Well This Isn't A Good Look For BitcoinIt's been a hard couple of weeks in the crypto markets, and it is not looking much better when you zoom out to the weekly timeframe. The Logical Trading Indicator is flashing a sell signal on this week's candle which means that we have some serious downward momentum hitting the Bitcoin market.
For you new guys, this means that there is way more selling pressure coming into the market than buying pressure. Trading is nothing but a game of supply and demand. My thought is that the Bitcoin ETF news event earlier in the year caused us to go into an early cycle that broke all time highs WAY too soon. Now we are paying the price for that, literally...
Now that the big boys of Wall Street are manipulating the price, there is no telling what is going to happen. As retail traders, we just need to be able to catch and ride the waves because we don't have enough capital to move the price on our own anymore.
What I see happening is that if this weekly candle closes with this sell signal, that will drive the price of Bitcoin down closer to the next somewhat level of market structure, which is around $50k. After that, the next solid level is around $37K-$40K. Not saying it's going to happen, we all want to be optimistic about the price, but we have to face reality that Wall Street wants cheaper Bitcoin so they are going to short futures until they get it to the price they want to buy it at. Once they get their fill, then we could see some real fire works when it comes to a pump in price, but we just have to be patient and ride their wake for a while until it happens.
It's very important to not get caught up in the noise on social media and focus on the data in the charts. Fundamentally, Bitcoin is not making any changes. The only news is about regulations and on and off ramps, but nothing about the actual blockchain or it's mechanics. So based on that, BTC traders can really just focus on price movements for now. Don't let a small price pump fool you either, Wall Street wants cheaper Bitcoin, and they will get what they want.
Now on the flip side of this, if we hold this level as support, which honestly is not looking like the case as of this post, but if buyers do hold this level, we look at this dump as a shake out and may start the next leg up. So again, we have to be ready for anything. This is really why I just let the Logical Trading Indicator tell me when it's time to pay attention and when to trade.
Are you bears ready for another ride down? Or are you bulls gearing up for a moonshot?
Be careful out there in these volatile markets and trade logically!
Supportandresistancezones
Buy XAUUSD Channel BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 2326, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels :
1st Support – 2351
2nd Support – 2365
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2316.50 This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Ethereum - Is everything already over?CRYPTO:ETHUSD is struggling to break above the previous all time high and might correct soon.
Please don't look at headlines and news regarding cryptocurrencies. Overall these messages are just preventing you from objectively looking at the chart. Ethereum is creating higher highs and higher lows, meaning that Ethereum is trading in an uptrend. Even if Ethereum is not able to break above the previous all time high, market structure still remains decently bullish.
Levels to watch: $4.000, $2.200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Gold (Xau/Usd) Triangle in H1The XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2331
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2358
2nd Resistance – 2378
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2317.50. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Thank you
Buy GBPUSD Wedge BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.2660, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2737
2nd Support – 1.2803
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.2600. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
NEAR/USDT Trading ScenarioAfter reaching a local high of $8.981, NEAR corrected to $4.453, resulting in a decline of over 50%. Subsequently, the asset attempted to recover but failed to reach the previous local high and once again headed downward, retesting the $4.453 level and breaking below the 200-day moving average. Currently, the asset is trading near the newly formed resistance level and the 200-day moving average, with support provided by the volume profile.
Under current conditions and within the summer market context, a continuation of the downward movement can be expected with the aim of liquidity accumulation.
This situation appears quite attractive for opening a position in this asset and holding it until new significant sell signals emerge.
Sell EUR/USD Channel BreakoutThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0732, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0699
2nd Support – 1.0675
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0760. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
SPY: Beware of These Reversal Patterns!In the daily chart of the SPY, a potential double top pattern is forming, signaling a bearish reversal. The key resistance level for this pattern is around 550.12, where the price has failed to break through on two recent occasions, marked by red arrows.
This level is critical for traders to watch as it represents a significant hurdle for any upward momentum. If SPY fails to close above this resistance, it might lead to a bearish breakdown towards the neckline support at 542.62. A break below this level would confirm the double top pattern, potentially leading to a further decline towards the next support around 533.07.
On the weekly chart, a gravestone doji pattern has emerged, a strong bearish reversal signal, especially after a sustained uptrend. This pattern indicates that buyers were unable to maintain higher prices, leading to a close near the week's low.
