Gold price forecast December 17, 2024World gold prices increased slightly as the USD dropped. Recorded at 9:45 am on December 17, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 106,470 points (down 0.08%).
The gold market is cautious as investors prepare to receive the decision of the US Federal Reserve (FED), which is expected to reduce interest rates with a "hawkish" message after the monetary policy meeting. last of the year.
Although gold prices maintained a sideways trend ahead of Wednesday's decision, one analyst said the message from the Fed could lead to a larger correction in the precious metals market.
This medium-term upward trend is mainly driven by new economic policies, including deeper corporate tax cuts and increased tariffs on imports to the US. These policies could cause inflation to increase in 2025 and beyond.
Wong also highlighted that real yields on the 10-year note have rebounded sharply after testing the 1.9% support level last week. If it increases to 2.29%, the opportunity cost of holding gold will be higher, making gold less attractive to investors.
Trading
Cup & Handle Pattern TutorialA cup and handle pattern is a bullish continuation pattern that signals a potential upward price movement after a consolidation period. Here's a breakdown of its key components:
Cup: The pattern starts with a downward move in price, forming a rounded bottom (the "cup"). The price then rallies back up to the level where it began, creating a U-shape.
Handle: After the cup forms, the price pulls back downward in a smaller, rounded formation (the "handle"). This handle is typically a consolidation period before the price resumes its upward trend.
Win Rate
The cup and handle pattern is known for its high reliability and success rate. Research shows that it has a 95% success rate in bull markets and an average profit of around 54%. However, it's important to follow strict trading rules to achieve these results
Inverse Head & Shoulder Tutorial An inverse head and shoulders pattern is the opposite of the head and shoulders pattern and signals a potential bullish reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. Here's a breakdown of its key components:
Left Shoulder: The price falls to a trough and then rises back to a resistance level.
Head: The price falls again to a lower trough and then rises back to the same resistance level.
Right Shoulder: The price falls again but only to the level of the first trough, then rises once more.
The pattern gets its name because it resembles an upside-down head with shoulders on either side. The neckline is the resistance level connecting the highest points of each peak.
Types of Inverse Head and Shoulders Patterns
Inverse Head and Shoulders Bottom: This pattern signals a potential reversal from a bearish trend to a bullish trend.
How to Trade It
Breakout Confirmation: The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks above the neckline in an inverse head and shoulders bottom.
Entry Point: Traders often enter a long position when the neckline is broken in an inverse head and shoulders bottom.
SILVER Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is going down
Now and is about to retest
A horizontal support level
Around 29.81$ but its a
Strong key level so after
The retest we will be expecting
A local bullish rebound
And a move up
Buy!
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NZD_JPY BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅NZD_JPY is going up now
And we are already seeing a
Bullish breakout of the key
Level of 88.80 which is now
A support which reinforces
Our bullish bias and we will
Be expecting a further move up
LONG🚀
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$HITI is presenting another buying opportunity here! NASDAQ:HITI
-We are still holding onto our support level and turning previous resistance into support. If we dip lower we are going back to $2.81-$3 to officially retest the cup & handle breakout before we head higher.
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Williams Consolidation Box is thriving
-9ema is catching up to the stock price
-Same thing as before got to wait for the IWM to make it's move higher before we get sustenance.
$NVTS - Presenting a buying opp. before it's massive 300% move! NASDAQ:NVTS
As I said from the beginning, this name is going to be a bumpy ride, but I believe it's presenting another buying opportunity as we pull back to level 2 support at $2.90ish, which is also where the 9ema and falling wedge retest area are. I'm not concerned because we haven't started moving big on the IWM yet, and until then, most small caps won't move unless they have a catalyst.
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Searching for out support to create our Williams Consolidation Box officially
-Two separate volume shelfs below.
Everything is still intact; you just have to be patient.
NFA
$FUBO UPDATE! We may be primed for a BIG BOUNCE! NYSE:FUBO
-Staying patient and believe we may now be going for a triple bottom before we have our large move to the upside as you see on the daily chart below.
-Weekly H5 indicator is still GREEN
-We are also on the floor and green bounce area on the williams r%! Which to this point you've see what happens when we get there
-I'm not concerned because we haven't started moving big on the IWM yet and until then most small caps won't move unless they have a catalyst.
AUDJPY Analysis - BuyAUDJPY Analysis Overview
1. Seasonality:
AUD: Bearish until midweek — Seasonal weakness in AUD early in the week aligns with a short-term bearish sentiment.
JPY: Bullish — JPY strength throughout the week supports its safe-haven appeal.
