Techincalanalysis
Cycles and Their Impact on Market TrendsCycles are a powerful tool to integrate into your trading awareness. Plotting from bottom to bottom is the most straightforward way to visualize cycles. The concept of Hurst cycles comes into play here—they highlight the importance of understanding periodicity in market behavior. Hurst cycles focus on the timing of market movements and how price tends to repeat over consistent intervals, giving traders insight into potential future price action. They’re particularly useful for spotting turning points and understanding the rhythm of the market.
In this chart, I’ve drawn several green semicircles to illustrate cycles of varying lengths, from larger to smaller. While these cycles don’t always align perfectly, they offer a useful framework. It’s crucial to remember that when multiple cycles end or begin simultaneously, the resulting move (whether up or down) tends to be much stronger than when a single, smaller cycle completes on its own. What goes up must come down, and vice versa, but these fluctuations don’t change the overall degree of trend.
By acknowledging these cycles, you gain a better understanding of how market fluctuations occur. You can also backtest historical data and project forward to identify likely peaks and troughs in future trends. However, it’s important not to rely solely on cycle analysis. Combine it with your cocktail of methods—whether that’s Elliott Wave, Fibonacci, or other technical indicators—and look for patterns or signals that align across multiple strategies. The goal is to find where your methods “jive” and provide you with the most confidence in your market outlook.
SILVER: Local Correction Ahead! Buy!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 31.45871$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
DXY: Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Welcome to our daily DXY prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 102.950
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
GOLD: Market Is Looking Down! Sell!
Welcome to our daily GOLD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 2,634.800$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Sell!
Welcome to our daily EURUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 1.09274
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
US's Resilient Economy Attracts European InvestorsHello!
Chart Explanation & Indicators
EURUSD has been bearish since the weak higher high on 25 September. You find this level in the upper zone. When MACD crossed to the bearish side on 30 September, EUR started a spectacular crash into the bottom zone. EUR pierced the bottom zone and now sits on the trendline. Historically, EUR rallied from this trendline on 27 June and 02 August, as the red circles demonstrate. Rising trendlines, however, tend to break downward eventually. MACD has an active bearish cross and a definite bearish trend. Momentum is growing more hefty to the bearish side. Bears could target the white zone at $1.088 or lower.
Technical Zones
There are two horizontal, red rectangular zones on the chart. The upper zone and the bottom zone . The bottom zone contained support levels where the EUR could bounce on 16 August and 12 September and hit the resistances of the upper zone. However, the EUR lost the support zone. The bottom zone might have become another resistance. The price sits on a rising, red support trendline now. The next zone that might function as a support is around $1.088.
Conclusion
The setup suggests a short position. The price resting on a supportive trendline casts a shadow on the suggestion. The signal might be bearish, but the entry doesn't seem ideal. I'll wait for the setup to change for a new assessment or the price action to align with the setup to catch a neat entry.
Thankfully to all followers,
Ely
HDFC Bank: Navigating Bearish Momentum Amid Key LevelsNSE:HDFCBANK : Navigating Bearish Momentum Amid Key Levels
NSE:HDFCBANK : is currently facing bearish momentum, encountering significant downward pressure as it tests key support levels. As traders, it’s crucial to analyze the following resistance and support zones to gauge potential market movements:
Resistance Levels:
1726 / 1716: These levels are pivotal resistance points. A failure to breach these zones may trigger sell-offs, reinforcing bearish sentiment in the stock.
Support Levels:
1676 / 1636 / 1596: The stock is attempting to establish support near 1636. A break below this critical level could accelerate downward momentum, signaling further weakness and inviting additional selling pressure.
Upcoming Catalysts:
HDFC Bank will announce its Q2 earnings report on October 18. This upcoming event is likely to introduce volatility, potentially influencing price action significantly.
Market Outlook:
Despite efforts to maintain support at 1636, HDFC Bank's overall trend appears weak. Traders should closely monitor price action around these key levels to anticipate potential shifts in momentum.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (RA). This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider sharing, following, or boosting this idea! Your support is greatly appreciated!
BEL : Key Support & Resistance Levels at Current Price of 286.90NSE:BEL : Key Support & Resistance Levels at Current Price of 286.90
As NSE:BEL trades around 286.90, it shows signs of weakness, and it's essential to focus on the following support and resistance levels for potential trading strategies:
Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 295 – This level may act as a barrier for upward movement.
Psychological Resistance: 300 – A significant psychological level that traders watch; a breakout above this could attract more buying interest.
Key Resistance: 307 – A crucial level for confirming bullish momentum; a strong close above here may indicate a sustained upward trend.
Support Levels:
Crucial Support: 285 – This key level may provide buying interest. A break below this could lead to further downside.
Stronger Support: 275 – Acts as backup support, offering a safety net for traders.
Lower Support: 267 – If tested, it would indicate significant selling pressure, warranting close attention.
Outlook: BEL appears to be weak at the moment. Holding below the 285 support could lead to further declines, potentially testing 275 and 267. A bounce back above 285 may provide a chance for a retest of 295, but caution is advised given the current weakness.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (RA). This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider sharing, following, or boosting this idea! Your support is greatly appreciated!
EURUSD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0939
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1014
Safe Stop Loss - 1.0902
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURAUD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURAUD is below:
The market is trading on 1.6267 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.6140
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.6325
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD: Local Correction Ahead! Buy!
Welcome to our daily GOLD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 2,637.792$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
CADCHF On The Rise! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the CADCHF next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.6239
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear Bullish signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.6267
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Welcome to our daily EURUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 1.09591
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
GBPCHF Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPCHF below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1214
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1232
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURGBP Massive Short! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the EURGBP next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.8387
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 0.8403
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.8360
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER: Market Is Looking Down! Sell!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 30.38629$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
CADJPY Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on CADJPY and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 109.01 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 108.68
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPCAD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current GBPCAD chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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DXY: Move Down Expected! Sell!
Welcome to our daily DXY prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 102.785
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!