AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.64900 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.64900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Technical Analysis
Key Technical Analysis of Nifty50: Upcoming TrendIntroduction:
Understanding key support and resistance levels is essential for traders and investors looking to capitalize on market movements. This article provides an in-depth analysis of the Nifty50 index's weekly chart, highlighting essential price levels and trends that indicate potential bullish or bearish movements in the coming months. With Nifty's recent performance, it is crucial to evaluate these technical levels to identify future price action possibilities.
1. Previous Resistance Turned Strong Support
Nifty previously broke out of a strong resistance level around the 19000 mark, which now acts as robust support. This previous resistance level, marked with a red zone, signifies a major price zone that could halt potential downward movements, providing a solid foundation for buyers if Nifty pulls back to this level.
2. Support Trend Line and Bullish Continuation
A support trend line, indicating an ongoing bullish trend, extends from early 2023 to the current date. This trend line has been a crucial indicator of the index's positive momentum, providing support on multiple pullbacks. As long as Nifty respects this trend line, it could continue its bullish trajectory, making this level ideal for those looking to enter long positions.
3. The Key Support Zone at Last Swing Low
A major support zone sits around the 21000 level, marked by Nifty’s last swing low. This green zone is a significant area of buying interest. If the index begins a downward correction, this support zone will be closely watched by traders looking for signs of reversal or continued decline.
4. Trend Reversal Zone and Bearish Potential
If Nifty breaks down below the support trend line, it would signal the potential start of a bearish trend. Sellers could see this as an opportunity to enter short positions, especially if the breakdown is accompanied by strong volume. This area is essential for risk management, as a trend line breakdown could lead to a decline toward lower support levels, such as the 21000 zone or even further to 19000.
5. Reversal Confirmation and New Highs
On the upside, a reversal confirmation near the current support trend line could signal a renewed bullish push, with the possibility of Nifty making new highs. If this reversal takes place, it would present an attractive opportunity for long-term investors and buyers aiming for a rally continuation.
Disney (DIS): Strong Recovery After Oversold LevelsWhat a pity! Back in late June, we anticipated that Disney would find its support at a maximum of $89, and it ended up bottoming out at $84 – perfectly aligned with our prediction ✅. Since then, the stock has surged nearly 37%, driven by today’s earnings report. This looks like a very strong bottom for NYSE:DIS , as it was deeply oversold and perfectly touched the 88.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
The surge today was fueled by robust results for its fiscal fourth quarter, showing better-than-expected profits in both streaming and domestic theme parks — Disney’s two most critical business units. Additionally, Disney broke tradition by offering detailed earnings projections for the next two years, emphasizing its forward-looking confidence. With annual revenue of $91.4 billion, Disney achieved a new record, showcasing its growth momentum.
With today’s move, NYSE:DIS closed the remaining gap between $108-$111. However, the close doesn’t look very promising on the 3D chart, and if Disney ends up below this range, it could signal a pullback. A retest of $104-$97 seems likely and could provide the necessary momentum to fully reclaim this resistance zone.
We will continue to monitor the situation closely and will update if key levels are breached.
GBPUSD Analysis And Next MArket Move Pair Name = GBPUSD
Timeframe = 2H
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
GBPUSD is ready to bounce back after a good drop. Here expecting 200Pips+ gain after the breakout. GBP is getting stronger according fundamentals that's why we can see this move.
Bullish Target :-
1.28
1.29
Ripple Is Breaking Bullish TriangleWe talked about Ripple with ticker XRPUSD back on September 12, where we mentioned and highlighted that a larger bullish triangle pattern in wave IV is coming to an end that we may see a bullish breakout for wave V.
As you can see today on November 15th, XRPUSD is breaking out of a larger bullish wave IV triangle pattern, which means that wave V can be already underway, especially if breaks 0.95 bullish confirmation level, just watch out on short-term pullbacks.
