⚠️ XAUUSD : Don't DO these things 👇🏻Gold is trading in the range of $1814, one of the important Demand zone that we can mention is $1783 to $1797, and one of the important supply zones is $1818 to $1824! Pay attention that there is a possibility that the price will penetrate above $1824 to collect liquidity and then face a fall, so don't look for a BUY position within that range! The possible trend is indicated on the chart!
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⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading
📅 12.21.2022
⚠️(DYOR)
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Crude Oil Brent
Mixed view on the oil market In our previous article, we said that we would like to abstain from setting any price outlook for USOIL after it stopped 0.10$ above our 70$ price target. Unfortunately, that continues to be the case also today, and we do not wish to set any new price targets. However, we would like to update at least some thoughts on the asset.
On 8th December 2022, we floated the idea of the price deviating too far from its moving averages. Interestingly, the next day the price halted its decline and started going up. Since then, the price has broken above 20-day SMA. As a result, USOIL currently trades near the 78.90$ price tag. At the moment, we will pay close attention to the price action. If the price breaks above 80$ and holds there, it will bolster the bullish case for USOIL in the short term. In such a scenario, it could be possible that USOIL will attempt to fully retrace toward its 50-day SMA. That would mark a significant downtrend correction and perhaps even foreshadow a bigger move up.
However, our current thoughts about the oil market are mixed. There are several factors responsible for that. First, economic activity is slowing down rapidly, weighing on oil demand in the coming months. Second, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported that the Earth experienced the coolest November since 2014, which can contrarily boost demand over the winter. Third, the U.S. might consider slowing down or halting releases of Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) as their levels are reaching 1983 lows.
In addition to that, there are rumors of Germany and Poland demanding oil from the Russian company Transneft, which opens a debate about whether some of the Russian crude oil can be allowed back into the European market. With that said, we would like to wait longer on the sidelines until we see a clearer picture of the market.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels. If the price holds above the short-term support, it will be bullish in the short term.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
🔴 GBP/USD : Short or What ? 12.21.22The price is trading in the range of 1.21, and with what I see on the chart, the price is more likely to fall, the possible target of this SELL is 1.157 to 1.165!
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⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading
📅 12.21.2022
⚠️(DYOR)
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Crude Oil (WTI) Time to Recover 🛢️
Hey traders,
I spotted a confirmed bullish breakout of a falling wedge pattern on a daily on WTI Crude Oil.
That indicates that, with a high probability, the market will keep recovering.
I expect a bullish continuation at least to 81.4 resistance.
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What is Brent oil?Brent oil is the benchmark by which the bulk of the 100 million barrels of crude oil traded each day is priced.
Brent plays a unique role in the global oil industry as a benchmark crude oil on which most other types of crude are priced. If you want to invest in Brent oil, you can continue reading our article for answers to questions such as "What is Brent oil?", "How to buy Brent oil?", "What is the difference between Brent oil and WTI?", "Why does Brent oil prices rise?", "Why does Brent oil prices fall?", "Brent oil prices how to get oil?
What is Brent oil?
Brent oil is a blend of crude oil extracted from the North Sea in the early 1960s. It is considered a light, sweet type of crude oil.
Crude oil is a natural resource that is extracted from the earth and refined into products such as gasoline, jet fuel, and other petroleum products.
Brent oil accounts for more than half of the crude oil traded internationally. For this reason, it is an important criterion in the pricing of crude oil.
Brent oil is also known as London Brent or Brent Blend.
The other main crude oil benchmark used in world markets is West Texas Intermediate (WTI).
What is the difference between Brent oil and WTI?
Brent oil and WTI are the two major classifications of crude oil. Brent oil is extracted from the North Sea, while WTI is extracted from the USA, primarily Texas. Brent oil accounts for about two-thirds of global oil pricing. Oil produced in Europe, the Middle East and other parts of Africa is priced differently from Brent depending on its characteristics. Crude oil futures are traded on commodity exchanges: Brent oil is traded on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), while WTI is traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX).
Why are Brent oil prices rising?
Brent oil stocks are highly sensitive to changes in global supply and demand. Roughly speaking, if demand is high and supply decreases, the prices of brent oil will rise. Both demand increases and fears of supply disruptions put upward pressure on brent oil prices. Global oil demand, on the other hand, is increasing, outpacing increases in oil production and excess capacity. The biggest reason for this is the rapid growth of developing countries. These economies are increasingly industrialized and urbanized, leading to an increase in world oil demand.
Why is Brent oil price falling?
As with any commodity, stock or bond, brent oil prices fall when supply exceeds demand. OPEC is the main influencer of oil price fluctuations. OPEC is also a consortium of 13 countries, which, according to 2018 statistics, holds almost 80 percent of the world's oil reserves.
