Tesla Faces Market Turbulence in 2024 Despite Record RevenueTesla's financial performance in 2023, with a revenue of $97 billion, has been a key focus for investors. However, 2024 has brought challenges, notably impacting its market position. In January 2024, Tesla's shares saw a significant 24% drop, primarily due to expected weaker sales growth, wiping out about $80 billion in market value.
The release of Tesla's Q4 earnings on January 24 further intensified these challenges. Earnings per share were reported at $0.71, below the expected $0.74, leading to an 8% drop in stock price and a fall below the $200 mark, a level last seen in May 2023.
Since the Q4 report, Tesla's stock has struggled to surpass the $200 threshold, which now acts as a psychological barrier. The persistence of this resistance level suggests a cautious outlook for Tesla's stock, with potential for further declines if it fails to break through this barrier.
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Trendtrading
The Bullish Case for Palantir Technologies ($PLTR)NYSE:PLTR is in a strong bullish momentum and breaking resistance levels. This is the year it will test and breaks its previous all time highs.
Strong Revenue Growth: Palantir Technologies has shown impressive revenue growth in recent years. In 2023, the company's revenue increased by 17% year-over-year to $558 million in Q3. This growth can be attributed to the company's expanding customer base, which now includes major clients like the National Health Service in England.
AI Integration: Palantir has been integrating artificial intelligence (AI) into its analytics platform, which has been a game-changer for the company. This has allowed Palantir to offer more value to its clients and has contributed to its revenue growth.
Government Contracts: Palantir has a long history of securing lucrative government contracts, and this trend is expected to continue. In 2023, the company was awarded a $414 million data-communication platform contract with England's National Health Service. This demonstrates the company's ability to secure large deals and maintain strong relationships with government clients.
The Bullish Case for Snap Inc. (SNAP)NYSE:SNAP has earnings today and a GAP to fill from May 2023.
Additionally, SNAPs price action has built a minor consolidation channel the past 2 months.
Will we see some strong movement to the upside???
The Longterm Bullish Case for Snap Inc. ( NYSE:SNAP )
Despite facing strong competition from other social media giants, Snapchat has managed to maintain a loyal user base and continues to innovate its platform to attract new users. Here are some key points that support a bullish thesis for SNAP:
Snapchat has a large and growing user base, with over 347 million daily active users as of Q3 2023. The platform's unique features, such as disappearing messages and AR filters, have helped it maintain a strong presence among younger demographics.
Improved monetization: In recent years, Snap has made significant strides in improving its advertising offerings and revenue generation. The company's focus on augmented reality (AR) and camera-based advertising has helped it stand out in the crowded social media advertising space.
Expanding revenue streams: Snap has been diversifying its revenue streams through the introduction of new features and services, such as Snap Originals, Snap Games, and the Spectacles AR glasses. These initiatives have the potential to drive significant growth in the future.
Strong financials: Snap's financial performance has been improving, with the company reporting positive net income for the first time in Q3 2023. The company's revenue has also been growing steadily, driven by its expanding user base and improved monetization efforts.
Attractive valuation: Despite its strong growth potential, Snap's stock is currently trading at a relatively low valuation compared to its peers. This presents an attractive opportunity for investors looking to capitalize on the company's growth prospects.
The importance of trading with the trend + Suppy/Demand zonesA trend can be defined with price action or indicators. Understanding that all indicators lag and price behaviour is key I prefer price action to tell me if we are up trending, down trending or trading in a range. Before understanding the basics of market structure it is important to know that its more likely for a trend to keep going on than for the trend to reverse. That is why professional traders look for areas to jump on the trend not areas to go against it. Also, keep in mind what time frame are you using to define the trend, for example, if your trades don't last more than an hour would you jump on the weekly chart trend ? what happens in 1 hour won't affect the weekly chart. So if you are trading the 5 or 15 min chart you can trade with the trend of the 1 or 2 hour chart.
How to define the trend ?
• An up trend is when price is making higher highs and higher lows
• A down trend is when price is making lower highs and lower lows.
• If there is no way to define the trend then you can say it is in a trading range with no clear
direction.