The reason why Ripple could extend higher is the upcoming launch of Ripple USD (RLUSD). Ripple USD (RLUSD) is a new stablecoin aimed at bridging blockchain and traditional finance. Designed for enterprise use, RLUSD focuses on stability, efficiency, and transparency, enhancing Ripple’s cross-border payments and meeting the demand for USD transactions.
Will the Dollar Retrace After Retail Sales Data?Macro theme:
- The dollar hovered near a one-year high ahead of today’s Oct Retail Sales report. Markets expect a 0.3% MoM increase, down from Sep's 0.4%.
- Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated no urgency to lower rates, citing steady economic growth, a strong job market, and persistent inflation.
- According to the CME FedWatch tool, expectations for a 0.25% rate cut next month have dropped to 62.4% from 82.5% a day ago.
Technical theme:
- The market tests the one-year high area around 107.00, confluence with the 78.6% Fibonacci Extension. The index is stretched to the upside and above both EMAs, indicating a potential mean reversion.
- If DXY cannot remain above 106.35, the index may retrace further to retest 105.43.
- On the contrary, if DXY extends its gain above 107.00, the index may retest 107.78, confluence with the 100% Fibonacci Extension.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Utilities vs. Uranium: Is the Nuclear Sector Gaining Momentum?Introduction:
Utilities AMEX:XLU have demonstrated strong performance over the past year, often signaling a "risk-off" market environment where investors seek safety. However, the rise of artificial intelligence (AI) and its impact on market dynamics may be challenging this traditional narrative. Despite the evolving landscape, caution is warranted against assuming that "this time is different." A new factor to watch is the growing influence of the nuclear sector, particularly uranium stocks AMEX:URA .
Analysis:
Risk-Off Sentiment vs. New Trends: While utilities' strong performance typically signals a defensive market stance, the increasing focus on nuclear energy is drawing investor interest toward uranium stocks. The shift reflects a potential change in how market participants view traditional safe havens.
URA-to-XLU Ratio: The upward trend in the URA-to-XLU ratio over recent years indicates a growing preference for uranium stocks over traditional utilities. Even after a significant selloff earlier this year, the ratio formed a higher low, signaling resilience and maintaining its long-term uptrend.
Momentum Shift: The key focus now is whether this ratio can make a new high. If the URA-to-XLU ratio breaks above its previous peak, it would suggest strengthening momentum in the nuclear sector, indicating that this trend could have staying power and possibly reflect a shift in market preferences.
Conclusion:
As the market balances between traditional risk-off sectors like utilities and emerging trends in nuclear energy, the URA-to-XLU ratio serves as a critical indicator of shifting investor sentiment. A new high in this ratio would suggest that the nuclear sector's momentum is strengthening, with uranium stocks potentially leading the way. Do you believe this trend will continue? Share your insights below!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the URA-to-XLU ratio, the higher low formation, and potential breakout targets)
Tags: #Utilities #Uranium #NuclearEnergy #XLU #URA #MarketTrends #TechnicalAnalysis
Rising Inflation Expectations: TIP vs. IEFIntroduction:
With the election concluded, market focus has shifted to bond markets, where recent developments hint at rising inflation expectations. Despite President Trump's campaign emphasis on price control, indicators suggest a shift toward higher inflation. A key metric to monitor is the ratio between Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities AMEX:TIP and 7-10 Year Treasuries $IEF. When (TIP) outperforms NASDAQ:IEF , it signals increasing inflation expectations; conversely, when IEF outperforms, it suggests a decline in inflation expectations.
Analysis:
Inflation Expectations: The TIP-to-IEF ratio is a reliable gauge of the market's inflation outlook. A rising ratio indicates growing inflation concerns, as investors favor TIPs for their inflation protection over traditional Treasuries.
Technical Pattern: Currently, the TIP-to-IEF ratio is breaking out of a descending triangle formation, a continuation pattern that signals the potential for higher inflation expectations. This breakout aligns with a recent surge in interest rates, reflecting heightened inflation concerns in the bond market.
Market Implications: This breakout could be the early stage of a sustained trend toward higher inflation, raising questions about whether the recent interest rate surge is a temporary fluctuation or the beginning of a longer-term shift.
