Optimized MACD Study with AlertsThis Pine Script study enhances the classic MACD indicator with additional functionality, making it a powerful tool for traders who want actionable and visually intuitive signals on their charts. It is designed to help traders identify BUY and SELL opportunities with customizable alerts, along with visual labels for better chart interpretation.
Key Features:
Customizable MACD Settings:
Users can adjust the Fast EMA, Slow EMA, and Signal Smoothing parameters to fit their specific trading strategies and preferences.
Take Profit Logic:
The script includes a take profit mechanism that tracks price movement after a BUY signal and highlights when the target is achieved.
Visual labels ("Take Profit Hit") make it easier to track price performance directly on the chart.
Visual Signals:
BUY signals are labeled clearly on the chart when the MACD line crosses above the Signal line.
SELL signals appear either when the take profit is hit or when the MACD line crosses below the Signal line, making it easy to interpret market conditions at a glance.
Dynamic Alerts:
Selectable alerts are included for both BUY and SELL signals, allowing traders to stay informed in real-time without constant monitoring.
Alerts dynamically display the symbol, time, price, and reason for the alert (e.g., BUY Signal or SELL Signal due to Take Profit or MACD Exit).
User-Friendly and Flexible:
This study is versatile and suitable for different asset classes and timeframes, from cryptocurrencies to stocks or forex.
Clear visual annotations and dynamic alert messages make it beginner-friendly yet powerful enough for experienced traders.
How to Use:
Attach the script to your preferred chart and timeframe, adjust the MACD settings as needed, and set up alerts using the "BUY Alert" and "SELL Alert" conditions in the TradingView alert system. The custom alert messages provide key details, such as the symbol, time, and current price, helping traders respond quickly to opportunities.
This script is ideal for those looking to enhance their trading strategy with actionable insights and automated notifications. Whether you're day trading or swing trading, the Optimized MACD Study provides a robust framework for informed decision-making.
Takeprofit
XLV Swing Long 1H Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ biggest volume Sp
- resistance level
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to2 R/R take profit before 1/2 of the Day
Daily Context
"- short impulse
- unvolumed T1
+ support level
+ volumed Sp"
Monthly Context
"+ long impulse
- SOS level broken
- far below 1/2 correction"
Yearly Context
"+ long impulse
- resistance level"
long night ahead We've fallen through a key dynamic level - if we don't see a push back above this level (the lime green line on the chart) before 0100 UTC-5 , I see a freefall incredibly likely especially given the likelihood that many stop losses will close not far below, and fear will set in causing panic sales. I dont use shorts, so i haven't categorised it as that... but I definitely see this as a potential take profit for long positions
SMLT 1D Aggressive Investment CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
CounterTrend 1M
"+ short impulse
+ biggest volume TE / T1 level
+ support level
+ biggest manipulation?"
Trend 12M
"+ SOS test level
- far below 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation?"
They say company is going to bankruptcy, but why would it concern technical analysis?!
AMT 1D Investment Aggressive trend TradeAggressive trend Trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
1M Trend Trade
"+ long impulse
- far below SOS level
+ 1/2 correction"
1Y Trend Trade
"+ long balance
+ ICE level
+ support level
- too far before 1/2 correction
+ volumed Sp
+ test"
O 1D Investment Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume TE / T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ SoS level
+ support level
+ weak approach"
1Y Trend
"+ long balance
+ volumed manipulation
- neutral zone"
Gold (XAUUSD): Is a Long-Term Cycle Ending Soon?We came across a long-term view of TVC:GOLD on the monthly chart, and it’s hard to ignore what it suggests. Since 1980, Gold has shown clear Elliott Wave structures, with Wave III respecting key Fibonacci extension levels. Now, we appear to be concluding Wave V, which could mark the end of a multi-decade cycle.
While the RSI on the monthly timeframe is overbought, it’s not definitive on its own. However, when paired with the chart structure, it raises concerns. We expect a potential max price for Gold at $3,000, a significant psychological level. If this marks the end of Wave V, Gold could retrace to a range of $1,400-$1,700 as part of a major correction.
An alternate scenario is that we’re still concluding Wave III, with more upside left. Either way, we anticipate a short-term push above the current trend channel, targeting $2,910-$3,000, before a correction for Wave (4). Alternatively, breaking the trend channel prematurely could trigger the start of this correction sooner than expected.
Our short-term target is $2,420-$2,150 before resuming a push to $2,900-$3,000. Alerts are set, and we’ll provide updates or potential setups as this unfolds.
