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Technical Analysis

Will the job data impair the US dollar gain?Macro theme: - The dollar remained steady despite short-term volatility, reflecting mixed economic data. US Sep Retail Inventories and Oct Consumer Confidence exceeded forecasts, while Sep Job Openings fell short. - Treasury yields reached multi-month highs early but declined following a strong seven-year auction. - With the US job report—the last before the FOMC meeting—approaching, storms and strikes could complicate interpreting the data, introducing further uncertainty around the dollar’s direction. Technical theme: - DXY is consolidating in a small range at the top and looks stretched. This is vulnerable to a potential mean reversion. The price is trading away from both EMAs. - If DXY extends its gain above the previous swing high at 104.60, the index may rise to 106.00 resistance. - On the contrary, if DXY closes below 104.00 support, the index may decline to retest 103.45 support. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
TVC:DXYShort
by DatTong
Gold expands its range, waiting for key U.S. economic data.USD buyers took profits after a three-month high, repositioning before key U.S. economic data. The JOLTS survey and Consumer Confidence data will be watched for insights on economic resilience and potential Fed rate cuts. Traders are cautious ahead of the PCE inflation index and Non-Farm Payroll report, as well as Q3 earnings from major companies like Alphabet, Meta, and Amazon, which are weighing on the USD. Personal opinion: If gold holds steady at $2,750, it could be a positive signal for optimistic traders. If it continues to rise, gold might surpass the all-time high around $2,759 and test the resistance level of the upward trend line that has been in place for nearly four months, around $2,770-2,775. If this momentum continues, we could see gold reaching the $2,800 mark. Pay attention to the price range: Buy Zone: 2727 - 2725 SL: 2720 Sell Scalp: 2758 - 2760 SL: 2765 Sell Zone: 2769 - 2771 SL: 2776
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chana-Trading
Gold prices are on the rise today!Dear friends. Let's update and strategize with Ben today! As predicted earlier, the gold price has made an impressive bounce to fill the gap, completely escape the sideways trend and end the parallel wedge pattern. At the time of writing, the gold price is trading below the 2758 barrier. The uptrend is very strong as it consolidates at a high level with stable trading activity on the 2-hour time frame. On the other hand, the gold price may continue to increase due to the forecast that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates 1-2 more times between now and the end of the year, along with the Central Bank increasing its gold reserve purchases. Due to these factors, it is contributing to making the market hotter than ever. Ben's prediction is that by the end of this week, the gold price will increase by at least about 40 USD, which is the 2780 mark, and even more. Wishing you all a successful trading and earning lots of silver. Best regards!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
Will Three White Soldiers Lead the Way?OANDA:XAUUSD Analysis 4H Chart Current Price: 2447.215 Analysis Summary • Three White Soldiers Pattern • Volume Analysis • Overbought and Resistance Zone • Overall Bullish Trend Three White Soldiers: The chart shows a clear Three White Soldiers pattern, a strong bullish reversal candlestick formation indicating potential upward momentum. This pattern suggests consistent buying interest, as each candle closes higher than the previous one, signaling sustained demand. Volume Analysis: A closer look at volume reveals a weakening trend in the third candle of the Three White Soldiers pattern, suggesting a slight decline in buying strength: • 1st Candle: 74.889K • 2nd Candle: 134.962K • 3rd Candle: 41.235K This drop in volume in the last candle may indicate limited buying pressure, warranting caution before assuming continued upward movement. Overbought and Resistance Zone: The price is approaching a significant Overbought and Resistance Zone, which could act as a barrier to further upward movement in the short term. Combined with the lower volume in the third candle, this zone could lead to a potential consolidation or minor pullback before the next upward move. Despite this, the bullish reversal signaled by the Three White Soldiers suggests that the overall trend remains positive. Interpretation: Considering the overall bullish trend, the weakening volume in the last candle of the Three White Soldiers, and the approach to the Overbought and Resistance Zone, we anticipate the following: 1. Retracement to Support: The price may retrace down to 2739.624 before rebounding back to the Resistance Zone. 2. Potential Pullback to Ultimate Support: A further dip may take the price towards Ultimate Support at 2734.375. 3. Continued Bullish Momentum: After testing these support levels, the price is expected to resume its upward trend, with a potential breakout beyond the Resistance Zone, targeting the Extreme Overbought Zone. Key Levels to Watch: • Support: 2714.844 • Ultimate Support: 2734.375 • Retracement Level: 2739.624 • Overbought Zone: 2754.116 • Extreme Overbought: 2758.565 • Resistance: 2758.565 Overall Trend: The overall trend remains bullish, with expectations of continued upward movement following any short-term pullbacks. This analysis combines technical patterns, volume insights, and trend direction to provide a comprehensive outlook. Happy trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SpicyPips
