Futures Steady After Wall Street Slump on Fed Rate Cut OutlookFutures Steady After Wall Street Declines on Fed's View of Fewer Rate Cuts
U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Thursday as investors assessed the Federal Reserve's revised projections, which include fewer-than-expected interest rate cuts and elevated inflation expectations for next year. These updates caused a significant sell-off on Wall Street the day before.
On Wednesday, the Fed announced its forecast of only two 25 basis point (bps) rate cuts in 2024, halving its previous projection from September. The central bank also raised inflation expectations for the early months of the incoming administration. These adjustments triggered the steepest daily declines in the three major U.S. stock indices since August.
S&P 500 Technical Analysis
The S&P 500 experienced a sharp decline of more than 3.5% due to the Federal Reserve's decision to reduce interest rates by only 25 bps. This decision created uncertainty and weighed heavily on investor sentiment.
Today, the U.S. GDP report is a key event that could significantly impact the market. The GDP growth rate is projected to decline by 2.8% compared to the previous period.
If the GDP data comes in below 2.8%, the market may turn bullish, potentially reaching 5971.
If the GDP data exceeds 2.8%, the bearish trend could continue, with the S&P 500 targeting levels of 5885 and 5863.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 5932
Resistance Levels: 5971, 5988, 6020
Support Levels: 5885, 5863, 5837
Trend Outlook
Downward Trend: Likely to persist if the price remains below 5932.
Upward Trend: Potential recovery if the price breaks above 5932.
Support and Resistance
AVAX Short entryhello to everyone.
in this analysis the AVAX after changing character and becoming bearish completed its pullback phase and came and swept all the liquidity marked with the dollar sign.
this a very good confluence and after waiting for confirmation on lower time frame we finally got it and price became bearish in LTF as well.
so I set a limit order at a 30-minute order block and wait for the price to tag me in the trade if that happens the price could potentially go lower.
remember to manage your risk.
thank you and have a good night.
NEAR Potentioanl longso we have another potential trade tonight and it's NEAR.
the price is strongly bullish as shown in the chart an we are currently in our range between those green dots and we can go higher(potentially).
if the price wants to go higher it must and has to respect the low that I circled around it and if not I will simply break it we then get a change of character.
if we break the lower time frame structure (shown with the green line titled CHoCH) we can say the price potentially can go higher(because we have all those liquidties above that are ready to be swept and the price has a reason to go higher) and gathered enough liquidity.
this trade is very risky because it can easily go the opposite way and become bearish so bear that in mind.
I will personally open a position as soon we gt that lower time frame confirmation.
this is not financial advice and simply an analysis.
thx for reading and have a great night or day <3
NGLFINE: Signs of reversal.NGLFINE appears to have bottomed out, now showing strong signs of a potential reversal:
1. RSI is strengthening.
2. Positive divergence is visible in RSI.
3. The stock is now trading above the 20EMA band.
A minor pullback to retest the 20EMA band is possible before the stock resumes its journey toward its all-time high.
As a Stoploss. either you can use 20EMA band or previous swing low, marked in the chart.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on personal observations and is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
@@ Always adhere to your risk-reward ratio before entering any trade.
@@ Maintain discipline in all trading activities.
@@ Ensure strict compliance with the marked stop loss.
THE KOG REPORT - FOMC THE KOG REPORT – FOMC
This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
For this FOMC we have the following key levels which need to be monitored and can be used for potential spikes. 2630-25 support, which is too close to target from here could give us that push upside into the higher levels of 2650-55 and above that 2660-65. It’s that higher region we will want to be watching closely for a potential RIP and opportunity to then short back down as shown on the chart. Immediate levels are no good to us here if there is exaggerated volume in the markets on the release, or the press conference 30mins after.
On the flip, if we continue the move downside breaking through the 2630 level we will be looking lower, 2610 as the point of interest but the extension of the move into the 2590-95 region is where we will want to be to waiting for the RIP and potential opportunities to then long back up.
Simple one this time, if we don’t get the levels, we want we’ll stay out of it and come back tomorrow to look for a decent set up.
Our bias target at 2667 still remains so please play caution.
RED BOXES:
Break above 2640 for 2650, 2660 and above that 2668
Break below 2625 for 2610, 2596
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Reliance Swing TradeHello,
Trend-Based Analysis. Buy the Dips, Sell The Rallies, Also Following the Trend. Let's see where the Price Action takes us, Riding the wave. Potential trade setups based on trend momentum.
Technical analysis based on trend identification and momentum, Looking for high-probability setups within the prevailing trend.
Analyzing the current market trend and potential future price movement. Focusing on risk management and reward-to-risk ratios.
Details is Mentioned in Chart, Read carefully.. .
AUDUSD: If FOMC Vote on Stroner USD Federal Open Market Committee members could affect all markets including oil, stocks, Gold, Crypto and Forex Surely!
In case of any better than predicted Core Retail Sales, FOMC may avoid decreasing interest rate and thus the AUDUSD may fall.
ATTENTION: Strong fluctuations after the news release might occur.
DeGRAM | EURUSD rebound from the trend lineEURUSD is in a descending channel between trend lines.
The price has already reached the trend line, which previously acted as a rebound point and is now moving above the support level.
The chart has formed a harmonic pattern.
We expect a continuation of the rebound when consolidating above the support level.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Bitcoin is Ready to fill CME Gap!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )is approaching the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940) , Downtrend line , and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,654-$104,709) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 . Probably wave 4 will end in the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940) .
