TradingView: Look first / Then leap.Every once in a while you have to commit to something that pushes the boundaries of your comfort zone — that gets your heart beating, the breath shaky and palms sweaty. For us, that’s this moment right now, where we share with you the efforts of a project that’s been a long time in the making. It’s with great pleasure that we present to you the new look and feel for TradingView!
Our mission has forever been: Always an informed decision. That it doesn’t matter who you are, where you’re from or what your risk appetite is, everyone is entitled to the right tools and the right information to make the best trading and investment decisions possible.
Now, to articulate that ambition more evocatively, you’ll see us using the concept Look first / Then leap . We think this sums up what TradingView is all about — there’s no point jumping blindly into trades (that’s why you use charts) but at the same time you don’t just do 100% of your analysis just for fun — there’s got to be some commitment required.
First you prepare, then you go for it: Look first / Then leap.
We will be sharing updates all week about our new look and feel. You'll also have a chance to meet our sponsored sports stars including the legendary free soloist featured in this video Alex Honnold , renowned free-skier Caite Zeliff and adventurer Leo Houlding .
Thank you for being a member, sharing feedback, and working your hardest to become the best trader or investor. This is a monumental day in our history together.
Trading Tools
📚 Leveraged & Margin Trading Guide + Examples ⚖️
Leveraged trading allows even small retail traders to make money trading different financial markets.
With a borrowed capital from your broker, you can empower your trading positions.
The broker gives you a multiplier x10, x50, x100 (or other) referring to the number of times your trading positions are enhanced.
Brokers offer leverage at a cost based on the amount of borrowed funds you’re using and they charge you per each day that you maintain a leveraged position open.
For example, let's take EURUSD pair.
Let's buy Euro against the Dollar with the hope that the exchange rate will rise.
Buying that on spot with 1.195 ask price and selling that on 1.23 price we can make a profit by selling the same amount of EURUSD back to the broker.
With x50 leverage, our return will be 50 times scaled.
With the leverage, we can benefit even on small price fluctuations not having a huge margin.
❗️Remember that leverage will also multiply the potential downside risk in case if the trade does not play out.
In case of a bearish continuation on EURUSD, the leveraged loss will be paid from our margin to the broker.
For that reason, it is so important to set a stop loss and calculate the risks before the trading position is opened.
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
👶 Trading For Beginners | ORDER TYPES 👦👧
There are multiple ways of opening a trade in a trading terminal.
Here is the list of universal order types that you MUST know:
1. Market Order
A market order is a trade order to buy or sell a desired financial instrument on a current market price.
In such an order type, the price is determined by the market.
Constant price fluctuations and spreads make market order quite risky way of opening a trading position.
2. Limit Order
A limit order is a trade order to buy or sell a desired financial instrument at a specific price level. It allows the trader to enter the market on a strict price level ignoring the price fluctuations and spreads.
A limit order can be referred to as a buy limit order or a sell limit order.
3. Buy/Sell Stop Order
Buy stop order is used to buy at a price above the market price, and it is triggered when the market price touches or goes through the Buy Stop leve.
Sell stop order is used to sell when a specified price is reached.
The selection of order types is based on a trader's trading style.
Let me know in a comment section which order types do you apply in your trading!
Please, like this post and subscribe to our tradingview page!
👶 Trading For Beginners | ORDER TYPES 👦👧
There are multiple ways of opening a trade in a trading terminal.
Here is the list of universal order types that you MUST know:
1. Market Order
A market order is a trade order to buy or sell a desired financial instrument on a current market price.
In such an order type, the price is determined by the market.
Constant price fluctuations and spreads make market order quite risky way of opening a trading position.
2. Limit Order
A limit order is a trade order to buy or sell a desired financial instrument at a specific price level. It allows the trader to enter the market on a strict price level ignoring the price fluctuations and spreads.
A limit order can be referred to as a buy limit order or a sell limit order.
3. Buy/Sell Stop Order
Buy stop order is used to buy at a price above the market price, and it is triggered when the market price touches or goes through the Buy Stop leve.
Sell stop order is used to sell when a specified price is reached.
The selection of order types is based on a trader's trading style.
Let me know in a comment section which order types do you apply in your trading!
Please, like this post and subscribe to our tradingview page!
Introducing our new Chart Preview featureOur new Chart Preview feature simplifies the way you follow your favorite symbols from iPhones or iPads. Please note: we have exciting updates coming to our Android app, so please stay patient. We won't let you down! 😎
Chart Preview is intuitive for all investors and traders. Beginners and pros can use it seamlessly to study their watchlist and then dive into the advanced chart when it's time.
We created Chart Preview to let traders quickly scan and study symbols from a viewpoint that is simple and beautiful. With a second tap, traders can dive into the advanced chart and begin their research process using technical and fundamental analysis. Start simple and get more advanced depending on your skill level.
On iPhone, users can toggle our new Chart Preview feature on or off depending on their preference. You decide whether you want to see a quick preview or jump straight to the advanced chart. We know many of you would rather be analyzing charts with all the power of our advanced tools, so you can decide what you would rather see first.
Make sure your app is updated and using the latest version. Remember: our mobile apps are free for iOS and Android devices.
Thanks for being a TradingView member and we look forward to reading your feedback and comments below.
Quotes of a winning traderHi everybody!
today we gonna focus on what is the mindset of a winning trader. what does he think and what differentiates him from a looser based on his way of thinking.
