XAGUSD: Key Levels to WatchHello,
OANDA:XAGUSD appears to have found support, but the key level to watch is 29.579. If the price breaks and sustains above this level, further upside momentum is likely. However, if resistance holds, we can expect continued downside movement. Should a bullish breakout occur and momentum builds, the price may advance toward the 1M pivot point. Additionally, it's important to note that the 1M strong support is positioned at 28.702.
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Support and Resistance
XAUUSD at Key Pivot Points: Upside or Downside?Hello,
OANDA:XAUUSD has respected the 1D pivot point (PP), finding support at this level. The next key level to watch is the 1M PP. If it holds as support, we could see further upside; however, if it acts as resistance once again, a downside move may follow. Optimism for an upward trend remains, but the reaction at this pivot point will ultimately determine the direction of price action.
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ASSETARTISAN 1. Break of Structure (BOS): A clear break of structure occurred, as indicated in the chart, signaling a shift in market momentum. This often aligns with a continuation of the prevailing trend.
2. Change of Character (ChoCH): The marked ChoCH points indicate shifts in market sentiment, transitioning from bearish to bullish. These are often early signals of trend reversals or continuations.
3. Order Block Reaction: The price reacted strongly within a demand zone (blue-shaded area). This suggests that institutional buying was present, driving prices upward toward the target.
4. Momentum and Volume: The strong bullish momentum (indicated by large candlestick bodies) supported the price's rapid movement to the target.
5. Trend Continuation: The price is in a clear bullish trend, with higher highs and higher lows forming, reinforcing the likelihood of hitting higher levels.
In summary, the combination of structural breaks, demand zone reactions, and bullish momentum contributed to the target being achieved.
Buy BNBBNB is on the verge of breaking out of its range, which has persisted since 2021.
Most large-cap cryptocurrencies have experienced significant rallies over the past two weeks, and BNB's breakout seems imminent.
The proposed trade setup is detailed in the chart.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on my personnal views and is not a financial advice. Risk is under your control.
Comcast Web CastA web of potential zones of influence and 3 curves that might act as support and/or resistance. Looking for consolidations at the elements, breaks, and perhaps one important inflection point at one of them.
The main scenario follows the path of the rectangles, but hopefully they are designed well enough so that if the path of the stock price deviates into anything else, we might see a pivot or other developments (: bounce) at the most important of them all which can be either of them depending on the evolutions.
Short gold after hitting 2635-2645 areaBrothers, we went long on gold near 2591 yesterday and closed the long position near 2607 this morning, making a profit of 160 pips easily, which is a very good trading result.
After closing the long position, I originally planned to wait for gold to fall back and continue to go long on gold in the 2595-2590 area, but after I closed the order, gold has been fluctuating in the 2607-2600 area, and did not give me the opportunity to go long on gold again. So it's a pity that I missed this time when gold continued to rebound.
At present, gold has reached around 2628, and the increase has not exceeded my expectations. I think gold may even continue to rebound to the 2635-2645 area. However, if gold touches this area for the first time, I think there will be an opportunity for gold to fall back to build up momentum and extend its effect.
So, if gold touches the 2635-2645 area as expected, I will choose to short gold once!Bros, will you choose to short gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
EARNINGS GAP UPTargets 108, 114. Very strong clear support and resistance here has been coiling at the 50 rsi daily level for a while in anticipation.
5-11% move minimum. 77% expected to beat I'm sure this will run up before Wednesday its to obvious of a setup then a strong AH move up followed by a potentially bloody Thursday ill take large profits before earnings release not taking the chance.
Weekly 50MA directly overhead.
Delta Air Lines Has Pulled BackDelta Air Lines has been ripping since the summer, and some traders may see an opportunity in its latest pullback.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the gap on November 6 after Donald Trump was confirmed as next U.S. President. DAL retraced that move to hold its election-day high on Wednesday. Has old resistance become new support?
Second, prices are trying to hold the rising 50-day simple moving average (SMA). That may suggest its intermediate-term trend is pointing higher.
Next, the 50-day SMA had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in October. That may suggest its long-term trend has turned bullish.
Finally, stochastics are rebounding from an oversold condition.
