Crude Oil Brent
USDCAD-06/30/2023Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: The formed balance at 1.31385 is most likely to be distributed downwards, since market long-positions on this pair cannot move the price upwards. Thus, an impulsive hike down has a good supply of "fuel". The breakdown of the level 1.31385 is just the entry point. The considered target for this deal is at the level of 1.31385.
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UKOIL (BRENT)-06/29/2023Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: Oil has been trading in the range of 72.36 - 77.39. The most pleasant entry points are certainly located at the extremes, however, the current price attracts those formed by accumulation. Accumulated selling can well push the price up to the level of 76.30.
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Stubborn MarketsThe markets simply refuse to give up. The birds are speaking to them, but nobody listens.
Gold, still living inside a massive bearish wedge pattern, is almost ready to print a death cross.
The 1M, 2M and 3M timeframes print a similar picture.
The 2M chart is beginning to give in. Volatility between MAs is keeping these still glued together, unable to figure out the next move.
Either the best Golden Cross prints or the worst Death is soon to come.
Markets are weird. I always found incredibly interesting the period before the .com bubble.
Equities had just printed a death cross. After the post-1988 prolonged weakness, all support seemed to have been lost. Instead, the markets boomed.
It is at these extremes when the good and bad stuff happens.
I am getting annoyed from all the birds speaking, many of them bullish on gold, others bullish on equities.
The Gold Bird
Everybody wants to keep this fella alive!
The SPX Bird
Everybody wants to kill this poor fella!
With both birds SCREAMING, we cannot reach conclusions.
Gold Bulls are buying into their ultimate doom.
SPX Bears are selling into one of the most powerful bull runs we have witnessed.
It is the duel between them that will clear the picture.
Honestly, it looks like a Gold Cross is about to shape for equities, not for Gold!
Gold may instead take the black death-ish color.
Again, Buffett may be right after all... Japan + Oil = love-4-many-years
US Yield Rates show significant signs of strength.
The end of the 2nd Big Tech bubble is right around the corner...
Bird might be Peter's word. Don't be like Peter.
Remember: Trend is the trader's word.
UKOILThis is an update from the last time we took a trade on oil. Our approach was wrong, impatient and too easy, this time we have gone in with refinement and it has paid off.
- Pressure from the demand was very high
- retest of sensitive area
- break down of strength
- impulsive candle
This is to show that every time you refine your strategy you add to the skill so stay working on it and making it better, it is YOURS so only you can put in the work.
ukoil 1 hour chart distribution tp 65 usd / bbl🔸Today let's review the 1 hour chart for brent oil . Previously strong downtrend in
progress entire 2023 so outlook remains bearish until we can daily close above 80 usd.
🔸OPEC production cuts have low impact on prices recently due to lower global
demand. Technically, we are in a distribution pattern setup since May 2023 and expecting
breakdown and new/fresh lows soon for Brent.
🔸Recommended strategy for crude oil traders: short-sell near market / short-sell rips
and rallies, limited upside and final TP bears is 65 USD. once we get a valid breakdown
of the structure expecting losses to accelerate in this market.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
UKOILBig risk and I do not advise it. This is something I have been watching from a distance for months, so no I want to try what I have been figuring out with OIL.
I'm only posting because I need it for records and learning material for myself in-case this goes sideways, even when you look the RR is very bad but this is how far my strategy for oil has brought me.
UKOIL(BRENT)-06/19/2023Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: Closing the price above the local resistance 76.30 creates a potential movement for buyers towards 77.39. This will be another major buying hurdle as it is medium term resistance. Given the context of the price movement towards this resistance, there is a very high probability of a breakout to the upside. Perhaps this will not be the biggest upward impulse, however, the approach to the round value of 80 will most likely be provided.
