Keep your eyes on the RBNZ rate decision!Expect some action after the RBNZ rate decision.
Watch the video for more details.
FX_IDC:NZDUSD EASYMARKETS:NZDUSD
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Technical
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(12/08/2024)Bank Nifty Opening Outlook:
Opening: Expected to be flat.
Upside Potential:
If Bank Nifty sustains above the 50,550 level, an upside rally up to 50,950 is anticipated.
Strong resistance is expected at the 51,000 level.
Downside Potential:
If Bank Nifty starts trading below the 50,450 level, a downside move of 400-500 points is possible.
The 50,000 level will act as a support for today’s session.
Will the 2800 zone act as a strong resistance in the near term?After breaking the 2800 area, we are now approaching it from the other side. Will it act as a strong resistance, or will we break back above it?
For more information, watch the video.
CRYPTO:ETHUSD EASYMARKETS:ETHUSD
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Can EURUSD revisit the psychological 1.1000 zone?With the expectation of rate cuts from the Fed, EURUSD might experience buying interest, at least in the near term. Watch the video for more details.
FX_IDC:EURUSD EASYMARKETS:EURUSD
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Is JASMY done? Taking a look at the daily chart, we see JASMY has been in a down trend (lower highs and lower lows) since the beginning of June falling back into this consolidation range where it was bound for 3 months during February - May. The fact that price has made a complete retracement of the breakout and back into the old consolidation channel, testing its low, is not a good sign to me.
The yellow lines on the chart represent the consolidation's boundaries with the top acting as strong resistance and the bottom now acting as strong support again. There's an intermediate level that acts as support/resistance around the .021 area.
The selloff on Monday, August 5th had substantial volume (last time we had that high of a volume was in February) which indicates to me that a large amount of coins were sold that day and people were taking their profits or getting out of their positions.
Moving forward, I would expect price to be bound within the range of this consolidation channel and if it breaks below it, the next support zone I see is around .012 - .013.
If price makes its way down to .015 - .016 again and consolidates there, it could be a great opportunity for a long position as that level is extremely strong. But, I need more data supporting that thesis before considering an actual entry.
Good luck to you all.
Bitcoin Cash update after the break of the 400 levelSo the idea worked out nicely and we cleared the 400 zone.
What's next? Well, watch the video idea.
CRYPTO:BCHUSD EASYMARKETS:BCHUSD
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Watch out for BoJ tomorrowThe BoJ will be coming out with its interest rate decision tomorrow. Be careful with your yen positions, if you have any.
#nzdjpy FX_IDC:NZDJPY EASYMARKETS:NZDJPY
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Oil prices losing strength due to China's economic slowdown
Oil prices continue to trend downward, as are expectations for increased U.S. oil production and pessimism about the Chinese economy. Expectations are growing that oil prices will gradually fall following reports that new wells will be drilled in US shale fields, and the costs for them will drop significantly by about 10% this year alone. Meanwhile, the economic slowdown in China, the world's largest crude oil importer, is also putting downward pressure on oil prices. China's oil imports in June fell 10.7% amid disappointment that the PBoC's rate cuts were not large enough to boost the Chinese economy.
USOIL (WTI) has been trending downward over the past week, falling to the 75.10 level. After death-crossed, both EMAs rapidly widen the gap and send out a typical bearish signal. If USOIL fails to hold the 75.00 support, where the trend line intersects, the price could fall further to 72.50. Conversely, if USOIL advances toward the 76.80 resistance after recovering EMA21, the price may gain upward momentum toward the 78.20 level.
BCHUSD is lagging?Looking at the technical picture of BCHUSD we can see that the 400-dollar mark is providing strong resistance. A clearance of that area may attract more buyers into the game.
#bchusd EASYMARKETS:BCHUSD CRYPTO:BCHUSD
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Watch out for Lagarde's comments todayThe ECB is delivering its interest rate decision today, however, most of the action could happen during the press conference. Keep your eyes on that!
