GOLD --> Correction Before Potential Further DeclineOANDA:XAUUSD transitioning to a Correction Phase After Last Week's Economic Data. Market participants are generally confirming the bearish nature after returning to the channel.
The market is broadly prepared for a 25% rate cut, but traders seem cautious about hints regarding the Fed's stance: whether the Fed will cut interest rates, shift to a wait-and-see approach, or imply a rate hike based on last week's economic data. Traders are eagerly awaiting the Fed's decision, which will be announced on December 18. Gold prices continue to be supported by safe-haven demand amidst ongoing geopolitical risks. Additionally, China's continued gold purchases are providing further momentum for this precious metal.
Technically, after a false breakout at the 2721 level, a deep correction is forming, which typically develops into a local downward trend. Prices are approaching the panic zone of 2615-2600. During the Asian trading session, gold maintained its earlier recovery above $2650 as buyers still held control amidst the persistently weak US dollar and sluggish US Treasury yields, with attention on key resistance levels.
Prices are heading toward the imbalance zone in the correction process. A swift approach and retest of resistance could trigger a recovery. Traders may enter the profit-taking phase before major news releases.
Best regards,
Bentradegold!
Technical Analysis
Gold: Short-Term Fluctuations, Long-Term TriumphsAs a market analyst, I observe that global gold prices currently stand at $2,647 per ounce, with February 2025 gold futures on the Comex New York exchange priced at $2,675 per ounce, reflecting a 0.03% increase from the previous day. Over the past week, gold has shown a solid 0.8% gain.
From my perspective, gold has had a remarkable year, and while it is now undergoing a phase of correction, I firmly believe this pullback will not last long. My analysis suggests that gold prices will rise further in the coming months. This outlook is supported by several key factors, including loose monetary policies, strong central bank buying activity, and growing demand for safe-haven assets, all of which are likely to drive gold to new record highs this year.
I’m also closely following comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell after each meeting, as these are crucial for shaping investor expectations for 2025. Inflation remains a pressing issue, still falling short of the Fed’s 2% target. According to Nicky Shiels, a metals strategist at MKS PAMP SA, gold prices could reach $2,500 per ounce, or even as high as $3,000 per ounce, depending on how effectively the Fed manages inflation.
In the short term, my projection is that gold will trade within a range of $2,647 to $2,760 per ounce. For the longer term, I align with Goldman Sachs' forecast that gold could achieve $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025. This aligns with the broader trends I’m observing, where persistent economic uncertainties and evolving monetary policies continue to shape a favorable environment for gold.
GOLD → The FED Rate Decision Ahead: What Should You Do?Dear Traders,
Gold (XAUUSD) has made a notable move, successfully testing the strong support level at 2633 before traders shifted into buying mode. As a result, the price broke above 2643, sparking new optimism as upcoming discussions around potential rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (FED) take center stage.
Currently, there is a 93% probability that the FED will cut rates by 25 basis points. However, the overarching theme is the FED's stance for the future. Hawkish hints regarding 2025 could influence the rate-cutting trajectory, an aspect the market has only partially priced in.
This means any indication of a smaller rate cut could fuel strength for the U.S. dollar. Conversely, a deeper cut could act as a bullish catalyst for gold. The spotlight is firmly on FED Chair Jerome Powell's comments, as they will provide crucial insights into the economic outlook for 2024 amidst the backdrop of Trump-era policies that continue to play a pivotal role.
That said, downside risks for gold remain elevated, particularly if the FED maintains a hawkish stance in the current climate.
Technical Analysis: At the moment, gold prices are consolidating within the range of 2658 - 2633, with a breakout in either direction likely to bring about a strong momentum-driven move. The market is complex and highly volatile right now, which is why traders are advised to hold off on entering positions before the event. Waiting for volatility to subside can offer better clarity on market direction and safer opportunities.
Final Advice: Patience is key in such turbulent times. Avoid getting swayed by short-term noise and focus on acting only after a clear trend emerges following the major event.
TradeCityPro | THETAUSDT Has the Market Turned Bearish?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze a day when the market experienced slight corrections, with some coins recording red candles and traders feeling FOMO, moving away from the market. This is the best time to review triggers.
🌟 Bitcoin Overview
As always, let’s start with Bitcoin analysis. In the one-hour timeframe, we are witnessing bearish candles, which are merely rejections of the new ATH. Such corrections are not concerning as they come with reduced volume.
