Wed 27th Nov 2024 GBP/CAD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/CAD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Technical Analysis
TradeCityPro | CHFJPY The Battle Between Buyers and Sellers👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let’s quickly dive into another forex trading opportunity this week, analyze it briefly, and identify entry and exit triggers.
🌍 Fundamental Insights
Swiss Franc (CHF):
Supported by safe-haven demand due to geopolitical tensions and SNB’s tight monetary policy.
Japanese Yen (JPY):
Weak from BoJ’s ultra-loose policy and disappointing economic data.
The divergence in policies between the SNB (hawkish) and BoJ (dovish) continues to favor CHFJPY’s bullish potential, especially during market risk aversion.
📊 Daily Timeframe
The pair faced rejection at 177.108, failing to continue toward the 179.691 resistance.
Sellers gained momentum, pulling the price back to the 172.592 support zone.
If today’s daily candle closes red and engulfing, a bearish continuation to a lower low is likely.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
The pair is testing the key daily support at 172.592, presenting both bullish and bearish scenarios.
📉 Short Position Trigger:
Break below 172.592 could lead to a target of 170.550.
📈 Long Position Trigger:
Prolonged consolidation or a fake break below 172.592, followed by a breakout above 173.949, could indicate a bullish reversal.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Will 90k Hold Bitcoin?Alright, so we couldn't quite tag 100k. Not surprising. 100k is huge psychological resistance and we can now see from on-chain data that long-term hodl'ers, which is defined as anyone who hodls BTC for 6+ months, have started to sell more rapidly as we approached that price point. So, we got our pullback as expected. Now, the question is how far down do we go? Will 90k hold us? Or will we go lower? Let's explore these questions a bit in this post using some basic technical analysis combined with our knowledge of past historical price action at the beginning of a bull run.
First, let's review where some of these trendlines on my chart actually come from.
That pink ascending trendline was made by connecting the wick top in April of '21 to the wick top in November of '21 and then extending it out infinitely to the right. In my last post, I stated that it would act as resistance. It did. But I also was unsure that it would hold us below for more than a few days. It didn't. There was enough hype in the market to break us to the upside. Now that same line should act as support. I would expect it to hold us up at least through Thanksgiving weekend here in the U.S. This may give altcoins enough time for one final pump.
And as long as Bitcoin decides to remain above that line, altcoins should continue to shine.
But, if Bitcoin's price decides to break below our trendline (I estimate that this will not occur until after this weekend), then altcoins will pull back more drastically as Bitcoin descends further.
So, if Bitcoin breaks below 90k, where will it go?
My guess will be that we drop to that second pink trendline below us somewhere around 75-76k. That trendline was drawn similarly to the way I drew the upper pink trendline. I drew a line from the wick high of November '21 to the wick of our most recent high of March this year. I then extended the line to the right. You can see from the chart that this was also a significant trendline because once the price broke above it, it sent, confirming the significance of the trendline.
Now, the rationale for my timeline and potential drop increments includes the fact that markets tend to stay optimistic over the holidays here in the U.S., especially when we are in the beginning stages of another bull run. And that we are. Therefore, if we do drop further, I wouldn't expect this to occur until after Thanksgiving weekend.
In bull runs, it is quite common to see 20%+ pullbacks while we move up. A drop to 76k would meet this historical pattern.
Again, I don't have high conviction that we actually will drop to 76k, therefore, I am not shorting. But I am a bit softer on the longs at this point and have all my stops at appropriate placement. Subs, check the tracker for those details. My current stable holding is around 40%.
Let's see how this all plays out.
✌️ Stew
BTW, I haven't mentioned it in this post, but my year-end target is now 102-109k. And yes, even with any pullback, I still believe we'll get there. I'll write more about this in a future post.
Gold-> continue to drop to $ 2600. What will happen?Hello, dear friends, this is Ben!
Gold prices dropped to their lowest level in a week during the Asian session on Tuesday, although spot prices found some support near the $2,600 mark.
Meanwhile, the prevalent risk-on environment, coupled with bets for slower Fed rate cuts and rising U.S. Treasury yields, is driving flows out of the safe-haven XAU/USD. Theoretically, any attempt to push gold prices higher may face limitations.
Ahead, the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, is scheduled for release on Wednesday.
Technically, gold is attempting to break out of the key range after testing support. If a false break occurs at the 2634 level, a minor correction towards resistance may form.
