EURUSD Buy Off S&RWith the recent USD weakness and NFP news coming up, this could be a good opportunity for a buy trade to recent highs.
Tradingsignals
World gold prices did not change much when the USD index strengtAdvisors are also monitoring the Institute of Applied Management (ISM) service numbers and initial unemployment claims expected to be announced later in the day, along with data on the situation. Wages in the US non-agricultural sector are expected to be announced on October 4.
In a recent interview with Kitco, Chris Mancini - Associate Portfolio Manager of the Gabelli Gold Fund (GOLDX), shared his optimistic view on gold. He noted that even if gold prices stabilize around $2,650 an ounce, gold miners will still make solid profits.
Although the FOMO (fear of missing out) mentality in the mining sector is not really optimal, Mancini said he hopes this mentality will change as the new year approaches.
AUDCHF: Bullish Continuation After Fundamental News 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF may continue growing after a release of
positive US fundamentals.
I will expect a bullish movement at least to 0.585
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USDJPY / UNDER BULLISH PRESSUE / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
after breakout from a channel, leading to a price increase of 1.82%. The breakout signals potential for further upward movement.
The price is expected to retest a Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is a technical term in trading that represents an area on the chart where price moved quickly, leaving little to no volume. The specified FVG zone is between 145.303 and 144.367. A retest of this area could indicate the market finding support here.
If the price remains above this FVG area and stabilizes, there is an expectation of further increases, potentially reaching the supply zone between 147.602 and 149.360. This suggests that the supply zone is where there could be selling pressure.
A break above the supply zone would indicate even more upside potential for prices.
On the downside, if the price closes a 4-hour candle below the FVG area, the expectation is for prices to decline. This could lead the price to a demand zone between 142.672 and 141.736, suggesting buying interest might come in at this level.
Supply Zone : 147.602 and 149.360.
Demand Zone : 142.672 and 141.736.
FVG : 145.303 and 144.367.
XAU/USD technical analysis: Gold price creeps lower Gold rate is upwardly biased in spite of dropping a few steam as investors ee-e book profits, expecting the following section of the conflict. Momentum stays bullish as depicted via way of means of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) however is exiting from overbought conditions, sparking the retracement.
If XAU/USD drops below $2,650, this will open the door to check the September 30 every day low of $2,624, observed via way of means of the September 18 top at $2,600. A breach of the latter will reveal the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,513.
On similarly strength, if it clears the all time excessive of $2,685, it can amplify its profits to $2,700.
💎 TVC:GOLD BUY 2645 - 2642💎
✔️TP1: 2660
✔️TP2: 2670
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2635
Gold Price Analysis October 3Fundamental Analysis
The US dollar (USD) extended its recovery from its lowest level since July 2023 and advanced to a three-week high amid fading prospects of more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This, in turn, was seen as a major factor undermining demand for the non-yielding yellow metal, although continued tensions in the Middle East helped limit losses.
Iran launched more than 200 ballistic missiles at Israel on Tuesday, while Israel conducted a precision airstrike and bombed the center of Beirut in Lebanon early Thursday. This raised the risk of a full-blown war in the region and dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, which was reflected in the generally weaker tone in equity markets and acted as a boost to safe-haven gold prices. The US economic agenda on Thursday could provide some impetus for XAU/USD, although the focus will still be on the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday.
Technical Analysis
Technically, the trading range is still maintained around the 2643 and 2671 areas. There is no strong movement yet, gold is still having difficulty breaking out of this price range. The main BUY SELL entry that we are waiting for is still in the 2683-2685 and 2624-2622 areas.
There is a small resistance in the 2645 - 2642 area, stoploss is placed at 2640 only. This resistance is a bit thin, move gently.
Resistance 2636 - 2635 stoploss 2630 catch up a beat before the US session.
Wait until the US, the margin is further, if the price falls, you can only catch it at 2622 - 2620, stoploss 2616.
