💡 GBPUSD: Failed to break the block, turned back down💡 Stronger-than-expected UK inflation data raises the risk that the Bank of England may need to raise interest rates again or that interest rates may remain high for longer, followed by a rise in UK government bond yields . The CPI data will only put more pressure on the BOE's Monetary Policy Committee in deciding whether to continue to put pressure on interest rates to bring inflation down to an acceptable level.
💡 We can see that GBP/USD attempted a breakout but failed due to strong resistance from the 48-hour moving average on the H4 chart. On the other hand, the MACD double line and histogram bar are moving below the zero axis, which is a sign of a continued downtrend.
Trendtrading
💡EURUSD: Wait for the opportunity at 1.0520💡The amplitude of EURUSD on the H4 frame is getting narrower, we will wait to see if it will break out of the margin, or if it will continue to narrow the amplitude.
✔️If it still runs in a narrow range, we can wait to Buy at 1.0535.
✔️If it breaks out of the border, we will sell at 1.0515
💡 XAUUSD: Increases sharply when economic information is mixed🔷 From last night into early morning this morning, the U.S. economy reported positive new jobless claims, but manufacturing indexes and business conditions worsened.
Specifically, the number of new U.S. unemployment insurance claims last week was 199,000, lower than the previous week's 211,000 and also lower than expected by 212,000. The average number of applications for unemployment benefits over the past four weeks also fell from 206,750 to the current 205,750.
🔷 Along with the Manufacturing Business Index, the Philadelphia Fed also released data assessing the economic outlook for October, and the result was 9.2 points, down from 11.1 points in September. The data was lower than the previous month due to lower trading volumes in the US. Both the manufacturing index numbers and the poor economic outlook led to a sharp reversal in the US dollar, contributing to the rise in gold prices. Investors believe that in addition to risks arising from escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, they are also concerned about worsening economic conditions in the United States, leading to a global economic downturn. So they increased their gold purchases to protect their cash flow.
Bullish Trend Perspective
Weekly analysis indicates a sustained bullish trend for EURUSD.
Trading Strategy:
Monitoring the 1-hourly chart for a potential Bullish Bat Pattern with an entry point at 1.0533.
Cautionary Note:
It's crucial to observe that point C touches point A in the formation of the Bat Pattern. This warrants caution and prevents me from placing a pending order to engage the trade.
Remember to conduct your own due diligence and manage risks appropriately. Happy Trading!
#Nikkei buying opportunitHello, traders and friends. I hope you all doing well.
Let's delve into NIKKEI chart and explore why we believe there may be a potential Buying opportunity.
The three-wave bearish corrective nature of this downward leg, following a bullish impulsive wave we observed on the chart, suggests the possibility of another bullish move, potentially testing at least the upper boundary of our longer-term bearish trendline channel.
Supportive confluences that we have observed include the inner trendline, which has acted as both resistance and support multiple times, indicating traders' awareness of its significance. Additionally, the price has reached a static support line and a demand area from above, both of which serve as important support levels. Furthermore, the price retraced around 50% of the Fibonacci level of the last bullish move.
Additionally, we've observed the formation of a 4-hour bullish engulfing candle, which can be seen as a trigger for this potential buying setup.
If you have found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to leave a like and a comment or share your idea with me.
#EURAUD H&S pattern confirmationHello, traders. I hope you all had a great week.
Let's take a closer look at the EURAUD chart, which currently appears to be forming a reverse Head and Shoulders pattern.
One positive aspect of this chart pattern is that the price has formed it within a strong support zone, including the Daily Bullish trendline and the previous Daily market top, which is now acting as support for the price. You can observe both of these elements when you review the Daily time frame.
The presence of a bullish chart pattern around a significant low or support area certainly enhances the likelihood of the formation moving in the expected direction.
Now, to execute this trade, I would recommend patiently waiting for a retest of the broken neckline and then targeting the minimum one-to-one price target of the head and shoulders target. However, it might be a good strategy to consider taking partial profits along the way up.
#GBPJPY Selling opportunityHello, traders and friends. I hope you are all doing well.
Let's delve into GBPJPY and explore why we believe there may be a potential selling opportunity.
As you can observe, the price has been in a bearish channel for the past few weeks, consistently reacting near the upper boundary.
This pattern suggests the possibility of a repetition, offering another favorable selling opportunity.