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600 Point LONG +4R Today on MNQ for da HOUSE!!!CME_MINI:MNQ1!
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NASDAQ: Dancing on the Edge of a Techno-Financial TightropeMarket Overview
The NASDAQ-100 (NDX) has recently corrected by approximately 5.5% from its all-time high of 22,133 on December 16, 2024. This comes after a historic rally driven by resilient megacap technology stocks, robust earnings, and the continued dominance of AI-led innovation.
Despite the correction, the index remains up 18% year-to-date, outpacing broader indices like the S&P 500, fueled by optimism around productivity-enhancing technologies. However, macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds could temper this growth into 2025.
Technical Analysis
Trendlines
Short-Term: The NDX remains in a rising trend channel since March 2023, with the lower boundary around 20,500 acting as critical support. A recent breach of its 21-day moving average suggests growing bearish momentum.
Long-Term: The index's long-term trendline, extending from the pandemic lows in 2020, remains intact, underscoring investor confidence in the broader tech narrative.
Key Levels
Support
Immediate support: 20,790 (50-day moving average).
Strong support: 20,500 (trendline and Fibonacci retracement zone).
Resistance
Near-term resistance: 21,900 (upper boundary of rising wedge).
Critical resistance: 22,133 (all-time high).
Momentum Indicators
RSI: Declining from overbought territory (currently at 64), signaling potential for further downside before resetting to neutral.
MACD: A bearish crossover suggests weakening momentum in the near term.
Macroeconomic Context
Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve has maintained its hawkish stance, with the terminal rate hovering around 5.75%. While inflation has moderated to 2.4%, core inflation remains sticky at 2.8%, keeping rate cuts off the table until mid-2025.
Elevated borrowing costs could weigh on tech valuations, particularly for growth companies reliant on cheap capital.
Economic Growth
U.S. GDP growth is forecasted to decelerate from 2.6% in 2024 to 1.8% in 2025, reflecting weaker consumer spending and tighter financial conditions. This slowdown could dampen earnings growth across the NASDAQ-100 constituents.
Corporate Earnings
Analysts expect NDX earnings growth of 8% in 2025, down from the blistering 14% in 2024, as cost pressures and a plateauing of AI-related tailwinds take hold.
Geopolitical Landscape
China-U.S. Relations
Increasing tensions over Taiwan and heightened scrutiny of U.S. tech exports to China remain a wildcard. Any escalation could disrupt semiconductor supply chains and impact heavyweights like Nvidia and AMD.
Europe
Persistent instability in Eastern Europe and ongoing energy challenges pose risks to multinational tech firms with significant operations or customers in the region.
Middle East
Geopolitical uncertainty stemming from conflicts in the Middle East has kept oil prices elevated (~$95/barrel). Higher energy costs could indirectly affect tech earnings by squeezing consumer and corporate budgets.
2025 Outlook
Base Case
The NASDAQ-100 ends 2025 up 8–12%, driven by resilient demand for cloud computing, generative AI, and green technology innovations. Support from stable core earnings growth and moderating inflation provides a favorable backdrop.
Bear Case
Prolonged high interest rates, coupled with weaker-than-expected global growth, lead to a flat or mildly negative year. Key risks include geopolitical flare-ups, regulatory actions on Big Tech, and waning investor enthusiasm for speculative assets.
Bull Case
A dovish pivot by the Federal Reserve in H2 2025, alongside breakthrough advancements in AI or biotechnology, propels the index to new highs (~24,000).
Conclusion
The NASDAQ-100 is entering 2025 with a cautiously optimistic outlook, balanced between robust technological trends and mounting macro/geopolitical risks. Investors should monitor key support at 20,500 and resistance at 21,900 as barometers of sentiment. While near-term volatility is likely, the index remains a cornerstone for long-term growth portfolios.
For 2025, the focus is on being smart: diligent monitoring, disciplined allocations, and adapting to shifting conditions.
"There are three ways to make a living in this business: be first, be smarter, or cheat." – John Tuld – Margin Call (2011)
amd isnt looking so hot. Important zone now!if AMD doesnt hold this level, the 200 ema on the week chart, we could be in a much stronger bear market on AMD. watch this level coul dbea good key level for options trading! the indicators are saying that its about to bounce but price and volume are more important. so we will see some time next week!