When has the trend changed ?
To explain a trend change we will consider the chart below. First we can notice a clear up trend making higher highs and higher lows (1,2,3) then we create a new lower low (4) where we break below previous higher low (2) then price fails to create a new higher high and instead creates a lower high (5), finally when price breaches the previous lower low at (6) we can consider a change of structure. opposite situation happens in a down trend market.
ABCD CORRECTION PATTERN
There is a very common pattern that pretends to be a change of structure but really it is just a correction pattern to continue the uptrend. Look at the example below. An up trend creates a higher high (A) and a higher low (B). Then creates a lower high (C) and finally a lower low (D) before continuing its up trend.
What did not happen that the trend didn't change ?
If the high after (C) had been also a lower high and then it breaks below (D) and (D) acts further as resistance then the trend had changed.
What is more important here is to understand that trading a continuation of the trend has a higher probability of working, on the example shown the correction ended right at a 4hr demand zone that was valid because the trend was still skewed to the upside.
USDJPY:READY FOR THE BULL TO CONTINUE?!UJ has some amazing bullish momentum behind it- and I am looking to continue to ride this trend and long it!
I am waiting for:
1) At least a 50% retracement and price coming into the daily fair value gap
2) A Liquidity sweep of previous days low
3) Market structure shift on the hourly and attack
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
Uptrend Channel pattern breakout in HCLTECHHCL TECHNOLOGIES LTD
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1Hour Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Uptrend Channel Pattern.
✅Strong Bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 1660+.
✅Can Go Long in this stock by placing a stop loss below 1595-.
Long Trade Opportunity on Bullish Gartley PatternFor those who are bullish on GBP and bearish on AUD, the suggested pair for trading and going long is GBPAUD.
The trader is looking to long GBPAUD on a Bullish Gartley Pattern that is expected to complete at 1.9261.
Emphasizing the importance of having a personal trade plan and trading accordingly.
What's your trade plan for GBPAUD?
Airbnb: Unlocking Unique Experiences and Soaring Stock PotentialNASDAQ:ABNB the biggest hotel company that owns no hotels (funny how things work eyyy) has underperformed since its IPO in 2021.
We are finally starting to see its stock price catch up with its value. As more people travel and seek unique local experiences, the demand for Airbnb's platform is bound to grow in leaps.
Strong Financials: The company is highly profitable which is rare among tech companies, posting +4 Billion in Q3 2023.
Innovation: The company recently launched a new service called "Airbnb Experiences," which allows travelers to book unique experiences in the destinations they visit. This new service has the potential to drive further growth for the company.
Technical Analysis: The stock price is facing a significant resistance at $151, and a breakthrough could lead to substantial upward movement. I'll be monitoring this closely for an attractive entry point.
Trends heading into the FOMC Rate DecisionOverheated market trends showing a bull market is basically my findings. I have not held into positions, long or short, going into this last surge. I had a relatively promising month in January and decided I would just end it on that note.
Trends into today are;
Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract)
30m - 4925 Downtrend (1/31/2024) Lower Low
1Hr - 4933 Downtrend (1/31/2024) Higher Low
2Hr - 4925 Downtrend (1/31/2024) Higher Low
3Hr - 4954 Uptrend (1/29/2024) Higher High
4Hr - 4829 Uptrend (1/19/2024) Higher High
6Hr - 4797 Uptrend (1/8/2024) Higher High
12Hr - 4848 Uptrend (1/19/2024) Higher High
Daily - 4378 Uptrend (11/3/2023) Higher High
Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High
As explained, that 30m is showing the first sign of weakness for this surge to come back at all.
Additionally, I read a report with Dow Jones Newswires that most of the insider trading lately has been little to no buying and lots of selling. Basically that means that members with stocks in their own companies are taking profits and not investing further into their company. I wouldn't take this as a sign that they think their company is in trouble, but more as a sign that they feel their stocks are overvalued and it is profitable to sell now and repurchase later.
Economic Data today is going to the FED Meeting Minutes and the subsequent statement by Jerome Powell. I don't foresee, nor does the market, of any interest rate movement today.