Apart from the bearish channel's upper boundary, we have additional factors supporting a bearish scenario. These include a supply area and a liquidity pool located just above the horizontal arrow line. Price could potentially move into this area, clear out liquidity, and then trend lower.
For us to consider taking this position, we would need to see a fake breakout above the arrow line, followed by a failure of the price to close above it.
If you have found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to leave a like and a comment.
💡AUDUSD: Waiting for the next trend🟡AUDUSD had another day of decline yesterday, but bar D1 yesterday closed 1/2 and had a long lower shadow, showing that there was buying pressure around the old bottom. Although the D1 AUDUSD chart structure is flat, it shows downward pressure because the bottoms are flat but the tops are getting lower.
🟡The H1 AUDUSD chart structure at this time is cumulative sideways. AUDUSD H1 today welcomes selling from the above resistance, and can change to buying if this resistance is broken, forming a short-term bullish structure.
EURJPY The yen may continue to declineInternational Monetary Fund (IMF) officials said that the yen's depreciation could further worsen as a result of the negative interest rate policy.
“As for the yen, we believe exchange rates are influenced by fundamental factors. As long as interest rate differentials persist, the yen will be under downward pressure,” said Sanjaya Panth, IMF deputy director for Asia and the Pacific. He spoke on the 14th of the month.
Japanese officials are under fresh pressure to prevent further depreciation of the yen. Investors now expect US interest rates to remain high for an extended period of time, while Japan will continue its negative interest rate policy. However, the IMF believes that intervention only makes sense when there are severe market abnormalities, an increased risk of financial instability, or sudden changes in inflation expectations. Asked whether the recent depreciation of the yen had prompted authorities to intervene, he said: "I don't think there are any of these three cases."
💡 GOLDOZ: Gold reversed sharply yesterday💡 Following recent dovish comments from some US politicians, investors are now awaiting Thursday's speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell for further guidance on interest rate trends. According to the CME Fed Watch tool, the market has priced in a 90% chance that the Fed will leave interest rates unchanged at next month's policy meeting. That number yesterday morning was 67%.
💡 Carlo Alberto de Casa, a market analyst at Kinesis Money, said current developments in the conflict between Israel and Hamas have made it less likely that the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in the near future. Stated. In this context, gold will benefit.
XAUUSD is Preparing to GO DOWN !In this trading idea, we'll explore a potentially profitable strategy for Selling gold by utilizing a combination of technical analysis tools. We'll focus on key factors such as critical support levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, order blocks, and trend reversals.
Support Levels: We'll closely monitor important support levels on the gold chart. These levels often act as significant barriers for price movement. A break below these levels can indicate a potential trend reversal or a strong bearish sentiment.
Fibonacci Levels: Fibonacci retracement levels are essential for identifying potential reversal zones. We'll use Fibonacci analysis to pinpoint key levels where price may encounter resistance or support, offering valuable entry and exit points.
Order Blocks: Understanding order blocks is crucial for spotting areas where significant buying or selling activity has occurred. We'll identify these zones to anticipate potential reversals or trend continuations.
Trend Reversal: Recognizing signs of a trend reversal is vital for shorting gold effectively. We'll analyze various technical indicators and chart patterns to identify potential shifts in the trend direction.
By combining these elements in our analysis, we aim to provide you with a comprehensive trading strategy for selling gold that maximizes profit potential while minimizing risk. Keep a close eye on these factors and stay prepared for potential market moves. Remember to perform your due diligence and risk management before executing any trades
💡GBPUSD: Analysis today 💡 GBPUSD accumulated sideways in H1, with no specific trend yet. Because the main trend in both D1 and H1 is slightly higher in the downward direction, the short-term solution of waiting to sell GBPUSD is the main trend. Only buy if the price breaks out to form an uptrend, and we will buy at the retest
#EURGBP buying opportunityHello, traders. Let's examine the EURGBP chart, where the price is currently completing a pullback to the broken short-term bearish trendline after a change in market structure towards the upside. This provides us with an opportunity to position ourselves in alignment with the higher time frame.
When you review the Daily timeframe, you'll notice a bullish impulsive move that has occurred. Since reaching the recent high, we've been experiencing a bearish corrective move until yesterday. The price reached a critical support area and formed a bullish engulfing candle, which closed above the high of the previous doji candle. This suggests that the bearish momentum may be coming to an end.
Following the formation of the daily bullish engulfing candle, on the 4-hour timeframe, we observed a downward move. The price retraced to approximately 50% of the previous day's candle and approached the 200 EMA. These factors provide significant confluence for considering a buy position from this area.
Furthermore, the price is currently testing the daily pivot area. Since the price opened above the pivot and is now testing it from above, this indicates that the price may continue its bullish momentum.
🌟 XAUUSD: Gold suddenly increased sharply. Next prediction🌟 The latest strong price push in the large H1 bar recently broke the recent peak, setting a new high price peak, continuing the upward price trend on H1 for gold. But at the same time, that strong H1 bar also caused gold to push above the upper border, a sign of overbought conditions. Because overbought is appearing in both time frames, H1 gold is best to wait for the price to drop before buying. In case the price is pushed to the bottom of the price range, the H1 downtrend will form because the price breaks the nearest bottom to create a lower price bottom. At that time, you can wait to sell.
XAU daily (1D) chart overviewXAU daily view. 1950 key important level. We are out of descending channel, but still new BOS is not formed. Price is still doing LH and LL. If 1950 is broken and price confirms above, we will have new HH. If price cannot brake 1950 - will be looking for shorts. Liquidity was swept and that’s a good sign for shorts. If it brakes and retest 1950 forming resistance to support - will be looking for longs. Fundamentals like war, feds decision not to hike rates may lead to a vey bullish moves.
Tracking DXY for NQ & ES FuturesHere is an example of how it is important to check the daily Bias on DXY if you are trading NQ or ES futures.
DXY is predominantly inverse the futures.
Knowing the daily bias and tracking DXY can give additional confluence to your bias/ direction for NQ & ES.
You can easily determine Bias for DXY and futures with the previous tutorial/ Tip I posted.
I hope you found this helpful.
#Oil buying opportunityHello dear traders and friends, I hope you are all having a great week. Let's take a look at Crude Oil prices, where it appears that the price has formed a support level around $80 to $82 after a 14% bearish move since the top formed in late September.
In the 4-hour timeframe, we can observe that the price has already shifted its bearish market structure to the upside by forming a new high. What's particularly noteworthy is that this high was formed from a higher low, indicating that sellers were unable to push prices any lower despite the prevailing bearish trend.
In the daily timeframe, things become even more interesting as the price has formed a significant bullish engulfing candle that has covered the last four daily candles. This suggests a high potential for upward movement. Additionally, in the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is near a static support area, as indicated on the chart, and coincides with the daily central pivot area. This further supports the possibility of this area acting as a price low.
Apart from the technical aspects, we are also aware of the ongoing tensions in the Middle East between Israel and Hamas. The potential escalation of conflict and involvement of other countries can have a positive impact on oil prices.
Please also take a look at my other posted ideas which I'm sure you are going to like it and share your thoughts and feedback with me. Thank you.
🌟 EURUSD: Wait to sell at the right time🌟 EURUSD increased slightly in the last session and once again broke the falling price channel, reinforcing the possibility of creating a head and shoulders reversal signal. With these actions, the possibility of price increase is becoming more and more clear. If you still have a selling position following the downtrend, you need to set a stop loss above 1.06, do not enter new sell orders at this time. In case the reversal pattern is confirmed, the reversal traders may consider returning to the market.
XAUUSD: The trend is unclearWhile the Israel-Hamas conflict shows no signs of easing, Alexander Zumpfe, precious metals trader at Heraeus, said investors are increasingly looking for stable investment opportunities during times like these. so and gold once again met these expectations.
In addition to developments in the Middle East, investors are also keeping an eye on the stance of US monetary policy with the speech of US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell this weekend. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets are forecasting a 90% chance the Fed will leave interest rates unchanged at its policy meeting next month.
💡XAUUSD: Gold's movements are complicated📚 Safe-haven demand will push gold higher in the short term. Tight enough monetary policy and rising energy prices could easily kill the global economic outlook, the need for safe-haven assets becomes clearer. High inflation and a fairly solid economy could suggest the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates, but eventually the economy looks set to slow, if interest rates peak then a gold rally will last.
📚 We can see gold has spiked on Palestinian-Israeli conflict risk concerns and away from the 48-hour moving average on the H4 chart. While gold remains supported by growing safe-haven demand, the price will face challenging resistance at $1,950.