Break point 2664, then wait for 2672 - 2674 to sell lightly again, stoploss 2678
Sell point 2683 - 2685, stoploss 2689
Round resistance 2690 is not expected much but note here to pay attention to how it is. Focus on the 2700 area.
Gold price slumps on Wednesday amid heightened tensions between Gold retreated on Wednesday in the course of the North American consultation and dropped 0.50% each day as investors eyed Israel`s response to Iran`s assault on Tuesday. Geopolitics stays the driving force for investors, which lifted Gold fees after posting returned-to-returned bearish classes when you consider that final Friday. At the time of writing, the XAU/USD trades at $2,648 after hitting a excessive of $2,663.
The marketplace temper stays downbeat, as portrayed via way of means of US equities buying and selling withinside the red. According to exceptional newswires, traits withinside the Middle East endorse an escalation is likely. This shows that Bullion fees may want to enlarge their profits withinside the quick term.
Israel's envoy to the United Nations commented that Iran will face effects for its missile assault on Tuesday. At the equal time, US Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell brought that it is “now no longer simply Israel this is considering reaction alternatives to Iran assault, US is too.”
In addition, personal hiring withinside the United States (US) improved above estimates in September, in line with ADP National Employment Change data. Meanwhile, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin stated the 50-basis-point (bps) fee reduce in September mentioned that quotes were “out of sync.”
Barkin brought that a few factors of the financial system endorse the disinflation manner could retain however that "it stays tough to mention that the inflation struggle has but been won.”
EURUSD / TRADING UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE - 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The prices are currently trending lower, indicating a bearish market sentiment. The next move depends on whether the prices break below or hold certain levels.
Zone between 1.112 and 1.110 , This is identified as a key demand zone, meaning buyers may step in here to prevent further decline. If prices hold in this zone, there’s potential for a reversal upward.
If the price closes below this range based on a 4-hour candle , it suggests continued bearish momentum.
If prices fall below the demand zone, the next target would be between 1.107 and 1.104. This area is likely seen as a FVG , where the price may stabilize or find new demand.
Stabilizing above 1.112 indicates bullish strength and suggests potential upward movement ,The next resistance levels are 1.117 and, if broken, the price could further rise to 1.122.
Supply Zone : 1.117 and 1.125.
Demand Zone : 1.112 and 1.110.
FVG : 1.107 and 1.104.
ADA Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW ?The ADA is in a ascending triangle now which means the price will increase and also It is expected that the price would at least grow as good as the measured price movement(AB=CD)
Note: we should wait for the breaking of the triangle and than make a move!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Gold is also under pressure from the USDGold has been buying and selling inside an ascending broadening wedge and trending better. The average fashion stays upward, because the rate is above the 20-day and 50-day SMAs. However, gold is extraordinarily overbought withinside the quick term, because the RSI indicates. Therefore, the rate is correcting decrease towards the yellow dotted trendline, which intersects with the 20 SMA. Therefore, this rate correction is possibly to locate assist round 20 SMA, wherein the following purchase sign may also emerge. The gold stays upward trending so long as the rate stays above $2514.
The gold marketplace additionally trended better at the 4-hour chart, forming an ascending channel pattern. The rate peaked at $2,685.sixty four on Thursday remaining week, achieving the resistance stage of this ascending channel. However, gold is presently locating assist on the midline of this channel and rebounded better on Tuesday. Two assist ranges are seen at the 4-hour chart: the midline assist at $2,630 and the decrease channel assist at $2,582. These assist ranges also are determined at the day by day chart above.
💎 TVC:GOLD BUY 2649 - 2647💎
✔️TP1: 2660
✔️TP2: 2668
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2640
Gold price is in the most balanced state in the past 2 monthsMany observers consider that call for for gold in China might also additionally decline after the authorities has simply brought a sequence of measures to rescue the economy, which include the actual property market. Cash go with the drift abruptly determined its manner to Chinese stocks.
Gold is likewise below stress from the USD all at once strengthening withinside the October 1 consultation withinside the context of a sequence of different nations seeking to pump cash to aid the economy.