Bitcoin dominance has also been ranging, causing slight corrections across all altcoins. Coins bearish in their Bitcoin pairs have seen more significant declines, while those bullish in their Bitcoin pairs are showing better resilience.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, THETA is one of the coins that previously had a strong movement. Earlier in 2024, it hit a new high compared to 2023, bouncing back from the 1.028 support level, which gives it a better edge than many other coins.
Recently, after breaking the 1.667 resistance, which was our entry trigger, it has reached the early 2024 resistance level and is now reacting to it. Following the correction and red candles, the declining volume indicates a positive sign for the upward trend.
The RSI is pulling back toward the overbought zone. If the RSI climbs back up from this level, we can anticipate another sharp move.
If you entered with our trigger, it’s reasonable to hold your position for now as you have a solid entry point. For those looking to enter again, either wait for a correction or buy after breaking the 3.136 level with a large stop loss at 1.667. However, this would be a riskier entry.
🌞 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, after breaking out of the accumulation box between 1.543 and 3.136, THETA has experienced a 100% upward movement, providing an excellent profit opportunity.
Throughout this uptrend, we’ve seen an increase in volume, which has subsequently decreased during corrections. Even when red candles appear, the reduction in volume is a positive signal for the coin’s long-term trajectory.
Based on Fibonacci levels, potential supports are at 2.349, 2.011, and 1.543. After confirmation at any of these levels, long positions can be entered. For continued momentum, breaking the 3.136 level with a stop loss at 2.349 can be considered a riskier option.
⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe
In the four-hour timeframe, the coin is moving within a short-term box between 2.534 and 2.749, accompanied by reduced volume and consolidation. This suggests that a breakout is likely soon.
📈 Long Position Trigger
breaking the 2.749 level could trigger a trade, as the 3.136 breakout is expected to be led by whales. However, if you miss the 2.749 breakout, 3.136 can also serve as an entry.
📉 Short Position Trigger
they are not currently recommended. However, a break below the 2.534 level could offer a risky short setup. Ensure small stop losses and quick profit-taking, as extended downside seems unlikely.
💡 BTC Pair Insight
In the Bitcoin pair, THETA is just starting to show strength. It has recently reached its weekly resistance level and has a long way to go before its ATH. Once it establishes a higher low and breaks the 0.00003042 resistance, it could begin a strong upward movement. Stay patient and avoid FOMO if you’ve missed this move. Many other coins in the channel have not yet triggered their entries.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
USDCAD: Consolidation Phase Towards The TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a buying opportunity around 1.42800 zone, USDCAD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.42800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY Is Nearing The 153.400 Support Along With The TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 153.400 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 153.400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
ETHBTC Is Sitting At Strong Monthly SupportETHBTC cross pair has been trading bearish for the last two years or so due to Bitcoin dominance, but now that Bitcoin dominance is slowing down and ALTcoin dominance kicking in, seems like we are in the ALTseason and ETHBTC pair may see a recovery soon.
ETHBTC chart can be actually still trading in a correction within uptrend. It’s right now sitting at interesting and strong support area when looking at the monthly chart. We have strong monthly trendline and impulsive five waves up, followed by a three-wave A-B-C correction into an important 67,8% Fibo retracement, which is a bullish pattern from technical and Elliott wave perspective. We are actually already in the ALTseason and if ETHBTC pair is really about to bounce and starts recovering soon, then ALTseason may resume and Ethereum can be one of the strongest.
SELL SPX FROM 4100 OR 4000 AND TP ON 3800 AND WAIT Patience !! Time to Sell or Wait to 4100 anyways Going back to 3800 TP and wait for second confirmation Going back to 3200 !!!
stay Profitable
do not add to losers
add to winners
do not over leverage
do not open many positions
only trade what you know
dot get sentimental with trades . close it if did not work !!!
HAVE A GOOD WEEKEND !!!
SEE YOU GUYS ON PROFIT FRIDAYS !!!
3.5% Decline on The Dow Jones 30 But Is This Unusual?Looking at the trend structure over the last 8 months, we can see a pattern play out.
Since April, pullbacks of between 3.5% and 7% have been part and parcel of the Dow Jones’s trend structure. (highlighted in red)
The current pullback of 3.5% falls within this range.
