USDJPY / BY BREAKING SUPPLY ZONE / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The price has broken out above 147.218, and there is currently bullish pressure , The price is attempting to reach a supply zone between 148.626 and 149.340.
For the uptrend to be confirmed, the price must break above this supply zone. If successful, the price could then aim for the next target at 150.790 (the supply line).
If the price fails to hold above 147.218 during a retest, this could signal a decline , Breaking below 147.218 might lead to a drop towards favorable value gaps (FVG) at 145.363 and 144.332.
Supply zone : 148.626 and 149.340.
Demand zone : 142.546 and 141.687.
FVG : 145.363 and 144.332.
Tradingstrategies
NiftyBees Trading Strategy Using EMA LevelsObjective:
This strategy outlines a simple approach to buying NiftyBees based on 50EMA, 100EMA, and 200EMA levels, and how to gradually increase your position.
Key Steps:
50EMA Buy:
Buy 1/3rd of your total planned investment when the price hits the 50EMA.
Reason: Signals short-term bullish momentum.
Example: If your total budget is ₹90,000, buy ₹30,000 worth at 50EMA.
100EMA Buy:
Buy 2/3rd of your total planned investment at the 100EMA.
Add 25% to your previous 50EMA position.
Reason: Shows stronger medium-term momentum.
Example: Buy ₹40,000 at 100EMA and add ₹10,000 (25% more from 50EMA purchase).
200EMA Buy:
Buy 2/3rd of your total planned investment at the 200EMA.
Add 50% to your previous 100EMA position.
Reason: Indicates potential long-term reversal.
Example: Buy ₹60,000 at 200EMA and add ₹20,000 (50% more from 100EMA purchase).
Conclusion:
This strategy helps you build your position in stages, reducing risk and improving your average price over time. It uses key EMA levels to guide when and how much to invest, helping you benefit from market dips while maintaining a disciplined approach.
Gold Price Analysis: Symmetrical Triangle Formation Signals $$##📈 Gold Price Analysis: Symmetrical Triangle Formation Signals Potential Breakout
Gold trades within a symmetrical triangle formation on the H1 timeframe, and traders are closely monitoring for a potential breakout. This technical pattern, known for its converging trendlines, often signals an impending price breakout, either upward or downward. Here's what to watch for:
🔺 What is a Symmetrical Triangle?
A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern in which the price forms lower highs and higher lows , creating two converging trendlines 📊. The market's indecision builds tension, often leading to a significant breakout in either direction as the price consolidates.
🚀 Key Breakout Levels for Gold
As gold continues to move within this symmetrical triangle, there are two potential breakout scenarios:
📈 Upside Breakout Target – $2,693:
If gold breaks out above the upper trendline of the symmetrical triangle, we can expect bullish momentum to push the price toward the $2,693 level. This would indicate a continuation of the upward trend, attracting buyers and potentially setting the stage for further gains.
📉 Downside Breakout Target – $2,614:
On the other hand, a break below the lower trendline would signal a bearish move, with the next potential target around $2,614 . This downside breakout would indicate a reversal or pause in the recent bullish trend, likely driving selling pressure.
🔍 Factors to Watch
Several factors may influence gold’s price action and the potential breakout direction:
🌍 Geopolitical tensions and market uncertainty drive safe-haven gold demand, potentially pushing prices higher.
💵 US Dollar strength: A stronger dollar could weigh on gold, increasing the likelihood of a downside breakout.
📉 Interest rates and inflation expectations also play a role, as rising rates could limit gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset.
🛠 Trading Strategy
Traders should consider waiting for a clear breakout above or below the symmetrical triangle before entering a position. A decisive move beyond these key levels— $2,693 for an upside breakout or $2,614 for a downside breakout—could offer strong trading opportunities with defined risk levels.
💡 Conclusion
The symmetrical triangle formation on the H1 timeframe indicates that gold is on the verge of a significant move. Monitoring key breakout levels, market sentiment, and external factors like the dollar and interest rates will be crucial in navigating this potential opportunity. Whether gold breaks out to the upside or downside, traders should be prepared for a substantial price move towards $2,693 or $2,614.
