Best places to go long or short the RussellThe Russell is even cleaner than the Nasdaq. Two major buy / sell areas on the chart. So far the Russell has been playing the game of chop. Sweep the lows, sweep the highs and move in the other direction. The same way we had a failed breakout, we could get a failed break down.
Best place to sell 2310-2360. Resistance/Gap combo and the real direction for now is down, so it is with the main trend.
2200 & 2080 are decent for short term trades. As we go down they are good for a bounce. If they get broken they are good to put shorts if the market bounces from lower.
Best place to buy long term is 1980-2030. Extreme support combo with 1. Untested breakout / gap, 2. Key Bollinger bands, 3. 400 DMA
Stonks
Next Target for SPX?? 📈🤑Stocks have pressed higher, with the S&P 500 eeking out new highs. We are within inches of hitting our target of 4821. We do appear to be running into some resistance as confirmed by two red triangles on the KRI. The Kovach OBV is still relatively flat, so we will need more momentum to definitively break our target at 4821. If so, the next target is 4854, identified by a Fibonacci extension level anchored at the current range. Watch for momentum at open, which will be necessary to punch through 4821. If we don't see that, then we can retrace back to support at 4763. This level seems to be holding quite strong, but if we retrace further, then watch 4729 or 4693.
Zoom (NASDAQ: $ZM) Looking Bullish On 3rd Touch Of 0.786 Fib!Zoom Video Communications, Inc. provides a video-first communications platform in the Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers Zoom Meetings that offers HD video, voice, chat, and content sharing through mobile devices, desktops, laptops, telephones, and conference room systems; Zoom Phone, an enterprise cloud phone system that provides secure call routing, call queuing, call detail reports, call recording, call quality monitoring, voicemail, switch to video, and other services, as well as inbound and outbound calling services; and Zoom Chat enables to share messages, images, audio files, and content in desktop, laptop, tablet, and mobile devices for meeting and phone customers. It also provides Zoom Rooms, a software-based conference room system; Zoom Conference Room Connector, a gateway for SIP/H.323 endpoints to join Zoom meetings; Zoom Video Webinars to provide video presentations to large audiences from many devices; and Zoom Hardware-as-a-Service allows users to access video communication technology with subscription options for phone and meeting room hardware. The company offers Zoom for Developers to integrate its video, phone, chat, and content sharing into other applications, as well as manages Zoom accounts; Zoom App Marketplace enhance developers to publish their apps; OnZoom, a platform for users to create, host, and monetize online events; and Zoom Apps to access from Zoom Meetings and the Zoom Desktop client to facilitate collaboration and engagement during meetings. It serves individuals; and education, entertainment/media, enterprise infrastructure, finance, government, healthcare, manufacturing, non-profit/not for profit and social impact, retail/consumer products, and software/Internet industries. The company was formerly known as Zoom Communications, Inc. and changed its name to Zoom Video Communications, Inc. in May 2012. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Stocks Begin the New Year Strong💪Stocks started the year with risk on sentiment, finding support at 4763. We anticipated a bit more of a retracment, and posited that stocks could test 4729 or 4693, but the slight dip to support at the nearest level of 4763 seems to be all we've got for now. The S&P 500 is within inches of all time highs again, with 4821 as our next target. The Kovach OBV has leveled off near highs, suggesting that, for now, we don't have enough momentum to break out to new highs. Let's see how risk sentiment develops toward the open. For now, we should be able to hold the range between 4763 and 4821.
Stocks Retrace from Ranging At HighsWe finally saw a bit of a retracement in stocks. Three days of ranging finally broke down. We emphasized that the longer stocks hold a range at highs, the more likely they are to test lower levels. This is exactly what happened, as we tested the next level down at 4763. We are seeing support here as confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. Further support should be seen at 4729, should be break down further, then again at 4693, but it is doubtful we will see levels this low today. It is more likely for stocks to range in the broad value area between 4763 and highs at 4821, though it is unlikely we will make new highs today either.
Trading plan on BYND for 2022. This is what I want to see. The main level I'm interested in is the support at 50.00. If the price reaches that level, I will start thinking about bullish opportunities.
Let's assume that happens. The pattern I want to see is:
First: breakout of the current descending trendline
Second: a corrective movement with similar proportions to the red line you can see on the chart
IF all that happens, I will develop setups towards the next relevant level at 160.00. The horizontal yellow line you can see on the chart is a price level I will use to move my stop loss to break even because it may work as a reversal zone. This setup may become available between 30 to 60 days. In the meantime, it's important to have patience and avoid getting involved with low-quality scenarios.
Thanks for reading, and feel free to share your view on the comments ;)
Stocks Hold a Narrow Range. What's Next??Stocks continue their very narrow range, with the S&P hugging 4800, just around all time highs. The Kovach OBV is completely flat, suggesting that the range should hold until we have some buying or selling interest. Watch the open for a heads up as to the direction for the day. The more we hold the range, the more likely a breakout is to occur either way. We have been anticipating a reasonable correction this week, with 4763 or 4729 likely targets for support. If the rally continues, and we definitely don't want to get in the way of this if it does, then 4821 is the next target.
