Trend Lines
Buy gold, there is still a chance to rebound to 2640Bros, gold has fallen sharply due to the hawkish rate cut, and the lowest has reached around 2584, and then rebounded; just now, gold touched around 2687 during the second decline, and then rebounded to above 2690, showing signs of building a W double bottom in the structure.
Although the rebound of gold is relatively weak, the downward space is gradually converging. I was optimistic that gold would continue to fall to around 2670, but at present, since gold has signs of forming a W double bottom structure, after consuming a certain amount of short energy, once the W double bottom structure is successfully built, gold may still rebound to 2640 again.
So in trading, I think it is best not to continue to chase short gold in short-term trading. We can go long on gold with the 2590-2580 area as the support area, and the defense position is 2570. So in short-term trading, I am currently more inclined to go long on gold.
Bros, are you as optimistic about the gold rebound as I am? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
AVAX Short entryhello to everyone.
in this analysis the AVAX after changing character and becoming bearish completed its pullback phase and came and swept all the liquidity marked with the dollar sign.
this a very good confluence and after waiting for confirmation on lower time frame we finally got it and price became bearish in LTF as well.
so I set a limit order at a 30-minute order block and wait for the price to tag me in the trade if that happens the price could potentially go lower.
remember to manage your risk.
thank you and have a good night.
Gold Next Week Timeframe :
D1 trendline broke
H4 Bullish eng
H1 Bullish eng + FVG
D1 trendline has broken the down trendline, H4 has bullish engulfing at demand zone, H1 has also bullish engulfing and Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Entry :
According to H1 TF, entry point is 2643 at the area of FVG and Bullish engulfing.
Stop loss 2630 and Target is 2723.
Its possible to achieve target next week in FOMC.
AMD - Weekly ChannelsLooking at AMD for potential long position. Previous times playing downward channels AMD usually breaks out of the channel on the 4th retest of bottom part of channel.
Could Enter on 3rd test with tight stop and early scales marked in orange.
With recent hawkish Fed on 12/18, we may see more downside (a 4th test) before a breakout from the channel.
Reliance Swing TradeHello,
Trend-Based Analysis. Buy the Dips, Sell The Rallies, Also Following the Trend. Let's see where the Price Action takes us, Riding the wave. Potential trade setups based on trend momentum.
Technical analysis based on trend identification and momentum, Looking for high-probability setups within the prevailing trend.
Analyzing the current market trend and potential future price movement. Focusing on risk management and reward-to-risk ratios.
Details is Mentioned in Chart, Read carefully.. .
NASDAQFed's Hawkish Stance Sparks Fears ofSustained 4%Rate FloorMarkets Fear Fed's 4% Floor as Dollar Surges
While the Federal Reserve's "hawkish cut" on Thursday was widely anticipated, markets are now concerned that the 4% policy rate will act as a floor for the coming year, with no further easing expected until midyear or later.
Technical Analysis
The price dropped approximately 4.5% yesterday ahead of the Fed's rate decision. Today, the market corrected to the resistance level of 21,420, after which it is likely to drop back toward 21,215, particularly if it stabilizes below 21,420.
Stability below 21,420 will maintain a bearish trend, targeting 21,280 and 21,215.
A break below 21,215, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close, could push the price further down toward 20,990.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 21420
Resistance Levels: 21530, 21620, 21770
Support Levels: 21290, 21215, 20990
Trend Outlook
Bearish Momentum: Likely to persist with stability below 21,420.
Bullish Momentum: Possible if stability above 21,420 is achieved.
Bitcoin BEARISH - BTC Strong Resistance On Weekly TFBitcoin has reached strong resistance on the weekly TF. The resistance line goes the whole way back to 2017. So it's very reliable. A strong move downwards is very likely!
Based on previous times this line was tested, Bitcoin could fall 50% or more. However, the 74000-75000 level looks like a good support level. This would be about a 30% drop which is still very significant.
I expect profit taking very soon and short sellers to come in. There could possibly even be global headline news to cause this drop.
Be very careful in buying near the tops. Trade with your brain and not emotions. This is only an idea and anything can happen, but it's a weekly chart and seems very reliable.
XAUUSD downside target 2560On the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD maintains a volatile downward trend. At present, attention can be paid to the resistance near 2626. If the rebound does not break, the bearish strategy can be maintained. The downward target is around 2560. After breaking, the support below is around 2536.
XRP BULLISH - Retesting Support Before Moving Up On Weekly TFXRP recently ripped through multi-year resistance and is re-testing a major support level at the $2.00 level. This is perfectly normal and should be expected.
It looks like support is holding and XRP is going to bounce upwards. In this case, expect a move towards it's all-time high near the $3.30 area.
TP at $3.30 would be approximately a 50% move upwards from here!
