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GBPUSD: The USD fell, extending the decline from last weekA less aggressive stance from the Federal Reserve caused the U.S. dollar to weaken somewhat in early European trading on Monday, reaching a six-week low and prolonging the previous week's slide. The Dollar Index, which measures the US dollar against a basket of six other currencies, dropped 0.1% to 104.782 at 03:20 ET (08:20 GMT) this morning. Last week, it fell more than 1%, marking the biggest decline since the middle of last year. Following the Federal Reserve's dovish indications regarding additional interest rate hikes during last week's policy-setting meeting, the dollar has declined. The official jobs report released on Friday, which revealed that US nonfarm payrolls rose less than anticipated in October, supported this tone. According to the data, the US labor market is contracting. added to, which has GBP/USD rose 0.1% to 1.2384, continuing last week's strong gains ahead of the release of UK GDP data for the fourth quarter later this week.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
NZDCAD ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVE (RISKY)Hello Guys, I would just point out briefly why I will take this trade if my setup appears despite it being risky and I will also share why I think it is risky. Why is it RISKY? If you go on the weekly chart, you will notice there was a W pattern and price retraced and printed the continuation of the W pattern which should likely make us reach for higher prices. Which means that price could break above my daily OB. Why will is still take the trade? This is because we also have a W pattern on the daily that needs retracement and also we just retraced to the supply orderblock which caused a bearish CHOCH on the daily chart. I will take the short trade if I see a clear bearish CHOCH on the 1hour chart. Do you think it is a risky trade? Follow for more updates like this. Cheers, Jabari
Short
by jabariofafrica
2
Swing Trading BitcoinBitcoin has formed an ascending triangle within a rising channel on the hourly charts. The rising channel on its own gives me reason to expect a breakdown to the 61.8% or 50% retracement levels but the presence of the established ascending triangle has made this consolidation interesting. The development of this bullish signal leads me to believe that their is a sliver of hope for another breakout but this will depend entirely on a large influx of trading volume when the alleged breakout occurs. A false breakout has already taken place on 1 November which makes identifying the ascending triangle that much more difficult to properly recognize. If a low-volume breakout occurs then I believe Bitcoin's value will meet significant resistance at the 100% retracement level -- forming a double top "M" -- and potentially see a shift back to prior retracement levels as suggested in the first paragraph. However, if a high-volume breakout occurs and Bitcoin's value is able to break through the $36,000 USD ceiling, and out of the rising channel altogether, then we could see massive gains as high as the $40,000 level before any significant resistance is met. As always, traders should be weary of any micro or macroeconomic factors that may come into play as this can both fuel and steal momentum. I am very interested in seeing how this plays out but I am not so optimistic that I would trade without an established stop-loss in place nor insert myself in the trade prematurely. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Shepherd_Investor
CADSGD ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHello Traders, We have a situation whereby there are multiple confluences for this bullish move. To start with, on the monthly chart, we can see that price is retracing while forming an 'M' pattern which will complete at the monthly demand orderblock which is a 'W' pattern. This simply means that we should expect bullish price movement. On the weekly chart, we have an unmitigated demand zone and the price is approaching this level while creating an 'M' pattern. The expectation is that the price will mitigate this zone and rally. On the daily timeframe, you will notice there is a demand orderblock that is yet to be mitigated. This orderblock is also in alignment with the equilibrium price level of the weekly demand orderblock. This pair is on my radar and my alert has been set. Waiting for the price to trade into that zone. Follow for more updates like this. Cheers, Jabari
Long
by jabariofafrica
EURCHF ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHey Guys, Longtime since I made a post. Been busy with personal stuff. I do hope trading has been profitable for you. Now, what you will notice on the weekly timeframe is a bearish CHOCH and price on the daily timeframe is approaching the weekly supply orderblock while creating a 'W' pattern. Once price trades into the supply orderblock, I will be interested to see if my trade setup will form so I can take a short trade. Keep this pair on your radar. Follow for more updates like this. Cheers, Jabari
Short
by jabariofafrica
Spy options trader DAILY 0dte etc. Not to say it won't go higher this week depending upon what happens with earnings from major movers but also what J Powell has to say. However also do not forget while everyone with larger accounts on X may be telling you we now bounce back to much higher levels before they even begin to watch for rejection. Some of those same accounts that said support was at $412 to $415 when I said you'd be seeing $400-$410 before a bounce. Well larger accounts now eyeing. $425-$430. I'm still saying watch for rejection issues at the $417 and $420. IMO that $417 level has more confluence and possibilities for overhead R then most are giving it credit for. Even if we break back through it later, I'll be watching for at least one decent rejection and shorting from it was my plan. Even if my Puts bought at closing don't pay tomorrow, we did great with the Friday puts from R given that morning at premarket as well as playing it basically the same way this morning. 0Dte puts and 31st puts were up 55-110% within the 1st 2 hours of trading. Most were closed WAY into profits within the 1st hour or LESS of trading. Now we see what the MM do over night and if they can keep pushing it UP. On the #spx CBOE:SPX I'll be watching for R at the 4180-4190 level. My puts will begin there for at least a daily pullback to make $ in that hour. I think puts from $4187 look sweet for a daily play. If I'm wrong you'll clearly have your receipts, lol