We gonna check a non-exhaustive list of several quotes that may be interesting to know and remind. These quotes are all written on my notepad, I advice you to do the same: have a notepad with all the trading knowledge learn over the years.
let's go !
1)Trade what you see : its important to not have bias on trading, technical analysis allow you to have an idea of where the price may be heading and allow you to make a quick decision based on it. Your bias will only make you more confuse and may make you miss plenty of opportunities (as well as leading you to ruin). When you are going to analyse the market, dont forget to let your emotions behind you.
2)Plan your trade and trade your plan : as simple as it sounds. just draw a chart and trade it, if you dont have a plan you dont have rules and if you dont have rules you wont win money.
3)Trend is your friend + dont fight the FED : setups that follow the trend have more probabilities to be winners, therefore its better to favor bullish setups when trend is bullish and bearish setups when trend is bearish. Trend reversal setups are pleasing( a good ego booster) but keep it exceptional. also the "don't fight the fed" part correspond to stock market, when you know there is economical measures like Q.E just follow the movement. dont expect to be the top shorter, you'll need a lot of luck.
4)Trading is 80% psychology and 20% technical analysis : you surely listened to that one somewhere, its very famous. The winning trader have adquired strong rules of psychology and a solid mindset(they respect it) that brought them to become winners. these rules make them confident and peasible, they feel safe when working because they know odds are at their side as long they respect the rules.
5)Buy low and sell high : Buy low, sell high is a strategy where you buy stocks or securities at a low price and sell them at a higher price.
This strategy can be difficult as prices reflect emotions and psychology and are difficult to predict.
Traders, thus, use other tactics, such as moving averages, the business cycle, and consumer sentiment to help decide on when to buy and sell.
6)Cut your losses, let run the profit : The basic idea behind this particular saying is to encourage traders to get out of losing positions quickly, but have the patience to stay in winning trades and resist the tendency to sell winning positions early. Assuming the trader follows a sound trading strategy that has an edge over time, following this rule allows profits to accumulate over time, while drawdowns are kept at a minimum – resulting in a much more enjoyable trading experience.
7)Patience is key : One of the best cardinal rules and day trading advice is to be patient. Patience is key, during the day, there may be many opportunities. It is best to wait for the right opportunity pursuant to your specific rules and trading plan. Sometimes you won't make any trade at all, that's why it's not always easy being patient. Most of the time you will find yourself in profitable trades as long as your patient and vigilante.
8)Good trading habits + good trading plan + good trading rules : i think its clear, there is no need for more explnation to this one
9)Set and forget : is whereby you open a position with a pre-defined stop loss, take profit and entry location, and once the trade is activated, you let it go with no trade management. This means you let the trade run until it hits your take profit, or your stop loss. Hence the name ‘set and forget‘. you have an entry, an SL and a target so just let the price fluctuate, it'll give you a result at the end (loss or profit) there is no need to interact since you already have the parameters.
10)Trading is a game of probabilities : know your probabilities by heart. every winning trade know very well how to play with probabilities in order to achieve his goal of becoming successful.
Thats all, I wish you the best. Have a nice week !
📚 Leveraged & Margin Trading Guide + Examples ⚖️
Leveraged trading allows even small retail traders to make money trading different financial markets.
With a borrowed capital from your broker, you can empower your trading positions.
The broker gives you a multiplier x10, x50, x100 (or other) referring to the number of times your trading positions are enhanced.
Brokers offer leverage at a cost based on the amount of borrowed funds you’re using and they charge you per each day that you maintain a leveraged position open.
For example, let's take EURUSD pair.
Let's buy Euro against the Dollar with the hope that the exchange rate will rise .
Buying that on spot with 1.195 ask price and selling that on 1.23 price we can make a profit by selling the same amount of EURUSD back to the broker.
With x50 leverage , our return will be 50 times scaled .
With the leverage, we can benefit even on small price fluctuations not having a huge margin.
❗️Remember that leverage will also multiply the potential downside risk in case if the trade does not play out.
In case of a bearish continuation on EURUSD, the leveraged loss will be paid from our margin to the broker.
For that reason, it is so important to set a stop loss and calculate the risks before the trading position is opened.
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
Setting Alarms For Fun and ProfitOne of the most attractive things about being a trader is that once you become proficient with your trading system you don't have to spend all day in front of your computer like an extra in the Walking Dead. There's a lot more to life than trading. The goal is that once we have developed that skill, we can “trade to live” and not “live to trade.”
I like to teach that trading is like fishing - Your job is to go into the water, cast a few lines, and wait for the fish to come and snag a hook. The keyword there is wait . Once you set your lines, you don't have to babysit them: go do something else. (We trade to live, after all!)
Likewise, with trading, once you have developed a certain level of skill in "setting your lines", you should only need to spend about 30-60 minutes in front of your computer "working". Then you simply need to wait until the trade, that is price, gets snagged onto your hook. In the meantime, go do whatever it is in life that you enjoy doing.
How do fishermen then know when a fish has taken the bait? Some fishermen attach a small bell on the end of their pole, a “fishing buddy”, and as the fish jerks the line the bell alerts the fisherman that “he’s got a live one!”
How is is that Alarms can instantly become your "fishing buddy?" Let us count the ways:
First: Management of Buying Power
Let's say you have a $10,000 trading account. You wake up, do your morning routine, head to your home office (or the kitchen table) and “go fishing” in the Futures markets. You find three great opportunities for Soybeans, Oil, and Copper. The margin requirements for each of them (per contract) is $4,500, $5,800, and $7,300, respectively.
