Tesla’s 32% Plunge: A Critical Analysis and What’s Ahead (READ)By reviewing the #Tesla stock chart on the weekly (logarithmic) timeframe, we can see that the price started a significant decline from the $270 level, just as we anticipated, dropping by over 32% down to $180. At the time of this analysis, no one expected such a steep decline in Tesla's stock, as most were predicting a rise above $300 or even $400. However, the price disregarded the majority’s opinion and followed its own course, resulting in this sharp drop. Currently, the price is around $216, and I expect an initial rise to $233. After that, we'll need to watch how the price reacts to this critical supply zone. This analysis will be updated accordingly.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
The Main Analysis :
((2+4+7+13+15+18+26+36+38+69+87+101+183+209+1000+1002+1000000000+1000000001+ 1000000853)^♾️*69) + 1 !
Stocks
$VIX Could Experience a Sharp Decline on MondayWith reports that Mideast mediators are advancing towards a cease-fire deal, the TVC:VIX could experience a sharp decline on Monday. 📉 This reduction in volatility might lead to increased market stability and potential gains across equities. How are you positioning your portfolio in response to these developments? #VIX #MarketVolatility #Equities #InvestmentStrategy #GeopoliticalRisk
TSLA / TESLATSLA (Tesla, Inc.) Stock Analysis:
Key Dates and Potential Market Movements:
1. August 23, 2024 - Potential Upside:
• Scenario: The chart indicates a potential bullish movement around late August 2024. This could be driven by positive earnings reports, advancements in Tesla’s technology, or an increase in market optimism around Tesla’s leadership in the EV market.
• Impact on Price: We might see a short-term rally in Tesla’s stock price, pushing it towards previous highs around the $270 mark.
2. October 15, 2024 - Potential Downside:
• Scenario: As we approach mid-October 2024, the chart suggests a potential bearish phase. This could be due to broader market corrections, profit-taking by investors, or any negative news related to supply chain disruptions or increased competition in the EV market.
• Impact on Price: Tesla’s stock could see a pullback, potentially testing support levels around $215 or even lower.
3. February 19, 2025 - Recovery Phase:
• Scenario: By early 2025, the chart indicates a recovery phase, possibly due to strong Q4 2024 earnings, the introduction of new Tesla models, or significant advancements in battery technology.
• Impact on Price: This period might mark the beginning of a new bullish trend, with Tesla’s stock price climbing back towards the $250-$300 range.
4. May 9, 2025 - Consolidation or Continued Growth:
• Scenario: The market could enter a consolidation phase, where the stock trades within a range, or Tesla could continue its growth trajectory depending on the broader economic conditions and Tesla’s performance.
• Impact on Price: If the market conditions are favorable, Tesla might break out to new highs; otherwise, we could see sideways movement in the $250-$300 range.
5. September 4, 2025 - Potential Market Shift:
• Scenario: As we approach late 2025, the chart suggests another critical phase, potentially influenced by macroeconomic factors, such as changes in interest rates or shifts in consumer demand for EVs.
• Impact on Price: This could lead to either a breakout to new highs or a retest of lower support levels, depending on the prevailing market sentiment.
6. December 4, 2025 - Year-End Rally:
• Scenario: The end of 2025 could see a year-end rally, driven by strong sales numbers, holiday season demand, or favorable policy decisions regarding EV subsidies.
• Impact on Price: Tesla’s stock might experience a strong rally, potentially setting new highs or revisiting levels around $300.
Considerations for Investors:
• Technological Advancements: Tesla’s continued innovation in battery technology, autonomous driving, and energy solutions could be key drivers of its stock price.
• Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment around the EV market and broader technology sector will play a crucial role in Tesla’s stock movements.
• Geopolitical and Economic Factors: Changes in global trade policies, supply chain disruptions, and shifts in consumer demand could impact Tesla’s performance.
Given the potential market shifts and Tesla’s leadership in the EV space, are you considering adding Tesla to your portfolio? How do you see Tesla’s position evolving as we approach key market dates in 2024 and 2025?
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 16, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index demonstrated significant resiliency during this week's trading session, surpassing the Inner Interim Index Rally 5443 target. Following a springy rebound, the current market price action is positioned below the newly established significant Mean Res 5564. Anticipated interim downward pressure toward the Mean Support at 5445 is probable before the index resumes its upward trajectory. The prevailing price action indicates a sustained uptrend towards the Inner Interim Index Rally at 5666, with the achieved targets expected to exert considerable downward pressure.