AMEX:SPY
by rarebreed29
THE KOG REPORTKOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would like to see how the market opened and how the lower support regions 1975 and below that 1968 would hold up price. Based on these levels holding we suggested opportunities to long the market to firstly attempt the break of the 2000 level and then the target region of 2015. We gave the order region 1950-55, price bullish above, and KOG’s bias of the week level 1970 bullish above with target levels 1999 and 2015 for the week. As you can see, price did hold above with a slight dip lower than 1968 but we stuck with KOG’s daily bias which was shared daily with traders and completed not only the 1999 level, but also numerous level to level gold targets on the way up with 2015 still open! A great week for us on the markets, not just on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade and share netting a phenomenal pip capture for our traders. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? To start with, with can expect more aggressive price action across the markets so please trade carefully, or, don’t trade at all. Money is also made while sitting and cash in your account is a position in the market. New traders should ideally be watching and practicing, using this time to further educate themselves and develop their strategies. These markets are only after one thing, your money! If you get this wrong, it can go horribly wrong, so levels, entries, exits and your risk model are really important. The chart shows the levels for the week we have highlighted with the key reaction zones we’ll be looking at. We’re still open for last week’s target level at 2015 but a pull back would be ideal. For that reason, if we start with bullish momentum into that resistance level and hold, based on a clean set up, we feel an opportunity to short the market is on the cards, initially into the immediate support 1995-90 and then below that 1975. Our bias remains as bullish above, however, there is a chance there may be some profit taking this week, so expect the unexpected, if that level breaks, we’ll be looking lower into the 1950-55 region to then attempt the long trade. On the flip, if we start the session and week with a move to the downside, we will be looking for immediate resistance levels to hold and take this down into that 1975 region level to level on the short side looking for support levels to hold in order to take this back up into that 2015 level and above that 2022. We’ll use our daily bias and targets as well as the red box strategy together with our trusted Excalibur to guide us. What we don’t want to do here at this point of the market is buy upside when there is potential for this to correct some of this move. So levels are key here! Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
Trading strategyA trading strategy encompasses a set of guidelines for initiating a position. A trading system encompasses a set of rules for consistently profitable trading. This involves a clear comprehension of your strategy, specifying the assets you trade, the setups you utilize, the risk involved, preferred timeframes, and other pertinent details. Consistency: A meticulously crafted action plan serves as a tool to maintain a steady trading strategy while minimizing the sway of emotions on your decision-making. Such consistency often yields more predictable results and enhances overall performance over time. Confidence: Equipped with a playbook, you can trade with increased self-assurance, knowing that you are following a tried-and-tested strategy. This confidence alleviates stress and anxiety, enabling you to maintain focus and make sound decisions. Adaptability: In the face of shifting market conditions, having a playbook at your disposal empowers you to adjust and fine-tune your strategies as needed. This adaptability is a critical factor in staying ahead and sustaining success in the constantly evolving realm of trading. 4 distinct components that constitute a trading strategy: Context: Context encompasses the surroundings and circumstances related to a trading idea or event. It is crucial for a comprehensive understanding of the situation and is vital for maximizing the potential of your trading strategy. Many traders erroneously believe that a trading strategy is simply about identifying patterns or triggers along with basic risk management. For instance, some may focus on trading Order Blocks. However, the key to making Order Blocks a profitable tool lies in applying the correct context. Patterns: The second component involves identifying the triggers or patterns that dictate when to enter a position. Context is applied to these triggers for in-depth analysis, aligning them with the risk-to-reward parameters defined in your trading system. Triggers can vary widely and should be chosen according to your individual trading style and strategy. Position Management: Inexperienced traders often find themselves overwhelmed when they enter a position, leading to irrational decisions. Defining a repeatable process for managing your trades is essential. This process should align with the goals set out in your trading strategy. For instance, if your strategy aims for a risk-to-reward ratio of 3R or higher, your approach will differ from someone targeting a minimum of 1.5R. To ensure consistency, it's crucial to avoid excessive discretion when managing positions, such as attempting to achieve a 1:5 risk-to-reward ratio, placing