Resistance levels: 2634, 2649, 2663
Support levels: 2618, 2607, 2600
If sellers hold the price below 2630-2634, the bearish momentum could strengthen. However, as the price is testing strong support, a significant reaction could form a false breakout and a correction, potentially targeting levels like 2649-2663 (fibo 0.5), before continuing the downtrend.
Fantom (FTM) and Andre CronjeFTM's social and market activity is on the rise after Andre Cronje released an article highlighting the cash flow of FantomFDN in 2022
Fantom price today is $0.241135 with a 24 hour trading volume of 230 million dollar. FTM price is up 12% in the last 24 hours
Andre Cronje, a long serving figure in the DeFi space, says the Fantom blockchain project he advises is cash-flow positive, earning more than $10 million in annual revenue
Cronje shared a blog post on Monday that claims the Fantom team maintains more than $300 million in assets without specifying how much is considered liquid. “We are still scaling up,” Cronje said
Fantom’s reported treasury, as yet unproven on-chain, is made up of around 450 million FTM ($85.7 million). There’s also $100 million in stablecoins and $100 million in undisclosed cryptocurrencies, as well as $50 million in non crypto assets, per Cronje’s post.Fantom is a layer1 blockchain compatible with Ethereum Virtual Machine. The network competes with the likes of Solana, Avalanche and Polygon for Ethereum’s market dominance. but lets talk about the technical analysis
the blue line shows the important resistance (0.29$) for Ftm and if bulls breaking it, the next targets will be 0.31 - 0.4 and
if you managed to long at 0.17 its time to take some profit as well
ADA is on fire!Hello Traders,
The cryptocurrency market has been buzzing lately, and Cardano (ADA) is no exception!
Over the past couple of weeks, the ADA price has skyrocketed by more than 200%, reaching a strong resistance zone at $1.15–$1.25 level.
This is an incredible performance, especially with altseason just around the corner.
What to expect from ADA in the near future? Let’s break it down!
ADA has hit a significant resistance zone, so we’re likely to see some consolidation — or even a correction — soon. The big question is: how long will this phase last, and how deep could the correction go?
Considering the momentum in the market, I don’t anticipate a prolonged consolidation. With altseason on the horizon, the uptrend could continue after a brief pause. If ADA breaks through the current resistance, the next target to watch for is the $2 price level.
On the downside, any correction is unlikely to push ADA below $0.80 — a promising sign for those holding or trading ADA.
Please, do not forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below, thanks.
Alkem Laboratories Ltd. (NSE: ALKEM)Technical Analysis and Key Levels
1.Current Price Action:
Alkem Laboratories is trading at ₹5,484.40, testing a critical support zone (₹5,300–₹5,450) identified by historical price action and volume profile.
2.Resistance and Support Levels:
Immediate Resistance: ₹5,811.55 (previous swing high).
Key Resistance Zone: ₹6,000–₹6,346.55. A breakout above ₹6,346.55 can lead to fresh bullish momentum.
Immediate Support: ₹5,323.60 (near-term support).
Critical Support: ₹4,629.85, a major demand zone. Failure to hold this level could trigger further downside.
3.Volume Profile:
High-Volume Node (HVN): Significant buying interest is observed around ₹5,450–₹5,800.
Low-Volume Node (LVN): Below ₹5,300, liquidity decreases, increasing the risk of a sharp drop toward ₹4,629.85.
4.Moving Averages:
The stock is currently hovering around the 50-day moving average, indicating short-term indecision.
The 200-day moving average at ₹5,323.60 acts as crucial support for long-term trend analysis.
5.RSI Indicator:
The RSI is neutral but leaning towards the oversold region, suggesting potential accumulation in this zone. A break below ₹5,323 could push RSI into bearish territory.
6.Key Observations:
Nomura's Price Target Update: Nomura revised the price target to ₹6,097 (Neutral stance), close to the immediate resistance levels, which aligns with market consolidation.
7.Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case: Sustaining above ₹5,484.40 and breaking ₹5,811.55 may open doors for ₹6,346.55.
Bearish Case: A decisive break below ₹5,323.60 could lead to ₹4,629.85.
8.Trading Strategy:
For Bulls: Look for confirmation above ₹5,811.55 with increased volumes before entering long positions.
For Bears: Short opportunities arise if the stock breaks and sustains below ₹5,323.60 with a target near ₹4,629.85.
TradeCityPro | CELOUSDT Suitable Trading Opportunity👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let’s analyze CELOUSDT, a cryptocurrency that appears to present opportunities in both spot and futures markets this week.
