Alikze »» LTC | Ready to defeat the dynamic triggerIn time W1, after a three-wave correction cycle, now after an upward movement with the failure of the swing and pullback, it has encountered support in the area of 61.8 Fibo, which must now be above the $75 range to break the dynamic trigger. Consolidate to advance to the $100 range supply zone. Therefore, if it is placed above the area, it will have the ability to grow up to the specified supply area. We should probably see a demand for failure in this area.
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Support_and_resistance
3.5% Decline on The Dow Jones 30 But Is This Unusual?Looking at the trend structure over the last 8 months, we can see a pattern play out.
Since April, pullbacks of between 3.5% and 7% have been part and parcel of the Dow Jones’s trend structure. (highlighted in red)
The current pullback of 3.5% falls within this range.
Note also how our trend filter remains mostly green and grey, with speckles of red, since April, in line with the long-term bull trend.
The index has now fallen to the d50sma (orange line), where we want to see it find support, bounce, break out and continue its climb to 50,000, as it has done since April.
The Dow Jones is also a good example of how trend structures can change despite no change in direction.
October to March saw a much faster trend, using the d20sma (blue line) as support, eventually breaking through in April and leading to a change in trend structure.
The Dow Jones is currently lagging behind the Nasdaq 100, which is setting record highs above 20,000 for the first time, and the S&P 500, which has settled into a mini consolidation above the 6000 level.
We ideally want to see Santa deliver in the final 2 weeks of December.
However, if the indices and stocks don't show new trend continuations through the rest of 2024, we want them to hold within consolidation, which will act a bases for trends in the New Year.
If you enjoyed this post, make sure to like, and follow for more quality content!
If you have any questions or comments, comment below. We reply to every comment. :0)
See below for more information on our trading and trend-following techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
Alikze »» BITCOIN | Wave 3 of 3 bullish super cycle scenarioAccording to the previous analysis regarding Bitcoin, it is moving in a long-term ascending channel in the monthly time frame.
💎 Currently, according to the type of behavior and movement structure, it is in wave 3 of 3 super cycles.
💎 But since 2018, after a movement cycle and a correction in the form of a three-wave to the bottom of the channel in the range of $16,000, this correction ended.
💎 After that, it started another kinetic wave, which ended in the support range of the green box of its corrective wave 2, and is currently in wave 3, which overlaps with 100% Fibo of the previous wave, which is the range of $78,000.
💎 If this current wave 4 correction wave has started, it can be reviewed according to the analysis of the previous post ( here ), which you can follow its updates by referring to that post, at the same time, this wave should not enter the territory of wave 1. The chart is specified. In that case, the post should be updated and the scenario should be checked instead.
💎 But in its super cycle, as mentioned, this wave is in wave 3 of 3, which will have the ability to reach the red box numbers of the specified supply limit and up to 1.618 fibo to the range of $369,000.
💎 Going through a full cycle of 5 waves will have the ability to reach the range of $2,700,000. Please note that these numbers are in the monthly time frame and it is natural that the time to reach these goals will certainly require more time, which should be reviewed and updated step by step.
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Alikze »» APT | Forming a head and shoulders pattern - 2D🔍 Technical analysis: Forming a head and shoulders pattern
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the daily time frame.
- After the touch neck line and also the failure of swing and poleback to it, it has continued its growth up to the ceiling of the channel.
- Currently, an AB=CD pattern is formed.
- In addition, a head and shoulder pattern is also observed in the daily and weekly time frames.
- Therefore, it can have another growth in the middle of the channel after a temporary correction, up to the area of the width and roof of the channel.
💎In addition, it can continue its growth until the next supply zone after the failure of the supply zone and pullback to it.
🚨 Note: The support area of 6.25 is the validity area of the analysis, if the candlestick stabilizes below the area, the bullish pattern will be invalidated. 🚨
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BINANCE:APTUSDT
Alikze »» GRT | Ascending channel - 8H🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 8H
- In the analysis presented in the weekly time frame , it was mentioned that an AB=CD pattern has been formed.
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the 8-hour time frame.
💎 In the OB area, it can face the demand again by creating demand and liquidity hunt at the bottom of the channel and continue its growth up to the top of the channel.
- Then I expect it to continue its growth to the supply area to form the third wave or wave C.
⚠️In addition, if the correction extends to the Invalidation LVL range, the bullish scenario in the 8-hour time frame is invalidated and must be reviewed and updated again.⚠️
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BINANCE:GRTUSDT
Nifty Prediction for 28th November 2024Nifty Prediction for 27th November 2024
Follow for more updates and information.