short stops, or averaging down. Instead, aim for strict consistency, gradually honing your skills. Risk Management: The final facet of any trading system is risk management. Poor risk management is a leading cause of trader failures. It often results from excessive leverage and a lack of understanding. Your risk management plan doesn't need to be overly complex, but it must be clear and diligently adhered to. By following a robust risk management strategy, you can avoid the pitfalls that ensnare many inexperienced traders who destroy their accounts due to reckless trading practices. It may vary depending on your trading style, but for day trading I recommend the following: * 1% maximum risk per trade * 2% maximum per day * 6% maximum per week * 10% maximum per month 6 essential steps to build and refine your trading strategy: Determine Your Trading Style: Start by defining your trading style, whether you are a day trader, swing trader, or long-term investor. This choice guides your selection of appropriate strategies, time frames, and risk management techniques. For instance, specify your preferred win rate (e.g., 50%+), risk-to-reward ratio (e.g., 2R minimum), and trading style (e.g., scalping, position trading, or swing trading). Research and Select Strategies: Explore various trading strategies and choose the ones that align with your trading style, risk tolerance, and financial objectives. You may want to consider strategies like Smart Money trading, which could be particularly beneficial. Define Entry and Exit Criteria: For each selected strategy, outline precise entry and exit criteria. Determine your stop loss and profit targets to ensure you execute trades accurately and limit potential losses. It's crucial to establish a well-defined trade management plan that guides step-by-step position management. For example, decide to move your position to break-even when a 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio is reached, open trades exclusively with a 1:2 ratio, or close 50% of your position at 1:1 and the remaining 50% at 1:3. Establish Risk Management Rules: Implement robust risk management rules to safeguard your capital. These rules might include setting a maximum percentage of your account balance to risk per trade or using Expert Advisors to automatically determine position sizing for risk control. Test Your Strategies: Prior to committing real capital, test your strategies using historical market data or a demo account. This testing phase allows you to refine your strategy and build confidence in your approach. If you cannot achieve positive results on a demo account, it's advisable to avoid risking real money until you've honed your skills. Analyze Your Trades: Maintain a comprehensive trade journal recording the strategy used, entry and exit points, and relevant market conditions for each trade. Regularly review your trade results to pinpoint areas for improvement and adapt your trading plan accordingly. Analyzing your trades is crucial for continuous growth as a trader. Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Crypto4light
13
Bitcoin 4H RSI OVERBOUGHT BEARISH DIVERGENCEBitcoin Price Analysis: As of the latest available data, Bitcoin (BTC) has reached a local high at $35,280. This level has acted as a significant resistance point in the recent price history. If Bitcoin is unable to break above this resistance, it could potentially signify a short-term top. This is an important level to watch as it may signal a reversal or consolidation in the price movement. 4-Hour RSI Overbought Bearish Divergence: The 4-hour RSI is a technical indicator that measures the momentum of the price. An RSI value above 70 is often considered overbought, indicating that the asset might be due for a pullback or correction. However, it's important to note that overbought conditions can persist in strong bullish trends. The bearish divergence occurs when the price makes a higher high, while the RSI makes a lower high. This can be a sign that the current uptrend is losing momentum, and a reversal might be on the horizon. Given the combination of the price reaching a significant resistance level and the 4-hour RSI showing signs of overbought bearish divergence, traders should exercise caution and consider potential short-term downside risk. This does not necessarily mean that a major trend reversal is imminent, but it could indicate that a pullback or consolidation phase may be in store.
by sailortrades
BTC DO NOT DOING THIS, I WILL TRY All this has been stretched out for me for a long time, at 29700 I was not berish, I tried the scalp and that's it. Somehow I believe we can capture this and win a nice profit. Very risky but tempting for me. We are waiting for spikes and place the order as you like, if I am wrong let the price deny me. If anyone knows how to post a closed order through the exchange, feel free to contact me, because I don't know how else to do it except for the link
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by learnfromfailure
EURUSD: EUR/USD recovered to 1.0600 as USD reversed to declineEUR/USD was pressured in the European session by the conflict in the Middle East and the broad recovery of the USD and US government bond yields. The next key event is the EU Consumer Sentiment Report. EUR/USD is currently rising for the 3rd day in the past 4 days and is above the 20-day MA. Technical indicators on the daily chart show bullish signals, with RSI moving higher. If the day closes above 1.0640, the bullish momentum could continue. On the contrary, if the price falls below the 1.0500 support, it will attract more selling pressure. EUR/USD is currently rising for the 3rd day in the past 4 days and is above the 20-day MA. Technical indicators on the daily chart show bullish signals, with RSI moving higher. If the day closes above 1.0640, the bullish momentum could continue. On the contrary, if the price falls below the 1.0500 support, it will attract more selling pressure.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
1