Futures trading requires that you have a certain amount of capital in your account per trade setup, known as the margin, or buying power, at the time you setup your trade. This "margin" is set aside in your account and can't be used, even if the trade hasn't been triggered or entered. If you wanted to setup all three of those trades before you headed to work you would need $17,600 in your account. But you only have $10,000. What do you do?
In the past, when I ran into this situation, I would have to guess (or hope) I would choose the correct trade to place before I left for work, and send just that one trade to my broker. Inevitably, I would choose the one losing trade, or the one that didn't get hit , and it ended up that one or more of the other trades turned out to be winners - the trades I did not take - all because I couldn't put on all three at the same time. Aaargh!!! Every day I felt like the trading gods were against me!
Here's where alarms can become your best friend.
Let's say at any given moment if you received an alarm, you would be able to respond to that alarm within an hour. You could setup an alert line 1/24th the daily ATR away from your entry price. For example, at the time I am writing this, the Daily ATR for Crude Oil is 1.7708 - the average distance or range that Oil trades in a day. Divide that by 24 and on average, oil moves about .0738 per hour.
If you are looking to go long oil at $73, you would draw a horizontal line at 73.0738, and set an alert on the line, giving you about an hour to check that the trade is still valid. When price activates your alert, you can log into your trading platform, verify that you still want to take the trade, right-click the long-short tool (which you had setup beforehand) and send the trade to your broker, whereby then and only then will the $5,800 be allocated from your Buying Power.
It is unlikely that all three trades will hit at the same time so this gives you the "buffer time" needed to efficiently manage the available capital in your account to take as many trades as possible.
Using alerts in this manner can help you minimize the number of missed opportunities you might experience because of the limited amount of buying power you may have.
Second: Trade Opportunity Alerts
In the futures market, I have what I call my "31 Flavors" - the 31 Futures contracts that I actively trade. On any given morning I might find 5 assets where I’m looking for a long opportunity, another 5 assets that I’m looking for a short, and the rest aren’t in any trend or environment where I’m looking to trade.
Many indicators let you set an alarm when a certain condition occurs. For instance, I can set an alarm on the ten high-probability assets I have flagged to let me know “Hey, Captain: a Sabre Long opportunity just formed on the S&P;”, or “Hey Captain, a short opportunity with the pattern you are looking for just popped up on Crude Oil.”
Likewise, if you are following a Moving Average strategy, you can setup an alarm saying “Hey, Trader: XYZ just crossed the 89 Moving Average” or "ABC just crossed the 40 day Moving Average.
At the time of this writing TradingView will let you setup up to 400 of these alerts. (P.S. - If you need more than 400 alerts, you're probably overtrading... just sayin') :-)
When the alert is triggered you can just take a few minutes out of your day outside of your normal trading hours to check in and see if that mid-day opportunity is worth setting up. After a couple minutes, you can get back to what it was you were doing.
The myth of the day trader who is glued to his or her computer all day in fear of missing an opportunity is just that - a myth, because alerts free you up to do what is important. Remember, we are trading to live - we aren't living to trade.
Finally: Trade Management
Let's say you are a swing trader. Trades you enter may take anywhere from 3 to 30 days to hit their target. Say, however, you have a hard and fast rule to take 3R profit from all of your trades because you would rather take 3R any day rather than see price go to 5R, or 7R, just to have it come on back and stop you out for a loss due to emotions or lack of paying attention, because, yes, you trade to live - you're not tethered to your computer or smartphone all day. You've got better things to do. (At least I hope you do!)
You can setup an alarm to let you know that a trade you have running achieves 3R of profit, whereby you can then move your stop, then check in on it each morning and/or evening to see how you may want to lock in more profit or call it a day and cash in on your winning trade.
Conclusion:
In short: Use alarms to make your trading more efficient, more effective, and ultimately, more profitable.
Are there any other ways that you use alarms to maximize your trading game? Let us know in the comments... I'm sure we are all, myself included, dramatically under-utilize this very powerful trading tool.
Trade well, everybody!
Add Tweets To Your ChartYou can now add tweets to your chart! The process is simple and we'll walk you through each step:
Step 1 - Find a tweet you're interested in and copy its link. The Twitter link will look something like this: twitter.com
Step 2 - Open your chart and then paste the tweet. The tweet will automatically attach to the exact timestamp on the chart. You can sit back and let our platform do the work for you. Pro tip: this tool works on any time frame or chart type. So you can view it on a daily chart or a 30-minute chart, a candlestick chart or a line chart.
Step 3 - Once you've copied and pasted the tweet to your chart, you can drag it up or down to place it where you need it to go. Pro tip: adjust your price scale or time scale by clicking, holding, and dragging the scales to extend them. This will help you fit the tweet to your chart.
The chart in the example above shows the market cap of Dogecoin with four tweets from Elon Musk. Each tweet was copied and pasted on the chart using the steps outlined in this post. It's fast, easy, and snaps right to the exact timeframe where price and tweet meet.
We hope you enjoy this new tool. Please let us know if you have any questions or comments. Thanks for being a member of TradingView.
10 free trading tipsTip 1- Use statistics to avoid bad setups, and enter and exit at high probability areas
Example: Wanting to join an early trend on a pullback? It probably is a bad idea to enter before 50% retrace.
Elliott rules even say wave 2 typically retraces to 78.6%, so it's probably a good idea to wait for a big retrace before going in.
Of course, and this could be another tip of itself, Elliott never made money investing, so it's best to learn from the charts than him.
