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SUPPORT AND RESISTANCEToday, I'm focusing on a potential sell opportunity in XAU/USD. The recent price action indicates that gold may be facing resistance around the $2640 level, where it has struggled to maintain upward momentum. Additionally, with rising interest rates and a strengthening U.S. dollar, market sentiment seems to be shifting towards bearish for gold. Technical indicators, such as the MACD, are showing signs of divergence, suggesting a possible downward trend. If the price breaks below key support levels around $2624, it could trigger further selling pressure. I'm prepared to enter a short position if these conditions align, looking to capitalize on a potential decline in gold prices. Always use stoploss for your trade. # GOLD 4H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
ETH Journey to 2025: Key Levels and Market ScenariosHello friends, In late 2021, Ethereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSDT ) reached an all-time high of approximately $4,900 before experiencing a significant correction, dropping around 80% to a low of $880. Since that dip, ETH has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows, suggesting a potential long-term bullish trend. I'm focusing on these key levels as important points for any macro cycle movement: Pivot Points High Low Levels: HH: $4,100 (Near ATH) HH: $2,700 (Previous resistance) HH/LL: $2,100 (Critical pivot) LL: $1,500 LL: $880 (2022 low) Bollinger Bands Analysis : Currently, ETH is within the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a potential oversold condition. Historically, this has been a favorable zone for accumulation, as the price may revert to the mean once the selling pressure eases. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Case: The most critical level to watch is $2,700. A decisive break above this level could pave the way for ETH to challenge the psychologically important $3,000 mark. If ETH can establish $3,000 as support, it would confirm a higher high and potentially signal the start of a new macro bull cycle. Consolidation Case: ETH may continue to trade between the $2,100 support and $2,700 resistance, forming a tightening range. This consolidation could set the stage for a significant move once resolved. Bearish Case: A failure to hold above $2,100 could lead to a retest of lower support levels. However, as long as ETH maintains its pattern of higher lows, the long-term bullish structure remains intact. Conclusion: The $3,000 level appears to be the key for initiating a potential macro bull cycle. Accumulation near the lower Bollinger Band could be a strategic move for those bullish on ETH's long-term prospects. Risk Management: Consider using the $2,100 level as a potential stop-loss for long positions, as a break below this level could invalidate the bullish thesis. Happy Trading!
Long
by Mohamed3nan
USDJPY: Slight Bullish Bias This Week? (19/09/2024)As of September 19, 2024, traders are closely monitoring the USDJPY pair for potential bullish momentum. Several fundamental factors and market conditions indicate that the pair might see a slight upward bias this week. Let’s dive into the key drivers affecting the USDJPY price action. 1. Diverging Central Bank Policies One of the primary influences on USDJPY is the monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). - Federal Reserve’s Stance: As we move into the week, the market expects the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance or at least keep interest rates elevated. Although there’s some speculation about a possible pause in future rate hikes, the Fed's priority remains controlling inflation. This higher interest rate environment in the US makes the US dollar more attractive, pushing USDJPY upwards. - Bank of Japan’s Ultra-Loose Policy: In contrast, the BoJ continues its ultra-loose monetary policy, aiming to stimulate Japan’s sluggish economy. Despite rising inflation in Japan, the BoJ has shown little inclination to raise rates aggressively. This Interest rate differential between the US and Japan tends to weaken the yen, giving a bullish outlook for USDJPY. 