⭐️GOLD: forecast for Nov 22 - Nov 26➡️ The trading week ended for GOLD at 1845$ . At the moment, there is a possibility of a downward rollback. Thus, a downward movement is expected at the beginning of the week. There is support at the level of 1834.340$ , that will play a big role in the coming week. If the price manages to consolidate below this level, it will be very unpleasant for buyers, since the price may then go below 1800.935$.
Still, it will be necessary to closely monitor the instrument, but the tendency to rollback downward and after the continuation of the upward movement is still greater. The price area of 1800.935$ - 1834.340$ will support the growth of GOLD and buyers will target the 1900$ level.
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Crude Oil Brent
$UKOIL (Brent) Can Go Up - $USOIL Can TooTraders, This analysis and trade idea is on UKOIL (Brent) because I personally find it easier to trade due to few reasons. But USOIL (Crude OIL) and UKOIL usually run in the same directions with minor differences. So if this analysis works out, you can apply the same for USOIL too.
USOIL fell from our levels as you will see in the attached idea. This has been great trade irrespective of what media has been saying about its bullishness, we have been short. UKOIL followed USOIL as expected. Now UKOIL has made am M pattern and we have 2 FCP (Fibonacci Confluence Pattern) zones which can support the price and also have capability of pushing the price higher. We had a confirmation on Friday but price cam back to perform stop loss collection of test of lower zone. We are looking for bullish trades here.
Trade what you see and keep the risk management tight.
Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
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✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis
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Take care and trade well
-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
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UKOIL long from SUPPORT levelOil in a downward correction. Below is the support level of 76.97. The price is trading at the support level of the downtrend. I'm waiting for a false breakout and consolidation above the support. My target is the 80.25 resistance zone
Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad👩💻
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Key Levels to Watch 🛢
As I predicted, WTI Oil is falling nicely.
Here are the key levels for you to watch:
Resistance 1
84.5 - 85.5 supply area
Support 1
73.0 - 75.0 demand area
Support 2
61.5 - 62.5 demand area
Key levels give us the safest trading opportunities.
Patiently wait till one of them is reached.
Then look for a confirmation to buy/sell safely.
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☑️EURGBP: Briton one step ahead➡️ The EURGBP currency pair will most likely continue its downward path. Fundamentally, the Pound is supported by expectations of a rise in interest rates, prices in the UK are rising and people are more willing to spend. One of the reasons the key rate is still at its lowest is because of the risk to the labor market. The rate hike will lead to a rise in the cost of loans and may force the business to slow down with the expansion and introduction of new jobs.
Technically, the pair is also looking down. As long as the price is below 0.84576 , you don't have to think about buying. The SELL Entry Point Area is shown on the chart and, as always, the most approximate trade parameters are in front of you.
🔔 Proposed deal for this tool 🔔:
🔴Entry Point - 0.84379
⛔️Stop Loss - 0.84659
✅Take Profit - 0.83812
Thanks for your comments and likes 👍
👇🔥 LINKS TO PREVIOUS IDEAS AND FORECASTS 🔥👇
Technical analysis update: WTI oil (18th November 2021)We abandoned short-term price target of 85 USD in our previous idea (as correction resumed). In addition to that, we noted that it was very likely that price would drop towards 78 USD. Currently, USOIL trades slightly below that level. We will observe WTI oil in the following days and we will look for more weakness or possible end of correction. Though, at the moment, we think it is likely correction will continue little further towards 76 USD. Because of that we will watch support level at 76.95 USD; and we will observe whether this support will be able to hold further selling pressure. Technical analysis on daily time frame suggests more weakness for oil. Despite that, we think current price is very attractive to start considering (re)entry of long position in WTI oil, however, with big cautiousness.
Picture below shows USOIL on daily time frame.
It also shows possibility of bearish breakout below crucial support level at 76.95 USD. If this support is broken then we expect price to drop even further.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and Stochastic are very bearish as they continue to move downward. MACD is also very bearish. Indeed, MACD nears crossover into bearish area. If MACD manages to perform crossover then we expect such occurence to be accompanied by more selling pressure. ADX contains low value which suggests that trend is either neutral or very weak. Technicals are overall bearish and suggest more trouble ahead for USOIL.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI has bearish structure. MACD remains in bullish territory, however, it strives to reverse into downside. Similarly, Stochastic is in bullish area but it already reversed its direction into downside. DM+ and DM- still suggest that bullish trend is present but ADX continues to decline which reflects that this trend is weakening.
Support and resistance
Major resistance sits at 85.39 USD while major support lies at 61.58 USD. Short-term support level sits at 76.95 USD. Another (closest) important support appears at 75 USD (as psychological support).
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Brent: down in the context of correctionAnd so, it keeps the mood for the fall, which takes place within the framework of the correction. A deep drop is not expected, but the price area around 80.45 is likely to be tested. Another support is slightly lower at 77.85, which will add confidence to buyers too and force some sellers to leave the market for a while.
Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy!
Thanks for the likes and comments.
☑️Brent: further rollback down➡️ As the ministers of many oil-producing and oil-exporting countries declare: "at current prices, there is no risk of falling demand." Demand is unlikely to fall, but still, time will tell. As for prices, there is a very high probability of a further downward rollback. This is not a downward trend change. Yet, the main bullish momentum is strong by the instrument.
A further rollback of oil was noted earlier in forecasts and trading ideas (you can familiarize yourself with them in the profile) . At the moment, a good entry point is being formed, which will most likely make it possible to realize profits from this fall.
