Daily Watchlist (12/17/24) + Market NotesSPY - Failing attempts all over to reclaim highs and lows, so we are making new intraday Broadening Formations. The current one as seen in the chart, is looking to potentially head back through previous range if unable to continue to the upside pivots around 608.40 and 609. Given we have FOMC news Wednesday, I am not expecting too much to happen tomorrow as we are stuck in previous range and keep seeing failed attempts to reclaim pivots. Of course anything can happen, but I will strictly be watching individual names only for trades.
QQQ - New ATH again today. Nothing special to note besides the fact that tech is obviously leading things this week
DIA - Polar opposite of QQQ. Industrials getting slammed again this week as DIA puts in its 8th consecutive Daily lower low
IWM - Green today but similar to DIA
Overall market notes: Its clear that the market continues to see cyclical names move higher while more defensive and noncyclical names continue lower. In light of FOMC this week, it doesn't seem like any sectors are making too big of shifts besides financials finally seeing some buying again. Mainly just concerned with what SPY does this Wednesday as it seems like usual we are waiting for the news before making the next significant move.
WATCHLIST:
Bullish :
NASDAQ:PLTR - Potential 3-2U daily with a potential 3-1-2U 4HR to trigger the day. FTFC green, but week is inside with lots of room to go for either side to go 2
Bearish :
NYSE:UBER - Potential 2-1-2D Daily. Shooter inside day to put week 2D and confirm Q attempting to go 3 after hitting hammer revstrat upside magnitude earlier this Q
NYSE:PFE - Potential 3-2D daily to put week 3-2D. Weekly reversal occurred at Q exhaustion, but failed 2 upside attempts now. "Fail one side, target the other"
NYSE:PINS - Potential 3-2D Daily to confirm Weekly 3-2-2D in force with magnitude left
Notable winners from weekly watchlist (posted Sunday 12/15):
ETSY, RBLX, RKLB, OXY, WMT
Tesla Motors (TSLA)
Tesla’s Next Move: Breakout or Pullback?Tesla’s sitting at a make-or-break level around $441. If we break through, we could be heading straight for $458. But if $441 doesn’t budge, we’re likely dipping back to the $415–$420 range for a breather.
Keep it simple: Watch $441. If it holds, look for the breakout. If not, stay ready for a pullback. Trading’s all about playing the levels—no need to overthink it!
KRIS/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Watchlist (12/16-12/20) Using TheStratSPY Analysis: Month is 2U but back under previous M high and close to flipping red. Last week was 2D but failed to get to magnitude and closed red, but above the reversal trigger at previous week lows. Daily was 2D on Friday, so the daily actionable signal would be a 2D-2U reversal if buyers were strong enough to make a higher high on the daily come Monday. To get us lower, we have a 3-1 4HR setup as well as a shooter 2U Hourly candle. Trigger and target levels can be seen on the chart. Overall, we have some confliction as the D and W are red while the M is still green. This shows an attempt to flip the month red and we must view it this way until we see a daily higher high. If that were to happen, then we look to see the week flip red and then possibly make a higher high on the week for the weekly reversal back to the upside, which would re confirm the month being 2U and green. Traditional TA traders will see a wedge or bull flag on the daily/4HR, but as Strat traders, we know this is just a lack of strength from either side as we continue seeing failed attempts to make HHs and LLs. Although unconventional, if you check the 3 Day TF through the 8 Day TF, you will see they are all currently inside bars in formation still. We also know that inside bars restart the process of making broadening formations, so now its just a waiting game. We see the current attempt is to make lower lows on the daily since we failed to take highs out after the daily reversal, so we now either take out lows, or fail and move back through previous range to the upside. With conflicting situations like this, you just have to rely on timeframe continuity. Until the M, W, D, and 60 are all the same color, simply fall back on top down analysis and timeframe continuity to see what's really going on regardless of how the charts may look
Weekly Watchlist:
Bullish:
ETSY - 2-1 Week, Failed 2D Day. FTFC Green, so looking for BF expansion on the weekly
CRWD - 2-1 Hammer Week. 4HR inside bar. Monthly 3-2-2 still slowly compounding 2Us to Mag
RBLX - MoMO Hammer 2U week. 2-1 Daily to trigger week
RKLB - 3-2D Hammer Week. Relatively large ATR and high rVol
Bearish:
MCD - 3-1 Week, Shooter 2U Day
PINS - 3-2U failed Week, No Daily AS. Weekly Motherbar issues so caution here
PDD 1-2U failed week (Revstrat). No Daily AS. Going for large weekly BF magnitude
ROKU - Failed 2U Week. At Monthly exhaustion risk. Daily PMG and gap fill potential
OXY - 2-1 Shooter Week. Not much range, but clean weekly AS and all big oil names deep red
DDOG - 2-1 Week (Huge red week), Daily 1-3. 2 Daily gap fills, and some weekly lows to target
LVS - 2-3 Week. At Q exhaustion. Will be FTFC Red before W triggers the 3-2D
Neutral:
WMT - 2-1 Week, Daily 3-2D failed. Daily AS could send it back into ATH. Alternatively there is an 11 pivot PMG to the downside + a small gap to fill
TESLA: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the TESLA pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Tesla Hits New Highs! Will Santa Bring a $500 Gift for Xmas?Tesla’s stock is delivering holiday cheer, hitting an all-time high of $436 just in time for the season. Analysts are buzzing about where Santa might steer this EV sleigh next. Using the Fibonacci retracement tool, the 161.8% extension suggests a gift-wrapped target of $571.93 , while the trendline forecasts a cozy $490-$530 range by New Year’s Eve.