Tip 2- Use the daily chart, or more precisely the 6 months to 5 years chart
By studying the charts one quickly learns that price evolves on the "daily chart". By this I don't mean the candles absolutely have to be 1 candle = 1 day, as long as depending on several factors 6 months to 5 years of price data are visible. Typically I go for about 2 years, and clicking on "D" is what looks best. Plus humans are on a 24 hour cycle, so daily candles just makes sense. Some people can't stand noise and just look at moving averages.
Tip 3- It is probably a good idea to not try to join very extended trends on a pullback
When an extended trend finally has a pullback, it's often going to be a big one.
We all heard over and over some numbers such as "1.618". If 90% (totally arbitrary number) of EURUSD trends that make it to 2.618 and pullback end up reversing, and only 1% make it really far, you sure you can get a 1 to 100 risk to reward? Some areas might be best to avoid.
In all competitions champions find all the tricks to make it as easy as possible. That's how one becomes the best.
Not by being a complete idiot that goes straight ahead tries to brute force.
"I die, yes, but with honor!". No no, no honor, you die like an idiot the enemy is laughing at you, and your village will get raped and burned to the ground. People love to be hipsters. I prefer to win, to crush the competition.
Tip 4- You already heard this: Cut losses, hold winners, be disciplined
Are bagholders hipsters, or just weak? Clearly all the "diamond hands" are simply weak cowards that piss themselves at the idea of taking a loss.
I do not want to waste too much time on this one, a very easy way to gain a huge advantage over the competition.
Just careful beginners with huge rewards and tiny stops. Greedy stops won't lead to great profits, but to death by a thousand cuts.
Tip 5- Do not daytrade, day trading is stupid
Ah the day gambling hipsters. "I'll be the one in a hundred that makes it". Even roulette and sports betting have better odds.
And the 1 in 100 that make it, assuming it's not just luck, make PEANUTS. They'd earn more flipping burgers.
As I explained, price action is based on the "daily" chart. Trends last months, they can be divided in smaller moves that last days to weeks.
And the price, as I also explained, reacts around these daily chart swings, and daily chart extensions. Another reason why daygambling is so troll.
And since day gamblers "close at the end of the day" (vomit) you could be right and lose money! You could be wrong and lose money!
So even if they have some edge, they add enormous randomness (and ruin an edge) because there is a time factor we have no control on, they'll close before bed at a completely random price, just because "the day is over". Same concept as the binary option scam that got banned. That's literally gambling!
Oh and when they "close at the end of the day" 🤢 they will be making even less than 15 pips, with spreads still the same size.
Tip 6- For the noobs: Start with something simple that works and conditions will be added over years
I think the best course of action would be to go for the basics, something that is expected to work, going with the trend, not focussing too much on the entry, having a reward better than the risk but not too tight (greedy). And with time improve it.
It's like making muscle. If you stop trying to be a hipster and just do what you are been told (don't daytrade, don't hold losers, don't go against the trend), after the initial learning curve (1-5 years, sorry for the dreamers/gamblers) on year 1 you gain 7.5 kg muscle (7.5% returns), year 2 5 kg muscle, year 3-5 5 kg muscle, year 6-20 maintain, maybe small additional gains. Guys like Bill Hwang have shown someone could be a self-made billionaire making 60% a year, so these numbers are just illustrative. The idea is traders develop over time. All the famous ones really got good after several years, and peaked decades after they started. There are no steroids in trading. Ok I guess there are, those would be insider trading, but this isn't easy to access, and a crime.
Tip 7- Noobs again: use indicators if you want too, but don't waste time trying to look for indicator edges
If you think indicators look good then use them, but don't waste too much time looking for an edge. We'd know if there was one.
Don't be lazy, when starting one probably should spend a little bit of time backtesting indicators, and quickly will find out there is nothing of value, no edge based on the indicator itself. And then they can look for something else with a clear head, without wondering "did I miss something".
Tip 8- Beginners or intermediate traders that are not yet profitable: Don't aim for huge asymmetric risk to reward
You look at charts, there is volatility, in the real or original sense of the word. Trends have plenty of pullbacks, 23.6%, 38.6%, 50%.
You might have noticed those were quite significant pullbacks. Not tiny 5-10% pullbacks. So how does a risk to reward of 1 to 20 or 1 to 10 make sense?
And how is someone not yet experienced, not even profitable, going to pinpoint exact high and top? I know NO ONE that can be that precise.
When George Soros broke the bank of England, he sold at the upper end, and had a large risk to reward. Correct me if I am wrong but he sold for 10 billion, made 1 billion, and said his risk was below 2% (200 million). That was the trade of a lifetime and his reward was 5 times his risk "only".
I think he said his hit rate was below 30%. I doubt he typically takes trades with a risk to reward of 20. Or ever.
Maybe there is an edge out there, with 100 RR, who knows? But I think it is more reasonable to start with something between 1.5 and 3.
Tip 9- Strong trends are the best, pretty obvious but people seem to avoid these
On strong trends retail positions are massively on the wrong side, some sources show the percentage of positions and some show more.
The very few traders that are in the correct side have tiny gains, out of hundreds of thousands of accounts the people going in the correct direction and holding can be counted with 1 hand. Makes me feel very special. 1 in a thousand. Even 1 in 10,000.
It's really simple too.