Three Year Parallel Channel of Nifty with Multiple indicators. We have tried to draw a Three Year Parallel Channel of Nifty with Multiple indicators. We will try to understand what is happening as per each indicator and try to get the jist of moves that may occur with a medium to long term perspective.
Indicator 1) Parallel Channel: The parallel channel indicates that after hitting the channel top at 26277 the Nifty is receding and is on a search of it's bottom from where it can launch forward again. That is the case when every time Nifty has it a channel top as you can see in the chart. The Future Channel Top once Nifty picks up the next Bull run seems to be around 29497 as per the parallel channel. Mid channel support of the parallel channel is around 23500 zone which can support Nifty. If we get a weekly closing below 23500 this level will become a resistance. In such a scenario of weekly closing below 23500 Channel bottom seems to be near 21296.
Indicator 2) Fibonacci Retracement: Fibonacci retracement suggests a bottom near 23263. If this level is broken there is a possibility of Nifty falling to the next fibonacci supports will be at 22506 and 21577. Once the Bull run begins the next resistance levels as per Fibonacci seem to be at 24725, 26777 (Previous high), 27162 and finally 28331.
Indicator 3) Bollinger Band: Support with respect to lower width of Bollinger Band seems to be near 23340. Mid Bollinger band resistance seems to be near 24660 and Bollinger band upper width resistances seems to be near 25981.
Indicator 4) RSI or the Relative Strength Index: RSI currently is at 44.41 and going downwards showing weakness. The RSI support can be found in the zone of 40, 38 or 36. Usually When RSI is below 30 the stock or index is considered oversold and when the stock or index RSI is above 70 it is considered overbought. RSI Below 20 is extremely oversold zone and RSI above 80 is considered extremely overbought.
Indicator 5) MACD or Moving Average Convergence and Divergence: MACD is a combination of Moving averages lines which tend to indicate direction in which stock or index will move and histograms indicate strength or weakness of a rally. As per MACD Nifty right now is in extreme Bear grip and will take a little time to recover. When the Blue line will start moving upwards and when it might cross the red line and continue to move upwards it can be considered as Nifty will come back to Bull Zone. Colour of histograms at that time will also start going Dark Green or light Green.
Indicator 6) 50 and 200 weeks EMA or the Mother and Father line: I have designed a theory called Mother, Father and Small Child Theory. As per this theory the movement of index or a stock in the chart is like a movement of a 3 year old child when it goes to a garden. The movement of 50 EMA is like movement of the mother and movement of the 200 EMA is like movement of a Father of that child. To know more about this theory or other indicators mentioned earlier you need to read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. This book is available in Amazon in paperback or Kindle version. It is one of the Highest rated book in the category. Have a look at that book it will help you immensely in your wealth creation journey. Now as per this theory the Nifty right now is at 23587. 50 Weeks EMA is at 23403. 200 Weeks EMA is at 19335. as the Nifty is above these levels both these levels will work as a great support to Nifty and can help Nifty from falling further.
Conclusion: Nifty is approaching multiple supports from where it has potential to turnaround. Mid channel support is around 23500, 50 Weeks EMA support or the Mother line is at 23403. 23340 is the Bollinger band lower band width support. Fibonacci support is at 23263. We can see a turnaround mostly from either of these three supports. If these supports are broken by chance (looks less likely but you can never say never) then the next supports will be at 22507, 21296 or worst case scenario as of now looks like 19335. On the upper side resistances seem to be at 24660 Fibonacci mid resistance, 24725 is the Fibonacci resistance, 25981 is Bollinger band upper width resistance and 26277 is the Fibonacci resistnace which also the previous high of Nifty. Once this zone is crossed in a long term we can reach the targets of 27162 Fibonacci resistance, 28331 Fibonacci golden ratio resistnace and 29497 which is the approximate nex channel top. (This is the Medium to Long term outlook of Nifty).
This is how you can analyse any index or a stock using the 6 indicators mentioned in the writeup. I give top most priority to these 6 indicators in my analysis.
Disclaimer: Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.