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Supply Zone

DXY (Dollar) Sells from 101.700For the DXY, my outlook is that the price will retrace back up to 101.700 before continuing its bearish trend with another drop. Since that point of interest (POI) is still far from the current price, I’ll be looking for a potential buy setup around the 100.800 area, which aligns with a 3-hour demand zone. If the price respects this zone, it could generate enough momentum for the pullback. We’re already seeing a strong reaction from the 9-hour demand zone I marked last week, supporting this scenario. A further decline in the dollar will serve as a confluence for bullish moves in my other pairs. Have a great trading week, everyone!
TVC:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
Trend lines - how to build them and how to use them?Before we dive into the world of trend lines, I recommend familiarizing yourself with the support and resistance zone Here we go: Trend lines are one of the most universal tools for trading in any market, used in intraday, swing and position trading strategies. Properly drawn on charts, they help to predict the direction of price movement and identify trend reversals. In addition, trend lines help you to accurately determine the optimal entry and exit points, as well as set a stop loss. It is recommended not to rely on trend lines alone, but to integrate them with other methods of technical analysis, expanding your trading arsenal. Often many traders draw too many lines, it is uninformative and useless How to place trend lines on a chart? An uptrend is a combination of at least two pullbacks Similar in a downtrend: Instructions for markings: Find at least two points on the chart Connect them with a line But, let's remember the Axiom: 1. Randomness 2. Coincidence. 3. Regularity Until a trendline is pushed back a third time - it is considered unconfirmed... Once the third bounce has occurred, the line can be considered valid, but does not guarantee that it will necessarily bounce the fourth time! Like all patterns in the market, trend patterns can be drawn on any timeframe, also - they are more effective on older ones (as well as all others) How to use trend lines in your trading? Frequent trades from a trend line are rebound or breakout trades Example: Trendline confirmed (bounced three times) - on the fourth approach we can pay attention - what happens next? Price will either bounce from our trendline again or there will be a breakout Next example: How can we determine whether there will be a breakout or a bounce? As I said before, you need to take into account the context: indicators, price action, nearby levels and so on (it all depends on your psychology) How do trend lines fit together? Support and resistance levels are areas on a chart that indicate potential pressure (on a side) The same principle applies to trend lines. The only difference is that trend lines are sloped rather than horizontal. How to properly label/draw trend lines? Which trend lines are important and which ones should be ignored? Focus only on the major pivot points Connect at least two major pivot points. Adjust the slope of the line to get the most amount of price touching the line, whether it is the shadows of candles or their bodies. Important clarification - trend lines represent a support zone, not specific levels. How can you use trend lines? The trend is our friend. Where the trend goes, so goes we. Trading against the trend is foolish. If you do decide to do it, it must be justified! Trend lines are the direction of the current market. Also the trend line itself can be divided into two positions: If the trend becomes flatter, it means that the market is moving into a state of consolidation If the trend is becoming steeper, it means that the trend is getting stronger (or perhaps it is reaching its climax and is approaching its final stage). Trend Lines Entry Point: Like all other patterns in technical analysis or price action - trend lines can help you find a more favorable entry point in terms of risk-to-reward ratio How to use a trend line to identify a market reversal? Chances are you have encountered this before. There is a trend line breakout, you are already expecting a trend reversal, but the market continues its original movement Like all indicators/patterns - not a panacea. Each strategy has its own risks, just when we add other osnovnopologologayuschih signs to one strategy, the chance of risking a loss - decreases! Technique for determining a trend reversal: Wait for a trend breakout Wait for a lower low/maximum to form. If the price breaks the previous minimum/maximum, most likely the trend will go in the direction of the breakdown...