🔔 Stay updated with the latest prices and market developments to capitalize on this technical pattern.
AUDUSD / AFTER BREAKOUT THE CHANNEL - 4HAUDUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
After the breakout channel , the price continues to rise, indicating the market is in an uptrend and buyers are dominating, putting upward pressure on the asset.
The price level of 0.689 is identified as a key support level. As long as the price stays above this, the uptrend is likely to
If the price remains above 0.689, the analysis expects it to move toward the supply zone between 0.697 and 0.701, where there might be resistance or selling pressure.
If a 4-hour candle closes below the 0.689 support level, it signals a potential bearish move. In this case, the price may decline and head towards the demand zone between 0.683 and 0.680.
My Target : supply zone between 0.697 and 0.701.
XAUUSD / UNDER TENSTION IN THE MIDDLE EAST - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The conflict between Iran and Israel has caused a rise in gold prices by 1.80%. Gold, often seen as a safe haven asset, tends to rise in response to global instability.
Prices are currently attempting to reach $2,637 and $2,614.
The all-time high (ATH) price is mentioned as $2,686, with a supply zone extending to $2,720. The text suggests that if prices break above this ATH, they might enter a new supply zone between $2,700 and $2,720.
If gold fails to stay above the supply zone between $2,686 and $2,675 , a decline is expected, possibly reaching the demand zone of $2,637 and $2,614. If prices stabilize below these levels, further declines are predicted.
Despite short-term fluctuations and potential declines
the overall sentiment is bullish, indicating that gold prices are under upward pressure in the long term.
Supply Zone : 2,675$ and 2,686$.
Demand Zone : 2,637$ and 2,624$.
Accumulation Zone : 2,527$ and 2,474$.
NAS100USD / TRADING INSIDE FVG AREA - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
FVG Area (19,880 - 20,098) , The price is attempting to reach a Fair Value Gap (FVG) area. This suggests that the market is looking for equilibrium within this range. The mention of trading and stabilizing in this range implies that consolidation is happening, and a decision on future direction may follow.
Possible Decline to Demand Zone (19,540 - 19,367) , If the price doesn't sustain upward movement within the FVG and begins to weaken, it suggests a potential decline toward the demand zone. Demand zones are areas where buying interest is strong, potentially providing support for the price.
Breaking FVG Area Could Lead to Rise (20,328) , If the price breaks above the FVG area, it is expected to rise, with the next target being the supply line around 20,328. Breaking this level could signal an uptrend.
Uptrend Confirmation (20,654 - 20,785) , For a confirmed uptrend, the price would need to break through this supply zone. Supply zones often represent resistance areas where selling pressure could halt upward momentum.
Supply Zone : 20,654 and 20,785.
Demand Zone : 19,540 and 19,367.
FVG : 19,880 and 20,098.
GBP USD Trade Setup 1-Hour TimeframeOn the 1 hour timeframe, GBP USD has formed a Double Bottom at the Daily + 4 Hour support level.
For a more conservative entry, we need to wait for a breakout of the neckline, followed by a retest.
We’ll then look for candlestick confirmations at the retest level before entering a buy position.
XAUUSD / UNDER TENSTION OF THE MIDDLE EAST - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
After reaching an all-time high (ATH) of $2,686, the price began to decline by 1.60%. This dip is likely due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. However, given the instability in the region, the price is expected to rise again, potentially reaching a supply zone between $2,700 and $2,720.
As long as the price remains stable above the $2,637 and $2,614 levels, my target is to see it returning to $2,686. However, a break below $2,614 triggered a further decline, bringing the price down to $2,586 and potentially testing the next support at $2,559.
My Target : 2,586$.
Supply Zone : 2,700$ , 2,720$.
Demand Zone : 2,586$ , 2,559$.