2. Risk Sentiment in Global Markets Risk sentiment plays a crucial role in the movement of USDJPY. When global markets are in a risk-off mode, investors tend to flock to safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen, strengthening it. However, recent global economic data and financial news have maintained a somewhat stable risk appetite, leaning towards a risk-on environment. - US Economic Data: Recent reports from the US, such as better-than-expected retail sales and strong labor market data, continue to support the narrative of economic resilience. This fuels demand for the dollar and supports USDJPY’s bullish momentum. - Global Geopolitical Risks: While geopolitical tensions in regions like Europe and the Middle East may inject some volatility, there hasn’t been a major shift toward a risk-off sentiment that would heavily favor the yen. For now, dollar strength seems to dominate. 3. Japanese Economic Conditions Japan’s economy continues to struggle with low growth despite rising inflation. The BoJ’s consistent approach to stimulus, combined with the government's push for wage growth, has not yet translated into significant yen strength. Additionally, trade deficits in Japan, exacerbated by higher import costs, have weighed on the yen’s valuation. Without a major shift in BoJ policy or a significant improvement in Japan's economic performance, the yen will likely remain under pressure, keeping USDJPY on a slightly bullish path. 4. US Bond Yields US Treasury yields are another major factor driving the USDJPY. Higher US bond yields, often seen in response to tighter monetary policy and strong economic data, make the dollar more attractive to foreign investors. The upward trajectory of bond yields has been a persistent theme, reinforcing dollar strength. If this trend continues through the week, we can expect additional support for USDJPY. 5. Technical Indicators Looking at the technical analysis for USDJPY, the pair has been trading near key resistance levels in recent sessions. If the pair breaks above these resistance zones, we could see further bullish momentum. - Key Support and Resistance Levels: The 145.00 level has been a psychological support level for USDJPY, while 148.50 serves as resistance. Should the pair break beyond this resistance, it could trigger more buying pressure, pushing USDJPY higher. Conclusion: USDJPY’s Slight Bullish Bias In conclusion, the USDJPY pair is expected to exhibit a slight bullish bias this week, primarily driven by: - Monetary policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ. - Favorable US economic data and rising Treasury yields. - Limited economic growth in Japan, with persistent trade deficits. - Stable global risk sentiment supporting the dollar over the yen. Traders should keep an eye on US bond yields, Fed comments, and any sudden shifts in risk sentiment or geopolitical events, as these could influence USDJPY’s trajectory throughout the week. --- Keywords: - USDJPY forecast - USDJPY bullish bias - USDJPY analysis September 2024 - USDJPY technical analysis - USDJPY key drivers - USDJPY trading strategy - USDJPY and Federal Reserve policy - USDJPY support and resistance levels - USDJPY risk sentiment - USDJPY bond yields impact
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
Bulls have the Bears by the "Neck" - AUHere I have AUD/USD on the 4Hr Chart! Price is now using the "Neckline" or Support of the failed Head & Shoulders the Bears were unable to finish, and pushing Higher breaking through the Falling Resistance created by the Highs of the "Head" and "Right Shoulder". Now I believe with an on-going Rate Cut cycle about to begin for the Federal Reserve, we will start to see the Bulls undo the previous Head & Shoulders Pattern one Swing High at a time! If Price will need to find some Support before it begins to continue further Higher, this Support can be found at either: - The High just before the Break @ .6732 or - Retesting the Break of Falling Resistance + FVG @ ( .6720 - .6715 ) Indicators: - RSI Above 50 - BBTrend printing Green Bars - Volume Delta showing Bullish presence increasing *TP1 - .67672 *TP2 - .68236
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
2
ETH - Next resistance at 2550 with target at 2750BINANCE:ETHUSDT (4H CHART) Technical Analysis Update ETH price has hit bottom and strongly bounced back from the support zone (from price range of 2300 ). Price already seen a clear bounce back from the support and currently trading at 2400. next resistance at 2550 and if the price breaks that resistance then we can expect price to reach 2700. Entry level: $ 2450 Stop Loss Level: $ 2250 TakeProfit 1: $ 2520 TakeProfit 2: $ 2600 TakeProfit 3: $ 2680 TakeProfit 4: $ 2750 Max Leverage: 2x Position Size: 1% of capital Remember to set your stop loss. Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. | Like, share, and comment your thoughts. Cheers GreenCrypto
Long
by GreenCryptoTrades