FX_IDC:EURUSD EASYMARKETS:EURUSD
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Watch out for the US retail sales todayThe US retail sales are coming out today, so be careful with the US instruments.
EASYMARKETS:SPIUSD SP:SPX
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Cryptos fall Cryptos take a nosedive after the report that Mt. Gox moved 47228 BTC from cold storage to anew address.
EASYMARKETS:ETHUSD CRYPTO:ETHUSD
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Technical Analysis for GBP/USD on 8-Hour Time FrameFUNDAMENTAL REASONS
The UK economy is experiencing sluggish growth, with recent GDP data indicating minimal expansion due to Brexit-related uncertainties and global economic headwinds.
UK inflation is at 3.1%, above the Bank of England's (BoE) target of 2%, putting pressure on consumer spending.
The unemployment rate is 4.0%, with stable employment but slow wage growth failing to keep up with inflation.
The US economy remains robust, with Q1 GDP growth at 2.5%, supported by strong consumer spending and business investment.
US inflation is at 3.8%, above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, prompting aggressive monetary tightening.
The unemployment rate is low at 3.6%, indicating a tight labor market and strong job creation.
Interest Rates: The BoE has raised interest rates to 4.5% to combat high inflation. Further hikes may be on the horizon if inflation persists.
Monetary Policy: The BoE has ended QE but continues reinvesting in maturing assets.
Interest Rates: The Fed has increased rates to 5.25% to address inflation, with more hikes possible based on economic data.
Monetary Tightening: The Fed is reducing its balance sheet through quantitative tightening (QT), affecting liquidity.
Brexit: Ongoing Brexit adjustments and trade negotiations continue to create economic uncertainties for the UK.
US-China Relations: Tensions between the US and China influence global trade and economic stability, impacting both the UK and US.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict: The conflict has led to higher energy prices, disproportionately affecting the UK’s economy due to its energy import dependency.
Technical Analysis
Current Price Action
Current Price: 1.2700 (as of the latest 4-hour close)
Previous Close: 1.2720
Range: 1.2680 - 1.2730
Trend Analysis
Short-Term Trend: Downtrend
Medium-Term Trend: Sideways/Range-bound
Long-Term Trend: Uptrend (based on daily time frame analysis)
Moving Averages
20-Period EMA: 1.2710 (price slightly below, indicating short-term weakness)
50-Period SMA: 1.2735 (price below, confirming short-term downtrend)
200-Period SMA: 1.2600 (price above, indicating long-term strength)
Support and Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: 1.2680 (recent swing low)
Key Support: 1.2600 (200-period SMA and psychological level)
Immediate Resistance: 1.2730 (recent swing high and 50-period SMA)
Key Resistance: 1.2800 (psychological level and previous resistance zone)
Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 45 (neutral, but close to oversold territory)
MACD: Bearish crossover, histogram below zero (indicating bearish momentum)
Stochastic Oscillator: Near oversold zone, potential for bullish reversal if it crosses upwards
Volume Analysis
Volume Trend: Decreasing volume on recent declines, suggesting weakening selling pressure
Volume Spikes: No significant volume spikes, indicating lack of strong conviction in either direction
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Recent High: 1.2810
Recent Low: 1.2600
Key Levels:
23.6% Retracement: 1.2665
38.2% Retracement: 1.2695
50% Retracement: 1.2705 (current price near this level)
61.8% Retracement: 1.2720
Conclusion
Bearish Bias: Given the price below key moving averages, bearish MACD, and potential head and shoulders pattern.
Support and Resistance Play: Watch for a break below 1.2680 for a potential move towards 1.2600. Alternatively, a break above 1.2730 could signal a retest of 1.2800.
Risk Management: Use stop-loss orders below 1.2680 if long and above 1.2730 if short to manage risk.