Conclusion:
The bond market is sending signals of rising inflation expectations, as indicated by the breakout in the TIP-to-IEF ratio. This could mark the start of a new phase in the inflation cycle, with potential implications for interest rates and broader market sentiment. Traders should closely monitor this ratio to assess the longevity of the current trend. Do you think inflation expectations are set to rise further? Share your thoughts below!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the TIP-to-IEF ratio, the descending triangle formation, and breakout targets)
Tags: #Inflation #Bonds #Treasuries #TIP #IEF #InterestRates #TechnicalAnalysis
XAUUSDgold is fall almost over 2700 pip from 2780 right aftre the election day on usa, my analysis may easy to understand hope fully. yesterday took a long and got out with 200 pip. looking for one lit down to bounce back long postion, depend how market move.
what you all think of today end of the week?
comment in below.
Gold: Heading Towards Previous Low?Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a selling opportunity around 2580 zone, Gold is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2580 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF: Technicals Meet Diverging Dollar-Franc FundamentalsHey Traders!
In today’s trading session, we’re closely monitoring USD/CHF for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.88400 zone. Currently, USD/CHF is trading in an uptrend, but it’s in a correction phase and approaching the 0.88400 support and resistance area—a key level that could offer an entry point aligned with the ongoing trend.
Fundamental Insights: USD Strength vs. CHF Weakness
From a fundamental perspective, we’re seeing diverging influences on USD and CHF. A Trump victory could boost the dollar, as it may reintroduce inflationary pressures, paving the way for potential rate hikes and a stronger dollar outlook. In contrast, the Swiss franc may continue to soften, as the Swiss National Bank remains committed to a dovish stance, keeping monetary policy highly accommodative.
If these fundamentals align, USD/CHF could see upward momentum, with 0.88400 as a critical support level for this potential move.
Trade safe,
Joe
GOLD → Correction is getting stronger. Next is 2500Hello, dear traders, Ben here!
Spot gold is consolidating around the $2,600 mark on Wednesday after extending its recent slide to $2,589 per troy ounce, marking the lowest point since September
Meanwhile, sellers have decided to take a pause ahead of the key U.S. CPI report, which could significantly impact Fed rate-cut expectations and provide fresh momentum.
In theory, any effort to drive gold prices higher might be constrained due to the poor performance of stocks, which continues to boost demand for the U.S. dollar. Most Asian and European indices closed in the red, while Wall Street pared its latest gains, with all three major indices down, albeit with limited declines.
Looking ahead, October’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to come in at 0.2% month-over-month and 2.6% year-over-year, the latter being slightly higher than the previous 2.4%. However, the annual core CPI is anticipated to remain stable at 3.3%. Additionally, market participants are speculating on what a potential Trump return to the White House might mean for the U.S. and the rest of the world.
From a technical perspective, gold is attempting to break out of a primary range, breaching the key support. If there’s a false break around the 2,610 level, a minor correction toward resistance may form. However, with prices testing a strong support level, we may see a false breakout and a corrective movement to the 2,626-2,636 area (0.618 fib line) before resuming the downtrend.
Ethusdt plunged in the channel, the target to 3,125 USDTEthereum (ETH) is currently showing a significant decrease in a 1 -hour time frame, moving in a discount channel. With the current price of nearly 3,214 USDT, ETH seems to be having difficulty overcoming resistance around this area. If ETH cannot break the resistance threshold of 3,218 USDT, the downtrend may continue and push prices to lower support levels, namely $ 3,125.
Investors should closely monitor ETH's developments in the near future, especially when the price reaches the resistance of the channel. If this trend continues, ETH can decrease further, bringing short -term sales opportunities to short -term trading people.
BTCUSDT maintains support, targeting 94,000 USDTBitcoin (BTC) is trading between 88,000 to 89,000 USDT, this is a strong support area in the short term. Currently, the ema34 and ema89 indicators are below the price, showing the increase trend may continue if this support level is maintained.