$SOL Short-Term Pain Ahead CRYPTOCAP:SOL price broke to the downside of the 50D SMA
Bearish Crossing from the 20D MA ahead.
Needs to hold critical support at $190 / .786 Fib
Another bearish day could dump CRYPTOCAP:SOL to $175 / .618 , and if that doesn’t hold the move should finish at $165 / 50% level.
RSI shows more downside for confluence.
Futures Steady After Wall Street Slump on Fed Rate Cut OutlookFutures Steady After Wall Street Declines on Fed's View of Fewer Rate Cuts
U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Thursday as investors assessed the Federal Reserve's revised projections, which include fewer-than-expected interest rate cuts and elevated inflation expectations for next year. These updates caused a significant sell-off on Wall Street the day before.
On Wednesday, the Fed announced its forecast of only two 25 basis point (bps) rate cuts in 2024, halving its previous projection from September. The central bank also raised inflation expectations for the early months of the incoming administration. These adjustments triggered the steepest daily declines in the three major U.S. stock indices since August.
S&P 500 Technical Analysis
The S&P 500 experienced a sharp decline of more than 3.5% due to the Federal Reserve's decision to reduce interest rates by only 25 bps. This decision created uncertainty and weighed heavily on investor sentiment.
Today, the U.S. GDP report is a key event that could significantly impact the market. The GDP growth rate is projected to decline by 2.8% compared to the previous period.
If the GDP data comes in below 2.8%, the market may turn bullish, potentially reaching 5971.
If the GDP data exceeds 2.8%, the bearish trend could continue, with the S&P 500 targeting levels of 5885 and 5863.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 5932
Resistance Levels: 5971, 5988, 6020
Support Levels: 5885, 5863, 5837
Trend Outlook
Downward Trend: Likely to persist if the price remains below 5932.
Upward Trend: Potential recovery if the price breaks above 5932.
BTC to 85K
I said to my members on December 9th that I had a wish (an unlikely one at that) that Bitcoin may have a retracement back to a large FVG at just over $85k . Then it hit its all time highs and I thought my idea was invalidated. After this week though, it may still be in play?
I am setting up some buy orders at $85k in case a wick hits that FVG support line.
$TOTAL Market Cap FUD Sell-Off 14% sell-off on Crypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap in the past 24 hrs
If we don't reclaim support here, could have another ~8% down to go. If that happens, I expect it to happen swiftly with a V-shaped recovery
Get your bids in!
NO NEED TO PANIC
Santa Rally still on the table 🎅
Focus Shifts to Greenback and the 10-year TreasuryThe Federal Reserve triggered violent drops in stocks yesterday and two key charts could be attempting important breakouts.
We first consider the U.S. Dollar Index with weekly candles. There’s a falling trendline along the peaks of October 2023 and late April. DXY rallied through that resistance and turned it into support earlier this month. That may be consistent with an uptrend.
Second, DXY has advanced in 11 of the last 12 weeks. That could also suggest direction is accelerating higher.
Third, some traders may now eye the October 2022 high around 114 as the next key level.
Next is the 10-year Treasury Yield with 3-day candles (to clearly display almost 2 years of history):
A falling channel began in late 2023 at the same time stocks began their latest rally, but TNX didn’t reach the lower end of the channel. That was the first sign that yields might still be rising.
TNX also failed to reach its March 2023 low and refused to stay below its December 2023 low.
The index dipped last month but held its mid-July low above 4 percent.
Next comes the historically important long-term peak of 4.34 percent from the start of the Global Financial Crisis. After that, TNX closed above its November daily high.
Each of those points additionally suggest that that yields are moving higher. They also shift attention to the next big level near 5 percent from October 2022.
Given the importance of DXY and TNX for risk appetite, some traders may find potentially useful intermarket signals on their charts.
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CADCHF Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
In the CADCHF currency pair, we expect the price to grow, but why?
In this currency pair, we are witnessing the formation of 2 5-wave patterns and 2 zigzag patterns, which can be called 1 or A and 2 or B and 3 or C.
In my opinion, considering the price drop and the formation of these patterns, it is evidence of a price reversal.
Therefore, I expect the formation of wave 5.
I also consider the stop loss at 0.62100.
If our theory is correct, we expect the price to grow to the level of 100% and then 161.8% Fibonacci.
To support me, I recommend installing the Trading View application on your phone and see my analyses and support me with your comments and Boost. Be successful and profitable.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Zone to WatchThe Federal Reserve's rate decision and FOMC meeting negatively impacted gold prices yesterday, leading to a bearish trend. Observing the 4-hour time frame, we can see how the pair responded to a downward trend line during the day.
The market had been consolidating within a broad range for nearly a month. However, following the Fed's announcement yesterday, there was a significant downward movement that confirmed a break below the support level of this range.
With the broken structure and a prominent downward trend line now defining the supply zone, we can expect further bearish movement, potentially reaching down to 2580.