Note also how our trend filter remains mostly green and grey, with speckles of red, since April, in line with the long-term bull trend.
The index has now fallen to the d50sma (orange line), where we want to see it find support, bounce, break out and continue its climb to 50,000, as it has done since April.
The Dow Jones is also a good example of how trend structures can change despite no change in direction.
October to March saw a much faster trend, using the d20sma (blue line) as support, eventually breaking through in April and leading to a change in trend structure.
The Dow Jones is currently lagging behind the Nasdaq 100, which is setting record highs above 20,000 for the first time, and the S&P 500, which has settled into a mini consolidation above the 6000 level.
We ideally want to see Santa deliver in the final 2 weeks of December.
However, if the indices and stocks don't show new trend continuations through the rest of 2024, we want them to hold within consolidation, which will act a bases for trends in the New Year.
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If you have any questions or comments, comment below. We reply to every comment. :0)
See below for more information on our trading and trend-following techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
XAUUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (READ CAPTION)hello my fellow traders, what do you think about this chart.
current price: 2648
currently gold is working under resistance level and is about to go high. after breaking out bearish parallel channel market is back to its bullish movement and is trying to break the resistance above. after rejecting 2632 buyers are strongly supporting gold and has taken market back to its bullish track. if market continue its current trend then its first target will 2665 then after small retracement its next target will be. 2675.
key points:
demand zones: 2665, 2675
supporting area: 2645, 2636
don't forget to like, comment and follow.
thanks for your precious time and support.
USDJPY → Price Struggles at Resistance, Eyes a PullbackHello, my wonderful friends of Ben!
Recently, USDJPY has been struggling to maintain its peak around the 154.00 USD level. The bullish momentum of USDJPY has been hindered by several factors, including the ongoing Fed interest rate meeting.
Fundamentally, today is a critical day for the market. At 19:00 GMT, the Fed’s interest rate meeting, with a 93% probability of a 0.25% rate cut decision, will take place. This will make the dollar less attractive. If the dollar starts to adjust downward, it will affect the corresponding currency pairs. However, I do not rule out the possibility that, amidst high volatility, the price could form a retest of the resistance level and a false breakout.
Personally, Ben expects the price to consolidate below the resistance area around 155.00, with corrective pressure against the trend dominating in the near future. The current support level is around 152.01. If this level is breached, it could lead USDJPY to a deeper decline, potentially reaching 149.37.
Best regards,
Bentradegold!
GBPUSD: Breaking the trend line!GBPUSD is currently trading around 1.2705 and has not changed much since the start of the trading session.
Early Tuesday morning, data released by the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that the ILO Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 4.3% in the three months to October, as expected. During the period, Employment Change increased by 173,000, while annual wage inflation, measured by Average Earnings excluding bonuses, increased to 5.2% from 4.9%.
Although the negative shift in risk sentiment has helped the US dollar gain ground in the European session, the GBP/USD pair remains flat but could fall as the bullish trendline and technical factors are broken.
BTCUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (READ CAPTION)hello my fellow traders, what do you think about btcusd kindly share your opinion in the comment section.
current price: 107500
after hitting all time high a strong bearish pullback is possible. market will retrace back upto 103600 then it will use this position as a support zone to go further high. currently market's target is 103600 which is our demand zone.
key points:
demand zone: 103600
retracement area: 107500, 108000
kindly like, comment and follow. thanks for supporting me
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 18/12/2024Today will be gap down opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading below 24250 level then strong fall expected upto 200+ points. Any upside rally only expected if nifty susitan above the 24300 level. Upside 23500 level act as a strong resistance for today's session.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(18/12/2024)Today will be gap down opening expected in banknifty. After opening it will take support at the level of 52550. Expected reversal from this level. Upside 52950-53000 zone will act as a resistance for banknifty. Below 52450 level strong downside rally expected in banknifty upto 52050 level.
TradeCityPro | CRVUSDT Favorite Among Ethereum Whales👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze CRV, one of the older and more popular coins in the DeFi space, previously a staple in many crypto whales' wallets.
🌟 Bitcoin Overview
Before diving into CRV, let’s take a quick look at Bitcoin. It recently hit a new ATH but faced a heavy rejection on the 1-hour timeframe, triggering significant selling pressure in the market.