SLB 5M Daytrade Long Aggressive CounterTrend tradeAggressive CounterTrend trade
- short impulse
+ support level
- unvolumed T1 level
+ volumed 2Sp-
- weak test closed below T1
+ first bullish bar closed entry
- target beyond 5M / 1H range
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit expandable to swing / investment trade
1 Hour CounterTrend
"- short balance
+ expanding ICE
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation"
1 Day Trend
"+ long impulse
+ SOS test level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction"
1 Month Trend
"+ long balance
+ expanding ICE level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed manipulation"
Sell SLB Limit 44.54, GTC
Sell SLB Stop 42.29 LMT 43.06, GTC
TM 1D Investment Long Conservative TradeConservative Trade
+ long balance
+ 1/2 correction
+ ICE level
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
- not waiting for a test
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test?"
Calculated affordable stop limit at $168.93
Take profits
20% at 1 to 2 R/R
20% at 1/2 1D
20% at 1D Creek
20% at 1/2 1M
20% at 1M T1
McDonald's (MCD): New setback after quarter pounder incidentOne month ago, we predicted McDonald’s would push into the 127.2%-138% range at max, and now the stock is reacting precisely as we expected. Pre-market trading shows a 6% drop following the news from Tuesday.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has reported one fatality and ten hospitalizations linked to McDonald's Quarter Pounder burgers, resulting in the fast-food chain pulling the item from several menus. This incident has brought McDonald's stock back into its previous range, signaling that this wave (B) should mark the local top for now.
If we are correct, we expect to see a 5-wave structure downward from here. While there could be a brief relief pump, we anticipate the stock falling below the wave (A) level of $243. We are patiently monitoring the situation, and if a favorable short setup presents itself, we will share the entry details. For now, we are watching how the news unfolds and waiting on the sidelines.
SMLT 1H Swing Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed T1
- support level???
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit expandable to Investment trade
Daily CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ volumed Sp
+ weak test"
Monthly CounterTrend
"+ short balance
+ ICE level
+ 1/2 correction
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation"
NLMK 1H Long Swing Trend TradeTrend Trade
+ short impulse
+ support level
+ biggest volume T1?
- 1 bar reversal?
+ volumed 2Sp
+ weak test to 1/2
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable virtual stop
1 to 2 R/R expandable to 1D if closed Sp take profit
Daily Trend
" + long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ JOC level
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Meta (META): Watching for a SetbackIt has been a lovely rise within META since 2023. However, we are now continuing to range for some time, which is usually a sign of a possible setback before a continuation. This setback could be beneficial for sustainable growth and further rises.
Zooming in, we can observe a range building since February 2024. This range has been respected multiple times so far, and it seems likely to continue. However, the small breach of the top looks somewhat like a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) and could be a signal of profit-taking by many traders. If we breach through the $440 level, we could see a change of structure if a candle closes below it. If this happens, it would confirm our analysis. Until then, we might see higher prices as this is technically still a bullish trend within this range.
Another small indicator supporting our view is the bearish divergence on the RSI. While RSI is a good indicator with a high win rate, it’s not infallible, so this scenario might not play out. Still, this seems the most likely outcome to us at the moment.
Why I might buy some Qualcomm shares early next week.
Guys, one of the companies that does well from a weakening USD is Qualcomm (ticker - QCOM). Qualcomm is a company that will do well with a weakening USD because a lot of its operations are offshore USA.
From statista.com:
"Qualcomm revenue worldwide 2018-2023, by region
Published by
Thomas Alsop
, Jan 5, 2024
Qualcomm's revenue was a total of approximately 35.8 billion U.S. dollars in the fiscal year of 2023. Qualcomm generated over 22 billion U.S. dollars in China and Hong Kong alone. Vietnam surpassed Ireland, the United States, and South Korea, occupying the position of second region with the highest revenue, with around 4.5 billion U.S. dollars generated."
What does Qualcomm exactly do?
From qualcomm.com
"Every day, Qualcomm is transforming the way we work, live and communicate, pushing the limits of technologies like artificial intelligence to help us stay more intelligently connected. This digital transformation is advancing nearly every facet of society and business – from automotive, agriculture and education to healthcare and manufacturing."
Look, I don't know for sure what direction the USD will take this next week. Please see my other thread today on why I think the USDX is about to rally. Of course if the USD rally's northward then this would not be good for a Long-investment in Qualcomm. But here is the thing, any rally in the USDX I believe will be short-lived as the USA goes into an interest rate reduction next month which is pretty much 'in-the-bag'.