KOG's RED BOXES - GBPUSD
GBPUSD – 4H
1.3144 break above for 1.35080
1.33263 break below for 1.32153
Have a look at the previous pinned posts on Red boxes to familiarise yourself with how they are so effective in keeping traders the right side of the markets.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
KOG's RED BOXES - EURUSD EURUSD – 4H
1.1182 break above for 1.12265
1.11360 break below for 1.1061
Have a look at the previous pinned posts on Red boxes to familiarise yourself with how they are so effective in keeping traders the right side of the markets.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
KOG's RED BOXES - SILVERSILVER – 4H
31.88 break above for 32.22 / 32.58 / 33.00
31.19 break below for 30.99 / 30.71 / 30.38
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD /UNDER TENTIONS THE MIDDLE EAST - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Trend:
The price has declined by 1.15% since reaching the ATH , A further decline is anticipated, potentially reaching a 1.80% drop , Despite the decline, the text suggests that there is still upward pressure on the price, indicating a possibility of recovery or resistance against further losses , The author expects that if tensions in the Middle East continue, prices could rise above the ATH by 1.34% in October , This suggests a correlation between geopolitical events and market movements.
Technical Analysis:
Current Market Condition:
The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 2,600$, the bullish momentum is expected to continue.
Upward Condition:
- Target 1: If the price trades above FVG between 2,650$ and 2,636$ , it's expected to rise to 2,686$.
- Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 2,686$, it suggest to reach new resistance level between 2,700$ and 2,721$.
Downward Condition:
- If the price falls below 2,636$ , it suggests a potential decline:
- Target : A decline to 2,600$.
Simplified Options Trading Strategy of Power Trend and HeikinAshHey Traders,
If you're looking for a simple yet effective options trading strategy, this one's for you. Let’s break down how to use Heikin Ashi candles combined with moving averages to identify clear trends and maximize profits while minimizing losses.
Why Heikin Ashi?
Heikin Ashi candles are great for filtering out the noise and helping you focus on the bigger picture. They smooth out the price action so you can see whether the market is trending up or down without getting caught in false signals.
Yellow Candles = Bullish Trend: When these appear, it’s a sign that the market is gaining momentum.
Red Candles = Bearish Trend: Red candles indicate the market is losing steam and a potential downtrend.
The Power Trend Setup
This strategy revolves around following the trend using two simple moving averages:
Green Line: Shorter-term moving average (reacts quickly to price changes).
Blue Line: Longer-term moving average (gives you the bigger trend picture).
When to Buy and Exit Calls
Buy Call: When the Heikin Ashi candles turn yellow, and the price crosses above the green moving average, you can enter a call option. This is your signal that the bulls are in control.
Exit Call: When the trend starts to show signs of weakness or the candles start losing momentum, you exit your call option and lock in those gains. This helps avoid holding through a potential reversal.
When to Exit Puts
Exit Put: If you were in a put option during a downtrend (indicated by red candles), you’d want to exit once you see a reversal forming and yellow candles appear. This prevents you from holding through a bullish reversal and losing your profits.
Max Gains, Less Loss
The beauty of this setup is its simplicity: maximize your gains when the trend is strong, and minimize your losses by getting out at the right time. You’re always following the flow of the market, entering and exiting at points that are more likely to bring profits.
Final Thoughts
By sticking to this straightforward approach, you can avoid emotional decision-making and ride the trend with confidence. Whether you’re trading options or just looking for better entries and exits in your stock trades, the Power Trend strategy is all about keeping it simple and staying on the right side of the market.
Let me know in the comments — do you use Heikin Ashi candles or a similar trend-following strategy in your trading? Would love to hear your thoughts!
USDCAD / TRADING INTO DESCENDING CHANNEL & STRAIGHT CHANNEL - 4HUSDCAD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Trend Analysis:
1. August Price Trend:
- The price decline of 4.04% indicates a downward trend throughout the month. This could be due to various factors like market conditions, seasonal variations, or external economic influences.
2. September Price Behavior:
- The initial 1.52% rise in September suggests a possible recovery or correction after the August decline. This could indicate a shift in market sentiment or a reaction to events that occurred at the start of the month.
