GOLD → Consolidation after the fall. Trading inside the rangeFX:XAUUSD is forming consolidation in a new bearish plane after a strong fall on Wednesday. The emphasis is on 2622 - 2581. The fundamental background is negative and technically the price is testing the lows.
On Wednesday, the Fed adopted a more conservative approach to monetary policy, laying down only 2 rate cuts in 2025, which generally had a negative impact on the whole market except for the dollar, which is breaking through local highs.
Today traders await the release of the PCE, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. Any surprise in the PCE data or an escalation of political uncertainty could push metal prices up.
From a technical point of view, the gold market remains in the previously mentioned consolidation, and prices fluctuate in wide ranges, which is generally logical for the end of the calendar year: reduced liquidity and increased volatility...
Resistance levels: 2616, 2622
Support levels: 2589, 2581, 2560
Since the price is inside the consolidation, it is worth considering trading from the boundaries of this range. In the long term, I expect a retest of the key resistance 2616-2622 in the form of a false breakdown and a fall towards local lows
Regards R. Linda!
Trend Lines
BTCUSDT high sell pressure zone and strong resistances are aheadAs we said before we may have more 10% rise from 100K$ to the targets like 110K$ but soon we are looking for first phase of dump like red arrows mentioned on the chart and soon high volume Bear candles will dump market for a while.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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HelenP. I Bitcoin can make correction and then continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. In the chart, we can see how the price fell to the support level and some time traded near it and later broke this level and continued to decline to the trend line. After this movement, the price turned around and made impulse up, thereby reaching the 99500 level one more time and soon broke it again. Later, the price some time traded near this level and then continued to move up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. When the price reached this level, it first made the correction and then made an impulse up, breaking the resistance level. After this, the price reached a new ATH (108K points) and then dropped to the trend line, breaking the resistance level again. Soon, BTC broke the trend line and fell to the support level, but a not long time ago it rebounded and started to move up. For this case, I expect that BTCUSDT will make small corrections and then continue to move up to the resistance level. That's why I set my goal at 105000 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Don’t worry when buying gold at the bottom
The Fed's interest rate decision on Wednesday and Powell's subsequent speech, although the interest rate was cut by 25 basis points as expected, its "hawkish" tone had a significant impact on the price of gold. The Fed lowered its expectations for future easing policies, predicting only two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points in 2025, lower than the previous forecast. This shows that the Fed is more concerned about inflation risks and remains cautious about economic growth.
This policy shift resonates with strong US economic data, further strengthening the market's expectations for the Fed's future policies. The final value of US GDP in the third quarter was revised up to 3.1%, higher than expected, and the number of initial jobless claims also fell sharply, showing that the labor market is still strong. These data show that the resilience of the US economy is stronger than expected, providing support for the Fed to maintain a relatively tight monetary policy.
For the gold market, the Fed's "hawkish" stance has put significant pressure on gold prices. As a non-interest-bearing asset, gold's price is negatively correlated with interest rates. A low interest rate environment is usually good for gold because it reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold. However, the Fed has hinted at a slower pace of rate cuts, or even a pause, raising the opportunity cost of holding gold, dampening demand for the metal. The strengthening of the U.S. dollar index has also had a negative impact on gold prices denominated in U.S. dollars.
The market is currently divided over expectations for inflation. While recent inflation data has retreated, it is still above the Fed’s target level. Fed officials have also expressed concerns about persistently high inflation. The upcoming core PCE data (the Fed’s preferred inflation indicator) will be the focus of market attention, and the results will have an important impact on gold prices. If the data shows persistently high inflation, it could push up gold prices; otherwise, it could put further pressure on gold prices.
While the Russia-Ukraine conflict is still ongoing, the market has adapted to its impact on the global economy and financial markets. Recently, some geopolitical events have had a relatively short-lived and limited impact on gold prices.