🌍 Market Overview
Before diving into CELO, let’s take a look at Bitcoin during the London session. BTC continues to print red candles, with its dominance (BTC.D) ranging.
This scenario leads to a balanced market correction, where individual coins behave independently based on their BTC pair performance.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
CELO has been ranging within a weekly box for approximately 830 days, with no significant breakout.
While buying at the box's bottom might have yielded 100% gains, holding positions for extended periods in a risky market like crypto can lead to "capital dormancy," causing stress. Hence, trigger-based trading is preferred.
This time, CELO has printed a higher low within the box, hinting at a potential breakout.
Breakout above 0.8412 with a stop loss at 0.4083 for a mid-term buy.
If missed, another entry above 1.2530 with confirmation from RSI moving into overbuy territory (76.06) ensures a more secure position.
📈 Daily Timeframe
CELO is currently testing the box resistance but shows stronger buyer momentum this time.
Last rejection from 0.8683 led to a correction down to 0.5318, but buyers established a higher low compared to 0.3998, indicating a shift in momentum.
Daily RSI needs to break 74.22 to confirm a sharp move upward , Upon confirmation, price could rally to 1.0503.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
CELO has formed a parabolic movement, with consistent support at the curve line during pullbacks.
Despite some weakening momentum, as long as the price holds above the curve, there’s potential for further upside.
📈 Long Position Trigger:
Breakout above 0.8683 to initiate a long position.
As long as the price remains above 0.7352, higher lows per Dow Theory suggest strength.
💡 BTC Pair Insight
CELOBTC is bearish but shows signs of weakening bearish momentum, which might lead to a trend reversal or a new bullish phase.
Coins with similar BTC pair setups last week either didn’t move or experienced significant pumps after their triggers.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
XRPUSDTXRP/USDT continues to show bullish strength with support from the technical structure and the main trend line. If there are no surprises from the market, the possibility of the price testing the 1.520 - 1.620 zone in the coming sessions is very high. Investors need to closely monitor the price reaction at the support and resistance zones to optimize their trading strategy.
Bitcoin: Approaching 100,000...Focus on 96,500Hello all dear friends!
Bitcoin is approaching a critical point as it nears the psychological resistance level at $100,000 within its ascending channel. The 4-hour chart clearly shows that BTC is gaining strength, supported by the EMA 34 and EMA 89, signaling a steady uptrend. However, the question remains: Will Bitcoin surpass this key level, or are we about to witness a pullback? Theoretically, this is still unclear… Personally, I recommend traders limit their trades as the price approaches this level and open positions only when there is a clear confirmation.
From a technical perspective, we can clearly see that the price is climbing smoothly in a sustainable uptrend toward $100,000. However, after the previous rally, it seems the price has missed significant liquidity zones… For this reason, I do not rule out the possibility that the price may approach the resistance level with the intention of establishing a new high before any reversal reaction occurs. That said, I would prioritize trades if the price breaks below the $96,500 support level, targeting take-profit levels sequentially at $93,300, $88,800, and $85,000.
BTCUSDT: Bullish momentum continues to buildBINANCE:BTCUSDT continues to hold its ground, trading with an uptrend as buyers look to push the price above a key resistance level. Currently, BTC is consolidating near $91,824, showing signs of accumulation within an ascending triangle pattern. This pattern is often considered a bullish signal, indicating a strong breakout.
The current market sentiment remains bullish, supported by institutional interest and macroeconomic factors, such as a weaker dollar and growing demand for cryptocurrencies as a hedge. The chart shows that Bitcoin could gain momentum, especially if buyers manage to break above the key resistance level of $93,300.
Traders should keep a close eye on the $93,300 resistance level. A confirmed breakout with high volume could provide an entry point for long positions, while traders remain conservative. However, with the price reacting to strong resistance, I do not rule out the possibility that the price could wait for a pullback to the $90,000-91,000 zone, form a trend line and rise.
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.64900 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.64900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
DogeCoin To New ATHIn this analysis, we will discuss Dogecoin on the weekly chart and how it is nearing the formation of a new high. On the daily chart, this move may not be as clear, but when we zoom out, it becomes evident that liquidity has been swept from the previous high. Now, the chart is undergoing a retest, shaking out as many traders as possible before making a strong move to break its high.
Follow this analysis closely to stay ahead of Dogecoin’s potential breakout! Don’t miss updates on key levels and critical moves—make sure to check out my TradingView ideas for more insights.