The approximate parameters of the trade are, as always, in front of you.
🔔 Proposed deal for this tool 🔔:
🔴Entry Point - 82.47
⛔️Stop Loss - 83.30
✅Take Profit - 80.81
Thanks for your comments and likes 👍
👇🔥 LINKS TO PREVIOUS IDEAS AND FORECASTS 🔥👇
☑️Brent: still downtrend correction➡️ For oil, further downward movement is expected as part of the correction, for now. Meanwhile, OPEC lowered its forecast for global oil demand in 2021 to 5.65 million barrels per day. She named the slowdown in demand growth in China and India as the reasons. Although it should be noted that oil did not react much at the time of these events.
Technically, the price continues to decline within the downtrend channel. At the moment, the resistance level of 83.10$ has a SELL-potential, with the potential to fall just below 80$ (Target № 2 on the chart). Trade parameters are presented below.
🔔 Proposed deal for this tool 🔔:
🔴Entry Point - 83.04
⛔️Stop Loss - 84.87
✅Take Profit - 80.53
Thanks for your comments and likes 👍
👇🔥 LINKS TO PREVIOUS IDEAS AND FORECASTS 🔥👇
USDCAD: breaking 1.24835 for growthAnd so, buyers for the USDCAD currency pair today intend to test the level of 1.24835 for strength. Undoubtedly, this is necessary for them to develop further growth. The nearest resistance for them in this case will be 1.25796.
Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy!
Thanks for the likes and comments.
☑️USDCAD: accelerating for takeoff➡️ USDCAD is holding at 1.24320 after positive results from both US NFP payrolls and Canadian employment data. Technically, the pair is above the balance sheet (which was broken upwards), which indicates the bullish tone of the pair for today. The DXY Index continues to rise.
The number of jobs in the US non-agricultural sector in September amounted to +531 thousand, against the forecast of +425 thousand. Data on the Canadian labor market were published. The change in employment in the country in October reached 31.2 thousand compared to the forecast of 42 thousand, which is likely to put pressure on the couple at the end of the week. However, the unemployment rate fell 0.2 percentage points to 6.7%, although the participation rate reached 65.3% versus 65.5% last month.
Bearish impulses from profit-taking, technical selling, big US inventory builds, concerns about demand in China (where a new Covid-19 outbreak is kicking off), and concerns that the US might release oil from its strategic reserve has outweighed the (widely expected) OPEC+ decision not to increase output in December by more than the 400K barrels per day/month rate stipulated in the cartel's current agreement. Looking ahead, with the Canadian economic calendar bare next week, choppiness in crude oil markets will remain a key driver of the pair.
At the moment, it is assumed that the pair will be able to stay above the balance and go up. As always, my presumed deal is below. Also, on the chart called "ORDER var. No. 2" I have considered another option for entering a long. The entry point is the same, only the location of Stop Loss and Take Profit changes. Most likely, for someone, such a setup is more preferable, since Stop Loss is placed outside the balance.
🔔 Proposed deal for this tool 🔔:
🔵Entry Point - 1.24320
⛔️Stop Loss - 1.23700
✅Take Profit - 1.25562
👍 Thanks for your comments and likes 👍
👇🔥 LINKS TO PREVIOUS IDEAS AND FORECASTS 🔥👇
Brent: same directionAnd so, the forecast for oil remains the same. It is expected that during today, the instrument would return to the downtrend channel and from there would go to the levels of 81.70 and 80.45. If the price consolidates further above 83.40, the SELL-scenario is canceled.
Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy!
Thanks for the likes and comments.
Brent: shorts activated And so, the short-term SELL confirms for oil. The price area 81.70 - 83.40 serves as a resistance for further growth. Now the instrument is at the resistance line of the descending channel, which at the beginning of the next week may lead to active sales.
Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy!
Thanks for the likes and comments.
Crude Oil (WTI): Breakout & Bearish Outlook 🛢️
Hey traders,
Important update for WTI Oil.
The price managed to violate a major rising wedge pattern to the downside.
Its support was broken and a daily candle closed below that.
Now the broken support serves as the point for sellers to sell from.
I expect a bearish move from that.
Goal - 77.00
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☑️Brent: local short➡️ Brent Crude is trading at $80.70 per barrel and is moving within the fall and the downtrend channel. The presence of a bearish trend can be traced for the instrument, which can develop into a correction. As part of the forecast for the Oil rate for November 5, 2021, the growth of the asset value is expected to develop and the test level of $83.10 . Where can we expect an attempt to rebound and continue the fall in the value of Oil. The target of reducing Oil prices is the area near the level of $80.45 per barrel.
The problem of Oil shortages remains unresolved. The current high Oil demand remains a short-term support factor and the nature of the deficit is increasingly structural, and this will require much higher long-term Oil prices. Collectively, the bullish sentiment for Oil remains in place. Locally, a correction for Oil is expected, but globally, the instrument is still bullish.
🔔 Proposed deal for this tool 🔔:
🔴Entry Point - 83.06
⛔️Stop Loss - 84.89
✅Take Profit - 80.31
Thanks for your comments and likes 👍
USDCAD: stronger and strongerAnd so, the Canadian has once again confirmed its solid position in the market after the meeting of the Bank of Canada this week. The pair continues to move within the downtrend channel. At the moment, the downward movement will continue to the last lows (~ 1.22875) and will break even lower to the channel's support line.
Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy!
Thanks for the likes and comments.