Market sentiment plays an important role in gold price fluctuations. Recent stock market volatility reflects investors’ concerns about the outlook for global economic growth, which could boost demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, strong economic data and the Fed's "hawkish" stance have eased market concerns about risky assets to a certain extent, weakening the safe-haven function of gold.
1 The Fed hinted that it will slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in the future, which will put some pressure on gold.
2 The speed of global economic growth will affect investors' preference for risky assets, weakening the safe-haven function of gold.
3 The current 1-hour downward trend of gold is clear.
In summary, the current short-term trend of gold is weak. Today, investors are paying attention to the pressure area of the 1-hour downward trend line above, and gold will be shorted after adjustment under pressure.
GOLD (XAUUSD) - Daily & H4 - Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 All Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas are generated by #4CastMachine AI software.
Mid-term forecast (Daily TF):
While the price is above the support 2475.27, resumption of uptrend is expected.
There is a possibility of upward price rejection in the areas indicated on the chart.
If the support at 2475.27 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Short-term forecast (H4 TF):
Bearish wave toward the Buy Zone
If the price is rejected from the buy zone, another impulse wave will start toward higher TPs.
SL: Below 2560.27
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LTC long termLike the other Alts just some moon. however some shake outs are always in play. Marcetcap will correct. If marketcap is the same at doge now 750 USD for LTC is atleast possible. Dips will be caused by some fud. Bad exchanges some troubles with law things maybe war... there is always something. then the rally up in January. Will be short but if it wont push it will stay there for a week or so. then corrects back to 50 EMA on 4 hour. people scream crypto ded blabla. Some wierd Red moon blue moon stuff will come out. and in march we get the pump. enjoy the ride.
Gold Consolidates Between Key Levels Amid Bearish TrendGold Technical Analysis
The price recently reached the support level at 2585 and reversed. However, the bearish trend remains intact as long as gold trades below 2612.
Gold is currently consolidating between 2612 and 2585. A breakout in either direction will determine the next trend:
Stability above 2612, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close, suggests a move toward 2623.
Stability below 2585 indicates a drop toward 2558.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2612
Resistance Levels: 2623, 2638, 2653
Support Levels: 2586, 2572, 2558
Trend Outlook:
Bearish Momentum: Likely below 2623 and 2612.
Bullish Momentum: Possible above 2623.
Previous idea:
Bitcoin BEARISH 4 Hour Chart - Trend Line Support BrokeBitcoin has broke down through an important trend line support level on the 4 hour chart. It is currently in the process of re-testing the line before a continuation down again. It's possible that Bitcoin may gain short-term up to around $100000 before the re-testing is complete. Or it may just start falling like a rock before then.
The trend line was tested multiple times and is a reliable signal of what is to come. This also agrees with my analysis on the weekly chart too. Both charts indicate a potential drop for Bitcoin to around $75000.
Please note: this is a crazy world and anything could happen, but this is my analysis based solely on the chart. I would say the same if it were corn, copper, or whatever else. Be cautious buying Bitcoin anytime soon based solely on hype! As I said above, it could gain short term to re-test the line which is now resistance, but it will probably be short-lived.
NASDAQ Bearish Momentum Persists as Price Drops 2.7% in 24 HoursTechnical Analysis
The price has dropped more than 2.7% in the last 24 hours.
The bearish trend, as highlighted in the previous analysis, remains intact. The price is likely to stabilize within the bearish trend, targeting 20,670 and 20,550, as long as it trades below 20,990.
However, a bullish correction toward 20,860 or 20,990 is possible, particularly if the price stabilizes above 20,860.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 20860
Resistance Levels: 20990, 21080, 21210
Support Levels: 20780, 20670, 20550
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish Momentum with stability below 20990
- Bullish Momentum by stability above 20990
Previous idea:
BTCUSDT ATH resistance zone can dump itWe are looking for range zone here and also short-term fall like the red arrows on chart.
price is now receiving major resistance zone and any breakout to the upside can lead the price to 120K$ but if the resistance hold soon heavy dump is expected at least to the targets like 90K$ or 80K$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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LTC | ALTCOINS | Sinking Ship? Verdict is inLTC has been a topic of many discussions during 2024, with the biggest question being around it's ability to reclaim past highs (and make a new ATH).