Geopolitical tensions continue to worsen in the Middle East. The latest is a Drone strike in Jordan that killed 3 US Servicemembers. I've been very surprised that the market has not priced in any sort of issues coming from the Israel/Hamas conflict or any of the tensions and skirmish fighting in the surrounding area.
Overall, I see a huge threat to potential inflationary pressure disrupting this upward movement in the long term. Not some sort of pressure that would take us to a surge in inflation back to 9% like we were, but certainly not allowing us to reach a 2% target rate and having some minor upward movement instead of continuing the downtrend we have seen over the last year.
Overall, my sentiment is fairly neutral. While I had held a bullish sentiment with spots of bearish profit taking before, I see overall a neutral movement from here, as my estimate for our top over this year was to be 5000 and we've almost reached that already.
Ripple(XRP): Inside Bullish Trend!Ripple is still trading and bouncing inside the bullish trend here. We recently had a nice liquidity movement to lower zones, which is currently showing some kind of recovery.
We, as always, are looking for potential good zones to enter with positions both long and short!! Waiting for confirmation before entering
Where is BTC going?As we can see BTC has moved down to our previous target of 40500 and tapped the fill of the imbalance and the average volume line (blue line between the 2 green)
now the price has shifted structure and ideally i would like us to tap the zone above and continue the push down, however if the price does decide to continue the bullish momentum, then 51100 would be an upside target
GJ Trend Continuation BreakdownMonthly, Weekly, Daily, 4H = BULLISH
- Monthly Engulfing
- Daily Engulfing
- 1H & 4H Flag Pattern Breakout
- Break and Retest of Pattern Currently
~Still a few days left of January to complete the Monthly Engulfing.
~GBP Major News on Feb 1st (Thursday)- Monetary Policy News
~All Higher and Mid time frames line up with bullish trend along with bullish continuation pattern breakout.
Expecting continuation in Feb to Monthly Resistance Zone of 193.500 to 195.000.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 15After breaking the bottom of 1,085, the selling pressure was not maintained, the buying force returned strongly and pushed the price beyond the downtrend line. Although there is still no clear bullish reversal signal, it can be seen that the buying side is strengthening through the frequency and size of bullish candlesticks. You should temporarily stop trading at this time, need to wait for clearer signals.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 26After breaking the short-term downtrend line, the buyers were unable to maintain the pressure and the sellers returned later, currently the price is being forced down to the resistance area of 1,082, a continuous change in buying and selling pressure. This shows that the two sides are struggling fiercely in this area without creating any really clear signals. You temporarily stop trading, pay attention to the boundaries of the range, the direction of the breakout can reveal the next direction of the price.
💡 XAUUSD: Retest the lower resistance zoneA sharp interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve will have a negative impact on the US dollar, and even a moderate loosening policy can cause the US dollar to decline. If economic activity and inflation are lower than expected, the Federal Reserve could reduce interest rates. A strong USD is unlikely to return, and gold prices may continue to fluctuate amid clues about the FED's first interest rate cut.
We can see gold retreated after failing to recover and running near the 48-hour moving average on the H4 chart. In addition, the MACD double line and the energy column hover around the zero axis. If central banks maintain a common view that interest rate cuts will be implemented as soon as possible, this could put pressure on gold from yield perspective. Currently, the SELL strategy can be applied, requiring stop loss.
💡 XAUUSD: The decline slowed down after the GDP newsANALYSIS TODAY: The decline has slowed down and the gold price has recovered slightly in the past session. This move has not brought any significant change, so we continue to keep the old comments, expecting the price to continue to go down. According to the short-term downtrend, the targets are still 2000 and 1980 respectively.
Indicator is used:
- Chandelier Exit
- EMA
- MACD
EURJPY - READY FOR THE BULL TO CONTINUE?!EJ has some amazing bullish momentum behind it- and I am looking to continue to ride this trend and long it!
I am waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the daily fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for market structure shift on the hourly and attack!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
USDJPY: LONG LONG LONG ALL DAYUJ has some amazing bullish momentum behind it- and I am looking to continue to ride this trend and long it!
I am waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the daily fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for market structure shift on the hourly and attack!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)