SMCI rebounding on its 2-year Support Zone. $2000 next stop.Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is on its strongest 1W green candle since May 22 2023, recovering the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which was broken last week amidst the general market panic on a potential economic slowdown.
This rebound happens to take place just inside the 2-year Higher Lows Zone that started back in July 2022. The ultimate Support, the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) is exactly on that Zone's bottom and as long as it holds, we will stay bullish on SMCI long-term. Even the 1W RSI marginally broke below its 2-year Support Zone, but immediately recovered it.
As a result, we expect the new Bullish Leg (green Channel Up) to start. Every single one of the previous Legs of this 2-year pattern has been higher than the previous, so since the last rally completed a +344.40% rise, we expect at least a repeat of this. Our long-term Target is $2000.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Palo Alto (PANW): A Golden Pocket OpportunityPalo Alto's chart is looking particularly promising in a market where many stocks seem to be constantly soaring. These defined ranges present a strong trading opportunity, which we're closely monitoring. It appears that Palo Alto has completed its Wave (3) and is now in the midst of Wave (4). We anticipate that Wave (4) will conclude within the 38.2% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, providing a potential entry point.
The golden pocket around the 61.8% level is particularly intriguing, though we haven't highlighted the 50% retracement as it doesn’t align with key support levels. We see two potential scenarios for Palo Alto: a correction to the 38.2% level, meeting the support zone around $249, or a deeper retracement into the broader support area and golden pocket between $191 and $160.
If we take a long position at the first support zone, we would likely move the stop loss quickly to secure the position, with plans to add to our position if the price drops further into the lower support range. For now, we're waiting on the sidelines, keeping a close watch on the upcoming earnings call. If it brings any significant news, we’ll outline our strategy for PANW.
US500 - Roadmap to 6kHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 US500 has been overall bullish, trading within the rising channel marked in red.
As long as the $5000 round number holds, I expect further bullish continuation towards the upper bound of the channel and $6000 round number.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
Tyson Foods (TSN) Analysis Company Overview:
Tyson Foods, a global leader in meat production and distribution, is well-positioned to benefit as the economy shows signs of slowing. In times of economic uncertainty, investors often turn to consumer staples like Tyson Foods as a defensive play due to their steady demand and generous dividends.
Key Highlights:
Economic Hedge: As fears of a hard landing grow, Tyson Foods stands out as a safe investment option. The company's products remain in demand even during economic downturns, making it a reliable choice for risk-averse investors.
Insider Confidence: Significant insider activity, including stock accumulation by Congress members in 2024, signals strong confidence in the company's future performance. Insiders with an informational edge are betting on Tyson’s continued success.
Dividend Growth: Tyson Foods' CEO recently announced an increase in the company’s quarterly dividend, with the 2024 dividend expected to be 2% higher than in 2023. This dividend boost reflects the board's confidence in the company’s financial health and growth prospects.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:TSN above the $54.00-$55.00 range.
Upside Potential: With an upside target of $85.00-$86.00, Tyson Foods offers a combination of defensive stability, income generation through dividends, and potential for capital appreciation, making it an attractive investment in uncertain economic times.
📈🍗 Tyson Foods—feeding your portfolio with dividends and growth potential! #TSN #Dividends 🍗💼
Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis: NFLX Should Continue RallyShort Term Elliott Wave in NFLX suggests that the Stock has completed a bearish sequence from 7.05.2024 high. The decline made a double correction Elliott Wave structure. Down from 7.05.2024 high, wave (W) ended at 600.00 low. Rally in wave (X) ended at 678.97 with internal subdivision as a zig zag correction structure. Up from wave (W), wave A ended at 655.54 and wave B ended at 631.50. Wave C higher ended at 678.97 which completed wave (X) in higher degree.
Then, NFLX turned lower in wave (Y) with internal subdivision as another double correction structure. Down from wave (X), wave W ended at 617.00 and wave X ended at 646.71. Last leg wave Y lower ended at 583.50 which completed wave (Y) and ((4)) in higher degree. The current rally is in progress expecting to continue higher as wave ((5)). Near term, we are calling a leading diagonal as wave 1 of (1) of ((5)). This wave 1 ended at 632.00 high and wave 2 pullback finished at 605.50. From this point, the stock resumed to the upside in wave 3 and once the wave 3 is completed, it should see 3, 7 or 11 swings correction as wave 4 before resuming the rally again.