Stocks Pause Below All Time HighsStocks have paused their massive rally which took all the indexes up to new highs this week. The S&P 500 has paused below our target at 4821, and flatlined, ranging as we anticipated yesterday. We were anticipating a range day, or a retracement after making new highs. There still appears to be an affinity for higher levels as stocks shrug off multiple risk factors. But if the markets get spooked one last time before we close 2021, then we will likely see support at 4763 and 4729. If we see another burst of bull momentum, then we could easily hit our next target at 4821.
Relevant levels on DKNG and trading opportunityToday we will take a look at DKNG.
The first thing to mention is that the price has reached a significant level composed of a support and a cloned trendline of the current descending movement or corrective movement.
From here, we can see an inner descending trendline inside the correction (yellow line). That trendline is really important to provide us with information about a possible change in trend.
The main thing I'm looking for before confirming a change in trend is the next sequence.
-Breakout of the yellow trendline
-After that, I want to see a correction with similar proportions as the red line I draw. That's the main trading opportunity towards the bullish target
IF that correction happens, developing setups on its breakout may be a good setup with a risk to reward ratio higher than 2. However, at the moment, that's far from happening.
The last element of this analysis is: What happens if the price keeps falling? Then we should pay attention to the next support level at 11.00 as a possible target.
Thanks for reading! Feel free to share your view in the comments.
Stocks Blast Off! What is the Next Profit Target??Stocks stubbornly refused to retrace yesterday, and saw a massive rally that blasted through our profit target at 4763. We anticipated a retracement due to a variety of technical and fundamental factors, but are seasoned enough to know not to get in the way of stocks when they are ripping. We still feel a slight retracement is in order before the New Year, but if not, 4821 is the next target. We are seeing a red triangle on the KRI at current levels, suggesting that we are facing resistance. A retracement could take us back to 4763, then 4729 and 4693 will be the next levels of support from below. The Kovach OBV is still pretty strong, but may be starting to level off suggesting at least a ranging period after Monday's rally.
US30 12/28As much as I love being bullish i'd like to share one of the situations I am most afraid of, as we've seen in the past the stock market has huge influence over the crypto market. My concern is the unnatural upswing after the feb crash. I hope someone with more knowledge of the stock market and its correlation to the crypto market can chime in but I feel like its only a matter of time before we get a 15%-20% correction which in turn will have negative effects on BTC which will then lead to alts crashing much harder. Any feedback is always appreciated, cheers.
Four Reasons Why Stocks Might RetraceStocks rallied all last week, in the proverbial 'Santa Claus Rally'. The S&P 500 bottomed out at lows at 4545, and spanned almost two full handles since then. Currently, we are ranging just below highs. The Kovach OBV has completely flattened. The fact that we are near highs, have little momentum, are close to the end of the year, and are still grappling with Omicron worries (including canceled flights), suggests that we may anticipate a dip in stocks into the beginning of this week. We should support at 4693 and 4668, if we do see a retracement. We will see if the holiday exuberance kicks in again this week, but a retracement is highly likely in the mean time. Our next target for stocks is 4763.
Current setup on IBKR | Full explanation Let's take a look at IBKR and the current setup I'm waiting for.
As you can see on the chart, I have defined all those situations with one thing in common, massive drawdown in terms of time and decline and the subsequent resolution after we have a new all-time-high (ATH).
First Scenario: 65% decline and 2660 days until a new ATH / Followed by a 27% bullish movement from the previous high.
Second Scenario: 35% decline and 826 days until a new ATH / Followed by a 75% bullish movement from the previous high.
Third Scenario (current situation): 57% decline and 1316 until a new ATH / Followed by ????
The idea I have right now is that I'm expecting a similar resolution of the previous 2 scenarios based on past behavior. Am I saying this will happen? Of course not; my win rate is 50%; however, the risk to reward ratio I'm looking at on this setup is 2.5. In other words: for every dollar I'm risking, I'm aiming to make 2.5 dollars.
Alright, let's speak about the trading template: The pattern I observed in all the previous bull runs goes like this:
a) The price makes a new ATH
b) The price makes a 7 days consolidation
c) Entry above the consolidation, stop below, target at 255% movement from the previous high (i want to be conservative)
d) IF everything goes as expected, the expected time for this resolution is between 50 to 100 days.
To be clear, these are the levels I'm using:
ENTRY: 81.30
STOP: 73.85
TAKE PROFIT: 99.99
BREAK-EVEN: 89.00 (I will move my stop loss to the entry-level)
Thanks for reading! Feel free to add your charts or view in the comments.
CEI potential breakout IICEI is at an old load-zone prior to a breakout. previously this asset has shown great swings from the same level.
previously...