- The predicted 1.93% decline by the end of September suggests that the recovery was temporary and that the overall trend may continue downward. This could imply continued bearish sentiment or anticipation of adverse conditions.
Technical Analysis:
1. Current Market Condition:
The asset is under bearish pressure , As long as the price remains above 1.361, the bearish momentum is expected to continue.
2. Upward Condition:
- Target 1: If the price breaking 1.361 by closing 4h candle above it , it's expected to rise to 1.370.
- Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 1.370 , the next target is 1.374.
3. Downward Condition:
- If the price trade below 1.361 , it suggests a potential decline:
- Target 1: A decline to 1.350.
- Target 2: If it breaks below 1.350, further decline is expected to 1.344.
USOIL / TRADNING ABOVE SUPPORT LEVEL AT 67.19 - 4H USOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Price Decline of 7.16%: The analysis suggests that there has already been a price drop of 7.16%. This could be the starting point for further analysis or an event that has already occurred.
Breaking and Stabilizing Below 67.19: The level 67.19 seems to be a significant support or resistance point. If prices break below 67.19 and stabilize, it indicates a bearish trend. This might suggest that further declines are likely.
Further Decline of 9.71%: Should the price fall and stabilize below 67.19, the analysis anticipates an additional 9.71% decline.
Current Trading Above 67.19: Presently, prices are still above the 67.19 level, signaling that the market has not yet broken this key point.
Expected Increase of 10.36% : The text predicts an upward movement of 10.36%, potentially implying bullish momentum if the price continues to hold above 67.19.
Possibility of Further Increase: There’s a suggestion that the price could rise even more beyond the 10.36% increase if current trends hold.
Technical Analysis:
Current Market Condition:
The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 67.19, the bullish momentum is expected to continue.
Upward Condition:
- Target 1: If the price trades above 67.19, it's expected to rise to 71.51.
- Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 71.51, the next target is 72.16.
Downward Condition:
- If the price falls below 67.19 , it suggests a potential decline:
- Target 1: A decline to 65.34.
- Target 2: If it breaks below 65.34, further decline is expected to 63.93.
EURUSD Analysis: Anticipating a Slight Bearish Bias Towards 1.1!EURUSD Analysis: Anticipating a Slight Bearish Bias Towards 1.10000 (24/09/2024)
As we analyze the EURUSD pair this week, a slight bearish bias appears probable, with a target near the pivotal level of 1.10000. Key drivers for this outlook include the recent economic data releases, central bank policies, and market sentiment.
1. Economic Data:
Recent Eurozone economic indicators have shown mixed results, with weak manufacturing PMI figures suggesting slowing growth. Conversely, US economic data, particularly strong job numbers and retail sales, point to a robust economy, potentially strengthening the dollar.
2. Central Bank Divergence:
The European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to maintain a dovish stance amid economic uncertainties, while the Federal Reserve appears committed to a tighter monetary policy. This divergence could exert downward pressure on the euro.
3. Market Sentiment:
Increased risk aversion due to geopolitical tensions may lead investors to favor safe-haven currencies like the USD, further supporting the bearish outlook for EURUSD.
In conclusion, the combination of economic fundamentals, central bank policies, and market sentiment suggests that EURUSD may trend towards 1.10000 this week. Traders should stay alert for potential market shifts and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Keywords: EURUSD analysis, bearish bias, economic data, central bank policy, ECB, Fed, market sentiment, forex trading, trading strategies, 1.10000 target.
XAUUSD Flag Breakout Mastery – 100 Pips in Just Hours!You executed a fantastic trade on XAUUSD, capturing a solid 100 pips in 3.5 hours. However, there were additional techniques you could have employed to potentially capture more of the overall move:
Higher Time Frame Confluence: Ensuring the overall trend aligns with the smaller time frame breakout can give you confidence to hold for bigger moves.
Trailing Stop Strategy: This could have helped you lock in profits while giving the trade room to continue further.