From a technical perspective, the Nifty index has been consolidating within a range over the past two sessions, hovering around its 50-day exponential moving average (DEMA) at 24,350. A breakout above this level could signal further positive momentum, with potential targets at 24,550 and 24,700. Indicators such as RSI and MACD show a positive crossover on the daily chart, underscoring bullish strength in the near term.
On the downside, the index is holding firm support at 24,100, with additional safety nets at 24,000 and 23,900. On the upside, key resistance levels are positioned at 24,550 and 24,700.
Alikze »» MOVR | Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Super cycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D
📣 MEXC:MOVRUSDT currency has encountered demand after a zigzag correction in the 3.61 range, which has had a rapid upward rally
🟢 After that, the price has had a double complex zigzag correction to the origin of the third upward wave.
🟢 Again, in the origin of the third movement, with a three-wave movement, it has encountered demand again in the area of the bottom of the ascending channel.
🟢 Currently, selling pressure is also observed in the ceiling of the ascending channel and the supply area.
💎 If this correction is broken in the form of a zigzag to the minor ceiling, it can be extended to the minor ceiling. It can again encounter demand and an upward rally to the minor ceiling of the previous rally.
💎 Depending on the momentum, this cycle can be a super cycle wave 3 or C to touch the red box area.
⚠️In addition, if the area touches the bottom of the previous wave, the bullish scenario is invalidated and should be re-examined and updated.⚠️
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Alikze »» ETH | Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1W
🟢 BINANCE:ETHUSDT Ethereum currency in the weekly time frame: As mentioned in the previous analysis , the supply area can have two movement paths.
🟢As mentioned: The first scenario, after completing the first wave in the supply area with a correction to the support area of the green box area, the range of $2,500 extended. Meanwhile, in the lower time frames, the details of the behavior of the Ethereum currency were also fully discussed.
🟢 However, in the 4-hour time frame, the ascending micro-waves of the first cycle were examined, as predicted, the ascending wave extended to the supply area of 3,200 to 3,500.
🟢 Therefore, the first cycle can end in the current range or slightly higher and form a zigzag correction to form a 3-of-3 ascending wave.
🟢 However, according to the movement path predicted in the previous analysis, this ascending cycle has the ability to grow at least to the 0.78 Fibo area of the previous wave.
🟢 Considering that this cycle is inside a triangle, it can continue as long as the triangle base.
🔴 Important:
Due to the application of the triangle base and the ability to grow to the supply area specified according to the Elliott scenario, this bullish cycle will be able to grow to the large supply area after breaking the 0.78 Fibo area.
Considering the current momentum and the bullish engulfing candle in the green box area, the following targets can be touched.
🎯Previous major ceiling,
🎯 Next target 6832
🎯 9357
🎯 Specified supply area (large red box)
⚠️ In addition, in the first step, considering the first bullish cycle, I expect no correction to extend to the Invalidation LVL area. ⚠️
After that, and after the previous major ceiling area is broken, the Invalidation LVL area will be updated.
In case of a change in behavior and structure, its details will be reviewed and updated.
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Alikze »»XRP | Wave 3 bullish supercycle scenarioIn the weekly time, a complex behavior and movements are forming in the ascending phase, which, according to the overall structure, is in the form of an ascent from the beginning of the movement. According to the bottom of the 0.10 range, a 5-wave structural correction has been formed and the upward movement has also gone through a complex cycle and completed this correction in the form of a three-wave at the 0.38 fibo of the previous wave. Therefore, according to the movement behavior in the form of a super cycle, it should be in the 3rd wave of its super cycle. The invalidity limit of the analysis is 0.2867, which can lead to correction of this movement structure up to 0.23 Fibo. Therefore, according to the current structure, which is a complex upward movement in the form of 3 waves, and sharpie movements can be seen from it, it will have the ability to grow up to the specified areas and even higher goals up to the limits of 13-18 and 34 dollars. which should be reviewed and updated step by step.
But in the lower time, it will have the ability to grow up to the supply area and then up to the previous major ceiling.
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Alikze »» FTM | Wave 3 or C super cycle scenario - 2D🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C super cycle scenario - 2D
- In the analysis presented in the previous post in the weekly time frame, it was mentioned: it is suspicious of a head and shoulders pattern.
- So far, according to the previous analysis, the first target (supply zone) has been touched and it is currently above the target zone.
- In the analysis presented in the 4-hour time frame, it had a zigzag pattern, which is in wave one of three.
- In the daily time frame, it is located in an ascending channel, the previous corrective wave was able to form a reversal pattern in the range of 0.23 fibo.
- Therefore, I expect that it will face demand in the Buyer Zone and continue its growth with the failure of the middle of the channel up to the ceiling of the ascending channel.
In addition, after breaking the ascending channel, it will have the ability to reach the red box area (supply area).
So this bullish wave is wave 3 or big C, which will have the ability to grow up to the indicated ranges.
💎 Alternative scenario: If the Buyer Zone is broken and stabilizes below it, it can touch the 0.23 Fibo range again.
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OKX:FTMUSDT
Alikze »» BABYDOGE | Pull back to broken structure🔍 Technical analysis: Pull back to broken structure
- According to the analysis presented in the previous post , after reaching the dynamic trigger, a zigzag correction was encountered, which extended to the floor range of the dynamic correction trigger.
- Currently, in the weekly time frame, after exiting the density, it has succeeded in breaking the neckline, which has advanced to the supply area.
- Now it can continue the upward path in the supply area with a pullback to the range of the blue bar or green box, after the failure of the dynamic trigger, to the next supply range.
💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if it faces selling pressure in the supply area and has a sharp correction, this correction can extend to the next blue bar.
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OKX:BABYDOGEUSDT
Alikze »» ADA | The scenario of wave 3 or C rising super cyclesAccording to the analysis of the previous post that was presented in the 8h time, according to the cup pattern, it made a growth as high as the height of the pattern valley, after which it encountered supply.
💎 But in the weekly time, due to the fact that it created a reliable floor in the golden zone of the previous wave, it faced demand.
💎 Currently, this return wave can be a pullback to a broken structure and a swing, which should meet good demand in the 39 cents area.
💎 First scenario: Therefore, according to the structure and movement behavior, it can have the first target of 0.8789 to 0.9766 by maintaining the green box area.
💎 Alternative scenario: if the range of 39 cents is broken, it can retest the floor of the range of 23 cents again.
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Alikze »» TIA | Pull back to broken structure🔍 Technical analysis: Pull back to broken structure
- In the daily time frame, it is moving in a downward channel, which met with demand in the liquidity area. According to the latest analysis presented in the region, there was a demand that grew up to the ceiling of the descending channel.
- Currently, it is moving in an ascending channel within the descending channel, which can continue its growth with a pullback to the broken structure.
- Therefore, this return in the range of the green box or in the middle of the channel can meet the demand again and continue its growth until the supply area.
💎 In addition, if it faces more selling pressure in the Liquidity Area and moves sharply, it can break the range, in which case the bullish scenario will be invalidated.
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BINANCE:TIAUSDT
Alikze »» OP | C wave correction🔍 Technical analysis: C wave correction
- It has been moving in an upward channel in weekly and daily time.
- It is currently moving in a downward channel.
- The last upward wave was a complete cycle of 5 waves, which was able to grow to the size of 0.78 of the previous wave, which then formed a corrective structure.
- At present, the current corrective structure is a three-wave that can have two behavioral scenarios.
💎 First scenario: If the current zone cannot stabilize above the golden zone, wave C can extend to the specified PRZ zones (each of the PRZ zones can be a return zone). Therefore, if the current area is not maintained, the downward trend can continue.
💎 The second scenario: if it encounters demand in the golden zone, it can continue an upward trend in the form of a rising wave 3 or C, which at first can conquer its previous major ceiling and then continue to grow until the supply zone.
If the behavior and structure of the post changes, it will be updated.
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BINANCE:OPUSDT
GOLD MCX - 1D TIMEFRAME - ANALYSIS
Pure Price Action-Based Trading Plan
Buy Position:
Enter a buy position if the price breaks and closes above ₹78,700.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹79,500
Target 2: ₹80,500
Target 3: ₹82,000
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss just below ₹77,000 to limit downside risk.
Sell Position:
Enter a sell position if the price breaks and closes below ₹76,300.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹75,500
Target 2: ₹74,500
Target 3: ₹73,000
Stop Loss: Set the stop loss above ₹77,000 for this trade.
Given the overall bullish trend, it would be safer to lean towards a buy on breakouts rather than anticipating a reversal. However, a break below support could open the door for short-term selling opportunities. This approach relies purely on observing price behavior at key levels rather than indicator-based signals.
Technical Analysis of Digital Turbine (APPS)Looking at the stock's (APPS) historical performance, we can see a long lateral phase that lasted about 10 years. It broke out of this sideways trend with a strong bullish rally, reaching a peak of around $100. After that, the uptrend ended, and a downward phase began, following the formation of a Double Top technical pattern.
The downtrend appears to have stopped near a support zone.
When zooming in with a lower timeframe, we notice that the downtrend halted around this area. The stock broke a descending trendline and formed a bullish Head and Shoulders pattern. The neckline was broken with strength, accompanied by a substantial increase in volume, coinciding with the release of earnings and revenue reports.
After the strong rally, the stock retraced and is now sitting at the Point of Control (POC) of a key volume area, which considers the entire history of the stock.
Bullish Scenario
The stock seems to be in a rebound phase after touching the POC. A continued upward movement could target the $7 area, which aligns with another significant volume area.
Bearish Scenario
If the POC area fails to hold, one could consider entering at the $1 level, which corresponds to a support area.
Note of Caution: The stock has experienced a massive loss over three years, dropping from $100 to around $1.50. Therefore, it’s crucial to proceed with caution when evaluating this stock.
GBPUSD Live Week 42 Swing ZonesDear Traders,
Week 41 brought some respite to first week of live trading, however still down by -95pips.
As promised week 42 swing zones are in. However, live trading might be in and out due to work activities.
Annotation:
SZ - Swing Zone
SL - Stoploss
dtp - dynamic Take profit
pp - pinched pips
Alikze »» XAUUSD| Descending channel - 1H🔍 Technical analysis: Descending channel - 1H
- It is moving in a descending channel in the 1H time frame.
- It is shaded in the area of the bottom of the downward channel that there is an OB in the liquidity area.
- There is an FVG gap in the 30MIN time frame.
- Therefore, it can have a correction by filling the gap up to the liquidity area.
In the FVG area, in case of selling pressure and confirmation, it can have a return to the liquidity area and after that it will grow again up to the channel ceiling.
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OANDA:XAUUSD
Alikze »» XAUUSD| Descending channel - 1H🔍 Technical analysis: Descending channel - 1H
- It is moving in a descending channel in the 1H time frame.
- It is shaded in the area of the bottom of the downward channel that there is an OB in the liquidity area.
- There is an FVG gap in the 30MIN time frame.
- Therefore, it can have a correction by filling the gap up to the liquidity area.
In the FVG area, in case of selling pressure and confirmation, it can have a return to the liquidity area and after that it will grow again up to the channel ceiling.
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OANDA:XAUUSD
Alikze »» FTM | Wave 5 correction - 1H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 5 correction - 1H
- According to the analysis presented in the previous post , in the weekly time frame, the first target has been the neckline, which was the supply area.
- Currently, in the 1H time frame, after breaking the zone, a correction pattern is being formed.
- Wave 4 correction in the range of the green box has formed a continuing downward pattern.
- This corrective wave is in the form of wave 4 in an ascending channel, which by breaking it to the specified areas, this corrective cycle can be extended.
Therefore, this wave can meet the demand after touching the specified areas and form an upward corrective cycle, which should be reviewed and updated.
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BINANCE:FTMUSDT
Alikze »» XRP | Rising triangle pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Rising triangle pattern
- It is in the supply zone in the daily time frame.
- An ascending triangle is now formed.
- Therefore, with the support of the 59 cent zone, it will have the ability to break the supply zone.
- After the failure of the supply area, it can continue its growth until the next supply area.
- According to the formation of the incremental triangle pattern, it can grow as much as the height of the triangle up to the area of one dollar.
- Therefore, after the failure of the supply zone and pullback to it, it can climb up to the next supply zone.
💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if the dynamic trigger zone is broken from the bottom, the bullish scenario will be invalidated.
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Alikze »» BAND | Descending channel failure🔍 Technical analysis: Descending channel failure
- It has been moving in a downward channel on the daily time frame.
- It is currently in the supply zone with the breakdown of the descending channel.
- In case of a pullback to the broken structure and maintaining the 1.17 area, it can continue its growth until the next supply area of the 1.75-1.95 range.
In addition, in case of failure of the supply zone of 1.75-1.95 range, the upward movement will continue towards the next supply zone, which can touch the 2.60 range.
💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if the 1.17 range is broken down, the bullish scenario will be invalidated and can continue the correction up to the 0.97 area.
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BINANCE:BANDUSDT
Alikze »» DOGE | channelized bullish wave 3 scenario🔍 Technical analysis: channelized bullish wave 3 scenario
- Following the analysis of the previous post , Dogecoin managed to experience growth in a downward channel until the ceiling of channel one, after which it entered a short-term correction.
- Currently, it has left the descending channel and is moving in a short-term ascending channel.
- Now it is at the ceiling of the ascending channel, it can meet the demand with the pullback to the broken structure and the middle range of the ascending channel and continue its growth until the supply area.
- According to the current momentum, the rising wave can grow as much as the previous wave or up to 1.618 supply range.
💎 In addition, if the green box is broken, this correction can continue until the origin of the movement and the range of 100 fibo.
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BINANCE:DOGEUSDT