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RidetheMacro| GBPRUB Russia on Track Again!A "no-deal" Brexit could be three times more costly to Britain's economy in the long term than the coronavirus outbreak, a new study published Tuesday warned.the political and economic effects of the pandemic were likely to mitigate or hide that of failing to secure a trade agreement with the EU. 📌 But in the short term, the lack of a new formal trading relationship with Brussels would be bad news for economic recovery and larger than the health crisis in the long term.The think-tank, which collaborated with the London School of Economics, said Brexit would hit growth in the coming years more than if the UK had opted to remain in the bloc. 📍 "The claim that the economic impacts of Covid-19 dwarf those of Brexit is almost certainly correct in the short term," its authors wrote. "Not even the most pessimistic scenarios suggest that a no-deal Brexit would lead to a fall in output comparable to that seen in the second quarter of 2020. 📍 "However -- assuming a reasonably strong recovery, and that government policies succeed in avoiding persistent mass unemployment -- in the long run, Brexit is likely to be more significant. 🔑 the UK’s recovery from the Covid-19 lockdown was losing momentum even before the announcement of new restrictions to control the spread of the virus, the latest snapshot of the economy has found. 📍 The closely watched monthly estimates from Cips/Markit found the level of activity at its lowest since June, the outlook for business at its weakest since May and jobs being shed at a rapid rate. The Cips/Markit report flash estimate of the service and manufacturing sectors dipped from 59.1 in August to 55.7 in September. but the survey was conducted before the introduction of fresh curbs across the UK this week. The marked dip in the PMI prompted speculation among City analysts that the UK could be heading for a tough end to 2020. 📍 The study estimated that the negative impact on gross domestic product would be 5.7 percent over the next 15 years compared with the current level, while GDP was forecast to take a 2.1-percent hit from Covid-19. The projections come despite a lack of clarity about the overall repercussions from the pandemic, and as a second wave of infections hits Europe. 📌 For RUB 🔑 The Salary growth numbers for July (this data comes with additional lag) significantly outperformed expectations, posting a 2.3% YoY jump in real terms after a 0.6% YoY increase in June. Though this data is more relevant to the larger businesses and state sector, and the situation in the SME sector could be different, other sources of income were likely supportive as well: the budget fulfillment data for 8M20 point at continued acceleration of spending on pensions and social security. 🔑 the earlier estimates for retail trade for April-July have been improved by 0.6-0.7ppt YoY, including from -2.6% YoY to -1.9% YoY in July, suggesting that the drop in smaller businesses was not as deep as expected. Until the Next Time.🙏 Ridethemacro
Short
by Ridethemacro
EURUSD: Important Decision Ahead hey traders, EURUSD is currently trading within a very peculiar zone: its upper boundary is based on the major rising trend line that the price broke in September and that currently serves as the resistance. its lower boundary is based on the major falling trend line that the price has violated yesterday and that currently serves as the support. for now, I see two equally possible scenarios: either we close above the upper boundary of the zone and continue growing to 1.1935 level or we drop below its lower boundary and initiate a short rally at least to 1.1705 for now it is hard to say exactly, which side the pair will select. so I prefer to wait.
by VasilyTrader
21
USOIL In the ascending triangle . Ascending Triangle Analysis‍Hi every one As you can see, this is an ascending triangle , this pattern can be a good thing and increase the price. Remember that Trend is our friend and we have to hold his hand and go with it. Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments,We will be glad. Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast Thank you for seeing idea . please support us Good luck.
TVC:USOILLong
by CobraVanguard
2
BRICS currencies movement for the week – 16 October 2020A strong week for the US Dollar, with most Emerging Market currencies coming under pressure. Also look at my US Dollar Index Idea here: Despite the USD strength, the ZAR remained resilient, having some of the best relative BRICS currency performance for the week. BRICS currency/USD movements for this week: Brazil -1.9% Russia -1.1% India -0.6% China 0.0% South Africa -0.5% Euro /USD -1.7% Technically, the ZAR broke and close the week off below all four the 8-, 21-, 50- and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), which over the shorter-term, might provide some further momentum in the ZAR. If this was a false break and we see the ZAR break and stay above the 200-day EMA (at R16.61) this week, we could see it move back to the 50-day EMA at R16.76. A break and close above this level could see the USDZAR test the diagonal resistance level at R16.85, with a break and close above this level, most probably bringing R17.10 back into play. With the runup to the US Elections, this (USD Strength) in my view can only happen if the momentum swings back from Biden to Trump, which at this stage seems highly unlikely. The 14-day RSI is not in oversold territory yet, which will have me optimistic should the USDZAR break and close below R16.50 early this coming week. Momentum is turning and very much moving back into the favour of the Rand, which tend to make me believe that we might just be testing the R16.10 levels again over the shorter-term. Watch the US Dollar Index early this week. Should you be contemplating any short-term long positions in the ZAR (short USDZAR), I would only look at doing so below 93.20 on the Index.
