down leg that started in August (see image below).
Now, taking a closer look at the 4-hour charts, the price is extremely overextended and overbought. When price action reaches this point, especially as it approaches key higher timeframe resistance zones like we are now, a reversal is usually imminent.
Given these confluences, a selling opportunity seems highly likely. With the US CPI data being released today, we could see a spike above 1.375 towards 1.38, followed by a sell-off.
Here’s how I plan to approach this: I’ll wait until after the news. If there’s a sharp spike above the mentioned resistance areas, I’ll fade the move on the first SELL signal from the lower timeframes using my TRFX indicator.
If there’s no spike and price continues to grind up, I’ll be watching for a 30-minute or 1-hour sell signal and will enter the market accordingly.
My first target for this setup is 1.36, with a stop loss around 1.383, depending on where I enter.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!
USDCAD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisUSCAD is moving in a descending channel, We expect the decline to continue after the dynamic resistance is retested.
USDCAD is near the resistance, where price dropped before.
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDCAD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
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USDCAD limited by the 200dma & 1.3610 … the week of 16 Sep, 2024About a month ago, this pair broke below the 1.3610 level and since then has been unable to overcome it despite 7 attempts. The 200 dma has resisted bullish efforts and my bearish bias is also supported by Ichimoku Kinko Hyo.
I will be on the lookout for bearish evidence on lower time frames such as H4 and H1, see how such price action relates to the 20 sma before committing to a trade. If, however, a strong move to the up side forms, that would negate my analysis.
This is not a trade recommendation. You should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster.
If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soro s
#USDCAD 1HSell Opportunity: USDCAD 1H Chart
Pattern: Rectangle Resistance
Description:
On the 1-hour chart for USDCAD, the currency pair is showing a classic rectangle pattern at the resistance level. This pattern is characterized by a consolidation phase where the price oscillates between well-defined support and resistance lines, forming a horizontal channel.
Currently, the price is approaching the upper boundary of this rectangle pattern, which acts as a resistance level. This is a typical sell opportunity as the market is expected to face selling pressure upon hitting this resistance.
Traders should consider entering a sell position as the price tests this resistance area, with the expectation of a potential reversal or pullback. The ideal strategy would be to set a stop-loss just above the resistance level to manage risk, and look for a target within the rectangle's support range.
Keep an eye on additional confirmation signals, such as bearish candlestick patterns or momentum indicators, to validate the sell setup and increase the probability of a successful trade.
USD/CAD Short Trade Idea (1H Timeframe)Overview : We're currently observing a potential short opportunity on the USD/CAD 1-hour chart. The pair has been trading within a rising wedge pattern, which is often considered a bearish reversal signal. The price action is now showing signs of weakness near the upper boundary of this wedge, suggesting that a downside move could be imminent.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Current market price, anticipating a breakdown of the rising wedge pattern.
Stop-Loss: 0.00368 (0.27%) above the entry point, placed just above the recent resistance level. This level serves as a safe buffer in case of a false breakout.
Take-Profit: 0.01105 (0.82%) below the entry point, targeting the previous major support zone. This gives us a solid Risk/Reward ratio of 3:1, ensuring the potential reward significantly outweighs the risk.
Risk Management: The position size is calculated to limit the risk to a manageable level, with a total of 36.8 pips at risk (Amount: 750). The potential reward for this trade is approximately 110.5 pips (Amount: 1750.68).
Rationale: The rising wedge formation indicates a possible trend reversal. Combined with bearish divergence on momentum indicators (if applicable), this setup provides a compelling case for a short entry. The stop-loss is strategically placed above a significant resistance level to protect against a sudden upward move, while the take-profit target aligns with a key support zone, offering a favorable risk/reward ratio.
Note: As always, ensure proper risk management and consider market conditions before entering the trade. Happy trading!
Why is the Canadian Dollar Outperforming Expectations?A Deep Dive into the Unexpected Resilience of the CAD
In a landscape marked by economic uncertainty, the Canadian dollar has defied the odds, exhibiting remarkable resilience. This unexpected strength is a result of a complex interplay of factors, including the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, market dynamics, and global commodity trends.
The Federal Reserve's Pivotal Role
The Federal Reserve's shift towards a more accommodative monetary policy has been a key driver of the CAD's rally. The Fed's hints at potential rate cuts, especially in response to a weakening labor market, have weakened the U.S. dollar, boosting the appeal of other G10 currencies, including the CAD. This has created a favorable environment for the Canadian dollar, as investors seek higher-yielding alternatives to the U.S. dollar.
Short Covering and Positioning Dynamics
Another significant factor contributing to the CAD's strength is a wave of short covering. Traders had previously bet against the CAD, anticipating a divergence between the easing cycles of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada. However, as the U.S. dollar weakened and the CAD began to rise, these short positions became increasingly unsustainable. Traders were forced to unwind their bets, adding momentum to the CAD's rally.
The Impact of Rising Oil Prices
Canada's significant oil exports make it particularly sensitive to fluctuations in oil prices. The recent increase in crude oil prices, driven by geopolitical tensions and potential supply disruptions, has provided a further boost to the CAD. As a major oil producer, Canada benefits from higher oil prices, which can lead to increased exports and a stronger currency.
Assessing the Risks and Challenges
While the CAD's rally has been impressive, it is important to acknowledge the potential risks and challenges that could undermine its momentum. The Bank of Canada's rate cuts, although expected, could narrow yield differentials and put pressure on the CAD. Additionally, ongoing global uncertainties and subdued risk appetite could limit the loonie's upside potential.
Key Data to Watch
Several key data releases will be closely monitored in the coming weeks. Canada's GDP data will provide insights into the health of the Canadian economy and could influence the Bank of Canada's policy trajectory. Meanwhile, U.S. economic reports, such as PCE, will be watched for potential shifts that could affect the USD/CAD exchange rate.
Conclusion
The Canadian dollar's unexpected resilience is a testament to its strength in a challenging economic environment. While the current momentum is positive, investors should remain cautious and closely monitor key economic indicators. By understanding the underlying factors driving the CAD's rally and assessing the potential risks, investors can make informed decisions about their currency exposure.
USD/CAD Made H&S Reversal Pattern , Short Setup After Closure ?This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USD/CAD Fully Closed +500 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Update Now !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USDCAD Trendline Breakout Ready for a Long SellHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
1:10 RISK TO REWARD SELL SETUP FOR USDCADCore Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
Here’s a detailed breakdown of the analysis based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology:
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: 15M
Swing Structure:
The structure is currently bearish, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming the downtrend. The price has mitigated Inducement and is now undergoing a corrective swing move.
Only the extreme Sell Order Block (SOB) is identified as the Point of Interest (POI) in the Premier zone, making this area highly attractive for sellers.
This area has also served as a Resistance or Demand zone for sellers in the past, adding to its significance.
Pattern:
🟢 Chart Patterns:
To be assessed once the price reaches the POI.
🟢 Candle Patterns:
Will be updated upon the price reaching the POI.
Volume:
🟢 Significant volume is observed in the selling areas, indicating strong selling interest.
Momentum RSI:
🟢 The RSI is in the super-sell zone, indicating strong bearish momentum. Although there is an attempt at a range shift, it’s not confirmed yet, and the bearish sentiment still dominates.
Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 The volatile move is about to conclude, and the market may require some time to cool down before the next significant movement.
Strength ADX:
The ADX indicates that sellers are firmly in control, supporting the bearish outlook.
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4 Stars)
Probability: 60%
The setup shows a moderate-to-high probability, but confirmation from patterns and additional indicators could increase this further.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: 15M
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish
☑️ POI: Extreme unmitigated OB
💡 Decision: Sell Limit
🚀 Entry: 1.3678
✋ Stop loss: 1.3686
🎯 Take profit: 1.3602
😊 Risk to reward Ratio: 10 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 2 Days
SUMMARY:
The analysis suggests a strong selling opportunity on the 15-minute timeframe, with a sell limit entry at 1.3678. The stop loss is tightly set at 1.3686, providing a high risk-to-reward ratio of 10:1, with a take-profit target at 1.3602. This setup is favored by the current bearish market structure and the significant volume observed in selling zones. While the momentum is still bearish, the upcoming price action near the POI will be crucial in confirming this trade's potential. Monitoring the formation of chart and candle patterns at the POI will be essential for executing this setup effectively.