But wait, there’s more in the stocking! Tesla’s breakout was accompanied by high trading volume, like elves working overtime in the workshop. Meanwhile, the RSI is sitting at a frosty 78, suggesting Tesla might need a pullback before flying higher. Analysts are chiming in, with some predicting $472 and others dreaming of even higher targets for 2025.
If things go the other direction, keep an eye out for the $390-$400 range for key support. A break below this could mean Christmas is canceled.
Will Tesla soar like Rudolph or will Jack Frost be nipping at investor's hopes? Only time will tell, but one thing’s for sure: Tesla is the star atop this year’s stock market tree. Keep your eyes on the chart for more festive moves!
Let's sleigh the stonk market together! For more analysis and chart trends subscribe and launch that 🚀 to new all time highs!
TSLA to $420?TSLA has been on a tear over the past month or so. Using the Magic Linear Regression Channel indicator we look at the chart of TSLA and see that it has blown through a lot of the parallel channels, making it seem difficult to pinpoint. But, by adding an outer Fibonacci band to the Magic Linear Regression Channel, and selecting starting pivot highs followed by the biggest drops, we can form a channel that has an upper Fibonacci channel that coincides with the all-time high. However, since TSLA didn't get to Elon's favorite number, 420, last time around, I think it will make it there this time before correcting or consolidating. And, it could make it there before the end of the year.
Tesla (TSLA) Shares Surge to a New All-Time HighTesla (TSLA) Shares Surge to a New All-Time High
The chart for Tesla (TSLA) shares reveals:
→ At the beginning of December, the price was around $350;
→ Yesterday, the trading session closed above $420, surpassing the previous all-time high near $410 set in 2021.
The primary driver of this bullish sentiment appears to be the partnership between Elon Musk and Donald Trump. Since the 5 November election, Tesla shares have broken through a key resistance level near $265, rising approximately 69% and adding around $555 billion to the company’s market value.
Additional positive factors include:
→ Investor expectations that Tesla’s planned affordable new model could become a bestseller in 2025;
→ The company’s plans to launch self-driving taxis and other innovations.
Can the Bullish Momentum Persist?
According to Barron’s, Tesla shares might be overvalued from a fundamental perspective. Currently, TSLA trades at roughly 125 times the expected earnings for 2025, a ratio reminiscent of the previous peak when the stock dropped by about 50% in 2022.
Technical Analysis of Tesla (TSLA) Shares
→ The November consolidation around $350 (marked by a thick blue line) may indicate the median of the long-term upward channel (shaded blue).
→ Throughout 2024, the lower boundary of this blue channel has provided strong support. In the most optimistic scenario, TSLA shares could rise toward the channel’s upper boundary near the psychological $500 level.
→ The RSI indicator is above 80, suggesting the price is vulnerable to a pullback, as observed earlier this year. In this scenario, a test of the $400 psychological level cannot be ruled out.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Tesla $TSLA Daily Chart W.D. Gann Resistance Price Level📐 **Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) Daily Chart – W.D. Gann Resistance Alert!** 📐
Tesla is approaching a critical W.D. Gann resistance level on the daily chart. This key price point could act as a pivot for potential reversal or a breakout trigger. Bulls watching for confirmation, while bears eye a possible rejection. Stay sharp! ⚡️
#SPX500 AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ #BITCOIN #CRYPTO
TSLA: Will History Repeat?Last year we had a similar bullish flag pattern with one fakeout, then price descending towards lower trend line. Last year after this the price began to rally 90% to the upside. I have no idea what will happen but found this interesting and thought I'd share.
Trend lines are drawn on the daily chart so they might look a bit funny here.
TESLA option play planFirst of all thanks to papa E and orange toasty for becoming besties, we getting the mad pump.
Second of all it was a reasonably easy bet to take. Why take 2x on vanilla trump vs harris when you can slap on some out of the money option calls? its a full win/lose bet but the options get you 5-10x average for this one.
Risk - Reward ratio is everything. If your taking the risk make sure the reward pays for it.
