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Nifty levels & strategy for 02/Sep/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support, and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared here for educational purpose. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose. Focus on learning how to fish, trust your own skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. NIFTY Nifty is down by -216.5 points. Today, initially Nifty has given chance to bears as well as bulls for making decent profits who worked level by level in disciplined manner. Later, option writers made good money. A perfect day for a trader who understands technical/OI (open interest) changes well. PCR shifted from 1.3 (bullish zone) to 0.89 (bearish zone). Highest open interest on call side at 18000 (Remained at same level) Highest open interest on put side at 17000 (Remained at same level) BANK NIFTY Bank Nifty is down by -235.5 points. Bank Nifty remained sideways for most of time after initial gap-down & recovery. PCR shifted from 1.54 (overbought zone) to 0.84 (bearish zone). Daily quick swings/sudden changes in OI are making life difficult for option writers. Highest open interest on call side at 40000 (Shifted down from 41000 to 40000) Highest open interest on put side at 38000 (Remained at same level) Shall we look for sell on rise opportunities near major resistance levels with strict SL? Or Shall we look for buy on dips opportunities near major support levels? Please do share your comments. Have a very happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
NSE:NIFTY
by manishmgupta
Bank Nifty Levels & Strategy for 02/Sep/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support, and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared here for educational purpose. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose. Focus on learning how to fish, trust your own skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. BANK NIFTY Bank Nifty is down by -235.5 points. Bank Nifty remained sideways for most of time after initial gap-down & recovery. PCR shifted from 1.54 (overbought zone) to 0.84 (bearish zone). Daily quick swings/sudden changes in OI are making life difficult for option writers. Highest open interest on call side at 40000 (Shifted down from 41000 to 40000) Highest open interest on put side at 38000 (Remained at same level) NIFTY Nifty is down by -216.5 points. Today, initially Nifty has given chance to bears as well as bulls for making decent profits who worked level by level in disciplined manner. Later, option writers made good money. A perfect day for a trader who understands technical/OI (open interest) changes well. PCR shifted from 1.3 (bullish zone) to 0.89 (bearish zone). Highest open interest on call side at 18000 (Remained at same level) Highest open interest on put side at 17000 (Remained at same level) Shall we look for sell on rise opportunities near major resistance levels with strict SL? Or Shall we look for buy on dips opportunities near major support levels? Please do share your comments. Have a very happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by manishmgupta
SPX Daily TA Cautiously BearishSPXUSD Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 15% SPX, 85% Cash. *BOUNCE WATCH. Equities continued to take a plunge today as Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester mentioned that she would like to see rates above 4% by year end and for most (if not all) of 2023. In one of my previous analyses I incorrectly mentioned that only three Fed members voted on Federal Funds Rate (FFR), it is in fact 12 Fed members (the 7 governors, the New York Regional Fed President and then 4 alternating Reserve Bank Presidents) which comprise the FOMC and vote on FFR. Loretta Mester is one of them. Markets are eagerly waiting to see the August Unemployment Rate in Friday's Jobs Report, if it comes in flat or lower, 75bps will likely become the preferred option come 09/21. However, if there is an uptick in Unemployment a 50bps rate-hike on 09/21 would still likely be on the table. Additional guidance will be provided by August's CPI on 09/13. Key Upcoming Dates: 9th GDPNow US GDP estimate at 10am EST 09/01 ; August Employment Situation 830am EST 09/02; August CPI at 830am EST 09/13.* Price is currently trending down at $3954 (after breaking below the 50 MA at $4k psychological support) and is technically retesting $3938 minor support. Volume is High and has favored sellers for four consecutive sessions, this is mildly bullish because of the . Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $4190, this margin is mildly bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down at 37 and is technically testing the uptrend line from 01/27/22 at 38 support. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently testing max bottom. MACD remains bearish and is currently trending down at -5 with no signs of trough formation as it quickly approaches a test of -11.45 support (which would likely coincide with the uptrend line from March 2020). ADX remains trending sideways at 23 as Price continues to fall, this is neutral at the moment. If Price is able to bounce off of $3938 minor support then it will likely retest the 50 MA as resistance at ~$4k psychological resistance . However, if Price breaks down below $3938 minor support , it will likely retest the lower trendline of the descending channel from August 2021 at ~$3880 as support . Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $4k.