Remember, these kinds of candles are typical during bull runs. They may appear bearish on higher timeframes, but they often induce FOMO and panic selling, leading to potential buying opportunities.
📅 Weekly Timeframe Analysis
After losing its critical support at 0.4107, CRV dropped to 0.2219. Following a decrease in selling pressure, the coin consolidated for several weeks in a box range.
With renewed whale interest, significant buying volume pushed the price up by 350%, breaking the box and daily resistance. The rally was capped at 1.2060, where CRV has been trading below for the past two weeks.
If you entered the market after the box breakout, you should already have a reasonable profit. You can either take partial profits or withdraw your initial investment, holding the remaining position as "free tokens."
If you missed the rally, it’s currently not an ideal entry point due to the large stop loss required. Wait for either a time-based correction (range-bound movement) or a price correction to 0.8065, which serves as the next major support level.
🌞 Daily Timeframe
On the daily chart, CRV moved upward after breaking out of the 0.2219 – 0.3169 range and is now trading below the 1.251 resistance.
Support: 1.0522 (lower timeframe), 0.7985, and 0.6217 for potential price corrections.
Resistance: A break above 1.251 could lead to higher price targets, with the first at 1.9109.
breakout above 1.2510 may provide a momentum-based entry, but it’s riskier than the earlier entry at 0.3169. Wait for confirmation, such as volume increase and RSI movement, before entering.
⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour chart, CRV has tested the 1.2693 resistance twice. This level could act as a key trigger for future positions.
📈 Long Position Trigger
Open a long position after breaking 1.2693, with confirmation through increased volume and RSI entering the overbought zone. This is a weekly resistance, so a fake breakout is likely if volume is low.
📉 Short Position Trigger
No short positions are being considered for now, as they go against the current trend. Instead, focus on finding setups in other coins or monitoring CRV for better opportunities.
💡 BTC Pair Insight
Against Bitcoin, CRV has been in a prolonged downtrend but recently started to recover after breaking 0.00000528. However, the real bullish movement will begin only after breaking 0.00001223, forming higher lows, and continuing its upward trend.
Avoid FOMO. If you miss CRV, there are plenty of other opportunities in the market.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Ripple Is Still Eyeing All-Time HighsRipple is in strong and impulsive rise after we spotted a bullish break out of a larger weekly bullish triangle pattern. It's actually already at 2.9 area and there can be easily space up to 3.3 all-time highs area. Looking at the 4-hour time frame, we saw a nice extension higher within wave (3), so after current wave (4) correction that can be completed as a nice and clean A-B-C flag pattern with textbook support from 2021 highs, be aware of another push to the upside for (5).
Just in case if Ripple stay sideways for a longer period of time, then we might even consider a bullish triangle pattern in wave (4), but sooner or later we can expect further rally within wave (5) towards all-time highs area.
Why XRP Is higher?
The reason for this push higher on ripple, which has been outperforming in the last few weeks, is the upcoming launch of Ripple USD (RLUSD). Ripple USD (RLUSD) is a new stablecoin aimed at bridging blockchain and traditional finance. "Designed for enterprise use, RLUSD focuses on stability, efficiency, and transparency, enhancing Ripple’s cross-border payments and meeting the demand for USD transactions".
GBPAUD Analysis And Next Market MovePair Name = GBPAUD
Timeframe = D1
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
GBPAUD has completed the retesting period. Now her getting a good volume. Expecting here 200 Pips + gain
GBP is getting stronger day by day. Getting good bounce from this support level.
Bullish Target:-
2.050
2.040
XAUUSD Analysis And Next Market MovePair Name = XAUUSD
Timeframe = D1
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
XAUUSD is exactly on the way as predicted. Already In good gain after our prediction. Here it has completed the retesting Period. We can see price here around 2750. Gold is growing gradually day after day. In this Christmas Gold Will bullish
Bullish Targets :-
2800
3000
XAUUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (READ CAPTION)hello traders, kindly share you opinion about this chart in the comment section.
current price: 2656
last week market created l-shoulder and head and r-shoulder. market did a breakout but could not properly retest. now market is suppose retrace upto 2675. last weeks w1 candle and today's d1 candle further support and indicate a bullish trend. if market breakouts 2662 middle resistance then its next move will be 2675 which is our demand zone.
key points:
demand zone: 2675
supporting areas: 2650, 2647
like, comment and follow. thanks for support.