December 19 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
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This is Bitcoin's 30-minute chart.
In a little while, at 10:30 and 12:00, there will be a Nasdaq indicator announcement.
As I explained,
Nasdaq and Bitcoin both reached the center line of the Bollinger Band daily chart,
but Nasdaq is recovering the 12+ daily pattern,
and Bitcoin has touched the center line of the daily chart alone, so the mid-term pattern is broken.
Even if it succeeds in bouncing back from the current position,
it is a problem,
but today, at least in Nasdaq, there is a higher possibility of a sideways movement rather than a plunge,
so we proceeded with trend following.
*Red finger movement path
One-way long position strategy
1. 101796.5 dollars long position entry section / When the green support line is broken
or when section 2 is touched, stop loss price
2. 104828.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Good 2nd -> Great 3rd
If the strategy is successful, the daily chart ends. The 1st section of the red finger is
a long position re-entry attempt and stop loss price autonomous section.
Today, the 15-minute Bollinger Band center line
has not been touched even once, so the strategy is to play at 5+15 or even 15+30 even if it is pushed.
With a strong upward condition, the success rate is approximately less than 5%.
From the 1-hour chart center line touch,
it can be dangerous because it is open downward, right?
Also, I marked the purple finger at the top.
In order to succeed in today's strategy,
you must first touch 102.7K to increase the probability,
and the long position switching position can change from the 1st section touch consecutively.
If the adjustment comes out immediately without touching the purple finger at the current position,
a long position entry position can come out once within the purple support line near the center line of the 30-minute chart,
and it becomes a dangerous section from the 2nd section touch.
You can see the movement within the convergence section of the orange resistance line of the 1st section and the sky blue support line of the 2nd section at the top as a sideways market.
I drew a gray rising trend line in the 3rd section,
and if it doesn't deviate from this section depending on the movement this week,
it can continue to rise.
If the 3rd section touches today, it seems like it will be a double bottom condition,
but I don't recommend it. Bottom is the place where the 12+ daily pattern can be restored, but if a strong rebound does not occur, the candle may deviate from the center line of the daily chart, so additional declines may occur.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use,
and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
Trend Analysis
SPY at a Critical Juncture: Will it Reversal or More Pain Ahead?In the past two days, SPY (S&P 500 ETF) has experienced a pronounced downturn, raising critical questions about the next directional move. Today's price action indicates a pivotal moment, with the market consolidating near a key support level at $584. The question remains: is this a pause before a bounce, or a precursor to further downside?
This detailed analysis breaks down SPY's current technical setup, provides actionable trade levels, and offers insights into potential scenarios for tomorrow's session. Let’s dive into the charts and indicators to uncover opportunities.
Technical Market Trend Analysis
1. Downtrend Confirmation
* Price Structure: SPY has formed consistent lower highs and lower lows over the past two sessions, clearly defining a downtrend. The breach of the critical $587 support level early in today’s session amplified selling pressure.
* Trendlines: A descending channel on the hourly chart below further confirms bearish control, with price respecting the upper boundary of the channel as resistance.
2. Volume Dynamics
* Selling Pressure: Noticeable volume spikes during the declines highlight strong participation by sellers.
* Reduced Buying Interest: Rebounds were marked by lower volume, indicating a lack of commitment from buyers.
Key Levels to Watch
Support Levels
1. $584: The current zone where price consolidates. This is the first line of defense for bulls.
2. $580: Major gamma exposure support level (GEX7). Breaching this level could accelerate downside momentum toward $575.
Resistance Levels
1. $587: Immediate resistance. A reclaim of this level would signal strength and could trigger short covering.
2. $590: Aligned with gamma resistance and psychological significance, this is the next target for a bullish breakout.
Indicators in Play
EMA Analysis
* The 9 EMA and 21 EMA are both sloping downward, acting as dynamic resistance levels. This reinforces the short-term bearish trend.
MACD
* The hourly MACD shows bearish momentum, with a widening histogram and a negative crossover. However, a slight tapering in the histogram near the end of the session hints at potential consolidation or a reversal attempt.
Options Oscillator and GEX Insights
* Gamma Levels:
* $584: Current pivot, showing strong put positioning.
* $580: Heavy put support; any break below this would likely see rapid downside.
* $590: Significant call resistance; a breakout above would indicate a shift in sentiment.
* Sentiment: Dominance of 102.7% puts reflects bearish sentiment in the options market.
Trading Strategy
Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal Setup
1. Entry: Enter long above $587 with confirmation of strong volume.
2. Target: $590 for the first target, $593 for the second.
3. Stop-Loss: Place stops at $585 to minimize risk.
4. Justification:
* Reclaiming $587 would signal a potential reversal or at least a relief rally.
