BTC/USD continuation to the downside If you go through my previous analysis on Btc there as a clear and understable analysis from Montly to Daily T_F
There was obvious Rising Wedge which the market respects
Tradingview says 1m+pips from the very top of my analysis that's -13.87%
Now... there's about to be a Retest on the break out of the rising Wedge also the trend line onthe 4hrs T_F
More bearish move to go watch out
Note this is base on technical factors.
Trend Lines
Using Trendlines on ATR for Trading Strategy:Average True Range:
Volatility Resistance: The ATR oscillating at a resistance line suggests that the market volatility has reached a point where it has been repeatedly unable to break through to higher levels. This can mean that despite attempts, the volatility hasn't sustained at higher levels, potentially indicating a stabilization or a ceiling on how volatile the market might get in the short term.
Market Sentiment: This oscillation can also reflect a market where there's a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, leading to a stabilization of price movement range. When volatility hits a resistance level, it might indicate that the market is preparing for a significant move or a breakout, or conversely, that it might revert back to lower volatility after some consolidation.
Breakout Strategy:
Signal for Breakout: If the ATR breaks above the resistance line where it has been oscillating, it could signal an upcoming increase in volatility, potentially leading to a significant price movement. Traders might consider this a signal to prepare for a breakout trade, either buying or selling depending on the price trend.
Trade Entry: Following a breakout, traders could use this ATR trendline break as a cue to enter a trade in the direction of the breakout, expecting that increased volatility will lead to a more substantial price move.
Stop Loss and Profit Taking:
Stop Loss: The resistance line where ATR oscillates can be used to set dynamic stop losses. If the ATR moves above this line, indicating higher volatility, a trader might adjust their stop loss to be a multiple of the ATR away from the current price to account for the increased risk.
Profit Targets: Similarly, profit targets can be set based on ATR levels. For instance, if the ATR is oscillating near resistance, traders might aim for a profit target that's one or two ATRs away from the entry point, anticipating where volatility might push the price.
Trend Confirmation:
Confirming Trends: ATR's behavior at resistance can confirm trends. If the price is trending upward but the ATR fails to move above its resistance, it might indicate that the trend lacks strong momentum or that a reversal could be on the horizon.
Risk Management:
Adjusting Position Size: High ATR levels near resistance could suggest increasing market noise, prompting traders to reduce position sizes or adjust their risk management strategies to account for potential whipsaws or false breakouts.
Counter-Trend Strategy:
Reversal Signals: If the ATR repeatedly fails to break through resistance, it might signal that the market is overstretched, potentially leading to a decrease in volatility or even a trend reversal. Traders could look for bearish signals if this happens in an uptrend or bullish if in a downtrend.
Incorporating these strategies requires careful observation and should ideally be combined with other forms of technical analysis or indicators for confirmation. Remember, while ATR provides insights into volatility, it does not indicate the direction of price movement, so it should be part of a broader trading strategy.
XAUUSDUpdate: Friday, December 20, 2024
There is a downtrend line in the form of resistance!!! We are monitoring the expected movement of the current price. The price may encounter resistance and continue the downward movement. If the downward sloping line is broken, and passes through the support level, the rise may be confirmed and the rise has begun.
There are suggestions for two Fibonacci corrections indicating the formation of the beginning of the rise!!! In this case, the Fibonacci technique works when the price stabilizes above the 0.74 area for two Fibonacci corrections, indicating a local upward movement or a rising coordination.
Conclusion: As long as the price is below the sloping line, or continues in the downward direction, the downward trend is preferred if it does not reverse to the upside. The next possible trading area is 2540, this price is considered a support area and the price may head towards it.
$OTHERS Alts Catching A Bid vs $BTCEveryone kicking themselves for not taking profits on Alts because they’re almost back to where they were before this whole run up when Trump won 😭
Today, Alts dumped to just 10% above their ₿itcoin pairs.
Lesson Here:
If you're gonna trade Alts, make sure to continuously take profits back into CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Good News:
the market looks to be bidding Alts > BTC rn on this dip, signaling Alt Season around the corner 💯
Notice RSI, Ascending Volume and Bullish Hammer 🚀
WIF/USDT: DOUBLE TARGET SETUP - 160% POTENTIAL MOONSHOT
Technical Analysis:
- Current price: 1.917 USDT
- Strong support level forming at trendline confluence
- Significant volume spike indicating potential reversal
Entry Strategy:
✅ Strategic Entry: 1.500 USDT
- Key historical support zone
- Trendline support confluence
- Oversold conditions on multiple timeframes
Target Projections:
🎯 Target 1: 2.930 USDT (95% ROI)
- Major resistance level
- Previous market structure
- Key psychological level
🎯 Target 2: 3.918 USDT (161% ROI)
- All-time high retest zone
- Major fibonacci extension level
- Huge potential reward zone
Risk Management (CRITICAL):
⚠️ Stop Loss: -5% below entry
- Clear invalidation point
- Protected by major support
- 1:19 and 1:32 Risk-Reward ratios
Key Catalysts:
- Major trend line support holding since August
- Volume profile suggesting accumulation
- Multiple timeframe alignment
- Clear market structure for upside
Trading Plan: 🚨
1. Scale in near 1.500 USDT
2. First take-profit at 2.930 (50% position)
3. Trail stops after first target
4. Hold remainder for moonshot target
⚠️ Important Notes:
- High-conviction multi-target setup
- Patience required for entry
- Volume confirmation essential
- Scale-in approach recommended
🔔 Remember:
- DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
- Never risk more than you can afford
- Set proper position sizes
- Follow your trading plan
#Crypto #WIF #TechnicalAnalysis #SpotTrading #CryptoGems #MoonShot 🚀
Would you like me to break down any specific aspect of this analysis further?