Putting this one down so I can reference going forward. Yeh we might go flat for few months.. or dump because of tarrifs and xyz blah blah,, but This is just the strong bull option which is the scenario im aiming to hopefully play.
Euphoria/blow off phases tend to have two main features
1. its velocity/momentum is faster than you think (its over before you know it; just when your getting really excited)
2. it tends to go higher than you thought
PE ratios, valuations etc are hinting at top energy here.
lets ride it and hopefully jump ship in time.
Sliding In December: Is Tesla (TSLA) Losing Its Spark?
As always, we like to keep it clean and simple, with technicals and analysis that's easy to see and understand. Let's get into it:
Losing all its spark? Nah. But, we see a correction for TSLA happening this December, starting within the next 1-2 days. Why?
- It’s currently bumping into price levels we last saw in 2022, which served as a strong ceiling back then and might trigger profit-taking now.
- It's well into a Wave 5 Elliott Wave, signaling exhaustion in 4h/8h/1D timeframes.
- Overbought.
Additionally, many are noting that Tesla’s valuation feels stretched compared to its earnings and growth prospects. Analysts point out that its current price may rely on overly optimistic assumptions about future market share, tech breakthroughs, and profitability. Some also highlight that competitors are catching up, which could eat into Tesla’s premium valuation. Meanwhile, skeptics argue that the stock’s recent run has simply gotten ahead of fundamentals, and a correction might be due as more realistic expectations set in.
We see a 10% slide to the $360 range.
Let's see what December brings.
Be Alert.
Trade Green.
TSLA 1200 by end of 2024Analysis is based purely on price action.
1. There is an EMA crossover on the monthly timeframe, following “EMA Squeeze” and consolidation which lasted approximately 3 years.
2. Two bounces off Anchored VWAP.
*** An EMA crossover on the monthly timeframe that goes, pays well.
Tesla’s Golden Zone Bounce: Are We Heading to $460?Tesla has shown remarkable price action after sweeping the sell-side liquidity on the monthly chart at $152.49. Price tapped into the Golden Zone (OTE) and closed strongly above the sell-side level. This confluence, combined with robust candle closures, signals potential upside momentum.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Target:
Price is aiming for the $460 range, marking a full swing move.
Retracement Zone:
If a retracement occurs, look for a pullback into the High-Probability Fair Value Gap (FVG) near $300.61. This zone could act as a strong support for another leg upward.
Conclusion:
Short-term: Price targets $460.
Medium-term: Watch for retracement into $300.61 before further upside potential.
DYOR (Do Your Own Research)!
Simple Bull vs Bear Targets and ConditionsSome simple bullish targets (yellow) for Tesla, conditioned upon remaining above the white neckline and getting and holding above the red one.
Simple bearish targets (orange) are conditioned upon losing the white neckline, and then dropping and losing the green one.
Nearer term bear targets could also simply be the white line, the green line, or the area of the weekly high and low of the last weekly low above the green line
TESLA: Can it reach $500?Tesla is overbought both on its 1D (RSI = 76.375, MACD = 28.880, ADX = 43.174) and 1W (RSI = 76.043) technical outlooks. This however isn't by any means a bearish sign, at least not on the long term. Tesla appears to be aiming for $500 in the immediate future and in our view even higher on the long term. The reason is the convincing 1W Golden Cross that is about to be formed and the last time we had such a clear Cross was on January 21st 2020.
The stock was ona bullish breakout after a Channel Down correction. The breakout initiated a rally that was supported by the 1W MA50 all the way until the November 2021 Top on the 4.5 Fibonacci extension! Tesla's 2025 target shouldn't be $500 but instead the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $640. As long as the 1W MA50 supports, we will stay long term bullish towards that target (TP = 640.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Tesla: Are We Dropping to $350 or Climbing to $480?Good morning, trading family.
Tesla is sitting at a key level, and it looks like we’re about to see a big move. Here’s what I’m seeing:
Option 1:
We could see a drop of $50-$60, taking Tesla down to $350-$360 before it finds support and bounces back.
Option 2:
If Tesla holds here and starts pushing higher, it could climb to $440. After that, we might see either:
A pullback of $50-$60, OR
A continued run all the way to $480.
This is one of those times where the chart is doing the talking. Trade what you see, not what you hope for.
If this breakdown makes sense, hit like, follow, and share your thoughts below. Where do you think Tesla is headed next? Let’s figure it out together.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
GBP/JPYBack Again Tell a Friend
Risk Management is EVERYTHING!
DON'T BE STUPID!
Looking for a 15m Bearish ChofCh
Once this change of Character completes
I will be looking for the retracement of the
move.
Once retracement is complete I shall
EXECUTE A SELL
Potential Gains 300 Pips
Potential Loss 26 Pips
London. Potentially New York