* $590 aligns with gamma resistance, offering a logical profit target.
Scenario 2: Bearish Continuation Setup
1. Entry: Short below $584 with increasing sell volume.
2. Target: $580 for the first target, $575 for the second.
3. Stop-Loss: Place stops at $585.50 to cap risk.
4. Justification:
* A breakdown below $584 would confirm the continuation of the downtrend.
* Heavy put support at $580 would likely provide the next pause point.
Market Outlook
While the short-term trend is bearish, the market is approaching a critical inflection point. Tomorrow’s session will likely determine whether SPY bounces from oversold conditions or continues its descent. Watch for high-impact news and volume trends to validate directional moves.
Conclusion
SPY’s price action reflects a decisive moment. Both bulls and bears have clear opportunities depending on how the key levels at $584 and $587 play out. Use disciplined risk management and wait for confirmation before entering trades.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NIFTY 50 20th December 2024If you're looking to initiate a buy trade near this level with a small stop-loss, here's a possible strategy based on the chart:
Stop-Loss (SL):
Place the stop-loss slightly below 23,660 to limit downside risk in case the support breaks.
Target Levels:
First Target: 23,780
Second Target: 23,825.55
RAILTEL: Building Strength at Demand ZoneRAILTEL (Railtel Corp of India Ltd.)
Key Levels:
Demand Zone: ₹348 - ₹357
First Target Zone: ₹452
Second Target Zone: ₹561
Stop Loss: Below ₹345 (demand zone failure)
Structure & Trend:
Stock has been in a corrective phase, respecting the demand zone multiple times.
A potential double bottom structure may be forming around ₹348-₹357.
Golden retracement of the last swing low offers a bounce opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Around ₹355 - ₹365 within the demand zone.
Targets:
First target: ₹452
Second target: ₹561
Stop Loss: ₹345 on a daily close basis.
Note: A breakdown below ₹345 could lead to further downside; monitor price action.
ETH/USD "Ethereum" Crypto Market Heist Plan on Bearish Side🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade at any point,
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest high level.
Goal 🎯: 3000.0
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
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Gold Next Week Timeframe :
D1 trendline broke
H4 Bullish eng
H1 Bullish eng + FVG
D1 trendline has broken the down trendline, H4 has bullish engulfing at demand zone, H1 has also bullish engulfing and Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Entry :
According to H1 TF, entry point is 2643 at the area of FVG and Bullish engulfing.
Stop loss 2630 and Target is 2723.
Its possible to achieve target next week in FOMC.
GBPUSD SELLGBPUSD is moving on support zone and and made a head shoulder pattern
The chart is above the support level, which has already become a reversal point twice.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range!
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
Thank You!
BTC/USD: Selling Opportunity EmergesBTC/USD: Selling Opportunity Emerges
A prime selling opportunity has arisen in the BTC/USD market. The recent breakdown of the rising wedge pattern has confirmed a bearish trend reversal.
Key Points:
- Rising wedge breakdown confirms bearish trend reversal
- Support levels breached, validating the downtrend
- Potential target at $95,000
- Selling opportunity emerges as price action aligns with bearish trend
Best wishes Tom 😎
USDJPY: Pullback From Key Level📉 The USDJPY appears to be overbought following yesterday's bullish movement.
The price might pull back from the highlighted blue daily resistance, potentially reaching at least the 156.48 level.
Additionally, I spotted a double top pattern on the hourly chart, which serves as confirmation.
Polkadot DOT’s $8.442 Standoff: Bounce or Breakdown?DOT is hovering around a key support zone, at $8.442.
1. A quick dip and bounce back from $8.442 might hint that the bulls aren’t ready to give up just yet (Dashed Green Projection).
2. If DOT confidently pushes through $9.659, the bulls might have a party, with the next pit stop likely around $11.009. A clean move here could set the stage for some exciting action to the upside (Solid Green Projection).
3. However, if the $8.442 level crumbles, things could get dicey fast. Bears might take over, dragging the price toward $7.000, a critical support level where DOT could try to catch its breath (Red Projection).
Right now, DOT is at a tipping point—will it rise to the occasion or falter? Keep your focus on $9.659 and $8.442; they’re calling the shots for what comes next.
RENDER trade entry set upLong term analysis
On a weekly timeframe, BINANCE:RENDERUSDT is developing a powerful bullish wave since January 2023. The last corrective wave (around -70%) seems to be ending with a reversal pattern. In addition we have a weekly golden cross signal which from history gave good opportunities from the last 2 waves and the flat and narrow bollinger bands hint at a potential explosive move upward.
Strategy
Buy on the break of the resistance line of 7.70$.