SP:SPX
by dailytaguy
SP500 - Intraday turn points.I have marked out the Intraday turn points fot the FOREXCOM:SPXUSD . Ideal Scenario would see a rally into 4030 @ 00:30 just over half way through the US Session setting up another Sell signal. The other option for this is that it could be a low and mark a reversal. The other Key Time is @ 21:30 this might set in motion the next move higher. This is a time based strategy that can be a low or a high. Lets see hoe this plays out.. This doesnt always work but when you use patterns with it, it can give you an edge.
FOREXCOM:SPX500Short
by L_F
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 01/09/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support, and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared here for educational purpose. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose. Focus on learning how to fish, trust your own skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. NIFTY Nifty is up by 446 points (simply mind-blowing, mind-boggling rally within a day). Nifty closed near day’s high, above 20 EMA , VWAP levels. One way move without any red candle on 15 min chart is amazing & shocking for majority of the traders like me. Honestly, I didn’t anticipate such a one-way strong rally specially after heavy selling by FIIs just a day before. I had clear negative bias but finally followed the price action and OI data (heavy put writing & short covering in calls) which really helped me trading in the direction of trend. Overall, I was relatively safe as my overnight positions are always hedged. Today, Indian markets are closed and SGX Nifty is down by 300 plus points at this point of time. Now, are we getting ready for a gap-down? Let us see, how it goes tomorrow as situation may get change over-night? Highest open interest on call side at 18000 (Remained at same level) Highest open interest on put side at 17000 (Remained at same level) BANK NIFTY Bank Nifty is jumped up by 1260 points. Bank Nifty closed near day’s high, above 20 EMA , VWAP levels. Bank Nifty continued moving up after initial gap-up . Surprisingly, there was no retracement. One of the very rare days. PCR at 1.54 is shifted from oversold zone to overbought zone. Bulls got trapped on 29th Aug & Bears got trapped on 30th Aug. Traders can not work with fixed mindset. We should be dynamic and quick enough in working level by level. We need to study & analyse all inputs and follow market price action. Market is supreme. If our view goes right, then ride on profit using TSL else be quick in taking SL. SL should not be kept in mind. Trader should trade with strict SL and SL order should be place within 60 seconds of placing trade order. Risk:Reward ratio of 1:2 should be maintained which will ensure that we will remain profitable even if our 50% decision goes right. Highest open interest on call side at 41000 (Shifted up from 39500 to 41000) Highest open interest on put side at 38000 (Remained at same level) Shall we look for sell on rise opportunities near major resistance levels with strict SL? Or Shall we look for buy on dips opportunities near major support levels with strict SL? Friends, your trading decision should be based on data, price action and your own understanding. Don’t let emotions take-over your trust & trading/investment skills. Please do learn how ride on profit using TSL (Trailing stop loss) and timely exit with market SL (stop loss) & not your own SL. Please do share your comments. Have a very happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
NSE:NIFTY
by manishmgupta
Bank Nifty Levels & Strategy for 01/09/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support, and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared here for educational purpose. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose. Focus on learning how to fish, trust your own skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. BANK NIFTY Bank Nifty is jumped up by 1260 points. Bank Nifty closed near day’s high, above 20 EMA, VWAP levels. Bank Nifty continued moving up after initial gap-up. Surprisingly, there was no retracement. One of the very rare days. PCR at 1.54 is shifted from oversold zone to overbought zone. Bulls got trapped on 29th Aug & Bears got trapped on 30th Aug. Traders can not work with fixed mindset. We should be dynamic and quick enough in working level by level. We need to study & analyse all inputs and follow market price action. Market is supreme. If our view goes right, then ride on profit using TSL else be quick in taking SL. SL should not be kept in mind. Trader should trade with strict SL and SL order should be place within 60 seconds of placing trade order. Risk:Reward ratio of 1:2 should be maintained which will ensure that we will