The gravestone doji, appearing near the resistance level around 550.12, reinforces the bearish outlook suggested by the daily double top pattern. If the bearish sentiment persists, the first significant support to monitor is the 21-week EMA, which has historically provided dynamic support during uptrends.
Integrating the daily and weekly charts, SPY is at a crucial juncture. The double top pattern on the daily chart and the gravestone doji on the weekly chart both indicate potential bearish pressure. If you are bullish, a decisive close above 550.12 would invalidate the double top and suggest a continuation of the uptrend. However, the current technical indicators favor a bearish scenario, with the potential for a significant correction if key support levels are breached. For now, we should closely monitor these critical levels to gauge SPY's next move, balancing the bearish signals with the potential for bullish invalidation.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
UPL :: Turning around to (Agrow)Chemical Stock? - It's been decades we have seen that AgriCulture is contributing almost about 18-20% in India's GDP growth yet this sector remains to be more politically inclined to their specific actions during major elections.
- GDP contribution by Top 3 sectors:
Agriculture: 18.4%
Industry: 28.3%
Services: 53.3%
- NSE:UPL is one of the top 5 global providers of total agricultural solutions with a footprint in 138+ countries.
Going by the current situation we see the following observations -
1) Script is trading at a Money-based range dating back to the pandemic lows after hitting 52W Lows due to global headwinds.
2) After a stellar doubler move from Dec'20 to May'21 the script delivered almost more than 100% return to its investors and eventually we see a exhaustion after an eventual double top like pattern with a neckline candle marked in a red zone.
3) Interestingly, you see a SWAP LEVEL marked to denote the beautiful Yearly Low of 2021 being protected for next 2yrs and finally breaks down nearing ending of 2022 while being in a range of 200p within the red zone and swap level for that existing period.
4) While, we talked about price action in the previous point we missed out the lethal info being nudged in by our FUNDFLUX tool which showed consistent outflow of money in first 2Q's of 2022 before it out the swap level in Q3 of 2022.
5) What happens next will make you understand why we call the marked blue dotted line as the "Swap level" as after the breakdown we see a retest of the same level now turning out to be a resistance for script and eventually the Yearly Pivot Level of 2024 .
6) Now, currently the script trades in a good money-based range eventually dodging out YL4 breakdown and here the risk seems to be minimum as per the return is concerned as after 510-520 the script will be ripped for 640-650 initial target making a return of 30-35% in cash from entry being in the marked money-based green range and it can be in news in this quarter as elections are nearing and as said in the beginning - "AgriCulture" will be on one of the top agendas of the political parties and alongside if we see a relief from destocking and price revisions in the West after the much anticipated rate cuts then it will be an icing on the cake for the script as margins will improve in the coming quarterly results and lastly monsoon season is about to begin in India in a month and till now SKYMET expects Monsoon to be 'normal' in India.
A RELEVANT ARTICLE -
www.livemint.com
DPWires is ready for 20-30% returns DPWIRES is around the support area
Stock has corrected appx 35% from highs
Previously stock always corrected between 30-35%
So it has nature to give 30-35% correction !!
After a fall, Stock is around support area which is working from 2020
We may see bounce from 450 level and see further upside !!
Thank you !!
Bulls and Bears zone for 06-28-2024So far this week, three days in a row S&P has been making slow gains. However, intraday trading has been range bound.
Any test of yesterday's Close could provide direction for the day.
Level to watch : 5554 --- 5556
News to watch:
945am: US Chicago PMI
10am : US Consumer Sentiment
AUD/USD - H1 Chart - Wedge BreakoutThe AUD/USD FX:AUDUSD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.6644, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.6611
2nd Support – 0.6590
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.6663. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
MU: A Dangerous Inflection Point! (D&W charts).Daily Chart:
On the daily chart, MU is trading within an ascending channel, a bullish indicator suggesting an uptrend continuation. The recent price action has tested the lower boundary of this channel, around 133.30, a critical support level that was a previous resistance, as evidenced by the red arrows – another example of the Principle of Polarity. The price rebounded from this support, highlighting its significance.
A sustained move above this level could push the stock higher within the channel, potentially targeting the recent highs around 157.41. The only thing missing is a clear bottom signal (there isn't any so far). However, a break below 133.30 could signal a potential shift in trend, leading to a deeper correction in the weekly chart.
Weekly Chart:
In the weekly chart, a shooting star pattern is observed, a bearish reversal signal that often appears at the top of an uptrend. This pattern indicates a potential top, especially if followed by a bearish confirmation in the subsequent weeks.
