Tesla (TSLA) VOL 2. | Retest After The Breakout!Hi,
Some months ago I shared the Tesla idea, and it worked out perfectly!
Now the second opportunity, we have seen that the price of Tesla has made a breakout from the trendline. It has seen quite a few attempts to break through it, all failed but not the last attempt, the last attempt was quite powerful and the retest area is also quite strong so these are the major reasons I would like to share this idea.
Obviously, do your own work but if it is matching with mine then you are probably ready to go ;)
Good luck,
Vaido
Tesla
$1 Trln Wipeout: Mega-Cap Tech Stocks Hit Hard Amid Market RoutThe tech sector is reeling after a staggering $1 trillion wipeout in market value at the start of trading on Monday. This massive drop reflects broader market turmoil, with the Nasdaq plunging over 3% as it grapples with its steepest three-week slide in two years. The fallout is severe, with major tech giants like Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, and Amazon bearing the brunt.
Tech Giants' Massive Losses
The seven most valuable U.S. tech companies lost approximately $995 billion in market cap early on Monday. Nvidia saw its valuation fall by over $300 billion, although it managed to recover about half of that loss. Apple's market cap dropped by $224 billion, while Amazon's fell by $109 billion. Tesla, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta also experienced significant declines.
This sell-off comes on the heels of a tumultuous period marked by increasing recession fears. A disappointing U.S. payrolls report and a historic 12% drop in Japan's Nikkei 225, reminiscent of the 1987 Black Monday crash, have intensified market anxiety. Bitcoin, often a barometer for risk appetite in the crypto space, also plummeted 11%, further signaling investor jitters.
The AI Investment Debate
The tech sector's woes are compounded by concerns over the return on investment in artificial intelligence (AI). Nvidia, which once enjoyed a meteoric rise due to its GPUs fueling the AI boom, has seen its market cap fall from over $3 trillion to below $2.5 trillion. Despite impressive revenue growth, some analysts are cautioning against potential overinvestment in AI, suggesting that the hype may be overshadowing tangible returns.
Goldman Sachs has issued warnings about the limited progress seen from the substantial AI investments made by leading tech firms. Similarly, Elliott Management has labeled Nvidia’s situation as a "bubble," indicating a broader skepticism about the sustainability of the current AI-driven rally.
The Broader Impact
The broader technology sector is now facing a reality check as companies like Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft grapple with the financial strain of their AI investments. The recent drop in their stock prices reflects growing concerns that these investments may not yield the expected results in the near term. Additionally, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway's decision to cut its stake in Apple has only intensified fears about the tech industry's future.
As Wall Street shifts its focus to safe assets and anticipates potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, the tech sector's road ahead appears increasingly uncertain. The current market rout underscores the volatile nature of tech investments and the growing anxiety over the real impact of massive AI expenditures.
Technical Outlook
As of the current time, the shares of Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) stock have declined by 4.54%. Despite this, the stock is trading above the 100-day Moving Average (MA), with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 39, indicating a continuation of the bearish trend.
Conclusion
The $1 trillion wipeout highlights the volatility and risks inherent in mega-cap tech stocks, especially amid economic uncertainty and evolving market conditions. As the sector navigates this challenging period, investors will be watching closely to see how these tech giants adapt to the shifting landscape and whether they can recover from this significant setback.
NASDAQ-100 (BIGTECH) VOLATILITY INDEX. IMPORTANT LEVELS TO LEARNBroadly-known ominously among investors as the "fear index" and launched by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (now the Cboe) in 1993, the Volatility Index (VIX) is meant to present the market's expectation of volatility over the coming 30 days. The metric is derived from options prices on the S&P 500 Index and captures the anticipated swings that drive investor sentiment.
In recent years, the VIX has become a far more central index, especially during periods of financial turbulence, such as the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. During these stretches, spikes in the VIX reflected widespread anxiety; during others, it's been a crucial barometer for market participants seeking a glimpse into investors' collective psyche. When the VIX is low, this suggests calm seas ahead. When it spikes, it signals approaching storms.
Every single stock index do have its own volatility. This story is about Cboe NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index
The Cboe NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index (VXN) is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by NASDAQ-100 Index (NDX) option prices. It measures the market's expectation of 30-day volatility implicit in the prices of near-term NASDAQ-100 options. VXN is quoted in percentage points, just like the standard deviation of a rate of return, e.g. 19.36. Cboe disseminates the VXN index value continuously during trading hours.
The VXN Index is a leading barometer of investor sentiment and market volatility relating to the NASDAQ-100 Index.
Learn more about Methodology for Calculation of the VXN Index, using official CBOE website .
Technical observations
The main technical graph indicates that VXN Index has recently jumped, from 5-year lows around 15 basic points in mid-June, 2024 to current 25 basic points.
In nowadays 25-level corresponds to 5-years SMA, and is the major one resistance level.
In any case of breakthrough it certainly cracks the door to 40-levels and potentially even much above.
Think twice. Then leap.