All the relevant levels on COIN and trading opportunities. Today, we will take a look at COIN
Which are the main elements we can see?
1) The price has already reached the major support zone (or bearish target) and has bounced there.
2) So, what would be a good scenario to think about in terms of bullish opportunities?
3) I would like to see the breakout of the current bearish trend (yellow line) and then a corrective pattern with similar proportions to the red line you see on the chart.
4) IF that happens, then I think that's a great scenario to develop setups around that correction. IF that doesn't happen, you don't do anything.
5) The target I have for the bullish movement in case all the previous filters are fulfilled is 360
6) There is a level where we should pay attention to 294.00 (there we can see small reactions or reversal movements)
At the moment, we have defined the plan, and we need to see how the price proceeds to create a more accurate scenario. Thanks for reading, and feel free to share your view in the comments.
KHC is the 5th holding of Berkshire. What can we expect? Today we will look at Kraft Heinz, a stock in the top 5 holdings of Berkshire Hathaway, that has not been performing yet with stellar results, but that may change, or not... So first, let's look at some conclusions from a technical perspective.
-From 2017 to 2019, the price was clearly on a bearish trend, defined for the most external trendline (white line)
-From 2019 until the beginning of 2021, we observed a consolidation period where the price moved sideways between 37.00 and 27.00
-From 2021 until now, we observed the beginning of a slightly bullish trend and the first breakout of the bearish trendline
-Now, we can see a corrective pattern on the edge of the previous trend (this type of behavior is typical to see when the price is about to break a key level (trendlines, or support/resistance. We will tend to observe any type of corrective patterns.
Ok, what now? What's your view? I have defined activation, invalidation levels, and targets based on all the previous elements. IF the price reaches the green horizontal line, I will consider that my analysis is active, and I will think it is no longer valid if the price reaches the red horizontal line. The target for this movement is 64.00 (on the next resistance level), which means a 60% increase from the activation level.
Regarding time , I think a movement like this will need around a year to happen (if it happens, of course...)
What if the price never reaches the activation level and keeps falling? Then I will cancel my view.
Are you trading this with your personal account? No, I'm not taking this setup. However, I find it an interesting chart, from a technical perspective and under the idea that it is the number 5 holding of Berkshire Hathaway.
Thanks for reading; feel free to share your view in the comments.
Retest after the breakout on Berkshire.Today we will take a look at Berkshire Hathaway's price action .
On this chart, we can see two major technical elements.
1) The current ascending trendline started at the bottom of the pandemic sell-off. While the price stays above that line, we should be open to bullish movements coming.
2) The current consolidation. Those structures are great situations to look for the beginning of new impulses. Berkshire has been moving sideways for the last 280 days, and a few days ago, we saw a new ATH, and now the restest is happening.
That's why I have defined an activation level. IF the price makes a new ATH, I expect a bullish movement towards the fibo extensions. An invalidation level in case that happens is below the current correction around 268.77
In case everything goes as planned, my estimate is a 150 days movement towards the target.
IF the activation level is never reached because the price keeps falling, then that's great "your order, or view" was never executed, and you stayed on the sideway. However, if the price reaches the activation level and goes below the corrective structure, that's why you use a stop loss, and you need to securely leave the market, paying your stop loss (which is never higher than 3% of my trading capital)
Thanks for reading, feel free to share your view and charts in the comments!
Three Reasons Stocks Slid. When to Buy Back??Stocks have sold off hard, as we warned yesterday. This is a typical risk as stocks had just barely eeked out highs, and more momentum was necessary to sustain the rally. We have retraced significantly, but still within our projections from yesterday. The S&P 500 has given up the 4700 handle, and is currently seeing support from a cluster of levels in the mid 4600 handle, including 4668 and 4649. We are seeing strong support at this latter level confirmed by several green triangles on the KRI. If we break down further, we have one more level to provide support at 4632, but then we have the vacuum zone we've been warning about down to 4580. If we break down to this level, it may be a good idea for a long trade, but keep an eye on the news. Several factors have led to selloff in stocks, and we will see if these factors persist a risk off tone today. Investors seem to be shifting from growth stocks to value stocks, and this has taken its toll on the tech sector in particular. Additionally, omicron fears seem to be reigniting globally, and we have the reality of the Evergrande default setting in as well, though this was largely priced in.
Stocks Roar on Fed DecisionStocks showed weakness going into the FOMC meeting, but despite the hawkish outlook: tapering and 3 rate hikes in 2022. The markets have totally priced this in, and as a result stocks rallied to new highs. We anticipated stocks to rally for this reason, but the extent of the rally was formidable. We have punched through 4729, and are heading toward our next target at 4763. The Kovach OBV has turned up sharply, but is starting to curve over, as the S&P does appear to be losing steam. We should have another burst of momentum as we approach the open. If so, that should be more than enough to take us to our target of 4763. After that, we are likely to range a bit in a sideways correction as we establish value in the new price area. Watch for support at 4729, 4693, and 4668.