My Most Used TradingView Hotkeys!Just wanted to highlight a few of my most-used TradingView hotkeys: ALT + H: Horizontal line – Ideal for marking round numbers or mark tight support/resistance areas. For broader S&R zones, I often use the rectangle tool. ALT + V: Vertical line – Rarely use it, it’s handy for highlighting specific dates below the chart. ALT + T: Trendline – Provides quick access to one of the most essential tools for analyzing long-term stock movements. [* ]ALT + I: Invert the chart – Probably the most interesting hotkey! If you find it challenging to take "SELL" setups or tend to prefer "BUY" ideas, flipping the chart can reveal a fresh perspective. If your bias remains unchanged after inverting, it may be a solid setup for you. This can help reduce psychological biases; sometimes, just viewing it from another angle makes all the difference. ALT + S: Take a screenshot – An easy way to share your chart with friends or colleagues. ALT + F: Fibonacci tool – I’m using it less often lately, but it’s still there when needed. ALT + W: Add to watchlist – Quickly adds interesting charts to your watchlist. ALT + A: Set an alert SHIFT + CLICK: Measure tool – Instant access to measure distances or changes on the chart. Hopefully, this helps save you a bit of time hunting for these tools. After all, time is money! Regards, Vaido
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by VaidoVeek
Gold Targeting 2,758 - Buying OpportunityGold (XAUUSD) is in an uptrend, reinforced by the EMA (34 and 89) lines below the price and a strong upward trendline as support. The key resistance level at 2,758.006 is likely the next target. If the price slightly retraces to the trendline and rebounds, or if it breaks through this resistance, the uptrend is expected to strengthen. This presents a potential buying opportunity if the price reacts positively at the trendline or gives a clear breakout signal at resistance. Investors should monitor upcoming economic events, as these could cause significant volatility in gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Zola_Hello
October 26, 2024! Xau! Cow marketGold price increased slightly on Friday after recovery after profit -taking due to tensions in the Middle East and worried about the election in the United States that supported the price, while the palladium price expanded to the highest level in 10. month. The monetary loosening policy of large central banks is also a factor to promote gold prices. According to CME's Fedwatch Tool, the market expected 97% of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to reduce interest rates in the November meeting, helping to support gold prices. Technically: The main and long -term trend is still increasing the price on almost all time frames. On the other hand, before the weekend gold price has a spectacular breakthrough from the resistance level 2740, this shows the significant power of the ruling faction. In addition, technical factors also support gold prices, promoting the purchase of markets of the market will continue without any significant reversal. Thereby, has expected the upward trend to continue, capable of achieving high levels of about $ 2758 earlier. Currently this pair of money is fluctuating about $ 2747 and close to the psychological threshold of $ 2750.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
Gold waiting for new waves: The opportunity to grow this weekHello everyone, What are your thoughts on gold prices? Let’s discuss and strategize together today! Looking back at last week, despite facing strong profit-taking pressure after reaching a new record high, gold demonstrated its resilience and ended the week around $30 higher than the previous week’s close. As of early Monday, it is trading near 2733 and performing well within an upward channel on the 1-hour chart. Key factors impacting gold this week: Gold prices are expected to experience significant volatility this week as the market anticipates several crucial data releases, including the U.S. jobs report on Friday morning. Currently, economists predict 140,000 new jobs for September, a notable decrease from August’s 254,000. Investors are also watching for Q3 growth data, pending home sales, the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision, core PCE index, personal income and spending for September, and weekly jobless claims. These data points will provide investors with more clues about the Federal Reserve’s future monetary policy direction, which could impact gold’s trajectory. Outlook for XAUUSD: On the 1-hour chart, as Ben mentioned earlier, XAUUSD currently has strong support around the 2725 level. A break below this level could lead to a significant price drop, while maintaining it would support further gains. Upon close observation, it’s evident that the pair is gaining upward momentum from the trendline, and a recently opened gap has bolstered buying sentiment. If the upward momentum continues, the next resistance targets for XAUUSD are 2747 and 2758.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