by SchalkLouw
3
Don't Trade USD/JPY Before You Looked at These Factors!Trading is all about buying low and selling high. Here on this USD/JPY technical analysis I will explain what you need to take into account if you want to enter a trade. First of all, I want to highlight the previous idea that was incredibly successful on USD/JPY using these same principles: In this idea it is important to note that the price is not near any horizontal zone at the moment. I suggest to wait to get a better risk reward on your coming trade. The buy low and sell principle is all relative and defined by the current information available. I define low and high as the horizontal resistance zones. For our short position we want to reverse the logic and sell as high as we can, in this case near the zone of horizontal resistance. Follow me for consistent high quality updates, with clear explanations and charts. Please like this post to support me. - Trading Guru -------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer! This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only!
Short
by Trading-Guru
5
Nas100 TP3 hitNas100 trade TP3 hit! With our stocks strategy we work to a TP3 target. The entry price, SL and multiple TPs are shown on the chart. Our back testing and money management strategy itself is holding until a reverse signal to ride a big trend, but as you will not see the next signal - manage the trade as you wish should you decide to enter. What is our strategy? Our strategy is a trend following strategy, can be used on any instrument and time frame. However, we have hard coded specific parameters for when trading the H1 time frame, so we can back up over 4200 previous trades to confirm our edge from previous data. This gives us confidence in execution and belief in our trading strategy for the long term. The strategy simply sits in your trading view, so you will see exactly what we see - the trade, entry price, SL and multiple TPs (although we hold until opposite trade as this is the most profitable longer term plan), lot size, etc. This could be on your phone trading view app, or laptop of course. The hard work is done, so we have zero chart work time, no analysis, no time front of the chart doing technical analysis - technical analysis is very subjective - you may see different things at different times - how do you have a rigid trading plan on a H&S shoulder pattern? Your daily routine, diet, sleep, exercise can affect what you 'see' and your decision making, this doesn't happen when a strategy is coded like this; what we do have is a mechanical trading strategy... What does this mean? It means, we are very clear on our entry and our exit and use strict risk management (this is built in - put in your account size, set your risk in % or fixed amount and it will tell you what lot size to trade!) so we have no ego with our position and we are comfortable with all outcomes - its simply just another trade. This free's our mindset from worry and anxiety as we take confidence from knowing our edge is there and also that we have used sensible risk management. The strategy itself can be used as a live trading journal too - how cool is that? The strategy will confirm and support every open and closed position - so its quite easy to follow. We just have to do what Percy does. Please see our related ideas below for more information to explain what we do and how it can help you.
FX:NAS100Long
by pow_removetheguesswork
US500 - approaching TP3S&P500 approaching TP3 With our stocks strategy we work to a TP3 target. The entry price, SL and multiple TPs are shown on the chart. Our back testing and money management strategy itself is holding until a reverse signal to ride a big trend, but as you will not see the next signal - manage the trade as you wish should you decide to enter. What is our strategy? Our strategy is a trend following strategy, can be used on any instrument and time frame. However, we have hard coded specific parameters for when trading the H1 time frame, so we can back up over 4200 previous trades to confirm our edge from previous data. This gives us confidence in execution and belief in our trading strategy for the long term. The strategy simply sits in your trading view, so you will see exactly what we see - the trade, entry price, SL and multiple TPs (although we hold until opposite trade as this is the most profitable longer term plan), lot size, etc. This could be on your phone trading view app, or laptop of course. The hard work is done, so we have zero chart work time, no analysis, no time front of the chart doing technical analysis - technical analysis is very subjective - you may see different things at different times - how do you have a rigid trading plan on a H&S shoulder pattern? Your daily routine, diet, sleep, exercise can affect what you 'see' and your decision making, this doesn't happen when a strategy is coded like this; what we do have is a mechanical trading strategy... What does this mean? It means, we are very clear on our entry and our exit and use strict risk management (this is built in - put in your account size, set your risk in % or fixed amount and it will tell you what lot size to trade!) so we have no ego with our position and we are comfortable with all outcomes - its simply just another trade. This free's our mindset from worry and anxiety as we take confidence from knowing our edge is there and also that we have used sensible risk management. The strategy itself can be used as a live trading journal too - how cool is that? The strategy will confirm and support every open and closed position - so its quite easy to follow. We just have to do what Percy does. Please see our related ideas below for more information to explain what we do and how it can help you.
ULong
by pow_removetheguesswork