Dow Jones Index (US30): New All Time High Soon?!
US30 may update the all time high soon.
The market closed, testing a major daily structure resistance
based on a current all time high.
A bullish breakout of the underlined blue area will give us a strong bullish signal.
A bullish continuation will be expected at least to 42000.
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Us100
Dow30 - US30 Faces DownturnBLACKBULL:US30 has returned to a crucial resistance zone, which aligns with a bearish technical setup. After the recent decline, this move back to the resistance suggests that a further drop may be imminent, especially if the index fails to break above this zone. The pattern indicates that TVC:DJI could start its downward trend again following a retest of this level, where sellers are likely to re-enter the market.
Fundamentally, the rising unemployment claims in the U.S. have heightened fears of a recession. With more individuals out of work, consumer spending could slow down, which negatively impacts corporate earnings and the broader economy. This situation could exert additional downward pressure on the Dow Jones, making the possibility of a significant decline more likely as investors brace for potential economic contraction.
US100 Is Very Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for US100.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 19,643.0.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 20,206.7 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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NAS100 Technical Analysis and Trade Idea NASDAQ👀👉 Our analysis is centered on the NAS100, which has shown bullish momentum on the daily and 4-hour timeframes. However, with the price now at a resistance level, we anticipate a potential pullback to the Fibonacci 50% to 61.8% retracement levels.
We incorporate key elements of technical analysis, including trend evaluation, price action, and market structure. Additionally, we will outline a potential trade setup and discuss strategies to approach it with a higher probability of success.
Please note that this analysis is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. The insights shared are speculative and do not guarantee future market behavior. We strongly recommend verifying current price actions before making any trading decisions.
This presentation offers an in-depth examination of the current trend, market structure, and price movements. However, it's important to understand that while the content is educational, it does not guarantee trading success. The foreign exchange market carries significant risks, and we strongly stress the importance of implementing robust risk management strategies in all trading activities.
We urge you to conduct thorough research and exercise careful consideration before making any trading decisions. Stay informed, remain vigilant, and approach the markets with a well-prepared strategy. 📊✅
US100 + S&P 500 WEEKLY MULTI TF ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at NAS 100 & S&P500 from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
NAS100 WEEKLY TF
* 2 WEEKS bullish run delivering from the +OB On the NAS100 & S&P500 from the weekly.
* We are opening bullish on the weekly signalling strong signs of cont.
* But with (PO3) possible breather on the index's to see some reversal.
* with a -FVG & -OB looking for a small reversal but momentum strength brings doubts or some skeptism.
* Because The weekly & daily TF show we are still trading in BULLISH conditions on the NAS100 & S&P500.
NAS100 & S&P500 DAILY TF
* It becomes interesting on the Daily as we see an SMT on NAS & the S&P.
* S&P 500 is mitigating the POI -FVG.
* As NAS100 Is just shy of this PD ARRAY.
* Opening bullish i am looking for some rejection to confirm this SMT.
*WITH (PO3) RULES
Either than that as we drop to the 4H
* still bullish on NAS100 Trend cont. favoured until otherwise price shows some significant bearish move.
SENTIMENTS THE SAME ON THE S&P500
* Looking for reversal patens other wise continuation of the move.
1H TF
* Sentiment remains, remain bullish unless otherwise.
* Probably be looking for short OPPORTUNITIES otherwise .
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Nasdaq Thoughts 20-Aug-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my #NASDAQ market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
NASDAQ Reality will again hit those betting against the market.10 months ago (October 06 2023, see chart below), we published an idea with a similar title, as following a standard technical 3-month correction, there was a growing bearish sentiment amidst market fear over a potential economic slowdown of the 2023 recovery:
As you can see none of the 'fears' prevailed and instead the index offered us the best buy opportunity at the time. The early August correction has been the best buy opportunity since then.
After a 3-week correction, quite aggressive for sure, Nasdaq (NDX) reached its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in almost 1.5 years and rebounded emphatically, making the strongest case possible that this Support level priced the new market bottom.
We made slight changes on this 10-month chart and we've set 2 new long-term targets: Target 1 at 23250 (the 0.236 Fibonacci level) and 27000 (top of the Channel Up).
We utilized the Fib symmetry of the previous Bull Phase, prior to the 2022 (inflation) correction and since Nasdaq is currently at 97 weeks (697 days) since its Bear Cycle bottom (October 10 2022), we could assume that proportionally, we are around November 02 2022, around the 0.382 Fib.
The 1W RSI just rebounded on the 5-year Symmetrical Support Zone that only breaks during Bear Phases and the 1W MACD is also posting a similar sequence to Nov 2022. Note that as long as the 1W MA50 holds, the index is technically on a long-term Bull Phase with the Green Ichimoku Cloud supporting within the 1W MA50 and MA100 (green trend-line). Technically, the index can rise up to 29000 - 30000 before entering a new 1-year Bear Phase.
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JPY, key to all other indexesJPY vs USD, key to the other index developments. As long as it holds its trendline, JPY will remain week vs the other global currencies, Japan exports will hold, carry trade arbitrages won't unwind, US bonds will not sell off (rising yields), volatility will remain contained.
But if it breaks and doesn't hold the 139JPY/$, we could witness how algos start dumping US and Euro shares and bonds. Rising JPY should also affect the Nikkei 225, retaking the path to 30k
US100 - Analysis of the beginning of the weekThe index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel
If the index corrects towards the drawn demand zone, you can look for short-term buying positions in the Nasdaq index.
On the other hand, the index reaching the specified supply range, which is also at the intersection with the ceiling of the ascending channel, will provide us with suitable selling positions in terms of risk return.
Mastering High Probability Trading Across All AssetsGreetings Traders!
Welcome back to today’s video! In this session, we're revisiting the critical concept of draw on liquidity. I'll guide you on how to take advantage of it with extreme market precision, focusing on when to trade, when to avoid the market, and how to increase your chances of high-probability trade outcomes.
If you're looking to enhance your trading strategy and make smarter decisions, this video is for you. Let's dive in and start mastering these concepts!
Refer to these videos as well:
Premium Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading:
Mastering Institutional Order-Flow Price Delivery
Quarter Theory Mastering Algorithmic Price Movements:
Best Regards,
The_Architect
US100 (NASDAQ) Outlook ICT ConceptsUS100 (NASDAQ) Analysis
💡 Previous Analysis Review:
In the previous analysis, we noted the importance of price action around key liquidity zones. The market has now expanded higher, sweeping a significant Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) and approaching a critical resistance area.
📍Current Market Overview:
The NASDAQ (US 100) is currently trading at 19,497.2, having recently swept a Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) level. The market is now positioned near the highs, indicating a potential reversal or continuation, depending on how price reacts in this zone.
🔍 Identifying Key Levels
• PMH (Previous Month High): 20,800.0
• PWL (Previous Week Low): 17,235.0
• PML (Previous Month Low): 17,570.0
• SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity): Multiple levels visible around 18,180.0 and 17,940.0
• BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity): Recently swept near the current price.
📊 Key Considerations
• BSL Sweep: The recent sweep of BSL suggests that a significant amount of liquidity has been captured. This could lead to a retracement if the market fails to push higher.
• FVG and Reversal Potential: Though not directly visible in the provided chart, any failure to maintain higher prices after this liquidity sweep could signal a strong sell-off.
• Low Resistance Liquidity Sweeps: For both bullish and bearish scenarios, it’s crucial to monitor lower time frame liquidity sweeps:
• For a bearish scenario, additional BSL needs to be taken and a failure to break higher could indicate a reversal.
• For a bullish scenario, if an SSL is swept and the market holds above the current level, it might target the PMH.
📈 Bullish Scenario
A bullish scenario might unfold if:
• SSL Sweep and Hold: If the market sweeps an SSL and holds above the current level, it could indicate that the market is ready to target higher levels, including the PMH.
• Continuation Higher: A successful hold above the BSL sweep could lead to an exploration of higher price zones, particularly towards the PMH.
📉 Bearish Scenario
A bearish scenario could develop if:
• Failure at Current Levels: If the market fails to hold above the BSL sweep and shows signs of reversal, it could lead to a significant retracement.
• FVG Rejection (if applicable): Any rejection at a nearby FVG could further confirm a bearish move, with targets at SSL levels or lower.
📊 Chart Analysis Summary
• Bullish Expectation: A hold above the current level, especially after an SSL sweep, could lead to a continuation towards higher targets like the PMH.
• Bearish Expectation: A failure to maintain higher prices post-BSL sweep, with a subsequent reversal, could lead to a sell-off targeting SSL and lower zones.
📝 Conclusion:
The recent sweep of Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) puts the market at a pivotal point. Monitoring the reactions around this level and lower time frame liquidity sweeps will be crucial. Both bullish and bearish scenarios are on the table, with the market's ability to hold or reject current levels being the deciding factor.
NAS100 Technical Analysis - NASDAQ Next Move👀👉 In this video, we take a close look at the NAS100 currency pair, which has shown bullish momentum on the 4-hour time frame but now seems to be overextended. I’m expecting a potential pullback with the US100 to the Fibonacci 50% to 61.8% retracement levels. We cover the trend, price action, market structure, and other key elements of technical analysis. Additionally, we explore a potential trade setup and, crucially, how to approach it with a higher probability of success.
As always, this video is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It's essential to recognize that these insights are speculative and not guaranteed predictions. Make sure to verify specific price actions before executing any trades, as highlighted in the video. The analysis offers an in-depth look at the current trend, market structure, and price movements. Remember, this content is for educational purposes and does not guarantee success. Trading involves significant risks, so always apply robust risk management strategies. 📊✅
NASDAQ THOUGHTS 15-AUG-2024Kindly see my NASDAQ thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
DowJones - 4H Bearish SetupBLACKBULL:US30 has been exhibiting signs of bearish pressure, despite recent upward movements. The chart shows a significant decline below the ascending trendline. The recent upward movement appears to be a pullback, potentially setting up for further declines. Two key resistance zones have been identified on the chart, where the index may face renewed selling pressure.
Fundamentally, the broader economic environment is contributing to the bearish outlook. The possibility of a recession looms large as the Federal Reserve has postponed rate cuts in response to persistently high inflation. Rising unemployment claims are another concern, signaling potential economic weakness. These factors are creating an environment where risk assets like the Dow Jones are likely to struggle, and any rallies may be short-lived.
The current pullback in the TVC:DJI could provide a better entry point for those looking to short the index. The key resistance levels identified on the chart could serve as optimal zones for initiating new short positions, with the expectation that the index will continue its downward trajectory.
Given the macroeconomic uncertainties and technical setup, traders should remain cautious and consider the potential for further declines in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. This cautious stance is supported by both the chart analysis and the broader economic fundamentals.
US100 18.992.0 +2.52% MID-WEEK MULTI TF ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at NAS 100 & S&P500 from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
NAS100 DAILY TF
* We started the week on some BULLISH runs into a bearish BB.
* Entering the premium zone looking for rejection of this -BB.
* NAS100 currently taking LQ, looking for that internal range LQ to be taken(+OB).
* We are entering discount price looking for a bullish continuation long term on Nasdaq but intraday some shorts could be profitable.
* With PO3 looking for THURSDAY TO REVERSE for th week.
NAS 100 4H TF
* The week to opened Bullish into the 4h FVG + OB because our HTF BIAS (PO3) on D & W looking for possible reversals before we continue higher.
* looking for short positions OPPORTUNITIES.
* We will see what does the market dish.
* On the 4 hourly ERL > IRL.
S&P500 4H TF
* sentiment stays the same we still bullish, running into higher tf pd arrays.
US100 1H TF
* STRONG rally with the bulls, strong momentum to the upside.
* The is a 1H FVG, this is where i would look for short entries this week.
* Should this PD ARRAY hold will be short for the NASDAQ
* BASED on the price action served this week. But we might just reverse some where might as well be in these FVG prices
S&P 500 1H TF
* sentiment stays the same we still bullish, running into higher tf pd arrays
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Nasdaq Thoughts 12-Aug-2024Good morning all, Kindly find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
NASDAQ - US100 Facing Bearish PressureThe CAPITALCOM:US100 index is currently facing significant downward pressure, largely due to mounting concerns about the U.S. economy. The potential for a recession is growing as recent data points to an increase in unemployment claims, and the Federal Reserve has decided to delay interest rate cuts. This has created uncertainty in the markets, as higher unemployment could lead to reduced consumer spending, further exacerbating the economic slowdown. The anticipation of prolonged higher interest rates is also weighing on investor sentiment, making the stock market, particularly tech-heavy indexes like NASDAQ, more vulnerable to declines.
Technically, the BLACKBULL:NAS100 index has been following a clear pattern of reactions to its trendlines. The index recently fell and touched the third trendline support, which has historically been a critical level for determining market direction. After this touch, the index attempted a recovery, moving back towards the second trendline, which now acts as a breakeven point. However, the failure to break through this level and the subsequent rejection suggests that the bears are firmly in control. The pattern indicates that the index may face further declines, particularly if it breaches the third trendline support.
In conclusion, both fundamental and technical factors are pointing towards a bearish outlook for the NASDAQ index. The rising possibility of a recession, driven by increasing unemployment claims and the Fed’s cautious approach to rate cuts, has dampened investor sentiment. On the technical side, the index’s inability to reclaim key trendline supports indicates that more downside is likely. As a result, investors should be cautious and prepared for potential further declines in the NASDAQ index in the coming weeks.
Dow Jones Index (US30): Detailed Support and Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important key support and resistance levels to pay close attention to.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 38250 - 38550 area
Support 2: 38015 - 38105 area
Resistance 1: 39500 - 39700 area
Resistance 2: 39800 - 39960 area
Resistance 3: 40900 - 41415 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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