Watch Me Make $600,642 Backtesting in 20 MinutesMastering Backtesting with TradingView's Replay Feature: Your Target Practice for Trading Success In the world of trading, practice makes perfect, and one of the best ways to hone your skills is through backtesting. TradingView’s replay feature serves as an invaluable tool for traders looking to test strategies, refine their skills, and improve their overall performance. Think of it as target practice—a way to simulate real market conditions without the pressure of live trading. This article will delve into how to effectively use the replay feature, challenge yourself, and why practice is essential for every trader. The Power of Backtesting Backtesting is the process of testing a trading strategy on historical data to determine its viability. It’s like a dress rehearsal for traders, allowing you to assess how a strategy would have performed in different market conditions. With TradingView’s replay feature, you can step back in time and play out the price movements of any market you choose. Using TradingView's Replay Feature Setting Up the Replay Feature: Open TradingView and select the asset you want to backtest. On the chart, locate the “Replay” button in the toolbar (usually represented by a play icon). Click the button and select the date from which you want to start your replay. You can drag the slider to move through the historical data at your own pace. Simulating Live Trading Conditions: As the replay plays out, you can apply your trading strategy just as you would in real-time. Take note of price action, support and resistance levels, and your entry and exit points. Use this opportunity to test different indicators and strategies, adjusting parameters as you see fit. Documenting Your Trades: Keep a journal of your trades during the replay. Note what worked, what didn’t, and any adjustments you made. This reflection is crucial for developing your trading skills. Target Practice: Challenging Yourself To truly benefit from backtesting with the replay feature, consider implementing challenges that simulate the pressure of live trading. Here are some ways to push yourself: 1. Risk Management Challenges: Decide on a specific risk amount for each trade—say $1,000. After reaching a target profit, like $15,000, challenge yourself to avoid losing a predetermined amount, such as $2,500. This mimics real-life scenarios where maintaining profits can be just as challenging as making them. It forces you to practice discipline and stick to your risk management rules. 2. Trade Frequency Goals: Set a target for the number of trades you want to execute during the replay. For example, aim to make 10 trades in a single session. This encourages you to be decisive and consistent with your strategy. 3. Time Constraints: Limit yourself to a specific time frame when executing trades. For instance, challenge yourself to make all trades within a 30-minute window during the replay. This helps you practice decision-making under pressure, enhancing your ability to react quickly in real-market situations. The Importance of Practice for Traders As traders, we must remember that consistent practice is key to mastery. The replay feature allows you to simulate different scenarios without the risk of real money, giving you the freedom to learn from your mistakes. Here’s why practice is crucial: Building Confidence: The more you practice your strategy in a controlled environment, the more confident you’ll become in your abilities. This confidence translates into more decisive actions when trading live. Identifying Strengths and Weaknesses: Regularly backtesting enables you to pinpoint areas where your strategy excels and where it falters. This awareness allows you to adapt and evolve your approach over time. Understanding Market Dynamics: Each market behaves differently. By practicing across various assets and timeframes, you’ll develop a deeper understanding of market dynamics, helping you make better-informed decisions. TradingView’s replay feature is a powerful tool for backtesting and honing your trading strategies. By treating this process as target practice, you can simulate real trading scenarios, test your strategies, and build the skills necessary for successful trading. Don’t shy away from challenging yourself with risk management goals, trade frequency targets, and time constraints. Remember, consistent practice is the pathway to mastery, and with the right tools and mindset, you can elevate your trading game to new heights. So dive into that replay feature, test your strategies, and watch your trading skills flourish!
FX:XAGUSDEducation
by TLTurnerTV
Chipotle (CMG): Awaiting strong correction in bearish waveAfter the recent 50-1 stock split, we revisited Chipotle's chart, refining our analysis for a clearer picture. With the adjusted setup, we’re more confident in our outlook for a potential bearish correction. Our initial turn-around zone was spot-on when factoring in the split, and we remain committed to our analysis. Today, NYSE:CMG reached the targeted Wave B area at the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci level. Immediate reactions are often rare, but we believe a reversal could materialize soon. We’re eyeing the range between $43-$26, near the trendline, as a potential target zone for the next phase in this corrective wave pattern. In the second quarter, Chipotle posted an 18.2% year-over-year revenue growth, boosted by an 11.1% rise in comparable restaurant sales and over 8% transaction growth. The earnings report tomorrow will likely attract more investor attention, but our approach focuses on technical entries at key levels rather than earnings reactions. We have alerts set and are prepared to buy when the scenario aligns. Until then, patience and disciplined timing will guide our approach.
NYSE:CMGShort
by freeguy_by_wmc