Cheers, Pandorra
Tesla Bearish Symmetrical Triangle ready to collapse to $160? I am a big advocate for Tesla shares but I don't think the world crash will hold even this car giant.
So, technically it's in a Symmetrical Triangle and it's currently in a range. It will continue to go down to the bottom of the range at around $160.
But if the price breaks below that, we can see $100 for the Auto Giant - which I hope we don't see.
Let's see how it goes.
TESLA What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for TESLA is below:
The market is trading on 207.61 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 216.75
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TSLA Bearish Trend with Key LevelsTechnical Overview:
- Support Levels:
Immediate support at $164 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement). Further support around $100.
- Resistance Levels:
Primary resistance near $260 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement).
- Moving Averages:
The daily 50MA is currently above the price, indicating a bearish sentiment.
- Volume Analysis:
Volume is relatively stable, but a decrease could indicate further bearish movement.
Outlook:
Tesla is currently within a descending channel, showing bearish tendencies. A breakdown below the $164 support could target $100.
Conclusion:
NASDAQ:TSLA current bearish trend suggests a potential move down to $100, with key support at $164. Watch for volume changes and price action at these levels.
UBER 80 Afrer earnings ? NYSE:UBER
Uber Technologies Inc. Stock Surges to $75-$80 Range Following Strong Earnings Report
Uber Technologies Inc. (NYSE: UBER) has seen a significant boost in its stock price, reaching the $75-$80 range after the release of its latest earnings report. The ride-sharing giant reported impressive financial results for Q2 2024, with total revenue hitting $10.13 billion. This marks a notable year-over-year growth of 15%, showcasing Uber’s ability to expand its market presence and drive revenue despite challenging economic conditions.
The company’s strong performance was driven by increased demand for its ride-sharing and delivery services, as well as strategic investments in new technologies and markets. Uber’s net loss widened to $654 million, but the market responded positively to the revenue growth and future potential1. This optimism among investors has propelled the stock to new heights, reinforcing confidence in Uber’s long-term growth strategy.
As Uber continues to innovate and expand its service offerings, the future looks bright for this industry leader. Investors and market watchers will be closely monitoring how Uber leverages its current momentum to drive further growth and shareholder value.
CAFE CITY STUDIO & NY RUNS GLOBAL INC. NYC
Caterpillar 344 After earnings ? Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) has once again demonstrated its robust market presence, with its stock price soaring past $344 following the release of its latest earnings report. The industrial giant reported impressive financial results for Q1 2024, with total revenue reaching $15.8 billion and a basic earnings per share (EPS) of $5.601. This performance not only exceeded analysts’ expectations but also highlighted Caterpillar’s resilience and strategic growth in a challenging economic environment.
The company’s strong earnings were driven by increased demand across its construction, resource, and energy & transportation segments. Caterpillar’s ability to navigate supply chain disruptions and leverage its global footprint has been pivotal in achieving these results. The market responded positively, pushing the stock to new heights and reinforcing investor confidence in the company’s long-term prospects.
As Caterpillar continues to innovate and expand its product offerings, the future looks promising for this industry leader. Investors and market watchers will be keenly observing how Caterpillar capitalizes on its current momentum to drive further growth and shareholder value.
THE FREAKY SEVEN IS SET TO CONTINUE ITS CHEMICAL TRIP. SOON...US stock indexes closed mixed on Monday as investors awaited a massive wave of data this week.
171 companies within the S&P 500 are set to report their second-quarter earnings results this week, and expectations are high given the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) 16% year-to-date rally.
Some of the biggest companies including Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon will report results this week.
I won't sing you lullabies about expected numbers.
The major technical graph indicates that 50-Day SMA already done & fully retested.
The next one chase is IXIC 125-Day SMA & all the way below, as much as it possible.
Alphabet & Tesla push All The Bigtech into Bearish MarchIndexes end lower as investors brace for major earnings results
After the closing bell, Tesla and Alphabet released their second-quarter performance.
Investors were especially attentive to the carmaker, looking to see if its performance has improved since the start of the year. Tesla was battered by a slew of headwinds in the first quarter, but investors have since grown bullish on the flagship EV manufacturer.
The two firms are the first of the Magnificent Seven tech stocks to release their earnings.
Unfortunately they both did not deliver strength, so it breaks the momentum to the tech rally.
Tesla shares fall nearly 9% in premarket trading after earnings miss
Tesla shares dropped in premarket trading in the U.S. after the electric car maker reported second-quarter earnings that missed expectations, as its auto business continued to face pressure.
Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company reported that automotive revenue declined 7% year on year in the June quarter to $19.9 billion, while its adjusted earnings margin also fell.
Bulls and bears have been in a grapple over the stock, with some believing the company’s core car business is under pressure, while others held hope about a future Musk has promised around autonomous driving.
Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) shares fall nearly 4.5% in premarket trading after earnings report
Alphabet earnings top estimates as cloud business gains steam, AI losses grow.
Google parent Alphabet reported its fiscal second quarter earnings after the bell on Tuesday, beating analysts' estimates on the top and bottom lines as its cloud businesses continue to pick up steam, topping the $1 billion mark for operating profit for the first time.