Objective 1: back to the next resistance at 9.80$ (+30%)
Objective 2: ATH at 13.50$ (+75%)
Objective 3: Wave V extension around 30$ (+290%)
Invalidation
Mental Stop: below the last low of 6.90$
If prices retrace to this level we will wait for the daily close price then set a Stop loss ¼ or Risk below the weekly close price.
Nobody appreciates it !!!The price has broken the descending triangle, and now it's time for a slight correction before reaching the target. After that, it can grow again.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
The last bullish chance of BITCOIN in Short term!Bitcoin reached a new high yesterday but then dropped to $92,000 to liquidate positions. This price decline created a bearish scenario. As you can see, Bitcoin is forming a descending wedge. If this pattern breaks, the price could drop to $92,000. However, we cannot say Bitcoin is bearish right now because as long as the wedge does not break, Bitcoin can still be bullish. So, we wait to be sure.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Happy happy happy!~Happy happy happy!~
I hope you will find this informative to help you in navigating the market!
If you already have conviction in this token, consider this as an additional perspective.
Assumptions:
1. Intended for spot holding/trade.
2. Bullish market into Q1 2025.
3. Robust against sudden dumps.
4. Understanding of meme coin and risk management.
5. Awareness of broader market, macroeconomics, and geopolitics at play.
6. No rug pull or any funny business.
Invalidations:
1. Tier 1 CEX listing hype, straight moon before any retrace and correction.
2. Breakdown and invalidation of current MS.
3. Broader market extreme bearishness and unexpected turns.
Applied analysis:
1. ICT
a. Liquidity:
BSL:
H4 BSL as marked in red box (61.8% - 65% fib, golden pocket)
D1 BSL slightly higher than D1 EQ zone (78.6% - 85.4% fib, reversal zone).
SSL:
H4 and D1 currently overlaps (23.6% - 14.6%, strong support), sure will form deviations along the way.
Generally speaking, 38.2% fib would be a good start to do DCA, maybe add a bit bags in the 50% fib zone. As always, adding some buy order in the lower range will maximize the chance to catch liq. sweep by MM/whales testing S-D, deeper liq. grab followed by a strong rejection could confirm a bullish OB.
b. Order Blocks (Paired with VPVR):
Bearish OB/Supply zone:
H4-D1: both overlaps with SSL.
Bullish OB/Demand zone:
H4-D1: slightly higher than H4-D1 SSL, starts at 38.2% fib.
A bit explanation: overlapping of liquidity and OB indicates areas of strong market interest (retails/whales/institutions).
c. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Very small range 0.01-0.0117.
d. Market Structure:
Premium-EQ-discount zone and PDH-PDL-PWH-PWL as marked in the D1 chart. CHoCH, BOS, and MSS shouldve visible in LTF. EQH and EQL is a good indicator too to support reversal thesis.
2. Candle Pattern:
Watch formation of hard price rejection (long wick down/up), reversal candle, or bullish continuation i.e. morning star/engulfing/hammer on HTF or near OB/liquidity.
3. Fib Analysis:
Use log price and log fib or vice versa, fib levels marked in the chart uses log fib-log price.
4. Technical Indicators:
Use your most comfortable indicators, watch for any reversal/bull div. signal and gauge the trend strength and confirming continuations. EMA 50-100-200 could act as resistance/support.
5. Market Phase Interpretation (Wyckoff):
I'll simply use the good ol' reliable Wyckoff Accumulation, everything marked in the chart. Any Tier 1 CEX listing will send this to the moon thus invalidate this interpretation, otherwise will have high probability to follow standard market phase development.
6. Entries and TP:
Exercise partial TP along the way, always reassess whether it is worth it or not to strengthen your position by reentry using profit generated or move it into another token of your interest. Once price goes way above your entry price, use stop-limit to move SL higher than your entry price to secure your bags incase sudden dump happens.
7. Risk/Reward (RR) Ratio:
This thing should has at least 1:3 RR.
NFA. DYOR. Good Luck!
Note:
As per usual, for DCA use cascading buy order, set tight TP/SL for higher price zone based on your risk tolerance and trading style, re entry at lower price once price stabilizes in HTF should be safe. This way, you should be able to minimize your realized loss (i.e. 2-5% or 5-10% SL distance for each staggered entries in spot market) and optimize your returns (parabolic/god candle moves included).
Follow your own risk management for max drawdown (MDD) tolerance and other boring metrics.
Dont overcommit, use ~5% of your portfolio to see if this coin suit your taste.
Possible Trade Short. Retrace on M-TOP breach lower.Video is a trade I was on for educational purposes working on the very low timeframes. I noticed that on the Daily a neckline of what appears to me to be an M-TOP breach at the neckline. Think double top that has travelled down to the weak. part of the structure. More to follow