EURUSD, Will it fall? See the factsDaily Time: As you can see in the chart, it has reacted negatively to the long-term downtrend line and sellers have become active. A strong negative divergence has also formed.
It seems that in the short term, it will have a good correction and will touch the specified targets.
Important : The market needs a short-term correction (at least 50%) to attract big buyers again. At the same time as the DXY gains strength, an attractive short-term correction will occur in other assets, especially gold and bitcoin , and the opportunity to buy will be activated again.
Crude Oil (WTI) Bearish Outlook For Next Week 🛢️
Hey traders,
Even though this week was bullish on Crude Oil,
I still remain bearish biased.
I spotted a falling parallel channel on a daily and the price has nicely respected its upper boundary.
I believe oil will drop next week.
Goal - 71.5
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Brent Crude - Buying the lower end of the channelUS CPI NUMBER TODAY - EXPECT EXTREME VOLATILITY
Brent Crude Oil - Intraday - We look to Buy at 73.55 (stop at 71.05)
Broke the sequence of 6 negative daily performances. Intraday, and we are between bespoke support and resistance 73.53-81.96. The 161.8% Fibonacci extension is located at 73.22 from 131.06 to 95.31.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Our profit targets will be 81.95 and 88.72
Resistance: 81.97 / 88.72 / 88.79
Support: 75.30 / 73.55 / 73.22
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UKOIL W5: 50% CORRECTION Strategic Outlook(NEW)(SL/TP)Why get subbed to me on Tradingview?
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UKOIL 2W: 50% CORRECTION Strategic Outlook(NEW)(SL/TP)
IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own
due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage.
🔸 Summary and potential trade setup
::: UKOIL 2weeks/candle chart
::: chart is LOG SCALE
::: setup still valid expecting correction
::: STRATEGIC OUTLOOK / long-term overview
::: recently rejection near premium prices
::: 115 USD/bbl was the MARKET TOP
::: market topped out for this CYCLE
::: BEARS maintain strategic control
::: 50%-65% correction in progress now
::: BEARS will target re-tests of premium prices
::: BEAR CYCLE Target 25-32 USD/bbl
::: so there's MASSIVE DOWNSIDE in here
::: Zero Covid Policy in China + new supply
::: from Venezuela - huge downside risk in the market
::: next 12-24 months limited upside as we are entering
::: global recession demand will slow down a lot
::: recommend to SHORT/HOLD
::: SWING trade setup do not expect
::: fast/miracle overnights gains here
::: good luck traders
🔸 Supply/Demand Zones
::: N/A fresh demand zone
::: N/A fresh supply zone
🔸 Other noteworthy technicals/fundies
::: TD9 /Combo update: N/A
::: Sentiment short-term: BEARS / SUPER CYCLE
::: Sentiment outlook mid-term: BEARS / SUPER CYCLE
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Trading Crypto, Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Crude Oil (WTI): Will The Bearish Rally Continue? 🛢️
WTI Crude Oil is trading in a bearish trend since March.
The price broke and closed below a key daily demand zone last week.
The broken structure: 72.6 - 76.5 area, turned into a resistance now.
I believe that the market may drop lower from that.
Next target will be 62.3 - 66.3 area.
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DeGRAM | UKOIL opportunity to buyUKOIL reached a support zone after a sell-off.
The market is decelerating while approaching the support zone , indicating the bears are running out of steam.
We anticipate a short-term pullback.
-------------------
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Crude Oil (WTI): Bearish Outlook 🛢️
WTI Crude Oil keeps falling.
The price violated a wide horizontal demand zone on a daily and closed below that.
The broken structure turned into a resistance now.
I believe that the market will go lower from that.
The next goal will be 66.0
Good luck!
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China's turmoil, SPRs, and further deterioration in outlookIn our previous update on West Texas Intermediate crude oil, we updated our price target from long-term to medium-term. Additionally, we stated that this price target could soon become short-term, depending on oil market developments. Today, finally, USOIL hit a new yearly low at 73.62$, further confirming our bearish thesis. Accordingly, we continue to maintain our price target at 70$.
Our views are based on a combination of fundamental and technical factors. We expect the global recession to weigh heavily on oil prices in the coming months. In addition to that, we expect the United States to offset any price increases with more releases of Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR).
As if it was not enough, turmoil in China also does not support the bullish narrative, putting higher prices at risk. The same applies to OPEC member countries that seek to increase their production despite a slowing economy. Overall, we have no reason to change our bearish outlook.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of USOIL.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
The illustration shows the daily chart of USOIL, simple support/resistance levels, and two moving averages. At the moment, the price appears too far from these moving averages, likely foreshadowing a correction to the upside (as the price deviated too far from its MAs). Now, these MAs act as significant resistance levels.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.