3M Company Is Back To Bullish Mode3M Company with ticker MMM was trading in a larger A-B-C correction within a higher degree wave IV for the last 5 years, but we have been warning about strong support with equal wavelength of waves A=C already back in 2023.
As you can see now in 2024, we can see a strong rebound after a completed projected higher degree A-B-C correction within wave IV, so wave V can be now in play that can send the price back to all-time highs, especially if breaks channel resistance line and 175 level.
TESLA starting an aggressive bullish reversal to $380.Since July and the bullish break-out above the ATH Lower Highs trend-line, Tesla (TSLA) confirmed the transition to a new long-term bullish pattern. For the time being, that is a Channel Up.
The recent pull-back is part of the wider market correction of the past 3 weeks but last week's green 1W candle, is evidence that the price has found a bottom. In fact this is a Higher Low on the new Bullish Leg similar to the previous one on the week of April 24 2023.
That was the first Bullish Leg since the 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom and the symmetry is evident even on the 1W MACD, which is showing a squeeze, similar to April - May 2023. As long as this doesn't cross, we expect the market to stabilize in August and start rallying aggressively as early as September.
An earlier break above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) again, would confirm that, as it is acting as a long-term Pivot. Since the previous Bullish Leg peaked at +194.87%, we see no reason to expect otherwise, thus keeping our long-term Target on Tesla at $380.00, which would not only be a +194.87% rise but also reach just below the April 05 2022 High.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
US small cap bounce unconvincing despite risk revival The recovery in US small caps has been unconvincing over the past fortnight, struggling for upside unlike mega-cap rivals. Russell 2000 futures have been capped below the 50-day moving average for much of this period, running into sellers constantly above this level. Wednesday’s rejection above 2132.6 warns of building reversal risk, putting a potential break of uptrend support on the cards should US slowdown fears return.
If the price were to break the uptrend, traders could enter shorts with a tight stop either above the level or the 50-day moving average for protection, depending on your target. On that subject, the 200-day moving average or 1920 are levels to consider. If the price were to hold the uptrend, a close above the 50-day moving average would negate the bearish setup.
MACD and RSI continue to generate bearish signals on momentum, making selling rallies the preferred strategy near-term. Good luck!
DS
SWING IDEA - APOLLO TYREApollo Tyres , a leading tyre manufacturer, is showing technical indicators that suggest a promising swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
540-560 Resistance Zone Breakout : The 540-560 level has been a significant resistance zone. The price is now breaking out above this crucial zone, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Bullish Marubozu Candle on Daily Timeframe : The recent formation of a bullish marubozu candle on the daily chart indicates strong buying pressure and suggests potential for further upward movement.
Breaking 5-Month Consolidation : The stock is breaking out of a consolidation phase that lasted over 5 months, signaling a potential new bullish trend.
Higher Highs : The stock is consistently making higher highs, indicating a strong upward trend.
Trading Near All-Time High : The stock is trading near its all-time high, suggesting strong market confidence and potential for further gains.
Gradual Increase in Volumes : A noticeable increase in trading volumes confirms the strength of the price move and indicates growing investor interest.
Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : The stock is trading above both the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMA), reinforcing the bullish sentiment and providing strong support levels.
Target - 630 // 670
Stoploss - daily close below 490
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
COINBASE rebounded on its 1W MA50. Next target = $390Coinbase (COIN) hit (and even broke) last week its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 1 year (since the week of June 26 2023) and posted an incredibly bullish reaction by almost recovering all of the weekly losses.
At the same time, that drop almost touched the bottom of the 1.5 year Channel Up that started after the 2022 market bottom. All similar bottoms registered at least +146.82% rallies on the Bullish Legs that followed, so we expect the stock to have a minimum $390 Target, which will also reach the 0.786 Fibonacci Channel level, that is always hit during such rallies.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
AMD Road to $295 has begun.The Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is on the 2nd straight weekly bounce following the August 05 bottom. This is so far the strongest 2-week bullish reversal since November 06 2023, which was the previous bottom/ Higher Low on the 2-year Support Zone.