XAUUSD Downtrend Based on SMC (Smart Money Concepts) analysis, it appears that gold on the 4-hour timeframe is likely to continue its downward movement after liquidity was swept from the previous high. Now, we are faced with two potential scenarios:
Scenario 1: A direct drop from the green box.
Scenario 2: A slight upward move into the FVG (Fair Value Gap), followed by a strong decline.
Let’s see which scenario gold decides to follow!
Gold: Shocking drop of nearly 100 USD/ounceThe world gold price today is listed on Kitco at $2,625/ounce, down $90/ounce compared to early this morning.
Gold prices fell sharply as investors took profits after a five-session rally to a three-week high last week.
Gold was also negatively affected after Donald Trump chose billionaire investor Scott Bessent as the US Treasury Secretary in the new administration. According to analysts, Scott Bessent will not be tough in the trade confrontation with China, causing political risks to cool down, which will be detrimental to gold prices.
Bitcoin faces downward pressure, can it bounce back?In the recent trading session, Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is showing signs of strong selling pressure as the price fluctuates around $94,300. The technical chart on the 1-hour chart shows that the price is currently testing important support and resistance zones.
Bullish scenario:
If Bitcoin can break above the trigger zone at $95,200, it will signal a recovery, with a target towards the resistance zone from $98,500. This will require support from positive market sentiment and money flowing back into the crypto market.
Bearish scenario:
On the contrary, if Bitcoin breaks the strong support zone at $92,557, the downtrend may continue with a target of a deeper drop to the $88,700 zone. This will be an important price level to assess the selling momentum in the market.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 26/11/2024Flat or slightly gap up opening expected in nifty near 24300 level. After opening it will face immediate resistance at this level. In case nifty gives breakout of this level and starts trading above 24350 then expected strong upside rally upto 24550 level in today's session. Downside 24050 level will act as an important support for today's session.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(26/11/2024)Today will be flat or slightly gap up opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty starts trading above 52550 level then expected sharp upside rally upto 52950 level in today's session. Downside 52050 level will act as a strong support for today's session. Any major downside only expected below 51950 level.
ETHUSDT: Just One Step Away To $3800...Currently, I see the ETH/USDT pair showing clear bullish signals with the formation of the Cup and Handle pattern. The reason for this uptrend is after the price was rejected around the $3,280 support area and quickly rebounded approximately 0.5% on the day. This pattern – being one of the classic formations in technical analysis – often indicates a strong growth phase when the price breaks through a critical resistance zone.
For me, the $3,400 resistance zone is the key point (trigger) to activate the bullish trend. If the price can break and close above this zone, I believe ETH will quickly enter a strong breakout phase.
The target I am expecting after the trigger is activated is the $3,800 level – this is the price level that completes the Cup and Handle pattern, promising significant profits in the next bullish trend.
Bitcoin: Should I Buy or Sell?Currently, the BTC/USDT pair is showing clear bearish signals after being rejected at the $98,000 resistance zone and forming a lower high. The RSI is also weakening, signaling price divergence, in the short term, we expect selling pressure to increase.
Short-term downside targets are identified at TP1: $95,729 and TP2: $93,246.
GOLD--> Local trend changing? Will it rise to new ATH?OANDA:XAUUSD after a false breakout at 2700, the price has returned to a correction phase, aiming to consolidate its potential for continuing the trend. In the current situation, the fundamental backdrop is shifting in favor of the metal, which active buyers are pursuing...
Gold has not reacted significantly to the previous rally of the dollar, despite hawkish signals from the Fed.
The reason for the metal's rise lies in the escalation of tensions following the UK and US allowing Ukraine to use weapons to strike deep into Russian territory. Russia responded with stronger attacks afterward. Fundamentally, these actions make gold a safe haven choice for protecting assets.
This week, due to the Thanksgiving holidays in the US, trading volumes are expected to fluctuate sharply at the beginning of the week.
Technically, it is predicted that the precious metal could update its ATH this year. However, short-term levels ahead need to be monitored closely. Specifically:
Support levels: 2685, 2675, 2650
Resistance levels: 2711, 2733, 2750
Nonetheless, the upcoming resistance levels must be observed, as they are likely to trigger the next move for the metal. The adjustment toward the nearest liquidity zones is expected, but we are not talking about a reversal. The correction could end quickly, and the price is likely to return to an upward phase. The medium-term target is 2731-2750.
Tue 26th Nov 2024 BTC/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a BTC/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim