$ NVDA Trade Analysis DarkPoolsThe chart demonstrates the price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) with significant levels, volume spikes, trendlines, dark pool prints, and pivot levels. NVDA has experienced notable price fluctuations, forming a broader pattern of higher highs and higher lows, but it is now testing critical support levels after a pullback.
Key Observations
Trend Analysis:
Primary Trend: The long-term uptrend is intact, with the green ascending trendline providing consistent support.
Short-term Trend: The recent candles suggest a pullback within the uptrend, with price action consolidating near the S1 support ($129.07) level.
The price remains above the long-term ascending support line, maintaining its overall bullish structure.
Dark Pool Prints:
Key dark pool levels are marked, showing significant institutional activity:
$136.71 (most recent dark pool print): The price recently rejected this level, which could act as near-term resistance.
$124.65 and $119.37: These levels represent potential downside support if the price continues to fall.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance:
The price is struggling to reclaim the $136.71 dark pool level, which aligns with the R1 pivot ($140.76).
Above this, the next major resistance is R2 ($162.07).
Support:
Immediate support is at S1 ($129.07). A breakdown here could lead to a retest of the $124.65 dark pool level or the S2 pivot ($119.39).
The long-term trendline and S3 pivot ($102.98) are critical for maintaining the bullish bias.
Volume Analysis:
The chart shows high volume near support levels, indicating significant activity. This suggests either strong buying interest or institutional distribution.
Potential Reversal Zone:
A clear head-and-shoulders pattern might be forming. If the neckline around $129.07 breaks, it could confirm a bearish reversal, targeting levels near $119.37 or lower.
Trade Plan
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: A confirmed breakout above $136.71 (dark pool level) with increased volume.
Targets:
First Target (T1): $140.76 (R1 pivot).
Second Target (T2): $152.89 (mid-resistance).
Final Target (T3): $162.07 (R2 pivot).
Stop Loss: Below the ascending trendline and $129.07 (S1 pivot).
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: A daily close below $129.07 (S1 pivot) with momentum and volume confirmation.
Targets:
First Target (T1): $124.65 (dark pool level).
Second Target (T2): $119.37 (dark pool level).
Final Target (T3): $102.98 (S3 pivot and trendline support).
Stop Loss: Above $136.71 (dark pool resistance).
Additional Considerations
Dark Pool Reactions:
The $136.71 level will play a crucial role in determining near-term direction. Watch for rejections or sustained price action above this level.
Head-and-Shoulders Risk:
A break below $129.07 could lead to a measured move lower based on the head-and-shoulders pattern.
Market Context:
NVDA is heavily influenced by the tech sector (QQQ). Broader market conditions will provide context for whether this pullback is temporary or part of a larger correction.