It is no coincidence that this rebound took place just before hitting the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). So far we have had two Bullish Legs arising from this Support Zone structure and currently we are expecting the 3rd.
Since the decline following the March 2024 High has been around -47%, similar to the September 2023 one, we expect the Bullish Leg to be equally strong. As a result, our new long-term Target is $295.00.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
SPTM Prepare for Consolidation or Pullback in the Coming QuarterThe SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market ETF (SPTM) has shown impressive performance over the past months, driven by a general bullish market sentiment. However, as we approach the next quarter, key indicators from the QuantEdge Momentum System suggest that the ETF might face significant resistance, leading to a potential period of consolidation or even a pullback.
Key Technical Insights:
Z-Score Analysis:
The Z-Score currently stands at 0.7583, indicating that the price of SPTM is trading above its historical mean. However, this value is nearing a threshold where the momentum might start to slow down. This suggests that while the ETF has experienced an uptrend, the room for further gains could be limited unless there is a strong bullish breakout.
Z-Score of RSI:
The Z-Score of RSI is in the negative territory (-0.9841), which is a divergence from the positive price Z-Score. This indicates that the momentum behind the uptrend is weakening. RSI being below its average typically signals that buying pressure is diminishing, which could result in a stagnation or decline in price.
Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD):
The CVD reflects a higher level of selling pressure, with cumulative volume favoring sellers. This is another warning sign that the upward momentum might be unsustainable in the short term.
Projection for the Next Quarter:
Given the mixed signals from the proprietary QuantEdge Momentum System, it is likely that SPTM could encounter resistance near current levels. Traders should be cautious as the ETF might enter a consolidation phase or experience a pullback during the next quarter. The weakening RSI momentum and increasing selling volume suggest that upside potential is limited unless there is a significant catalyst to drive prices higher.
For traders, this is a crucial moment to assess risk and possibly secure gains from the previous uptrend. Those looking to enter new positions may want to wait for a clearer breakout signal or consider short-term trades based on confirmed support levels.
Stay vigilant and adjust your strategies according to the evolving market conditions. The QuantEdge Momentum System will be your guide to navigate the upcoming volatility in SPTM.
Comparing Different Financial MarketsComparing Different Financial Markets
In trading, understanding the types of international financial markets is crucial. This article offers a comprehensive market comparison of the stock, forex, commodity, crypto* and bond arenas. You’ll learn the importance of these financial markets and what it takes to navigate each one effectively.
Stock Market
The stock market is a financial marketplace where traders and investors can buy and sell shares of publicly traded companies. By purchasing a stock, an investor essentially owns a slice of the company, and their investment's value moves in tandem with the company's performance.
- Risk: Stocks can be volatile, subject to market sentiment, economic indicators, and company performance. Risk varies widely among different types of stocks.
- Income Potential: Day traders aim for short-term gains, while long-term investors often seek stocks that offer dividends or high growth potential.
- Knowledge: A solid understanding of market trends, company fundamentals, and technical indicators is beneficial for effective trading.
- Liquidity: Most stocks, especially those listed on major exchanges, have high liquidity, allowing for quick entry and exit.
- Costs and Fees: Costs can include brokerage commissions, although many online platforms now offer zero-commission trading.
- Trading Hours: Generally restricted to weekdays, opening and closing at set times, with after-hours trading being possible but less liquid.
Forex Market
The forex market is the global marketplace for buying and selling currencies. Traders pair two currencies, like EUR/USD, and profit from the fluctuations in exchange rates.
- Risk: Forex trading can be highly volatile and is considered riskier than stock trading, influenced by geopolitical events, interest rates, and economic data.
- Income Potential: High leverage can amplify gains but also increase risk. Many traders seek to profit from short-term fluctuations.
- Knowledge: Understanding of macroeconomic indicators, geopolitical events, and technical analysis can be crucial for success.
- Liquidity: Extremely high, given the 24/5 operation of the Forex market.
- Costs and Fees: Typically lower than other markets, often involving spreads rather than direct commissions.
- Trading Hours: Operates 24 hours a day, five days a week, allowing for flexibility in trading times.
Commodity Market
The commodity market is one of the types of international financial markets where physical or virtual assets like gold, oil, or agricultural products are traded. These markets often act as a gauge for supply and demand conditions globally.