The DXY index (measuring the fluctuation of the USD in opposition to a basket of 6 predominant currencies) accelerated once more to 101.2 factors at the night of October 1 (Vietnam time), in comparison to 100.36 factors on October 25. 9, however nonetheless decrease than the extent of 103 factors in mid-August and the extent of 106.25 factors on the stop of April.
Currently, gold continues to be supported via way of means of escalating geopolitical tensions withinside the Middle East. Signs display that Israel has a clean gain withinside the region. And it's far possibly that the state of affairs withinside the Middle East will settle down after a warm period.
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD BUY 2649 - 2647💎
✔️TP1: 2660
✔️TP2: 2668
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2640
Gold price analysis on 2nd of MayFundamental Analysis
According to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), risk-off sentiment was the main reason why investors shifted their attention from better-than-expected US employment data to stable business activity in the manufacturing sector.
News reports revealed that Iran attacked Israel. According to ABC sources, Iran will launch 240-250 missiles at Israel. Meanwhile, Israel revealed that its air force will continue to attack targets in Lebanon, while US National Security Advisor Sullivan said, "There will be serious consequences for this attack."
Technical Analysis
Gold broke the trendline and was pushed back to the uptrend, exiting the downtrend channel and facing an important resistance level of 2673. When the price breaks the 2673 zone, it will form a strong uptrend channel and head towards 2700. The pullback to 2643 is considered an opportunity to buy at the present time, let's wait for the price reaction and trade together.
Trading signals
BUY GOLD 2643-2641 Stoploss 2538
SELL GOLD 2672-2674 Stoploss 2677
SELL GOLD 2684-2686 Stoploss 2688
SELL GOLD 2699-2700 Stoploss 2704
GOLD - one n single area, holds or not??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our analysis and congratulations to all.
Now we have single area again for tomorrow that is 2657.
Keep close that area because it will play key role in tomorrow and in next move.
One more thing is keep in mind that 2657 below we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Nasdaq - Another +50% From Here!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) just broke out of a major channel:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It really seems like the Nasdaq is about to repeat the breakout behaviour of 2020. However, last month the Nasdaq showed some significant signs of weakness and vulnerability. The next couple of months will be very decisive, but the past of least resistance still seems towards the upside.
Levels to watch: $20.000, $25.000, $16.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Strategies for Trading German Stocks with a Focus on 1&1 AGCurrent market conditions favour this stock, but only if it falls to the monthly demand level of around 11 euros per share. As digital communication expands, companies like 1&1 AG are positioned to thrive amidst rising competition and innovation.
Expecting the price of 1&1 AG stock to drop to the strong monthly imblanace at 11 euros per share.
XAUUSD / SENSETIVE AREA TRADING - 4HXAUUSD / 4HTIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Yesterday: Gold prices declined by 1.70%.
Today: Prices began to recover, rising by 0.95%.Analysts expect a further increase in prices, potentially reaching gains of 1.50%
Gold is currently trading below a supply zone between $2,655 and $2,665. This zone represents a key resistance level, where sellers may dominate and prevent further price
If gold continues to trade below the $2,655–$2,665 supply zone, it could decline further, with support levels at $2,637 and $2,614.
If the price breaks above the supply zone, it may rise towards $2,686, a potential resistance level.
Despite the recent dip, the market is under bullish pressure, indicating that buyers are still in control and could push prices higher in the near future.
Supply Zone : 2,655 and 2,665$.
Demand Zone : 2,637$ and 2,614$.
USDJPY trading signalsSELL USDJPY broke the trendline and support zone of the Asian session. The signal has retested the trend zone to welcome our entry before falling 50 pips.
SELL USDJPY small lot now zone 144.200-144.400
Stoploss 144.600
Take Profit 1 143.800
Take Profit 2 142.500
Lower performance reduces the opportunity cost of holding goldGold prices are under pressure as the US Federal Reserve (FED) signals a moderate pace in the next safety break. According to Kitco, FED Chairman Jerome Powell has just taken a rather positive tone, noting that "the economy is in a solid state."