I was tired of try harding 2 years ago, and I just yolo'd in trends, and it worked out. And last year I repeated it, and it worked again! So I focussed on that, and added a strategy to my arsenal. I call it "breakout" but there's really 2 strategies and one of them is not a breakout at all. I wish I started with this, because it is a real goldmine. Not just the easiest, but most productive too. And I'd build the other strats later. When I started I quickly noticed big patterns that flashed in my eyes, once you see them you cannot unsee them, so I went in that direction, obviously.
If you're onto something do not spit in the soup! But if you have a choice, let's call it that, I encourage everyone to aim in the direction of trend following! It's well worth it. If you want to make money. For those that would rather be hipsters, well, have fun.
Tip 10- Breakouts! Strong trend breakouts! Be patient
And final tip, with breakouts in strong trend, they very very often don't go anywhere. Best way to lose money is to fomo.
I'd rather miss out.
So the trick is to have a condition like this: "It has to go far enough."
Or it can go like this: "I want the price to remain above the previous high", that's not realistic, so it could be "I want 2/3 of the price to be above the previous high, and then to double bottom with the high of the bounce above the previous high", which is more reasonable.
This is all just my personal opinion, I do not offer refunds. And it is all specific to Forex.
Do you own research. With the charts. All praise the charts. Glory to the charts.
When Can I Become a Full Time Trader?One question that constantly comes up, and understandably so is, When Can I Become a Full Time Trader? Being a trader is like running a business. You are the manager / owner / operator of "You, Inc." How much capital does it take to run your business? What's your monthly P&L? How much money do you need to have in "float" in case of emergencies (like, oh, I don't know, a global pandemic that sends the price of everyday items skyrocketing?)
If your goal is to become a full time trader, where trading is your primary source of income and provides you with all of your material needs for now AND the foreseeable future, do you have a PLAN on how to get there? Do you know how much capital you need and / or what rate of return you need from your trading system and / or how many trades on average you need to generate your income target?
Let's figure out how much Monthly income you need. First, take your monthly expenses. Include things like rent or a mortgage, a car payment, utilities, gas expenses for your car, etc. and total them up. Second, take all expenses that might be annual or irregular and put an amortized amount each month into a separate checking account for when they come up.
For instance, HOA fees may be billed semi-annually. You may plan on a vacation every year. You may have to replace a major appliance every 3 years. Factor all those expenses and what it may cost as a monthly savings plan and put them into that account. These expenses would come out of that account without touching your monthly income. For example, it's easier to pay $69/month in expectation you will have to replace your fridge, stove, or set of tires every 3 years than to have to come up with an unexpected $2,500 when the fridge dies on you.
With these initial stats, you know how much you need to make a living trading... just to break even. So, what does the responsible business owner (trader) need to do? DOUBLE that number so you are putting an equal amount in savings (for a rainy day / a down month / or the "nest egg") and factor in taxes, say an additional $35% in the United States - the top tax bracket. This final number is what you should comfortably want to make to consider yourself financially free – not dependent on ANY source of income except for your efforts in trading.
Now, given how much money you want / need to live on, what type of trading performance against what amount of capital do you need to achieve this monthly desired income? How much capital do you have in your trading account? What is the Win Rate of your current trading system? How much money do you earn on each winning trade and how much do you give back to the market on every losing trade? Finally, how many trades on average does your trading system find for you each day given the hours you work your trading business?
Let's assume you have a $20K trading account, and you trade using the 1% Rule of Risk Management and the 3R rule of expectation – your Reward-to-Risk Ratio. Let's also say that your trading system is able to locate two trades per day during the timeframe that you are "working" the markets and your Win Rate is 50%. So, if you you win one trade and lose one trade each day, winning $600 and losing $200, you are netting $400 for the day. Multiply this by 20 (the average number of trading days in a month) and you will have an estimate of what monthly income you can generate from your trading account.
An important question is then, "How many trades might you take per day?" For example, during one backtesting period I found that my trading system, Sabre, generates an average of 11.7 trades per day in the Futures Market on the 1-hour timeframe. If you decided that you would be trading Sabre for four hours per day, say from 5-7 in the morning and 8-10 at night, it would pull up an average of 2 trades per day.
Once you are armed with all this information: Your trading account size, your trading system win rate, your trading hours and trade frequency, you can calculate how much income you may be able to generate from your trading system given that all things go according to plan. And as Hannibal Smith liked to say, "I love it when a plan comes together!"
Once you run the calculations, if you run short of what you would like to earn, you can now determine what action(s) you might want to take to get you closer to your goal in a quicker timeframe. For example, if your win rate is 30% with your current trading system what would it take to get it up to 60%? Do you need to check your psychology? Are you constantly leaving money on the table? Are you fearful of entering trades that you should have logically had no problem getting into? Should you join a trading group that is experiencing a level of success you want to achieve to help you overcome any technical or psychological hurdles?
Mechanically, if your trading system is not giving you the number of trades necessary to reach your income goals, what can you do? Perhaps you can go down a timeframe. Theoretically, if you are finding 2 opportunities per day on the 60 minute timeframe, you may be able to find as many as 8 opportunities per day by going down to the 15 minute timeframe. Maybe it's about capital: If you have a $5,000 account you might find a way to put another $10,000 in there and instead of having a $50/$150 Risk:Reward ratio with a $5,000 account you could have a $150/$450 Risk:Reward ratio with a $15,000 account. One way to grow your account is to never 'withdraw' by keeping all profits until your account reaches the 'critical mass' necessary to generate the required income. That's the beauty of exponential growth!