- Risk: Commodities can be quite volatile, influenced by global events, natural disasters, and political instability. Traders often hedge against other market risks by investing in commodities.
- Income Potential: Gains can be substantial but are also subject to dramatic shifts based on the factors mentioned above.
- Knowledge: Understanding of global economic indicators, supply and demand factors, and geopolitical events is critical.
- Liquidity: Varies widely depending on the commodity; for example, gold and oil are highly liquid.
- Costs and Fees: This can include brokerage commissions, futures contract fees, and costs associated with physical storage for some commodities.
- Trading Hours: Vary by commodity and exchange, but many have extended hours due to global demand.
Cryptocurrency Market*
The cryptocurrency market is a decentralised digital asset market that includes cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and various tokens. It's the newest and one of the most rapidly evolving financial markets.
- Risk: Extremely volatile, with prices subject to rapid fluctuations, sometimes within minutes. Regulatory concerns add another layer of risk.
- Income Potential: High potential for both short-term and long-term gains, but also significant risk of loss.
- Knowledge: Understanding of blockchain technology, market sentiment, and technical analysis is often crucial. Familiarity with regulation is also beneficial.
- Liquidity: Generally high for well-known cryptocurrencies but can be low for lesser-known tokens and coins.
- Costs and Fees: Vary by platform and may include transaction fees, deposit/withdrawal fees, and "gas" fees for certain types of transactions.
- Trading Hours: Operates 24/7, allowing for ongoing trading and the chance to react to market news or events.
You can head over to FXOpen's free TickTrader platform to explore the above-mentioned markets for CFD trading in real-time.
Bond Market
The bond market is a segment of the financial market where debt securities are issued and traded. Unlike the stock market, which is a part of the capital market, the bond market focuses on long-term debt instruments. This highlights the difference between capital markets and financial markets.
- Risk: Generally considered lower risk compared to stocks and commodities, although risk can vary depending on the issuer's creditworthiness.
- Income Potential: Lower yield compared to more volatile markets, but often offers more stable returns through interest payments.
- Knowledge: Understanding of interest rates, yield curves, and credit ratings is essential for bond trading.
- Liquidity: Varies depending on the type of bond; government bonds are usually highly liquid, while corporate bonds can be less so.
- Costs and Fees: Transaction costs are generally built into the bond's price, but some brokers may charge commissions.
- Trading Hours: Primarily traded over-the-counter (OTC), with some bonds available on exchanges. Trading hours can vary but are generally regular business hours.
The Bottom Line
In summary, the diverse features of financial markets offer traders a range of opportunities, from stocks and commodities to cryptocurrencies* and bonds. Armed with this knowledge, you're now equipped to navigate the markets with confidence. Want to put these insights into action? Consider opening an FXOpen account to kickstart your trading adventure.
*At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules, respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
UBS (UBSG): Too Big to Fail?Remember this analysis from over four months ago? We didn't place a limit order at that time (which is why it's greyed out), but if you followed our setup during the livestream back then, congratulations! The chart reacted beautifully at the desired level, just as we anticipated.
In my opinion, this is a great-looking chart, showing a strong reaction at a key level. I'm now looking for some long plays on UBS to gain some exposure to the Swiss market. UBS is a relatively safe stock, which is a good thing to have during phases of uncertainty.
The worst-case scenario would be a banking crash, but we believe UBS is still too big to fail. As long as it maintains this status, we like it. I'll send out a limit order once I find a good setup. For now, I wouldn't recommend any FOMO into this stock, as it could be a dead cat bounce, but we'll closely monitor it for you.
AAPL / APPLE🔍 AAPL Analysis: Key Dates for Market Movements 📈
The AAPL chart highlights two critical dates that could shape your trading strategy:
October 7, 2024 - Red Line: This date marks a potential local peak. It might be an opportune moment to take profits as the stock could face resistance or enter a short-term correction.
August 25, 2025 - Green Line: A significant local low is expected around this time. This could present an ideal opportunity to accumulate AAPL shares, positioning yourself for the next major upward move.
By strategically planning around these dates, you can optimize your trading decisions and maximize returns.
#AAPL #StockMarket #MarketTiming #InvestmentStrategy #AppleStock