Germany's DAX Threatening Big Break Below Trend SupportGermany's DAX index has had a solid 2024 so far, but the shine may be coming off the bullish technicals as we head into the second half of the year.
After hitting a record high near 19K in May, the index has seen its gains stall out. Prices retreated to bullish trend line support in mid-June, and with bulls failing to drive a convincing bounce off that level, the DAX is now at risk of a bearish breakdown below that level of dynamic support. A breakdown could target the March/April closing lows in the 17.7K zone next.
JPY remains under selling pressureThe Japanese government is currently enjoying the weaker yen, as it helps boost the economy. However, this is only a short-term solution, as eventually, people's anger about rapidly rising prices might overshadow that government's positivity.
#audjpy EASYMARKETS:AUDJPY FX_IDC:AUDJPY
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
How much more will the yen continue its devaluation?Still no support from the BoJ to stabilize their Japanese yen. But there is a reason for that...
#USDJPY EASYMARKETS:USDJPY FX_IDC:USDJPY
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
All eyes on the PCE todayWe are waiting to see what's going to happen after the release of the Fed's preferred inflation metric, the PCE.
EASYMARKETS:EURUSD could one of those exciting pairs to watch today, but wait for the number to come out first.
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Will gold go for a bit of a larger correction?Looking at the technical picture of EASYMARKETS:XAUUSD , it seems that we might see some action to the downside. That said, before getting comfortable with that idea, some breakouts are still needed. For now we wait for the TVC:DXY reaction from the US GDP and PCE today and tomorrow respectively.
#gold TVC:GOLD
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
If not GDP, then maybe the PCE will force it out of the squeezeWe are currently seeing EASYMARKETS:AUDUSD struggling to find a clear direction, as it continues to sit between two tentative short-term trendlines.
Waiting for the US GDP and PCE figures to do something.
#audusd
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
SNB cuts again, CHF weakensThe Swiss National Bank came out again with another cut. This move weakened the CHF against its major counterparts.
#usdchf FX_IDC:USDCHF EASYMARKETS:USDCHF
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
xauusd high volatilityFundamentals
Over the past six months, despite the Fed holding off on rate cuts, high US bond yields, and a strong dollar, both gold and silver have set multiple records. Even skeptics must acknowledge the impressive performance of these metals. Much of this resilience is attributed to sustained central bank buying, with further purchases expected to characterize the second half of the year.
Notably, central bank purchases are coming from various countries, enhancing gold's relevance as a reserve asset. Should the Fed and other major central banks initiate rate cuts, it would improve the overall sentiment for gold by year-end. Meanwhile, broader risks that could stimulate safe-haven demand remain, including the US presidential elections, escalations in Middle Eastern or Russo-Ukrainian conflicts, and potential volatility in globally bullish stock markets if their robust performance falters.
Can Gold Prices Continue to Rise Despite Repeated Pressure on Bulls?_1
Technical Analysis
Gold prices edged slightly higher on Wednesday, but remained below the critical resistance level of $2,345. While further upside is constrained, bulls continue to maintain positive momentum.
Technical studies on the daily chart indicate bulls have successfully held above the upper boundary of a triangle consolidation pattern, suggesting any price retracements in the short term will find support at this level. Meanwhile, the sideways consolidation is expected to sustain upward momentum from this level.
On the flip side, breaking below $2,324 could open the path to retesting support near the lower Bollinger Band around $2,306. A drop below $2,286 could trigger a stronger downward acceleration, as this would complete a failed swing pattern and an asymmetric head-and-shoulders pattern.
Overall, bulls face repeated pressure but the upward structure remains intact. We continue to anticipate opportunities for bulls to push higher before bears take control. Buying on dips remains the preferred trading strategy
Silver climbs back above the 30-dollar markLet's see if EASYMARKETS:XAGUSD can break the downside line and go further north. The first part of moving back above the 30-dollar mark is done, now we just have to overcome the downside line.
#silver TVC:SILVER
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.