EURUSD: Fib.Analysis & Major Weekly Levels
hey guys,
EURUSD is now very volatile and easily breaks daily structure resistances.
you may wonder when the market will stop.
here just by the means of fibs. and structure I found key resistance clusters to look at.
for drawing fib.levels I took major 2014-2015's bearish rally and 2017-2018's bullish rally.
1.16 - 1.18 is the first strong resistance cluster.
it is based on a price action of 2015/2016/2017/2018 and fib. levels of the above-mentioned impulses.
1.21 - 1.22 is the second resistance cluster.
it is based on a price action of 2017/2018 and fib.confluence of 0.5 and 0.786
1.245 - 1.26 is the third resistance cluster.
it is based on a 5 year's high and 618 of the major leg.
the market should at least stop within these levels and retracements will be highly probable.
trade only with a confirmation on lower time frames.
US
EURUSD: Price Action & Scenario for Next Week
EURUSD is trading within a rising parallel channel on 4H.
the resistance of the channel was reached on Wednesday and the market set it's last higher high there.
during the next two days the pair started to consolidate:
with a sequence of three equal highs and two equal lows, the price is stuck in a narrow horizontal trading range.
next week, with a high probability the price will retrace one more time from the horizontal resistance.
then sellers will face with a buying pressure from a channel's and range's supports.
consider this range for potential quick trades next week.
to catch the next wave, I would suggest waiting for a violation of the range.
we can not estimate how long the market will trade there, so it would be better to just wait.
have a great weekend!!!
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) Update & Important Decision Ahead!!!
DXY is retesting summer's structure low.
the price is currently consolidating within a narrow horizontal decision range.
because the current trend is bearish, I am bearish biased on greenback.
in case of a violation of the range to the downside, bearish rally will most likely continue.
next goals will be:
95.4 - daily resistance
94.8 - year's low
in case of a bullish violation of the range, USD may start recovering.
96.9 will be the first goal.
for now it is hard to predict with high accuracy the next usd move, so let the market decide first and then just act accordingly.
EURUSD: Year's High AHEAD!!! Key Levels & Scenarios
EURUSD is approaching a key daily structure resistance.
1.15 is year's high, short rally from that level was just crazy in march.
we don't know how the market will react this time, so we must be prepared for both scenarios:
in case of a bullish violation of the underlined resistance (daily higher high higher close)
the pair will most likely keep growing.
next midterm resistances will be:
1.155
1.160
if the structure will be respected (some reversal formation on lower timeframes)
the market may retrace.
closest midterm supports will be:
1.137
1.130
of course, bias right now is bullish, but it is too late to jump in.
let's patiently wait and see whats gonna happen.
NZDUSD: Channel Breakout & Bearish Continuation
hey guys,
NZDUSD has broken below a rising parallel channel.
setting a lower high, the price broke below a minor horizontal support as well.
now I am planning to short the market on retest.
sell zone will be between a broken support of the channel and minor horizontal support.
target levels:
0.6509
0.6485
USDCAD: Price Action & Trading Plan
USDCAD is forming an inverted expanding triangle on 4H.
the price respects a horizontal 1.361 4H structure support with equal highs, setting new lower lows after each test.
yesterday the above-mentioned structure was reached again.
the price has formed a bearish engulfing candle and was rejected.
on 1H the price has formed a double top formation with a lower high,
respecting a 1.3575 minor horizontal support.
to trade with confirmation, I would wait for a bearish violation of a minor horizontal support (1H candle close below),
then I would sell on a retest.
target levels:
1.354
1.351
safest stop will be above 1.361 or a new lower high in case of its formation.
good luck
USDCAD: Price Action & Trading Plan
USDCAD is forming an inverted expanding triangle on 4H.
the price respects a horizontal 1.361 4H structure support with equal highs, setting new lower lows after each test.
yesterday the above-mentioned structure was reached again.
the price has formed a bearish engulfing candle and was rejected.
on 1H the price has formed a double top formation with a lower high,
respecting a 1.3575 minor horizontal support.
to trade with confirmation, I would wait for a bearish violation of a minor horizontal support (1H candle close below),
then I would sell on a retest.
target levels:
1.354
1.351
safest stop will be above 1.361 or a new lower high in case of its formation.
good luck
GBPUSD: Key Level, Reversal Signs & Candles
hey guys,
GBPUSD reached a key daily structure yesterday.
the price has formed a perfect dodji candle on that and on 4H we see a strong bearish reaction with a bearish engulfing candle.
the last resort for buyers is the support of the rising wedge pattern on 4H.
in case of its bearish violation, the price may drop even lower.
our trigger is 4H candle close below the wedge.
target levels:
1.252
1.246
if the above-mentioned support is respected and the market sets new higher high higher close within the wedge,
setups will be invalid.
USDCAD: Wedge Breakout & Bearish Continuation
USDCAD broke below a rising wedge pattern on 1H after it reached a strong 4H structure resistance.
the price has formed a triple top formation on that level and broke minor structure support as well.
now we can expect a bearish movement to lower levels:
1.3567
1.3529
BUY US30!Traders are finding themselves lost in the market lately and its time to start gaining confidence on how the Stock Market is regaining its confidence in the market and it seems to be that US30 is having a hard time dropping points. This swap zone is a perfect opportunity to buy noticing that in historical data there seems to show lots of momentum come out of this area. Tight SL and High Reward looks like it'll have to do.
Crude Oil breakout towards $48 a barrel possible. With most of the economies around the world returning to their pre-Covid19 capacity, it only makes sense that the demand for Oil will increase. The US government has also been rumored to be thinking about giving Americans a $4000 vacation tax credit to help boost the tourism industry.
DXY Waiting for a Breakout by ThinkingAntsOk🔸 4H CHART EXPLANATION:
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🔸 Price is on a downtrend.
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🔸 It has bounced at the Resistance Zone.
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🔸 If the structure is broken, then there is potential for a downside move towards the Support Zone..
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🔸 Will look for a lower timeframe setup.
🔸 DAILY CHART ANALYSIS: