Work on trend: technical analysis of the USDJPY pairThe best option of trading, in our view, is work on trend.
In order to evaluate current price movements in terms of availability of trend there, it direction and force, our specialists developed set of unique incomparable indicators. You can find its description below.
Today we will talk about USDJPY pair.
We simultaneously have a number of signals on the presence of a downtrend in the pair dynamics, which, moreover, is in excellent shape.
The TDI script signals the predominance of the downward trend (the line is colored red), whereas is in the blue zone, which indicates that the trend is in progress.
The MSI indicator, which monitors market sentiment, is also on the sales side. The histogram is colored red, that is, sales sentiments are dominant.
The KenJi script, which is based on an upgraded analysis of the averages, sends a clear signal about the supremacy of the downward flow, and the area between the averages, shaded in red, indicates that the downward trend is active and relevant.
The ARDI script is colored red, which indicates that the price has moved up quite a bit from its fair value. That is, we should expect its downward reversal.
Thus, we have another confirmation of the feasibility of sales.
You can sell from the current. As for profits, since the work is in trend, it is worth keeping sales before reversal signals.
The “Ranger” indicator can be used to set stops since the recommendation is intraday in nature. The first line of stops can be placed above 109. With a probability of about 70%, the price today should not reach this mark. Although the best will be the stops above 110.
Let’s give some clarification on the set of technical indicators.
The current set composed entirely of incomparable scripts of technical analysis, which you will not find anywhere else.
Each of them has absorbed the long-standing actual trading experience and is an attempt, using the best technical analysis methods that exist today, to take into consideration and avoid their basic deficiencies. What finally allows to get better signals at the output and thus increase the trading efficiency.
«Kenji» Script
Indicator «Kenji» is a brand new look on the average analysis. The main problem of most of the trading strategies and indicators based on average analysis is a number of false signals in case of flat (for example frequent crossing of the averages, frequent changes of the average direction etc). As the result, average analysis can’t show its real power and efficiency.
Indicator «Kenji» using a unique algorithm allows avoiding the most common traps of the average analysis and significantly increasing the quality of the signals by determining the current market situation (using color indication "Kenji" shows in which state the market is now: red color - downtrend, blue one - uptrend, green - flat).
It generates signals for the comfort trading in local trend. The indicator provides information both on the timing of the position entry and timing on profit fixation. Also, it helps to determine the level of aggressiveness of the concrete signal. This makes «Kenji» indicator a very useful tool for amateur and experienced traders.
A full description of the indicator is available at the following link:
«TDI» Script
Each trend can be divided into several phases: the start of the trend, active development, consolidation phase, end of the trend. Obviously, the most interesting phases for trading in trend are start and active development of the trend. At these phases risk of unsuccessful trading in trend direction is minimal, but profit opportunities, on the contrary, are maximal. Nevertheless, technically it is hard to detect the start of the trend with a big probability of mistake. In this regard, the most promising is the identification and work in the phase of active development of the trend.
The “TDI” indicator is intended for identification of the active phases of a trend.
Using a unique incomparable algorithm, it allows you to determine points in price dynamics, that are most favorable for working in a trend.
A full description of the indicator is available at the following link:
«ARDI» Script
«ARDI» Script - it is a new look at the concept of oscillators. It is used to detect moments of divergence between current prices and fair (theoretical) value of the asset. Significant divergences signal about price entering into overbought/oversold zones. This is a base to open positions which are contrary to the current movement.
Coloring the indicator line in blue - this is a signal about the presence of significant divergences between current and theoretical prices. (the equivalent of the oversold zone).
Coloring the indicator line in red - this is a signal that the current price went down a lot relatively to its theoretical price (the equivalent of the overbought zone).
A full description of the indicator is available at the following link:
«MSI» Script
Indicator “MSI” is used to detect dominating market sentiments: bullish (blue color of a histogram), bearish (red color of a histogram) or neutral (green color of a histogram). Besides, it can be used as well for searching the points of market current sentiments changes.
A full description of the indicator is available at the following link:
«Ranger» Script
«Ranger» Indicator allows, based on statistical analysis of data, to calculate the range of fluctuations of the current day with a predetermined probability. The uniqueness of the Ranger is that it makes it possible at the very beginning of the day to determine the maximum and minimum of this day (with a predetermined probability).
What does this information give to the trader? Actually, a lot. First of all, trading signals. For example, if during a day the price approaches the upper (lower) mark, it can be concluded that it will not go higher (lower) prescribed mark today with an already known probability. So, you can open a position opposite to the current movement, knowing in advance that it will be profitable with a certain probability.
A full description of the indicator is available at the following link:
Trendisyourfriend
When everyone screams recession; run the other way!You've heard it so many times "greedy when others are fearful", but fear takes hold and sways your judgement.
What are the common sense clues?
The talking heads are trying to "call" the recession before it happens simply for an "I told you so" moment, but where were they before 2008 and earlier?
Why can't we make some serious profits after 10 years of an absolute garbage economy?
Headlines for the past two years have been all about Elon's gaffs
Very few called the recent FANG "crash"
All of the technicals are moving in the right direction
Fundamentals are easy... when EVERYONE is calling for a recession, we know the opposite will unfold
FINALLY: Show me an historical All Time High back to the great depression, then show me breaking that ATH, finding support, and it not creating a new bull run. The trend is your friend and stocks are in full bull mode with no signs of reversal.
-racethehair
Short Squeeze + Discounted price = Bear NightmareAs we make the "Three Drives Pattern", the bear shorts will come in even heavier - one final time
We have an obvious ascending channel and we need to follow the trend.
Weekends are typically higher probability for bull runs.
Stocks are climbing
Fundamental Analysis: Retails investors don't want to miss out on "the bottom", even though this is not the bottom. They are in the belief that the market was manipulated to drop, so Wall St can by at discounted prices before 2019
Technical Analysis: Retail Bulls are waiting for BTC to hit $3,600 again before buying (but it won't), and will realize they missed out (especially on a Saturday) and FOMO in big time at the end of the 3-Dives
Please leave me your thoughts, I appreciate the feedback
-racethehair
Another quick playThis looks like it could be a nice bounce play off the trend line that has formed. So far it is holding trend line. I would not FOMO into this, but wait for a nice patient fill just above the trend line. Have a tight stop in place incase we break below trend. If we close a daily below the trend, you could probably enter a short in at the trend line.
Bitcoin: Look Left - Structure Leaves Clues?As with all my posts, please know that this is very likely going to be completely wrong.
A buddy of mine wants to quit his job and trade crypto... and none of you care about that
so to make a boring story short, it reminded me of a bit of advice I once heard...
Look left - Structure leaves clues.
Whether or not I am right or if the advice is crap, I don't care. I wanted to simply
document my idea and see what time tells. That being said, I literally took the
fractal from the top to the current bottom and flipped it. I set it to HL/2 for no
special reason and stuck it on the chart. I would imagine someone may have done
this already, but if not, then here you go... Now it almost looks like all my trendlines
magically tell a story, but please know that if you draw enough lines on your chart
the price will eventually hit one of them.
Disclaimer:
I do not guarantee anything in this chart because honestly, this is just a
random idea pulled outta my a$$ (where most good ideas come from).
The price could easily ignore my chart completely just to confirm my stupidity.
I am a noob trader, I accept this. You should too.
To repeat, I am not a professional trader (I don't even play one on TV).
I do get quite lucky sometimes, maybe this is one of those times.
I will gladly accept any criticism, comments, or critiques. I'm still trying to learn.
Be nice. Be mean. I don't care, just be something.