Similarly to UNI and ADA (to name a few), Litecoin has been unable to break out above it's immediate major resistance zones. This goes to show that there are bag-holders creating major supply zones. This is NOT GOOD for any coin, as it really damages it's potential for organic growth.
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BINANCE:LTCUSDT
SP500 / Bearish Momentum is under control...S&P 500 Technical Analysis
The price dropped another 1.7% and still has bearish momentum. As long as it trades below 5863, it will touch 5803 and 5781.
so the consolidation will be between 5863 and 5781 till breaking, it is possible to do a correction till 5863 and then will drop.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 5835
Resistance Levels: 5863, 5894, 5932
Support Levels: 5803, 5781, 5734
Trend Outlook:
Downward by stability below 5863
Bullish correction toward 5863
previous idea:
How low could BTC drop?Bitcoin prices have dropped sharply over the past three days, making it a tough period for crypto and altcoin holders. At one point, ETH was down 24% from its December 16 high, while Litecoin saw a full 41% drop from its peak.
These sharp declines may encourage some buyers to take advantage of the massive pullback in altcoins, but watching Bitcoin's movements is crucial. When BTC finds a low, the chances of a low in altcoins will be greater.
So, from which level could BTC bottom out?
Since November 12, Bitcoin has been moving within a bullish channel, steadily pushing higher as latecomers joined the rally. However, it has now breached the channel, as the chart shows. And as long as Bitcoin trades below today's high of 98,253, this trendline break remains valid, suggesting the potential for further downside.
So, how low could prices go? A 21% correction from the all-time high is reasonable in a typical bull trend. This would bring Bitcoin's price down to approximately 85,000. If that happens, many latecomers who bought since November 12 would likely be stopped out, potentially allowing the price to stabilize and resume its upward trajectory from that level.
A stronger support level exists at the March and October highs of 74,000. Hopefully, the market won't test this level, which marked the start of the latest rally after the US election.
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ETHEREUM → Consolidation after a bearish trend breakBINANCE:ETHUSD is consolidating within the flat boundaries of 4085 3530. In general, there is a bullish trend, the fundamental background is also favorable except for yesterday's news, which creates a small risk...
The price is at a strong resistance between 4090 and 4100 and it will take a lot of energy to break this area. Yesterday's news was generally controversial but with a negative bias. Despite the decline in interest rates, there were strong hints of stopping the decline and taking a hawkish course. Bitcoin is giving a small correction against this backdrop, which is negative for altcoins.
Ethereum technically did not break the bullish structure, a very strong support area of 3530 - 3440 is formed on the chart and with high probability a retest is possible, a liquidity grab with the aim of further growth. There are risks for further fall, they can be taken into account, but we can consider an attempt of growth as a priority.
Resistance levels: 4086, 4100, 4372
Support levels: 3530, 3440, 3261
Since the price is inside the consolidation, our strategy is simple - trading from the channel boundaries. Accordingly, based on the current situation, we should consider a retest of support before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD downside target 2560On the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD maintains a volatile downward trend. At present, attention can be paid to the resistance near 2626. If the rebound does not break, the bearish strategy can be maintained. The downward target is around 2560. After breaking, the support below is around 2536.
Corn - Back into Stable RangeWhen the 441'0 historical resistance level is reached from below after having not been approached from below in at least a few months, it has served as resistance 5 out of the last 8 times. The theory here is that it will serve as resistance again and that corn will fall back into the "stable range" of 316' to 441'. There is a downtrend channel which also is serving as resistance. If the bearish theory fails, the upside potential is significant. Downside and upside targets are shown on the chart. This is one to watch and see how it plays out on hourly/daily TFs with a bearish bias. I'm bearish below 441', cautiously bullish above. No trade entry at this point.