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by truepersonal
13
EURUSD roadmap for next week (must see it)hi im msnp thank you for reading this article please support us with follow and boosting this idea ok lets see some charts 1D chart: you can see that we were in a up trend and now we break the trend line are we making an ABC pullback in retest of TOP? or we can break the top? notice that whole chart showing a big trading range zone 4H chart : in 4h chart we can see a very good bull trend but look at end of trend bears was so strong that can break EMA so this is a warning for traders that may bull trend is about to end ok so bears are strong at least as bulls 1H chart : we can see a break below the trend line and now we are making LH and LL we can shape a bear channel you can see a good reaction at top of channel, for next week we can expect 2 or 3 scenarios: 1. a double top at current price and go for LL 2. testing the top and then a double top 3. bulls can break above H and above the TR that means a new bull trend.
by imMsnP
Supply/Demand Analytics on 2024 Oil: IEA-EIA Demand ProjectionDear Esteemed Members, There are several fundamental factors that could support the oil price reaching $76.09 per barrel, which is the highest level since November 2014. As the global economy rebounds from the pandemic, the demand for oil is expected to increase, especially in the second half of 2024. The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects that global oil demand will grow by 5.4 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2024, reaching 99.6 million bpd by the end of the year. The OPEC+ group of oil producers, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, has been maintaining a cautious approach to increasing output, in order to balance the market and avoid oversupply. The group agreed in April to gradually raise production by 2.1 million bpd between May and July, but this is still below the pre-pandemic levels of output. Moreover, Saudi Arabia has voluntarily cut an extra 1 million bpd from its production since February, which it plans to phase out by July. The US shale industry, which was hit hard by the price collapse in 2020, has been showing signs of discipline and prudence, focusing on improving cash flow and shareholder returns rather than expanding production. The US oil rig count, a proxy for drilling activity, has increased by about 100 rigs since the start of the year, but it is still more than 300 rigs lower than a year ago. The EIA estimates that US crude oil production will average 11.2 million bpd in 2024, which is 0.3 million bpd lower than in 2020. The oil market is always susceptible to geopolitical tensions and conflicts that could disrupt supply or create uncertainty. Some of the current hotspots include Iran, Libya, Nigeria, and Venezuela. Iran, which has been under US sanctions that limit its oil exports, is engaged in indirect talks with the US to revive the 2015 nuclear deal, which could lead to a lifting of sanctions and a return of Iranian oil to the market. However, the outcome of the negotiations is uncertain and could face opposition from hardliners in both countries. Libya, which has been plagued by civil war and instability, has seen its oil production fluctuate due to frequent attacks and blockades on its oil facilities. The country is currently producing around 1.2 million bpd, but it faces challenges in maintaining and increasing its output amid political and security risks. Nigeria, Africa’s largest oil producer, is facing social unrest and militant attacks that could affect its oil infrastructure and exports. The country is also struggling to implement a long-awaited reform of its oil sector, which could improve its governance and attract investment. Venezuela, which has the world’s largest proven oil reserves, has seen its oil industry collapse due to mismanagement, corruption, and US sanctions. The country’s oil production has fallen from over 3 million bpd in the late 1990s to less than 0.5 million bpd in 2020. Kind Regards, Ely
TVC:USOILLong
by Elysian_Mind
Star Health: Trendline Breakout Signals Bullish ReversalStar Health is showing promising signs for long-term holding. The chart shows a clear downward sloping trendline that has been respected for a considerable period. Recently, the price has broken above this trendline, indicating potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. The immediate swing high at ₹675 is a crucial level to watch. This level may act as resistance in the short term. If the price manages to break above this swing high, it could open the door for a move towards the supply zone. However, if the price faces rejection at this level, a pullback could occur. The chart suggests a potential scenario where the price could retrace after testing the swing high at ₹675. This retracement could provide a good opportunity for accumulation if the price finds support at lower levels, such as the ₹560-580 zone. There is a significant increase in volume during the breakout, which adds strength to the bullish case. Key support levels to watch include the ₹560-580 zone, where the price previously found support after the breakout There is a marked supply zone between approximately ₹770 and ₹820. where sellers have previously stepped in, leading to price declines. If the price approaches this zone again, it may face significant resistance. Consider entering a position if the price holds above ₹675 or on a pullback to the ₹560-580 zone. Accumulating during pullbacks with proper risk management could be a prudent strategy. Be cautious of potential reversals or rejections at the ₹675 swing high or within the supply zone. This is not a Buy Recommendation, just an idea. Please give a boost and comment if you like my analysis and feel free to share with others. Disclaimer: I am not a Sebi Registered Analyst, and the views expressed are of my own and for educational purpose only, Make sure you consult your financial advisor before investing, as I wont be Responsible for any losses incurred.