“Looking ahead, if the economy develops as expected, policy will shift in a more neutral direction. But we don't have any predefined programs. The risks are two-sided and we will continue to make our decisions with each competition.
Our decision to reduce interest rates by 50 basis points reflects our idea that, with appropriate calibrating of school policies, labor market strength can be maintained. , in the context of economic growth and the possibility of inflation falling firmly to 2%," Mr. Powell said.
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Buy 2624 - 2627💎
✔️TP1: 2647
✔️TP2: 2657
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2619
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Sell 2657 - 2655💎
✔️TP1: 2647
✔️TP2: 2637
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2663
Investors stay away from goldAs risk appetite increases, investors are shunning gold, which is often seen as a safe haven asset in times of uncertainty.
Earlier, Tim Waterer, market analyst at futures trading firm KCM Trade, said gold still has room to rise to $2,700 an ounce if this week's labor market data could prompt the Fed to cut interest rates by another 0.75 percentage points by year-end.
Meanwhile, Bart Melek, head of commodity strategy at TD Securities, said the Fed is on a loose monetary policy path after cutting interest rates by 50 basis points and signaling that rates could fall to 3% by 2026, which bodes well for gold.
Gold Analysis October 1Fundamental Analysis
Wall Street traded mixed as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell delivered remarks at the 66th NABE Annual Meeting. Powell ruled out a 50 basis point (bps) interest rate cut at any of the central bank’s remaining policy meetings. Powell said there would be two more 25-bps cuts by 2024 if the economy performs as expected.
The greenback, as measured by the US Dollar Index (DXY), rose 0.15% to 100.56, a drag on the non-yielding metal. A light economic calendar in the US saw the Chicago PMI improve for a third straight month but remain in recessionary territory.
Geopolitical tensions remained high after Israel attacked Hezbollah headquarters in Lebanon, killing the group’s leader in the attack. While this warrants further gains for gold, bullion has failed to gain traction, analysts say.
Meanwhile, China’s economy remains sluggish, which has prompted a government response. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) is implementing additional economic stimulus measures, which has stimulated money flows into the country’s soaring stock market.
Technical Analysis
A short-term bearish channel is in place, as long as gold remains below the 2643 zone, the downtrend is likely to continue and extend to the 2600 round harbor. Watch for price reaction zones for BUY signals in the 2626-2615-2604 zone. In case of a trend break, the uptrend is limited by the immediate resistance zone 2656.
Trading signals
BUY GOLD zone 2626-2624 Stoploss 2625
BUY GOLD zone 2615-2613 Stoploss 2609
BUY GOLD zone 2604-2602 Stoploss 2599
SELL GOLD zone 2656-2658 Stoploss 2671
SELL GOLD zone 2643-2645 Stoploss 2649
Exploring Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy ETF @BTFExploring the Valkyrie Bitcoin and Ethereum Strategy ETF. Bitcoin ( NASDAQ:BTF ).. strong monthly imbalance in control playing our with BTC cryptocurrency currently attempting to break its all-time high again, with a monthly demand level also in control. Long term investment opportunity. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum are trending upwards and have a significant monthly demand level in control, contributing to the rise of these cryptocurrencies and the
GOLD - at immediate support? holds or not??#GOLD... perfect moved as per our analysis, and now market have one of the most important and immediate supporting area that is 2634 around.
keep close that level because if market hold it then in that case you can expect again bounce form here otherwise not.
don't be lazy here.
good luck
trade wisely
BTCUSD Trend continuation after a correctionThe recent BTCUSDT surge following CZ's release from jail could serve as a catalyst for a continued bullish move. The current market structure shows the formation of higher highs and higher closes, signaling positive momentum. After bouncing off the 53,000 support level, the price has rallied toward current resistance levels. On the daily chart, the price broke and closed above the previous resistance, suggesting a potential trend shift.
This breakout could mark the beginning of a new bullish phase. A pullback is likely, and if the price rejects the support level and holds the upward trendline, further upward movement could be expected