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USOIL - NEW BREAKOUT📈Hello Traders👋🏻
The USOIL Price Reached a Major Support Level (68.08 - 66.51)✔
Currently, The Price Reject To Create New Lower Low, The Resistance TrendLine is Broken🔥
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈
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TARGET: 73.80🎯
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Crude Oil (WTI): Key Levels to Trade 🛢️
Here is my latest structure analysis for WTI Crude Oil.
Resistance 1: 74.19 - 75.00 area
Resistance 2: 76.60 - 77.00 area
Support 1: 66.84 - 67.30 area
Support 2: 63.58 - 64.00 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading this week.
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#OIL #OOTT UpdateI think I just decoded the oil chart. I have been contemplating a rise to $90+ because I expected ABC flat where I now see WXY combination of zigzag, zigzag and triangle. The chart now perfectly aligns with Brent where wave [ B] did make lowest low presumably shaping a symmetrical triangle whereas WTI is working on a running triangle.
That means that we have only strong push left upwards from current low which should come either as a straight impulse or an expanding diagonal which will be extremely annoying.
Oil -Rising on potential OPEC cut oil productionWell, the technical analysis seems to indicate that Oil is currently in a very strong overbought area, from which we expect it to rise to at least 82.
Especially since interest rates may stop rising in the coming period and be fixed at 5.25 or 5.50
With the decline in oil prices due to the economic slowdown, there is a high probability that OPEC will cut oil production at the next meeting, which will cause prices to rise strongly.
UKOIL LONG IDEAI believe the price will fall and tag the
POC from PD and then bounce back up
PD buyer heavy
L50 in buy zone.
we could go long as the price opens above
POC and AVWAP
something like illustration on chart.
NOTE - Not yet tagged in the position.
maybe entry will present post London open.
FEDFUNDS | Too TightThe point of TradingView (and being a human/trader in general) is to learn from your mistakes. I did make some mistakes. Perhaps this idea by itself is another mistake. But I cannot do any different. I must speak out about what I see.
For the past year I tried to understand the pressures that are pushing prices higher, equities lower.
It is important in analysis to avoid the mass, the "common truth".
We all have expected a future of uncontrollable inflation, extreme prices and The Great Reset. The place where everything is too expensive to buy, and we will have to live with coupons.
While some of these may come, it is important to analyze what isn't coming.
Oil prices have been paired with the dollar (with the petrodollar).
Many expect oil prices to explode even further, while "dollar is losing value" and "hyperinflation is imminent".
Some charts however show a different picture...
WIth the 2M chart warning of downward swing, and with the 3M chart showing divergence, the future of oil may not be as explosive as we may believe.
But that is in relative terms. The strength of money seems fated to increase a lot more. Which in relative terms will constitute oil cost to be viable.
In the main chart, it appears that oil is moving into what appears to be a Wyckoff Distribution.
And oil is not the only one who will have trouble with the high-yield environment.
Until now, the usual equity-bond investment scheme has performed tremendously.
This trend is now changing. With a significant trend violation that occurred last year, it seems that we are entering a new period of investment strategies.
From bonds as a hedge against equity weakness, investors should seek alternatives.
The old way of doing things is broken. Commodities will be playing a significant role in the future of investments.
It is in our power to find the new way of doing things.
Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground.
-Father Grigori
P.S. A link to the indicator I am using.
USOIL is getting cheapWe recently noted that an interesting opportunity to go long oil could be on the horizon soon. Accordingly, we waited patiently for the price to fall below $70 per barrel. Now, with the price trading near $68.80, we are starting to consider the price attractive to go long. However, we think it is proper not to use all the firepower yet as technicals still point to more downside. Therefore, our plan is to start accumulating in very small batches and unload the stash with the price retracing back above $70. With that said, we would like to set a price target for USOIL at $71.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Under Bearish Pressure!🛢
WTI Crude Oil was consolidating for quite a long period of time within a horizontal trading range.
Its support was broken today.
It may push the price much lower.
Taking into consideration that the market is trading in a long - term bearish trend,
I will expect a bearish continuation to 64.0 level.
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