Forecast: If BTC continues to hold over 89,000 USDT, the price is likely to increase higher landmarks, targeting 92,000 - 94,000 USDT.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 14/11/2024NIFTY will open gap up in today's session. After opening 23750 level will act as an immediate resistance for nifty. Downside 23500 level is important support zone. In case nifty gives breakdown of this level and starts trading below 23450 then strong downside expected. Any bullish rally only expected above 23800+ level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(14/11/2024)Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in banknifty. After opening possible it will face immediate resistance at 50450 level and from this level expected downside in market. This downside can extend further 400-500 points if banknifty starts trading below 49950 level. Upside only expected in case it starts trading and sustain above 50550 level in today's session.
ETHUSDT: Buyers Reject 3450. Will Price Continue to Fall?ETHUSDT continues to be under bearish pressure from the 3445 formation. Panic? Profit-taking? Are buyers turning around?
Ethereum’s recent price pressure could be due to general market sentiment, possibly due to concerns over regulatory announcements or macroeconomic data impacting risk assets.
Theoretically, if the strength of the US dollar continues and the general market uncertainty persists, this could add further bearish pressure to Ethereum.
Technically, it is worth noting the support zones mentioned.
The 3130 level will hold for the long term as it is a very strong zone, but based on the setup and pattern, there is a high probability of seeing a breakout and decline. The 2775 - 2770 is an ideal zone to test as it is a strong intermediate bottom where price has responded to previous downside.
Let me know what you think about this setup or if you have specific questions about this analysis!
EURUSD: False Resistance Break Could Add to DeclineAs expected, EURUSD continues to hit new lows, currently hovering around the 1.062 level.
The Euro's retreat has largely been driven by a sharp rally in the U.S. dollar (USD), pushing the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) above 106.00, marking multi-month highs. This surge is fueled by market optimism surrounding the so-called “Trump trade,” with investors betting on potential policies under the upcoming Trump administration.
On higher timeframes, EURUSD is testing a solid support level, which might trigger a corrective move. However, on the 4-hour timeframe, we can clearly observe a downtrend, with the 34 and 89 EMA acting as resistance and continuing to weaken the buying side. Therefore, any strong resistance level is likely to maintain control over the market.
Currently, we are watching for a potential false breakout of the trend resistance, with the aim of consolidation. This consolidation is generally forming within a channel, and if sellers maintain control around the 1.605 - 1.068 area, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level, we should expect a decline toward key areas of interest in the medium term.
S&P500 Is Approaching Key Support Level.Hey Traders, In today’s trading session, we’re keeping a close watch on the US500 for a potential buying opportunity around the 5800 zone. The index is currently trading in an uptrend, but we’re seeing it enter a corrective phase. This correction is bringing it back toward the 5800 support and resistance area, a critical zone that aligns with the broader upward trend.
The 5800 level could serve as a strong entry point, offering an opportunity to join the prevailing uptrend at a favorable price. If price action confirms support at this level, it may signal a potential rally continuation in line with the broader market momentum.
As always, ensure you manage risk and stay cautious in your entries.
Trade safe,
Joe
Here's Exactly Why Bitcoin Is Having A Hard Time With 90kTraders, from a technical perspective, I really don't expect Bitcoin to beat 90k immediately. Eventually, yes. But right now there are two big technical reasons why Bitcoin is having a hard time managing to beat 90k. They are the same technical reason for why I called the year end price target of 88k-92k.
First, see that horizontal ascending pink trendline? I took the top of our high on 12 April 2021. I then drew it to the top on 08 Nov. 2021. This is on our weekly chart. I then extended that trendline to the right. Boom 90k.
Second, see that inverse h&s pattern I have been discussing for the last year and a half? I measure from the top of the head to the neckline. Now, I move that measurement to our break of the neckline. Boom 90k.
Now, I am not saying that we won't break 90k. This post is simply to make you aware of how I was able to call our target of 90k and why Bitcoin will have difficulty breaking through that price level.
✌️Stew
GBPUSD => Bearish Outlook At Key Resistance Level.Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.27500 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.27500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.