Completion of the correction of the dollar index DXY.H4 13.09.24Completion of the correction of the dollar index DXY
The dollar index has completed its upward correction and now we are waiting for a downside downdraft on the Fed on the 18th of September. In fact, the currency futures expiration has now passed and the gap that you see in the quotes is caused by a large divergence of forward point, that is a purely technical picture. Some suppliers may have different quotes by the numbers.
From current levels +- I expect a correction up again and a continuation of the fall after Powell's speech on Wednesday 18 September. I do not set targets at the low yet, I will be looking at it in the process
Tradeidea
Silver Analysis. H4 12.09.2024Silver Analysis. H4 12.09.2024
An interesting situation is fprming in silver. I haven't reviewed it for a while, but a cool pattern is forming now. The price is forming an exit to the upper boundary of the range and fixing near the margin. On the way we made accumulation and buyers' zone 28.50-28.85 in case of correction to which we can buy with targets to renew the highs. The main volumes remained at the bottom and will be a support for the price.
Thoughts on EURUSD before the ECB rate. H4 12.09.2024Thoughts on EURUSD before the ECB rate
I expect the euro to reach 1.0950-1.10 down to the area of option hedges and profile accumulation, and then continue to grow. Of course, there may be surprises, but this is my prior view. In detail we need to keep an eye on the new option fillings, they will tell us which areas will be hedged. The market is expecting a 0.25% rate cut, but the main movement will be given at the press conference on further ECB monetary policy plans. My subscribers and I closed our sales in the private channel yesterday.
Waiting for USDCHF to rise. H4 10.09.2024Waiting for USDCHF to rise
The franc got a beautiful culmination on Friday with a false takeout of the support level around 0.84. The price gave an upward reaction and overlapped the culmination candle. Usually in such cases make an internal pullback and upside as shown in the scheme. We bought in a private channel at 0.8410 and also wrote about it immediately, as I bought it myself. According to the options, we will continue to grow to the area of 0.8750 with intermediate fixation near 0.8600. On options, we are still in a strong oversold zone, so the upside potential on the near-term contracts is pretty good as well.
Working off the rise in the dollar index DXY. H4 09.09.2024Working off the rise in the dollar index DXY
Last week I expected the dollar index to rise to the area of 102 and higher. We made a pullback on it, but the depth of the correction was bigger than initially expected, but it did not affect the result. Now they are making a rebound to 102, but then might correction around 102.30. On Thursday we will know the US inflation for August and the unemployment rate on Friday. On this news the main movements on the dollar will be made.
EUR/USD 15M Short Trade IdeaI'm watching for a short opportunity on EUR/USD as the market shows signs of weakening around a key resistance zone. Momentum is shifting, and with volatility expected to increase during the New York session, I’m targeting a quick move to the downside. This setup aligns with my strategy for capturing short-term bearish momentum. Let’s see how it plays out!
Downside breakdown USDJPY H4. 06.09.2024Downside breakdown USDJPY
Yen broke a reversal pattern and decided to make a breakout to 140. This is a strong support level from which I expect a local rebound on upward correction. On options, this scenario is also confirmed, considering that today is the expiration of monthly options. The margin is also a bit higher, ideally make a false breakdown down and then look for a culmination on a corrective buyback.
USD/CAD 1H Chart Analysis: Preparing for a Long Setup Next WeekAs we head into the weekend, my focus is on USD/CAD for next week. The pair has been showing bullish momentum, and with better-than-expected U.S. economic data released this week, the case for a long position is strengthened. Taking some long USD profits off UJ and starting a small UCAD
USDJPY Update: Adding LongsI'm building on a USD/JPY long trade that has already met its initial entry criteria and is performing well.
The market continues to show bullish momentum, and with price action holding above key support levels, I'm confident in adding to this position. The plan is to ride this trend higher, targeting further upside as long as the bullish structure remains intact.
Keep an eye on how the pair reacts to upcoming resistance levels to manage the trade effectively.