Additionally, perhaps you can add a second trade strategy to your mix. If you are a Supply-and-Demand trader maybe you can find a breakout strategy to take advantage of additional opportunities. After developing Sabre, my trend-trading strategy, I developed what we call the Clubhaul: a counter-trend strategy. Now I had 2 different strategies, increasing my daily number of opportunities to find successful trades. Having access to multiple trading strategies is like the handyman with three different hammers or multiple sets of screwdrivers: They each do a specific job under specific conditions, and it's not always the case that "one size fits all." What goes for the handyman's toolbox, is also applicable for your trading toolbox.
To get to where you want to go you need to know where you are starting from. As G.I. Joe says, "Knowing is half the battle." So hopefully you can create yourself a spreadsheet and crunch the numbers and you can see (1) where you currently are in your trading journey (how viable is my trading plan, how much capital do I have, what hours will I be working the markets) (2) where you want to be ultimately (how much income do I want to generate on a monthly basis, how much capital do I need to consistently generate that income, and which strategy(ies) will get me there? and (3) what I need to DO to get from where I am to where I want to be.
Trade Well!
Deleting All Drawings Past a Certain DateIf you ever receive the error, "You should delete drawings to improve performance" , how can you bulk delete old drawings, say "All drawings older than 60 days" without manually going back into all your charts and deleting them one-by-one?
This video will show you how to quickly delete all drawings in a layout older than a certain date. Hope you enjoy it!
Trade well...
---
Here's a quick checklist on running through your watchlist to delete all drawings older than "X" days:
Pull up your Layout that's giving you the performance warning
Click on the first symbol in your watchlist
Press Alt-G to bring up the GoToDate dialog
Select a date "x" days in the past you want to delete older items from and press Go to
Right-click the nearest object to that date
Select Object Tree from the menu
Scroll all the way to the bottom of the Object Tree pane
Hold Shift and click the last drawing in the list
Right-click the highlighted section and choose Remove
SPOTTING EARLY TREND REVERSAL | EURUSD
Hey traders,
As you know, I am very bearish biased on EURUSD.
On a daily, the price respected a major key level and also broke a rising wedge pattern to the downside.
On intraday time frames, with classic price action rules, we can easily spot a trend reversal :
The price was trading in a bullish trend .
The uptrend was confirmed by a sequence of higher highs and higher lows .
1.2267 is a local structure high .
After a retracement to a new higher low the price set a lower high (a very important bearish clue).
Then the price violates a previous higher low level to the downside setting a new lower low .
With a sequence of two lower lows and lower high, we can confirm a bullish trend violation and initiation of a new bearish trend on 8H chart.
Now we are waiting for the completion of a retracement leg in a zone between current spot prices and the level of a previous lower high
and a consequent bearish continuation.
❤️ Please, support this idea with a like and comment! ❤️
⬇️ Subscribe to my social networks! ⬇️
SPOTTING EARLY TREND REVERSAL | EURUSD
Hey traders,
As you know, I am very bearish biased on 🔻EURUSD.
On a daily, the price respected a major key level and also broke a rising wedge pattern to the downside.
On intraday time frames, with classic price action rules, we can easily spot a trend reversal:
1️⃣ The price was trading in a bullish trend.
2️⃣ The uptrend was confirmed by a sequence of higher highs and higher lows.
1.2267 is a local structure high.
3️⃣ After a retracement to a new higher low the price set a lower high (a very important bearish clue).
Then the price violates a previous higher low level to the downside setting a new lower low.
❗️With a sequence of two lower lows and lower high, we can confirm a bullish trend violation and initiation of a new bearish trend on 8H chart.
Now we are waiting for the completion of a retracement leg in a zone between current spot prices and the level of a previous lower high and a consequent bearish continuation.
❤️ Please, support this idea with a like and comment! ❤️
⬇️ Subscribe to my social networks! ⬇️
Heikin Ashi Charts vs. Candlestick ChartsFollowing price action is at the core of markets. One glance at a chart can show you a trend, trade idea, or serve as a quick way to check the holdings in your portfolio.
Candlestick charts are one of the most popular ways to look at price action. A single candlestick shows the high, low, open, and close for a specific time period. This means that a lot of price information is stored in a single candlestick . However, sometimes, that price information is filled with volatility or chaotic trading.
That's where Heikin Ashi charts are most useful - they smooth out the price by showing an average price range rather than the exact measurements. In fact, Heikin Ashi charts were developed in Japan and the word Heikin means “average” in Japanese . For those who invest over long-term horizons or look for sustainable trends, Heikin Ashi charts can be an effective way to smooth out price and show clearer trends.
The key to understanding Heikin-Ashi charts is to remember that each bar, whether it's red or green, shows an average price range for a specific time period whereas a candlestick chart shows the exact price levels for that time period.
The formula for a Heikin Ashi looks like this:
Open = (Previous bar open + previous bar close) / 2
Close = (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4
High = Highest point whether it's the open, high, low or close
Low = Lowest point whether it's the open, high, low or close
Make sure to test out these two different chart types and have some fun. There is no better way to learn than to compare and contrast the two types of charts as we are doing in this example. Remember, it is also about your personal preference. Do you want to see every granular detail in price action? Or do you want to see an average price of that trading action? This is entirely up to you and the tools are here for you to try.
NOTE
While Heikin Ashi and other non-standard charts can be useful to analyze markets, they should not be used to backtest strategies or issue trade orders, as their prices are synthetic and do not reflect bid/ask levels at exchanges or brokers. If you need more information to understand why that is, have a look at these publications:
• In the Help Center: Strategy produces unrealistic results on non-standard chart types (Heikin Ashi, Renko, etc.)