From Reuters 5 days ago:
The U.S. central bank will cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points in September, November and December taking the range to 4.50%-4.75% by end-2024, according to 54% of those polled, 55 of 101.
Markets, which were earlier betting on a half-percentage-point cut in September, are currently pricing around 70% probability of a quarter percentage point cut next month.
So, l am not trying to justify the trade in my own mind, I thought it might be a good opportunity for you. I probably would not buy a CFD on this one, I would be buying shares and taking it long for probably a few months of course with a Stop-loss. Because longer-term investments can turn pair-shaped very quickly.
Now, onto the most important technicals. QCOM was up a whopping 67% this-year-to-18 June when its share price hit an all-time-high of 230.47. Since 18 June it share price was sold off due to a bearish head-'n'-shoulder's pattern on the 4hr, but I have done the measurements & this sell-off has played out to the downside so in other words I see no further threat from this bearish h'n's. Price normally want to recover after such a sell-off and retrace to retest the highs.
Now checkout the very bullish Cup'n'Handle pattern on the weekly. See chart. The other timeframe from the Daily right down to the 15m look supportive of price which has recently recovered from the sell off and getting support on all the important moving averages across all timeframes.
STOP LOSS : I might take 2 trades longer term as a stock trade, not cfd, because I avoid paying swap-rates.
Aggressive-Stop would be just under a recent swing-low on the 1HR, a price just underneath a Buy-order block for added protection. That Stop-Loss level is 163.10 which represents 6.23% wriggle-room if the Share-price were to fall.
A more conservative Stop-loss level is 152.30 which is right under the weekly-handle & underneath the lowest price there.
Take Profit: A take-profit level would be 360 , this is riding on the back of the bullish Cup n Handle patterns on weekly and 4hr chart and on significant increase in sp next month when the USA reduces it's interest rate.
See chart of Daily below:
* Trading is risky. Please do not rely solely on my financial advice.
PayPal (PYPL): Time to Secure Profits After Hitting New HighsWe’ve noticed that PayPal isn’t getting much attention lately, but since our entry, the stock has surged to a new high, the highest since April 2024. However, amidst the potential hype surrounding PayPal, we must remain focused and closely monitor the chart.
The gap from August 2023 has now fully closed, and the RSI is beginning to look concerning. In response, we’ve decided to take some profits off the table and raise our stop-loss to just below the triple EQL at around $56.88.
With this new stop-loss and the profits we've secured, we’re protected from potential downturns but still positioned to look for another entry in PayPal.
Stay tuned for updates on the next possible setup. ✅
Walmart’s (WMT) Earnings Could Signal Economic TrendsAt first glance, Walmart's earnings might not seem critical, but they provide key insights into consumer behavior and could serve as an indicator for future retail sales. If Walmart reports disappointing earnings, it could signal broader economic concerns. As one of the largest retailers in the U.S., a decline in Walmart's customer base may indicate that consumers are tightening their belts, which is never a good sign for the economy.
This is why we're closely monitoring Walmart. Sometimes, stocks can act as a barometer for the market. While we’re hopeful for a strong earnings report, we're also anticipating a potential price dip into the $43 to $36 range. Whether this occurs immediately or in the coming weeks is uncertain, but we believe it’s a likely scenario. If Walmart’s price drops into this range, it could present a compelling buying opportunity. The golden pocket Fibonacci retracement aligns with this area, and there’s also a significant, yet untagged, liquidation level at $40 that we're keeping an eye on.
We’ll be closely watching Walmart’s earnings and price movements. If we see a negative earnings report and a subsequent drop in price, we’ll provide updates and discuss potential strategies. 🤝
Netflix (NFLX) - Preparing for the Next Upward MoveBack in March, we anticipated the target zone for Netflix to be between the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels. This zone was reached in April, marking the end for Wave 4 perfectly.
Since then, the overarching Wave (1) has likely been completed. We expect a significant correction before another upward move, with the anticipated pullback range between 35% to 50%. Despite the expected correction, we maintain a bullish outlook for Netflix, anticipating higher prices in the longer term.
Once we confirm the pullback and identify precise entry and exit points, we will issue a detailed market report.