I expect Bitcoin to go towards filling the CME Gap($103,325-$101,840) AFTER breaking the Support line .
⚠️Note: US indices (Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Economic Projections, FOMC Statement) can affect the trend of Bitcoin; the possibility that the market will get excited when the indices are announced is very high.⚠️
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940), we can expect Bitcoin to rise further, especially if Bitcoin touches $106,200.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Zone to WatchThe Federal Reserve's rate decision and FOMC meeting negatively impacted gold prices yesterday, leading to a bearish trend. Observing the 4-hour time frame, we can see how the pair responded to a downward trend line during the day.
The market had been consolidating within a broad range for nearly a month. However, following the Fed's announcement yesterday, there was a significant downward movement that confirmed a break below the support level of this range.
With the broken structure and a prominent downward trend line now defining the supply zone, we can expect further bearish movement, potentially reaching down to 2580.
Jio Fin Services Ltd Swing/Long TradeHello,
Trend-Based Analysis. Buy the Dips, Sell The Rallies, Also Following the Trend. Let's see where the Price Action takes us, Riding the wave. Potential trade setups based on trend momentum.
Technical analysis based on trend identification and momentum, Looking for high-probability setups within the prevailing trend.
Analyzing the current market trend and potential future price movement. Focusing on risk management and reward-to-risk ratios.
Details is Mentioned in Chart, Read carefully.. .
DeGRAM | DXY pullback from resistanceThe DXY is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price has fallen under the resistance level, which previously acted as a pullback point.
The chart has formed a harmonic pattern.
We expect a pullback in the index.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
SILVER (XAGUSD):Important Bearish BreakoutThe yesterday's decision by the FED and the FOMC led to a significant decline in 📉SILVER prices yesterday.
The price dropped below a key support level within a wide horizontal range on the daily chart.
This breakout indicates considerable bearish momentum and suggests further potential for price decline.
The next support level to watch is 28.78.
ETHEREUM → Consolidation after a bearish trend breakBINANCE:ETHUSD is consolidating within the flat boundaries of 4085 3530. In general, there is a bullish trend, the fundamental background is also favorable except for yesterday's news, which creates a small risk...
The price is at a strong resistance between 4090 and 4100 and it will take a lot of energy to break this area. Yesterday's news was generally controversial but with a negative bias. Despite the decline in interest rates, there were strong hints of stopping the decline and taking a hawkish course. Bitcoin is giving a small correction against this backdrop, which is negative for altcoins.
Ethereum technically did not break the bullish structure, a very strong support area of 3530 - 3440 is formed on the chart and with high probability a retest is possible, a liquidity grab with the aim of further growth. There are risks for further fall, they can be taken into account, but we can consider an attempt of growth as a priority.
Resistance levels: 4086, 4100, 4372
Support levels: 3530, 3440, 3261
Since the price is inside the consolidation, our strategy is simple - trading from the channel boundaries. Accordingly, based on the current situation, we should consider a retest of support before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
DeGRAM | GOLD continues to declineGOLD is in a descending channel below the trend lines.
The chart continues to decline from the resistance level.
The price fell under the 62% retracement level and consolidated in the channel.
We expect the continuation of XAUUSD decline.
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NZDUSD → The price could fall another 2.5%FX:NZDUSD is forming a return to a strong support zone after testing it after a year. Against the backdrop of a rising dollar, the chances of a support breakout are growing.
The downtrend, rising dollar, weak fundamental background for NZD play a key role in forming a bear market. The price is testing the key resistance and trying to enter the selling zone. At the moment the price is restrained by the descending channel support and if the price manages to break this line and consolidate below, strong selling may be formed further, as there are no obstacles below it until 0.562.
Resistance levels: 0.577, 0.5817
Support levels: 0.575, 0.562
I do not exclude the possibility of correction if the buyers hold the support. But there is no chance of a trend change. Another retest of the support may lead to a breakdown and further fall to 0.562
Regards R. Linda!
Gold Price Analysis| BullishHi there,
The gold price is anticipated to drop for a pullback and rise to three potential levels, targeting a bias of 2745.736, in accordance with the W-Z pattern of ABC-D.
The (DX) is where most bullish pressure was active, which was almost at the retest of the dotted trendline break. If the bears break the dotted trendline, the setup will be invalidated.
Overall, gold is unstable, lacking clear volatility. A possible indication of clarity may come next month.
Happy Trading!
K.
Silver Rebound Offers Short Trade Potential: Targeting $28In my weekend analysis, I highlighted the potential formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern in Silver's price, with the neckline positioned precisely at the psychologically significant $30 level.
Yesterday, the Federal Reserve’s rate cut triggered a drop below this key level. Currently, OANDA:XAGUSD is experiencing a normal rebound.
This rebound may provide traders with an opportunity to consider short positions if the broken $30 level is retested.
The next significant support level is at $28, which could serve as the target for this potential move.
Metro Brands Ltd Swing tradeHello,
Trend-Based Analysis. Buy the Dips, Sell The Rallies, Also Following the Trend. Let's see where the Price Action takes us, Riding the wave. Potential trade setups based on trend momentum.
Technical analysis based on trend identification and momentum, Looking for high-probability setups within the prevailing trend.
Analyzing the current market trend and potential future price movement. Focusing on risk management and reward-to-risk ratios.
Details is Mentioned in Chart, Read carefully.. .