this is why BTC dropped from a technical standpoint this is what I see:
BTC is testing the biggest challenge which is the YEARLY top trendline so it can be tough to break
the PULLBACK can be painful for investors if btc cant break this zone (especially alts)
But if and when btc finally breaks that, it will be huge and we might not see btc below that trendline again in the future
only time will tell
AXL/USDT: MAJOR ASCENDING CHANNEL - 85% PROFIT POTENTIAL SETUPTechnical Analysis: 🎯
- Trading within a strong ascending channel since August 2024
- Current price: 0.7145 USDT
- Price retesting major channel support - prime entry zone
Entry Strategy:
✅ Strategic Entry: 0.7007 USDT
- Perfect channel support confluence
- Higher lows pattern maintained
- Volume profile showing accumulation signs
Target Projection:
🎯 Primary Target: 1.3114 USDT (87% ROI potential)
- Channel resistance alignment
- Historical resistance zone
- Clear upward trajectory within channel
Risk Management (CRITICAL):
⚠️ Stop Loss: -4% below entry
- Protected by channel support
- Clear invalidation level
- Impressive 1:21.75 Risk-Reward ratio
Key Technical Factors:
- Ascending channel providing clear direction
- Multiple touches validating channel strength
- Price action showing healthy pullback to support
- Volume confirming key reversals at support
Trading Plan:
1. Enter at 0.7007 USDT
2. Stop loss at -4% for capital protection
3. Partial profits recommended at channel midpoint
4. Final target at upper channel resistance
⚠️ Important Notes:
- Channel trades require patience
- Watch for bullish confirmation at entry
- Volume confirmation crucial
- Always use proper position sizing
🔔 Remember:
- DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
- Risk management is crucial
- Market conditions can change
- Follow your trading plan strictly
#TechnicalAnalysis #AXL #Crypto #SpotTrading #ChannelTrading #CryptoTrading
Would you like me to provide alternative title options or elaborate on any aspect of this analysis? 🚨
Cup and Handle Breakout in PETRONETPETRONET has formed a classic Cup and Handle pattern on the hourly chart, signaling a potential bullish breakout.
Pattern Breakdown:
Cup Formation: A smooth rounding bottom from ₹310 to ₹337, indicating strong accumulation.
Handle Formation: A slight retracement near ₹330, forming a consolidation zone before the breakout.
Indicators:
RSI: Currently above 70, showing bullish momentum.
Volume: Increased significantly, confirming buying pressure.
Key Levels:
Breakout Level: ₹337
The price has broken above this resistance, confirming the breakout.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹350
Target 2: ₹360
Stop-Loss: Below ₹330 (handle low).
💡 Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Please perform your due diligence before entering any trade.
Lupin - A Value stock at Monthly breakoutLarge Cap
Double digit ROE, ROCE
PE ~= Industry PE
Piotroski = 8
PEG Ratio < 2
PE in Buy Zone
FII and DII presence
Technically,
Monthly: The price is retesting the monthly breakout.
Weekly: Flag and pole pattern
Daily and 4H Time frame: Price breaking the Trendline.
CCI (26) finally crossing above 100
**Not a buy/sell recommendation, only analysis.
After the Fed’s Rate Cut: Gold’s Price Action and What’s NextYesterday was another wildly volatile day for OANDA:XAUUSD , with prices dropping approximately 600 pips following the Fed's rate cut.
After breaking below the 2645-2650 confluence support on Tuesday, the market entered a day of consolidation with a tight trading range.
However, the calm didn’t last long...
Yesterday's sharp decline took prices below the 2610-2615 technical support zone and even breached the critical 2600 level.
Overnight, Gold rebounded back above 2600, but in my opinion, this recovery is likely a normal retracement and does not signal a bottom for the yellow metal.
For bears, the sell zone begins at 2620 and extends slightly past 2630, accounting for the heightened volatility. This area presents an opportunity to look for short entries. The initial target for this move would be yesterday's low, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see Gold drop further toward the 2525 key support level in the near future.
As long as prices remain below the 2650-2660 resistance range, the outlook for XauUsd stays firmly bearish .
Gold Drops $65 as Bearish Momentum Dominates Post-Fed DecisionGold Technical Analysis
Gold prices dropped approximately $65 yesterday following the Federal Reserve's rate decision. The market continues to exhibit bearish momentum as long as it trades below 2623 and 2612, targeting 2585. A break below 2585, confirmed by a 1-hour or 4-hour candle close, could push the price further down to 2558.
The gold market is expected to remain volatile, with the upcoming GDP report playing a crucial role:
If GDP comes in below the expected 2.8%, this could support a bullish move.
If GDP exceeds 2.8%, this could reinforce the bearish trend.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2612
Resistance Levels: 2623, 2638, 2653
Support Levels: 2585, 2572, 2558
Trend Outlook
Bearish below 2623 and 2612
Bullish above 2623