Conservative Investment Trend Trade HD LongMonthly Trend Trade
" + long impulse
+ 1/2 correction"
Daily Conservative Trend trade
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ ICE level
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp"
Calculated affordable virtual stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Broker set up:
May-20-2024
Buy HD at Market (Day)
May-20-2024
OCO 3A: Sell HD Stop at $332.37 Limit at $337.86 (Good 'til Canceled)
May-20-2024
OCO 3B: Sell HD Limit at $348.84 (Good 'til Canceled)
TOTAL MARKET CAP FOR CRYPTO - PREDICTIONS FOR MARKET EXIT Many people forget to follow the chart of Total market cap, Total2 where BTC and ETH enter by capital and Total3, which showed perfectly when to enter smaller currencies, when to reinvest and when to exit.
The peak of the same as bitcoin depends exclusively on how much total capital will enter the crypto market. That's why it's important to create some specific zones and monitor them for profit removal from the entire portfolio.
The first target is quite realistic in my opinion and I give it a very high probability of happening. In that case, some altcoins will make an additional 300-500% profit from the current price. The best scenario for which we will determine whether to leave part of the profit for the best stake, that is the target 1.61.
Don't forget that we are in the final phase and that you should watch it exit the market and not re-enter it
Share below the comment and your opinion on how realistic the scenario is for the future
Optimizing Returns: Position Sizing, Leverage and Spot TradingWhomever told you "Size doesn't matter" in trading, has never had a big "size" and probably just borrowed someone elses.
In the dynamic landscape of trading, where fortunes can be made and lost in the blink of an eye, various strategies vie for attention. Position sizing, leverage trading, and spot trading each offer distinct approaches to navigating the volatile markets. Understanding the nuances and risks associated with each is essential for traders seeking to optimize their returns while managing risk effectively.
Position Sizing: A Prudent Approach
Position sizing is a strategy that emphasizes determining the appropriate amount of capital to allocate to a trade relative to one's overall portfolio. Rather than relying on borrowed funds to amplify gains, position sizing focuses on prudent allocation and risk management.
Consider this scenario:
Here is something that happened to me recently:
Over a week ago I invested just $80 in #Bitcoin and the price moved 12% since
My return: $11.75
A few days ago I invested $1,000 in Bitcoin and the price moved only 3%
My return: +$26.00
Despite the smaller percentage gain in the first scenario, the return on investment is substantially lower due to the smaller position size.
This highlights a fundamental principle: the size of one's position significantly impacts the magnitude of returns. While the absolute gains may seem modest in the examples provided, they demonstrate the potential for consistent growth without the need for excessive risk-taking.
Leverage Trading: Temptation and Risk
Leverage trading offers the allure of magnified returns by allowing traders to control positions larger than their initial capital. However, this comes with inherent risks, including fees associated with borrowing and the potential for significant losses.
Many traders are drawn to leverage trading in pursuit of exponential gains. Yet, they often overlook the substantial risks involved. Despite the promise of greater returns, the reality is that losses can mount swiftly, eroding profits and even leading to negative balances.
Furthermore, the psychological toll of leverage trading can be significant. Constantly chasing high-risk, high-reward opportunities can result in emotional exhaustion and impulsive decision-making, fueling a cycle of loss and frustration.
Spot Trading: Proceed with Caution
Spot trading stands as a stalwart option for those seeking to invest without the complexities of leverage. However, even in this seemingly straightforward arena, there are nuances to be wary of, particularly when it comes to leveraging spot positions.
Spot trading entails purchasing and holding an asset with the expectation of long-term appreciation. Unlike leverage trading, where borrowed funds amplify gains and losses, spot trading relies solely on the investor's own capital. This approach is often favored for its simplicity and reduced risk exposure.
However, the temptation to employ leverage in spot trading can lead to unforeseen consequences. Leveraging spot positions increases the potential for losses, as the borrowed funds magnify both gains and losses. Moreover, the dynamics of unrealized and realized profit and loss (PnL) can confound inexperienced traders.
Finding Balance: The Art of Risk Management
The key to successful trading lies in finding the balance between risk and reward. While leverage trading offers the potential for rapid growth, it requires a disciplined approach to risk management. Instead of fixating on borrowed size, traders should focus on optimizing position size relative to their available capital.
Understanding the interplay between unrealized and realized PnL is crucial for making informed trading decisions in both leverage and spot trading. By exercising prudence and restraint, traders can optimize their returns while safeguarding against undue exposure to market volatility.
In the end, what truly matters is finding a harmonious balance between these strategies. Whether it's careful position sizing, navigating the highs and lows of leverage trading, or sticking to the grounded principles of spot trading, it's all about embracing a method that resonates with your risk tolerance and goals. With a keen understanding of the intricacies involved and a disciplined mindset guiding your every move, you'll be well-equipped to chart your course through the markets and seize every opportunity that comes your way.