For the quarter, the company saw earnings per share of $1.89 on revenue of $84.7 billion. Analysts were anticipating earnings per share of $1.85 on revenue of $84.3 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That's a jump from the same period last year of 31% and 14%, respectively, when the company reported earnings per share of $1.44 on revenue of $74.6 billion.
Advertising revenue topped $64.6 billion versus analysts' expectations of $64.5 billion, and up from $58.1 billion last year. YouTube ad revenue, however, fell short, with the segment bringing in $8.66 billion versus expectations of $8.95 billion.
Technical thoughts
What is next? Hmm.. I think more Bulls & Bears are to run.
The main graph Nasdaq-100 Sept'24 Futures contract (NQU2024) indicates on strong Bearish Momentum.
This is all because of 50-Day SMA breakthrough, as well as breakthrough of major 3Mo old upside channel.
TSLA Tesla Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on TSLA:
nor sold this regional top:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TSLA Tesla prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 235usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $29.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Tesla - Earnings & RevenueTesla stock
Share price : 250.00 $
Stock financially : UP, due to the promising announcement tomorrow for Earnings and revenue
Trend ( technically ) : UP
Recommendation : Buy
Reason : Breaking the down channel up & Upward trend on D frame
Technical analysis failure at price 225 $ : ( Where the support is breaking )
Technical analysis success at price : 300 $
Should you be selling your #Bitcoin for #TSLA right now?These types of rotations and range trades offer investors fantastic opportunities
if these relationships continue.
We have seen this for Bitcoin and it's ratio's to stocks/metals & altcoins is not a one way trade as it ONCE used to be.
2009 - 2017 was the golden #crypto era when gains were the easiest to acquire.
However the low hanging fruit has been totally plucked, as #BTC's returns have crawled to not much more (or sometimes less) than the leading stocks of the day.
I still maintain a $140-145k price target for this cycle for bitcoin
But I also have a very aggressive long term price objective for #TESLA of $1000
(which is around 3 trillion dollars market cap)
Could Tesla Blast off to Mars #TSLA to $999IF
I am seeing
what I think may be occurring.
This would represent a 10X from the lows of 2022
do you think that is possible
It's marketcap would be over 3 trillion dollars
not unreasonable if he pulls off a mission to Mars.
We need to keep an eye on TSLA and possible future SpaceX IPO's
TESLA The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for TESLA is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 219.92
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 241.88
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$TSLA Tesla Trendline test coming upThe medium term downtrend was broken and we are headed back to test that breakout at $228.
With the volatility in this share it wouldn't surprise me if we close the gap at $213 as part of the trendline test.
If the trendline holds it could offer another buying opportunity.
Earnings expected on 23 July and this remains a speculative buy.
Musk's Warning to Gates Backfires: Tesla's Mixed Q2 ResultsApproximately a week ago, Elon Musk cautioned Bill Gates against shorting Tesla stock, suggesting potential negative consequences. However, the situation has shifted, with Tesla's stock price experiencing a significant $20 drop following the release of its earnings report in the aftermarket.
Tesla's Q2 2024 results were a mixed bag, leaving many questions unanswered. While sales increased by 7% compared to the previous year, overall revenue from car sales declined. This news is concerning for investors who primarily view Tesla as a car manufacturer.
Additional points of interest for investors include the timeline for the release of Tesla's new range of affordable vehicles designed to compete with aggressive Chinese manufacturers, which is expected in the first half of 2025. Moreover, the company has postponed plans for increased factory productivity and the unveiling of self-driving vehicles until 2025 and October 2024, respectively.
The lack of clear communication from Elon Musk and his team regarding these developments has contributed to investor uncertainty and subsequently impacted the share price.
Key takeaways from Tesla's Q2 2024 results
Earnings per share (EPS) : $0.61, down from $0.91 in Q2 2023 but up from $0.45 in Q1 2024.
Revenue : $20.16 billion, a 5% decrease compared to the same period last year, but a 16% increase from Q1 2024's $17.38 billion.
Deliveries : 444,000 vehicles, exceeding expectations but still 5% lower than the same period last year.
Several factors have contributed to a decrease in demand for Tesla vehicles, including high-interest rates, which make financing vehicle purchases more expensive for consumers. Additionally, the impact of Tesla's aggressive price cuts from the previous year is diminishing, and competition is intensifying, particularly in the Chinese market. In the domestic market, Tesla is losing ground to competitors like General Motors and Ford.
Despite these challenges, Tesla's share price had experienced a 33% increase in the first eight days of the month, adding $209 billion to the company's valuation.
Looking ahead
The weekly chart indicates that Tesla's share price has rebounded from its April 2024 low of $140, surpassing the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and the falling trendline from November 2021. Buyers will aim to reclaim the September 2023 high of $278 before targeting the 2023 high of $300. Immediate support levels are at $230 (200 SMA) and $223 (falling trendline). A drop below these levels could lead to the 100 SMA at $210 becoming a potential downside target.