Natural Gas may be at the start of a big move higherNatural gas has had a small move higher recently and has now pulled back to the 61.8% fib. This area is often a key price point where the market could start a major move higher. We could see a big trend starting from anywhere around here.
Even though we have the trend structure in place we will need to see buyers steps in and a trigger to buy signal. All we can do now is wait for the green trigger buy signal. Stop placement will be below the last swing low with an open profit target. However, if we do see buyers stepping in then 3200 would be an obvious target. Further up side from there is possible.
This could be big trade so all eyes on this market.
XAUUSD Analysis - HTF Long bias with LTF scalp opportunitiesHi Traders,
It's been a while but I'm back version 2.0.
Just a short video breaking down the gold market from the daily to the 15mins timeframe. On the daily, its clear that price is currently sitting in an accumulation range where we could see further bullish expansion from in the coming days ahead.
On the 4hrs and 1hrs, the market is very clearly accumulating but we could see a bearish move towards 2494.00 later today. One could scalp towards this level or wait for the longer term bullish run that could take place from below this low.
Always happy to answer questions so please leave a comment below if you found this helpful or have a contrarian viewpoint.
Happy trading
NZDUSD to continue in the upward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6235 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6275.
We look to Buy at 0.6220 (stop at 0.6200)
Our profit targets will be 0.6270 and 0.6275
Resistance: 0.6250 / 0.6270 / 0.6275
Support: 0.6225 / 0.6220 / 0.6210
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CN50 dips to continue attract buyers?CHN50 - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 11850 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 12000.
We look to Buy at 11750 (stop at 11670)
Our profit targets will be 11950 and 12000
Resistance: 11850 / 11950 / 12000
Support: 11750 / 11700 / 11650
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CN50 remains mixed and volatile.CHN50 - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 11500. A move through 11800 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 11950.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
We look to Buy at 11725 (stop at 11625)
Our profit targets will be 11925 and 11950
Resistance: 11850 / 11925 / 11950
Support: 11750 / 11725 / 11650
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short UJ Entry: 15M entry 4H targetsI'm taking a short position on USD/JPY, looking for continuation towards the recent 4-hour swing lows. The pair has shown consistent bearish momentum, and I'm anticipating that this trend will extend further. The entry is positioned to target 1:3, with a focus on the price moving towards the previous (HTF) swing lows.
EURGBP to find buyers at market price?EURGBP - Intraday
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
We look to buy dips.
Daily signals are bullish.
20 1day EMA is at 0.8517.
We look for a temporary move lower.
We look to Buy at 0.8515 (stop at 0.8491)
Our profit targets will be 0.8575 and 0.8590
Resistance: 0.8535 / 0.8550 / 0.8575
Support: 0.8528 / 0.8515 / 0.8500
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURAUD rallies to continue attract sellers?EURAUD - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bearish.
Rallies continue to attract sellers.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.6690.
We look to Sell at 1.6690 (stop at 1.6750)
Our profit targets will be 1.6540 and 1.6500
Resistance: 1.6690 / 1.6740 / 1.6810
Support: 1.6520 / 1.6450 / 1.6400
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USDCAD forming a bottom?USDCAD - 24h expiry
Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 1.3700.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 1.3725 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 1.3700 (stop at 1.3676)
Our profit targets will be 1.3760 and 1.3775
Resistance: 1.3725 / 1.3740 / 1.3750
Support: 1.3700 / 1.3680 / 1.3675
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CN50 rallies to continue attract sellers?CHN50 - 24h expiry
Price action has continued to trend strongly higher and has stalled at the previous resistance near 11700.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 11650 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell at 11700 (stop at 11760)
Our profit targets will be 11550 and 11450
Resistance: 11700 / 11750 / 11800
Support: 11600 / 11500 / 11450
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GOLD to continue in the upward move?XAUUSD - 24h expiry
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Yesterday's Marabuzo is located at 2451.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
The primary trend remains bullish.
We look to Buy at 2451.5 (stop at 2435.5)
Our profit targets will be 2491.5 and 2501.5
Resistance: 2477.7 / 2483.7 / 2500.0
Support: 2458.5 / 2445.0 / 2430.0
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.