Recognizing Momentum: The impulsive nature of the move post-breakout was an indication to hold the trade longer. Momentum trading often provides an opportunity for a bigger run.
Extended Targets: using Fibonacci extensions could have encouraged you to hold for additional profit.
Complete Trade Walkthrough
1. Entry Analysis:
Pattern Recognition & Confluence:
Descending Flag (Bullish): You identified and entered at the top of a descending flag, which is a continuation pattern in a bullish market. The breakout from this flag confirmed the upward momentum, making this a high-probability trade.
Confluence Factors:
Breakout Confirmation: Price broke through the descending resistance line, signaling a continuation of the bullish trend.
Support Zone: The prior lows acted as strong support, providing additional confidence that the price would move higher after the breakout.
This was an excellent, well-timed entry based on price structure. You entered right as the market broke out of the flag, aligning with a momentum-based strategy.
2. Price Action (PA) Analysis:
Impulse and Correction Structure:
Impulse Move: After the breakout, price made an impulsive leg upwards, which you capitalized on. This impulsive move is common following a flag pattern breakout, and the price shot up quickly, reflecting a strong buying pressure.
Correction: You entered just before the impulsive leg, after a period of corrective consolidation, which validated your timing. Once price pushed up, there was a brief consolidation before continuing the uptrend.
Momentum Continuation: Price made higher highs after your exit, indicating that momentum was still intact.
The price action displayed clear continuation signals following the breakout, suggesting that the market was still trending upwards.
3. Trade Management:
Time in the Trade:
You were in this trade for 3.5 hours, which aligns with the short-term nature of this flag breakout. However, the trade ran further, reaching up to 350 pips.
Profit Targeting:
Initial Take Profit (100 pips): You wisely took 100 pips as price approached a prior high. However, the fact that price continued upwards suggests that you might have captured more pips using alternative techniques.
Exit Consideration:
100 Pips Exit: While exiting at a previous high is logical, the lack of signs of reversal (e.g., no strong bearish candles or rejection at key resistance levels) indicated there was still room for the move to extend. The price continuing upward shows that the bullish momentum was strong, and you could have held on for a larger move.
Stop-Loss Placement:
You didn’t mention your stop-loss, but if you placed it below the structure of the flag (and adjusted it accordingly), this would have allowed you to reduce risk and hold for a longer run.
4. Potential Improvements:
Higher Time Frame Analysis (HTF Confluence):
HTF Context: Had you zoomed out to a higher time frame (1H or 4H), you may have seen that the breakout was part of a larger bullish trend, indicating there was potential for the move to continue beyond the 100-pip target.
Price Momentum: The momentum post-breakout on smaller time frames was strong. Checking the HTF would have given more confidence that this wasn’t just a short-term spike, but rather part of a more significant trend.
Trailing Stop Strategy:
Trailing Stops: Once your trade was 100 pips in profit, instead of closing the position entirely, you could have moved your stop-loss up to lock in some profits. This way, you could ride the larger move while managing risk.
Example: After 100 pips, trail your stop just below the previous consolidation or a key structure (e.g., 50 pips back), allowing the trade to breathe and move further in your favor.
Extended Profit Targeting:
Fibonacci Extensions: By using Fibonacci extensions, you could have projected extended profit targets beyond the initial 100 pips. Typically, a flag breakout can lead to an impulse equal to the size of the flagpole, offering more opportunities to scale out of the trade gradually.
“USDZAR on a Downward Trend”The South African Reserve Bank has reduced the policy interest rate to 8.00%. Following this move, the reversals at the 17.40 level in the USDZAR pair have drawn attention. The Fed had unexpectedly cut rates by 50 basis points at its September meeting. This situation has led to significant losses in dollar assets, while we can observe that any increases in the USDZAR pair remain limited.
From a technical perspective, if the exchange rate surpasses the 17.70 level, rises may initially extend to 17.95 and then to the 18.20 resistance level. On the downside, if the 17.40 level is breached, we could see a decline to 17.15 and then to the 16.90 support level.