NSE:STARHEALTHLong
by Kaushik_Karnale
GC GOLD Buy BOXBeen a while since posting my thoughts here, I have been working on something that is GOLD. Supply and Demand can often be overlooked. Trading can often be over complicated. Back up and study the basics. Supply and demand characteristics of the market are the most rudimentary but often the best way to creaete a system that brings forth consistent gains. How many traders are actually profitable. Find a system that works for you it could start with a simple supply and demand type strategy. Here we have price reacted perfectly off of the supply zone, (Yes I took that short position from the top and have the screen shot to prove it just ask if you want to see it). Now will we enter a demand zone and reverse. My plan is to simply wait, I took my profits and now I just wait until my alerts are hit and my criteria is met to go the other direction. What will you do? Leave it in the comments I am happy to be back posting and look forward to more!
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Verum0
Breakout or breakdown? I'm SHORT here is whyHi fellow traders, In this idea I have drawn daily supply and demand zones, although the zones of interest exist out of large ranges I think the combination of approaching both a long- and short-term supply zone and a forming rising wedge we are looking at a rejection from the 1h supply zone level. I will wait on the lower timeframe to confirm the rejection, ideally have a bounce of the bottom of the rising wedge acting as resistance. What do you think? Are we going to breakdown or breakout? Happy trading ^^
Short
by Crypto21Official
Gold Trade : Bullish Momentum AheadXAUUSD has been making bullish trend through 2041 making higher highs and higher lows and is holding towards the liquidity zone 2506 2505.Price action and market structure also shows bullish trend and also a double bottom pattern is evident around the 2380 2385 level indicating a strong support area. there is also a news which would support us in bullish momentum Our technical analysis and market indicators suggest a positive trend for gold in the next trading session. Investor can expect a potentially lucrative opportunity to capitalize on the bullish momentum.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by sabellaFX
EURUSD 19/8/24Starting off our week as always with EUR/USD, we have a very simple markup for you this week. We liquidated our four-hour high, which was created after the break of the previous structural high. This has now established a clear liquidity trajectory to the upside. We have an area of demand that sits around the 50% level of the last created range. This will be the first area where we will begin anticipating bullish price action. We’re currently waiting for the four-hour candle to close so we can form our new four-hour high. The main principle here is that we expect price action to continue moving bullishly, but we are aware of the potential for higher time frame weekly price action to start leading the market with a bearish push. However, for now, we're only seeing upside momentum, so we will follow that. Please note that we have liquidity points marked within our swing structure. If we begin to fail at areas of demand, these could become potential targets. Price action is pretty clean right now, so let's just follow it and continue to track what price is showing us within our entry time frame. Have an amazing week, and I hope you all trade safe.
by PipSurfingSociety
$EURUSD | Sell Trade H4 | Execution | Technical Confluences: - Stochastics just reversed off Overbought conditions in H4 - Price bounced off 123% Fibo Extension levels which coincides with a Supply Zone from before and also the top of a small Parallel Channel - Looking at it move towards at least the lower end of the Parallel Channel Fundamental Confluences: - With so much of rate cut hype priced into the markets, it seems that market will start to consolidate and start profit taking. - There are a few speakers who came out to say they don't seem to be in a rush to cut like what the market expect. ----- Taking my 1st position for this FX:EURUSD sellb trade. Targeted trade entry and stops can be seen in the highlighted zone. Blue for Profit Target and Orange for Stop Loss Target. Risk/Reward ratio of 2.1. DYOR. -----
Short
by weekendanalyst
$GBPUSD | Sell Trade H4 | Execute & Sell Limits |Technical Confluences: - Price action is between a 50 - 61% Fibo retracement range - Horizontal trendline coincides with the 61% Fibo retracement levels - Price is also at a Supply Zone range - Stochastics on the H4 is in Overbought conditions Fundamental Confluences: - Market is reeling with the optimism of incoming FED cuts but FED seems to feel differently based on the few FED speaker's speeches - The riots in the UK will definitely have some economic drag on the GDP ________________________________ Will be executing my 1st sell entry into FX:GBPUSD and set Sell Limit orders as show in the charts. Targeting to TP approximately half the position at the 38% Fibo Extension levels (in blue) and move my SL levels to B/E. Full TP are the 61%/78% Fibo Extension levels. Remember, DYOR. ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
Long
by weekendanalyst
2