The current weekly close below the low of the shooting star reinforces the possibility of a correction (however, this week isn’t over yet). If the price continues to decline, the next significant support level to watch is the 21-week EMA, which has previously acted as a dynamic support.
Conclusion:
Integrating both time frames, MU is at a crucial juncture. The daily ascending channel suggests a bullish bias, but the weekly shooting star pattern warns of a potential correction.
If the price holds above the key support of 133.30 on the daily chart, it could resume its upward trajectory within the channel. However, failure to maintain this level might lead to further downside, aligning with the bearish implications of the weekly shooting star.
Fow now, we should monitor these levels closely to gauge the stock's next move, balancing the bullish potential of the ascending channel with the caution warranted by the shooting star pattern.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
Sell GBP/USD Channel BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2675, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2635
2nd Support – 1.2610
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2703. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Reliance will fall hereonReliance industries is around the Long term Resistance
Right now on a Daily timeframe, Stock is making Broadning pattern
If Stock follows the pattern then we can see downside of 10-13% from these levels
Disclaimer :- This is POSSIBLE BROADENING Pattern
Thank You !!
Disclaimer : We are not SEBI registered analyst. Do your own research before taking any investment decision.
Sell NZD/JPY Channel BreakoutThe NZD/JPY pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 97.55, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 96.95
2nd Support – 96.53
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 97.95. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
QQQ: Key Levels and Potential Scenarios (D&W charts).Daily Chart:
On the daily chart, QQQ has recently hit an all-time high of 486.86, marking a significant resistance level. This milestone suggests a bullish momentum, but it's essential to watch how the price behaves around this level.
There's also a noticeable gap at 468.14, which often acts as a magnet for price action, serving either as support or resistance. Currently, the price is hovering around the 473.82 support level, which, if maintained, could signal continued bullish momentum.
Additionally, the 21-day EMA is another critical support level; staying above it would further validate the uptrend. Should the price break above the all-time high, we could see new peaks. Conversely, losing support at 473.82 might lead to a sharper pullback, potentially down to 460.58 or even 449.34.
Weekly Chart:
Looking at the weekly chart, a shooting star pattern has emerged, typically a bearish signal suggesting a potential reversal. This pattern indicates that despite reaching new highs, there was significant selling pressure, hinting at a possible decline.
The 21-week EMA, however, shows that the longer-term trend remains bullish as the price is still well above this level. If the price confirms the shooting star by dropping in the following weeks, it might signal a deeper correction.
Maintaining above the 21-week EMA would still suggest a strong underlying bullish trend, despite short-term bearish signals.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, while the QQQ shows strong bullish signals, indicated by new all-time highs and support levels on the daily chart, the shooting star pattern on the weekly chart warrants caution.
If the price holds above 473.82 and the 21-day EMA, the bullish trend is likely to continue with potential for new highs. However, if these supports fail, we might see a correction down to the gap at 468.14 or lower. Overall, monitoring these key levels will be crucial in determining whether the QQQ continues its upward trajectory or enters a period of correction.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
CME 1H Long Swing Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1 level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
Takle profit:
+ 1/3 1 to 2 R/R
+ 1/3 to a Daily CREEK
+ 1/3 to a monthly 1/2
Daily Context
"- short balance
- unvolumed ICE level
+ support level
+ biggest volumed of the Day wave"
Monthly context
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- volumed T2
+ support level
- unvolumed manipulation"
XAU-USD
The chart for Silver/US Dollar (XAG/USD) on a daily timeframe shows a bullish "Double Bottom" pattern around the 28.60 USD level, indicating potential reversal of the recent downtrend. This pattern suggests strong support, as the price has bounced off this level twice. The current price is approximately 29.038 USD.
A significant resistance level is identified around 32.00 USD, where the price has previously faced selling pressure. If the price breaks above this resistance, it could signal further upward momentum. The chart projects an upward movement towards this resistance, represented by a yellow arrow, suggesting that the price might initially face resistance but is expected to rise.
Historical support around 26.00 USD is also highlighted, providing context for potential price movements. The yellow and red highlighted areas mark these critical support and resistance zones.
In summary, the chart indicates a bullish outlook for XAG/USD, supported by the double bottom pattern and strong support at 28.60 USD. The key resistance level to watch is 32.00 USD. Traders should monitor the support at 28.60 USD to confirm the double bottom pattern and potential upward trajectory.