Sell Setup GBPUSDTime Frame:
- Daily: FVG Identification
- H4: FVG Identification
- H4 Entry Signal
1. Trend Confirmation:
Identified a Break of Structure by the break of the previous resistance at 1.2830 area, indicating a continuation in market sentiment.
The break of up trendline will add extra confirmation for bearish continuation.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the Daily & H4 chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.2768 - 1.2857
3. Position:
Entry : 1.2730
Stop Loss : 1.2861
Take Profit: 1.2150
RRR : 1:4,7x
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Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Trend Lines
Crucial Moment for ETH/BTC- ETH/BTC is approaching the end of a symmetrical triangle formation on the daily chart, which began back in July 2022.
- The CM Williams Vix and Ultimate RSI indicators suggest that the bottom was established in late March 2023.
- Currently, ETH/BTC is testing a significant resistance line that has held strong since July 2017.
Additionally, considering the Bitcoin Dominance nearing a resistance point (see attached analysis below), it wouldn't surprise me if we witness a breakout for ETH/BTC, resulting in a decreasing Bitcoin dominance and Ethereum outperforming BTC at the moment.
I will conduct further analysis below using other timeframes
Gold swing trade target 560 pips This week we are looking to sell gold when it reaches the top of our 4 hour channel.
On the 4 hour chart I have drawn some trend lines which indicate a flag pattern forming , by adding Fibonacci re trace and noting the 0.618 area it gives me an indication of where gold will push to.
However this will not be our entry, if you look left on the chart you can see previous area where high resistance has taken place, I feel this will be a more likely area to enter .
Plan
Wait for gold to get that initial push up to 6272.4 and monitor for rejection on the trend line from the channel.
Our take profit will be 2620 which is 560 pips.
I think I am being conserve here but ill be moving mt SL to this level if we get there to secure some pips.
2620 is usually a strong level of support until its not so if we break we could be looking at 2600,2595,2585 area and down
As always trade safe use proper risk management don't over leverage
Check out my other charts on here
Trade safe
USDJPY swing target 372 pipsUSDJPY sell idea.
Wait for level and reject sell entry at 150.250 , TP1 147.382 (288 pips)
TP2 146.485 which is weekly support.
My plan if we don't gap up is to buy to 150.250 and expect a rejection at that level.
Method
Higher time frame analysis , trend lines from weekly and daily levels and fibonacci levels.
As always trade safe USDJPY can be a very volitive pair especially around 1 hour after Tokyo open.
Important to wait for levels and best entry is a break and retest of the level.
Don't over leverage nd let the trade come to you.
EURUSD Start?Based on the data, it seems that the Euro will regain its strength and rise in the coming days. There is only one scenario, which is an upward movement. As for the upward move, it will either drop to the yearly low to draw liquidity and then rise, or it has already sufficed with the current level and will continue its ascent without needing additional liquidity.
GOLD / Dropped $47 and Reversed, Again Bearish MomentumGold Technical Analysis
The price dropped and reached our targets 2623 and 2613 and reversed quickly, as we mentioned yesterday,
Today also has a bearish momentum as long as trades below 2653 will drop to get 2623 and 2612, below 2612 will touch 2585, and we have the retest possibility to 2653.
To be a bullish trend till 2661 and 2678, the 4h candle should be closed above 2653.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2641
Resistance Levels: 2653, 2661, 267
Support Levels: 2624, 2612, 2585
Trend Outlook
Bearish Momentum: Dominant as long as the price remains below 2649 and especially 2638.
previous idea:
Alikze »» GRT | Ascending channel - 8H🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 8H
- In the analysis presented in the weekly time frame , it was mentioned that an AB=CD pattern has been formed.
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the 8-hour time frame.
💎 In the OB area, it can face the demand again by creating demand and liquidity hunt at the bottom of the channel and continue its growth up to the top of the channel.
- Then I expect it to continue its growth to the supply area to form the third wave or wave C.
⚠️In addition, if the correction extends to the Invalidation LVL range, the bullish scenario in the 8-hour time frame is invalidated and must be reviewed and updated again.⚠️
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BINANCE:GRTUSDT
Arm Holdings (ARM) - Head and Shoulders Pattern, Target $78-$94Overview: Arm Holdings (NASDAQ: ARM) is forming a classic Head and Shoulders pattern, a bearish reversal pattern that signals a potential drop in price. The pattern is visible with a left shoulder, head, and right shoulder clearly defined. The neckline support is around the $140 area.
Technical Setup:
Pattern: Head and Shoulders
Breakdown Level (Neckline): ~$140
Target Zone: $78 - $94, as projected from the height of the head to the neckline
Key Resistance: $164 level (former high)
Earnings Catalyst: With earnings approaching, the release could act as a potential catalyst to expedite the completion of this pattern, either causing a breakdown below the neckline or a temporary rebound before further selling pressure.
Price Action:
A breakdown below the neckline could see the price falling to the target zone of $78 to $94.
Watch for any bounce around the neckline, which might offer a better risk/reward entry on confirmation of the pattern's completion.
Risk Management:
A daily close above the right shoulder (~$148) would invalidate the pattern and warrant a reevaluation of the setup.
EURUSD bullish scenarioIn addition to the good news for the dollar index on Friday, EURUSD has room to climb to 1.06500 and threaten the trend line. On the lower side, we see a crooked reverse H&S pattern, a break above the neckline. As long as we are above this line, we can hope for further recovery of the euro. A break above the trend line raises the EURUSD to 1.07000 and increases the chances of reaching the 1.08000 level in the continuation of the momentum.
APD - a stalwart trending up -- LONG @ 321.97APD (not to be confused with ADP) is in the midst of a pullback in a strong uptrend. The white lines mark 6 month highs and lows, and the 6 month Trend Strength Indicator is at .88 (0-1 scale) and has been in that vicinity since August.
It's also a top 20 (top 3%) big cap composite score stock for me, reflecting a robust backtest history (almost 1900 trades going back to 1968), solid outperformance (.11%/day held), quick turnaround on trades (13 days avg - that's really solid for a stock with that many trades that cover whole market meltdown periods), and low trading system max drawdown (worst is < 9% since 1968).
It can get streaky and go down for a couple of weeks at a time and has done so twice in the last 6 months, so it's definitely an average in type of trade. Full disclosure, this is a hypothetical trade for me - my portfolio is full of petulant stocks that don't want to go up right now so I'm capped. But a daily return on almost 1900 trades going back over 50 years that's almost 3x the S&P's long term daily average is worth sharing.
In theory, per my usual strategy, l add at the close on any day it is still oversold and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
P.S. The chart should look better than that but for some reason, what it looks like when I hit publish and what shows up after I do haven't always been the same lately, for some reason.
Fibonacci Retracement Strategy Update on gold analysis 🔥🔥
The gold price is still respecting the resistance level at 2665. We are waiting to see where it will move next. It's important to note that the trend has not changed and the current direction is downward. We are waiting for the completion of the gold's decline in alignment with Elliott waves. 🔥🔥