• From PineCoders: Backtesting on Non-Standard Charts: Caution!
Thanks for reading and please leave any comments or questions if you have them!
Comment : P.S.
Someone asked how they can select Heikin Ashi. Click the dropdown at the top of your chart where it currently shows either your Candlestick or Line chart options. Then select Heikin Ashi from the dropdown menu.
Five Ways To Use The Multiple Chart LayoutOur multiple chart layout tool gives traders and investors an easy way to study multiple symbols or timeframes at once. In this post, we'll explain five ways to use the multiple chart layout feature to optimize your process.
Chart different timeframes
If you look closely at the charts above, you will notice that there are different timeframes for each chart. One is a daily chart, one is a weekly chart, and another is a 30-minute. The multiple chart layout makes it possible to see these different timeframes all on the same screen. If you search for trades and do research on all time horizons, this is an important feature to master.
Customize the look and feel of your layout
Every trader and investor is different in their approach. That's why it's important to have customization tools available. Each chart in the example above uses a different color gradient as its background. The chart farthest to the right is also a line chart while the other two show candlesticks. When using the multiple chart layout you can create your own custom workspace to match your individual style needs.
Diversify your indicators
The charts above also show different indicators. For example, the yellow line farthest to the left is a Moving Average while chart in the middle shows a Volume Profile and the chart on the far right shows only volume. You can add only the indicators that matter for each specific chart within your layout.
Chart different symbols at once
In the example above, we're looking at three totally different symbols, but all viewable on one screen. This way we can follow price action, study similarities, and look for ideas across different assets. It speeds up our research and is another helpful way to monitor different symbols across the market.
Sync your charts
With the click of a button you can sync the symbol, crosshair, interval, time, and drawings for all charts in your layout. To get started, click the layout button at the top of your chart and then find where it says "SYNC ON ALL CHARTS." From this menu you can select the syncs you need so that they all update instantly.
Thanks for reading and we hope you enjoyed this post! If you have any tips, suggestions or feedback to share about the multiple chart layout please write it in the comments below.
Statistical approach to risk management - Python scriptThis script can be used to approximate a strategy, and find optimal leverage.
The output will consist of two columns, one for the median account size at end of trading, and one for the share of accounts liquidated.
The script assumes a 100% position size for the account.
This does not take into account size deviations for earnings and losses, so use with a grain of salt if your positions vary greatly in that aspect.
Code preview
cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/592684708551327764/848701541766529034/carbon.png
TradingView does not allow posting external links until you've reached a specific reputation, so i can't use the url feature
Input explanation
WINRATE : chance of winning trade
AVGWIN : average earning per winning trade
AVGLOSS : average loss per losing trade
MAX_LEVERAGE : maximum leverage available to you
TRADES : how many trades per account you want to simulate
ACCOUNTS : how many accounts you want to simulate
the inputs used in the source code are from one of my older strategies, change them to suit your algorithm
Source code
pastebin.com/69EKdVFC
Good luck, Have fun
-Vin
This is why you shouldn't make large MARKET ordersStablecoins are quite stable, right? With minimal volatility, correct?
Well, not necessarily on a shallow market, as can be seen on this extreme example of slippage.
If the market order is too large, not even arbitrage bots can save the day for the one who set the market order. This was definitely easy money for counterpart with limit order at 6 EUR/BUSD.
(Possibly this was also during the time when the exchange was unavailable...)
Who makes money playing the markets directionally?> Retail & Day Gamblers: Absolutely no one day gambling profitably has been found to this day, and we keep looking for them.
There might be a handful of DAX & Dow Jones traders that make some money, I don't think they outperform the indices.
Compare day gambling to regular predation: Ever heard of an apex predator going for tiny prey over and over?
Tiger goes for prey at the bare minimum 10% of its size, up to 10 times its size. Also a tiger has a winrate of 5-10%.
Same for polar bears. High risk reward is universal. The exception would be grizzlys that found a niche with salmon jumping in their mouths.
The hyper massive apex predator going for small prey would be blue whales: They go for lots and lots at once, like a quant fund, not like a day gambler.
Traders at banks that have some liberties and hold some positions have an exposure limit at the end of the day. They can't hold Citibank with 10 billion usd just because they want to for example. Intraday they execute orders for clients and you can't stalk them non stop so they have some liberties during the day. So to go around their limits, because they all think they are the wonderboy who will be the next Jesse Livermoore if only the bank would give them their chance, they day gamble. As long as at the end of the day their exposure is below the limit all good. Wonderboys... One of these legends is Jerôme Kerviel. He didn't even day gamble he wanted to make big money so he cheated the system to hide his exposure. And lost 5 billion. Well that's what the bank said, and the government that sent them a big check of taxpayer money never bothered to audit them.
Needless to say to this day humanity has not found a single institutional day gambling wonderboy that makes money. It's like looking for life on Mars.
In Forex at least 90% of retail "traders" are day gamblers. In stocks a part of retail is made of passive holders, of course hedge fund clients, ETF too, and then there are lots of bagholders chasing the worst possible investment and holding to zero, and lots of day gamblers too. Retail investors in FX have a success rate of close to 0%, and in stocks passive holders underperform the indices at about 99%, retail stock day gamblers either lose money (~95-99%) or underperform the indices.
At any given time ~75% of FX retail loses money but this is taking all the ones lucky in the short term plus doesn't account for turnover (winners stay longer).
Overall in FX at least 95% of retail will lose, but when you know they almost all day gamble, sometimes with "EA and robots", you are not surprised.