Bitcoin: Take the red pill or the blue pill?I'm just putting this here because I can and I'm curious to see how this plays out. It's very probable that this is completely wrong. Hopefully some of you will see this and tell me how stupid I am and share your insightful thoughts about where you see things going (being a dick about it is optional). I'm neither a bulltard nor a beartard, but from my analysis, you may think I am some kind of tard. Either way, it is what it is. And yes, I know my charts are a mess. I'm OK with this. Just because a chart looks pretty, doesn't mean it has the right call on it and just because a noob shares a chart, doesn't mean it has the wrong call on it (although this one could have 2 wrong calls on it).
I pulled a possible fractal off a drop on the left side of the chart, if you look close enough, maybe you'll see it. If you don't, maybe I'll post it. I then converted the candles to lines (HL/2), cloned it, mirrored it, and slightly manipulated them to fit into my chart to make it look like I know what I'm doing. Don't let this fool you. You get what you pay for and this is free. Thumbs up, thumbs down? I accept my fate.
Disclaimer:
Drugs are bad. mmkay?
I do not guarantee anything in this chart because honestly, this is just a
random idea pulled outta my a$$ (where most good ideas come from).
The price could easily ignore my chart completely just to confirm my stupidity.
I am a noob trader, I accept this. You should too.
To repeat, I am not a professional trader (I don't even play one on TV).
I do get quite lucky sometimes, maybe this is one of those times.
I will gladly accept any criticism, comments, or critiques. I'm still trying to learn.
Be nice. Be mean. I don't care, just be something.
Long opportunity for Brent Crude Oil ???The Brent Crude Oil has been in an uptrend since mid of 2017.
The trend-line in blue acting as strong support, pushing price higher whenever It retraces to that support area.
My Position :
Entry : 75.00
SL : 72.60
TP : 78.60
** This is not a Buy/Sell recommendation **
** Please do your own due diligence **
Trendline Frenzy & Much More.....its an Art!!So our last analysis on AUD/USD about 3 weeks ago with the Inverse Head & Shoulders to complete Wave 4 caught us 130 Pips. Now we have multiple confluence to enter short for the completion of Wave 5. BUT HOLD ON A SECOND!!!..... We are waiting for bearish confirmation off the retest of 2x Top Neckline and RSI bounce to the downside off 50.0000 on market open Sunday-Monday.
You can learn our analysis, keep updated and catch pips or just have yourself a lovely time chatting by joining our new Telegram Group Chat!
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t.me
FXLifestyle - Trade Your Future
HEATING OIL, CHANGE IN TREND!Alright, so I was actually expecting Heating Oil to go higher, however this didn't happen. I believe that prices could potentially go down to lows of 1.8800 however I would be very careful as prices are approaching our ''V''
Have a strong look at your volume indicators guys as prices approach our key level (1.9000)
We could see a sharp reversal as prices approach the 1.9000 level,
HOWEVER.
Prices could of course reverse and take out our prior high at 2.0400 , to then reach lows of 1.8600.
Let's wait and see what happens guys!
EURUSD Insights/Ideas EURUSD have been in a strong bullish trend since 2017, we will not be going against the trend unless we see strong bearish signals to indicate us/put us in lower risk.
There is both Short and Long Opportunity depending on how it played out on the levels moving forward. I don't feel good when price hovers around a 52 Weeks High, it shows me that price will want to break that level taking out stops that people placed around it.
The movement might go as high as 1.216X, we will be watching out for strong bearish signals before making a move. Intuitively, its too late to long and too early to short now.
Likewise, remember the trend is always your friend.
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GBPUSD. Is it time now!?Hey guys,
GBPUSD is at the retest of the previous highs that were broken in the last period. As mentioned in the earlier GBPUSD analysis (here below) weekly and daily charts are telling us the trend is overall bullish, and therefore i want to take that into consideration when looking at lower timeframes. Be ready to long this market if we have some kind of weakness in the 4H and 1H chart.
I'll keep you updated!
If you have ideas/questions, feel free to comment below.
Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
P.S. If you want to take a look at my videoanalysis click the link below!