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2. COT Report (Commitment of Traders):
AUD:
4-week flip indicates a Sell bias.
Non-commercial short positions are increasing, signaling bearish sentiment for AUD.
JPY:
4-week flip indicates a Buy bias.
Non-commercial long positions are increasing, reinforcing bullish sentiment for JPY.
---
3. Fundamental Analysis:
LEI (Leading Economic Indicator):
AUD:Decreasing — Suggests deteriorating economic momentum, adding to bearish pressure.
JPY: Range — Neutral economic conditions but still supportive due to JPY's safe-haven status.
Endogenous Factors:
AUD: Mix to Decreasing — Weak internal factors limit AUD’s strength.
JPY: Increasing — Improving domestic conditions support JPY buying.
---
4. Exogenous Factors:
GBPJPY: Strong Sell — Broader risk-off sentiment in the market favors safe-haven currencies like JPY over risk-sensitive ones like AUD.
---
5. Technical Analysis:
On the 1-hour chart:
A Cup and Handle pattern and an ABCD pattern are forming, indicating bullish potential.
After point C, the price is making Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), suggesting a bullish continuation.
These bullish patterns present a good Buy Opportunity, especially as the price confirms its breakout above the handle.
---
Bias: Buy
Despite AUD's seasonal weakness early in the week, the technical setup on the 1-hour chart favors a bullish bias for AUDJPY. JPY's strength provides additional support for safe-haven flows, but the technical patterns indicate that AUDJPY has room to rally in the short term. Consider entering long positions upon confirmation of the breakout above the handle.
Is Gold About to Make a Big Move?Here’s What to Watch:
If Gold Breaks Above $2,721:
We could see it climb to $2,900 or even $3,000!
If Gold Drops Below $2,600:
It might fall to $2,500 or even $2,400 before finding support and bouncing back.
The Upside:
If gold pushes past $2,721 and holds strong, it could mean big gains ahead. Keep an eye out for a run toward $3,000, but watch for pullbacks near that level.
The Downside:
A drop below $2,600 could mean trouble in the short term, with possible dips to $2,500 and $2,400. These levels might give gold a chance to settle before making its next move higher.
Wellness Tip:
Trading can be stressful, so don’t forget to take a break! A quick 5-minute breathing exercise can work wonders—breathe in for 4 seconds, hold for 4 seconds, and exhale for 4 seconds. This helps clear your mind and keep you focused.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Micron (MU) is Heating Up! Breakout at $114.52 and Soar UP Key Levels to Watch:
Breakout Level: $114.52
Retracement Target: $122
Major Resistance Levels:
First Target: $140
Final Target: $170
What to Expect:
If MU can break and close above $114.52, we could see a retracement to $122, creating a solid base for the next leg up. Once it clears $140, the path to $170 becomes much clearer. This level will be critical for the bulls, and if it’s breached, MU could be in for an exciting run!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
GBP-JPY Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A bullish breakout of the
Key horizontal level of 194.327
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are bullish biased and
We will be expecting further
Growth after a potential pullback
Buy!
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AUD-CHF Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF is already making
A bullish rebound from the
Horizontal support level
Of 0.5668 while trading
In a local uptrend so we
Will be expecting a further
Local bullish continuation
Buy!
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Get Ready for a MASSIVE Week Ahead! Watch now! 🚨 Get Ready for a MASSIVE Week Ahead! 🚨
Don't miss out on preparing for the upcoming week and the year-end Santa Claus Rally! Make sure to watch this entire video to stay ahead of the game.
📊 In this video, we'll cover:
-Major economic news and events
-Market trends for NASDAQ:QQQ , AMEX:SPY , and AMEX:IWM
-Latest updates on all current H5 Trades such as NYSE:HIMS NASDAQ:MBLY NYSE:SQ NASDAQ:MARA NYSE:FUBO & more!
This video is JAM-PACKED with insights and valuable gems you don't want to miss! 💎
Buckle up and check it out now! 👇
NEAR Long Spot Trade OpportunityMarket Context:
NEAR continues to demonstrate strength, presenting a solid opportunity for a long spot trade. The structure shows clear upward momentum, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for entries within the identified range.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $5.85 – $6.50
Take Profit Targets:
First zone: $8.25 – $9.00
Second zone: $10.75 – $12.00
Stop Loss: Just below $5.50
This setup is well-defined, combining strong entry levels with clear profit targets while maintaining disciplined risk management. 🚀
US500 Is Very Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for US500.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 6,060.5.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 6,114.4 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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