The ones that do not day gamble hold losers for ages and get out of winners asap, just check brokers retail positions. At least 80% do this.
No day gambling and not holding losers is not even step 1. I would call it step 0. In nature not a single predator holds losers. Videos of predations show almost only the success, but pay attention they'll say "this tiger hasn't made a kill in 4 days" and also sometimes show them "losing", these top predators give up so quickly I am amazed, they ambush, jump, and if the prey starts running away immediatly the hunter just doesn't even try. It's like a law of the universe: losers insist on holding losers. That simple.
If speculating had an elo then 95% of retail would have 200 elo, being naturally bad and then add all the bs thrown around the internet and the scams... ==> 200 elo.
They're just that bad. Don't even have the nuts and common sense to cut losses which is not even a goal to have it's not even a step. Herbivore prey instinct.
Remove all the extremely bad trolls and then it's just a regular business the ropes of which you have to learn. You just can't fix stupid I guess?
> Hedge funds: They are (very) public, we hear about them most.
Stocks versus Forex: They all go into stocks, in the US there has to be maybe 10 funds dedicated to FX, and their phone never rings. Investors think stocks are magical money machines, they have all sorts of stereotypes about FX the "negative sum game", and also think stocks are better because they can be more diversified with a portfolio of 100 stocks that are all correlated.
You can add quants, arbitrage, and all sorts of strategy denominated funds we hear about in here I guess.
Most hedge funds mainly hold stocks to make their clients happy, and will do a bit of everything.
Even Warren Buffett had a position on USDMXN a few years ago.
1 "different" hedge fund we heard about in 2018 was legend manager James Cordier.
He had a good 100 leverage on volatile commodities.
You can't say "we never hear of these guys", he had a public fund like all hedge funds, and he even posted ideas on an investing website (I think he did so for 15 years).
1 client with a $1MM account with the guy linked his positions:
NatGas, Crude Oil, Gold, Silver, Soybeans, ICE Coffee.
JC had positions on dozens of contracts for each of these, on only a 1MM portfolio.
> Private equity, family office, venture capital, and individuals you never hear about:
Michael Burry started being heard about when 25 or 30 years ago he was posting stock picks on a forum. But he really got famous when he did "the big short". His clients were so mad with him after he made money, I think it is why he decided to leave and start his own thing. I am not sure exactly as I heard his positions were public.
There is a private equity guy that posts about economics & geopolitics on a social network, I forgot the name, he manages the money of a single billionaire.
Recently we heard about Bill Hwang, another legend. We heard about him because he got liquidated and crashed certain stocks he had massive positions in. Prior to that he started working for an institution, left with a few millions, started his own private business, and turned those millions into billions making 60% a year. Too concentrated and leveraged, he got too big, if he was smaller he would have gotten out without problem. Should have thought about it.
You also have some politicians that make record profits... I have an idea on how they make these profits.
Clearly they are the ones generating the highest returns. Note that none of these individuals are doing any day gambling.
> Pension/mutual funds, sovereign funds, etc:
They are running safer, more passive strategies so no one really cares. We care when Norway says they are going to sell 500 million krona, or when China says they're going to dump 1 billion usd on the market.
Other
Corporate for example. They simply buyback shares with their profits.
I think that's it. If you have something to add let me know. We could add funds of funds if we wanted to. What else? That's it pretty much.
60% a year for Bill Hwang is pretty great, too bad he didn't take it easy when he got very big.
BENEFITS OF SCALE TO THE LEFTAs a trader we perform a technical analysis based off "historical data" where was the money, how did the money progress to where it is TODAY". Our job as traders is to what? PREDICT FUTURE price action. If my job is to see where price is going (the profits are unlimited) so, the only thing we need to know is where to stop the money and your stop loss is not only based off of your personal financial criteria but also where price dropped LAST ( PAST ) IN BACK OF US. MAKE the future based off of historical facts.
Double Doji Strategy (How To Scalp or Day Trade this ?)Sure, you can but as with most trading longer time frames are better. Look on attached 15 minute chart- I see around 3 buy trades after Double Dojis or more appeared at a minor or major support area- for quick scalps and/or a longer day trades.
For your convenience here is a summary of the rules:
1) Spot 2 Dojis in a row. it is better when they appear after a clear up or down trend ( minimum of 3 green/blue or red candles in a row).
2) Mark the upper and lower border of these Dojis highs and lows.
3) Wait for one of the borders to break. No need to actually wait, just insert 2 pending orders.
4) When one of the orders executed, cancel the other one.
5) Choose one of the three trade management methods and follow it to the letter.
6) Collect profits.
NOTE: Please see my previous posted article, related to using Double Doji Strategy on higher time frames.
Introducing The Satoshi All Time History IndexStarting today you can chart, follow, and research the price of Satoshis going back to 2010. Our new index is called Satoshi All Time History Index.
Satoshis, or sats, are the smallest unit of bitcoin (BTC). 100,000,000 satoshis make up one Bitcoin.
Satoshis are particularly important to the Bitcoin community because transaction fees are often measured as satoshis per byte or satoshis/byte. This makes the unit important to chart, follow, and analyze in detail. In addition, some people see sats as a useful way of addressing unit bias – where people prefer whole units over a fraction of a unit.
To get started with our new index, type SATSUSD into the search box and select it from the list. You can also bookmark the SATSUSD symbol page or share the link where needed.
We hope everyone enjoys this new addition. Please leave any comments or questions below.
Thanks for reading!