remain profitable even if our 50% decision goes right. Highest open interest on call side at 41000 (Shifted up from 39500 to 41000) Highest open interest on put side at 38000 (Remained at same level) NIFTY Nifty is up by 446 points (simply mind-blowing, mind-boggling rally within a day). Nifty closed near day’s high, above 20 EMA, VWAP levels. One way move without any red candle on 15 min chart is amazing & shocking for majority of the traders like me. Honestly, I didn’t anticipate such a one-way strong rally specially after heavy selling by FIIs just a day before. I had clear negative bias but finally followed the price action and OI data (heavy put writing & short covering in calls) which really helped me trading in the direction of trend. Overall, I was relatively safe as my overnight positions are always hedged. Today, Indian markets are closed and SGX Nifty is down by 300 plus points at this point of time. Now, are we getting ready for a gap-down? Let us see, how it goes tomorrow as situation may get change over-night? Highest open interest on call side at 18000 (Remained at same level) Highest open interest on put side at 17000 (Remained at same level) Shall we look for sell on rise opportunities near major resistance levels with strict SL? Or Shall we look for buy on dips opportunities near major support levels? Friends, your trading decision should be based on data, price action and your own understanding. Don’t let emotions take-over your trust & trading/investment skills. Please do learn how ride on profit using TSL and timely exit with market SL & not your SL. Please do share your comments. Have a very happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by manishmgupta
SPX Daily TA Cautiously BearishSPXUSD Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 25% SPX, 75% Cash. *Equities, Equity Futures and Gold are all slightly down to start the week while Cryptos, VIX, Energy and US Treasuries are up and DXY has stayed relatively flat. The Risk-Off reaction to Jerome Powell's hawkish comments in Jackson Hole last Friday is continuing into the start of this week. Financial markets will likely stay choppy leading up to the Jobs Report on on September 2nd and CPI on September 13th; both of these data points will provide guidance regarding whether the Fed will increase FFR by 50bps or 75bps on September 21st. Meanwhile Europe is facing what is likely to be a cold winter marked by energy rations and high prices, this is something to keep an eye on as it has the potential to exacerbate global recession fears. Key Upcoming Dates: August Consumer Confidence Index at 10am EST 08/30 ; 9th GDPNow US Q3 GDP estimate at 10am EST 09/01; August Employment Situation 830am EST 09/02.* Price is currently trending down at ~$4050 after breaking below the uptrend line from 06/16/22 at ~$4145, it's fast approaching a retest of the 50 MA at ~$4k as support. Volume remains Moderate (high) and is on track to favor buyers in today's session, after favoring sellers in last Friday's, if it can close today's session in the green. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $4254 minor resistance, this margin is neutral at the moment. RSI continues to trend down at 43 as it approaches a retest of the uptrend line from 01/27/22 at 38 support. Stochastic is currently neutral and trending sideways at 10, the next resistance is at 18 and the next support at max bottom. MACD remains bearish and is currently trending down at 23 with no signs of trough formation as it still technically is testing 33 support. ADX is currently beginning to form a trough at 23 as Price continues to fall, this is neutral at the moment. If Price is able to bounce here then it will likely see a bit of resistance at $4100 before it aims to retest $4175 resistance . However, if Price continues to fall here, it will likely retest the 50 MA at ~$4k psychological support and potentially lower to retest $3938 minor support . Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $4100.
SP:SPX
by dailytaguy
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 30/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support, and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared here for educational purpose. Please consult your financial advisor before trading. Global cues are quite negative. FIIs sold in cash as well as F&O contracts by -6000 plus crores. Today also Dow Jones and Nasdaq are trading in red. India VIX has jumped up by 8.83%. Crude started boiling again. US Dollar & US 10Y bond yields are maintaining at quite high level. Shall continue to look for sell on rise opportunities till global market sentiments remains negative? Please do share your comments. Have a happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by manishmgupta
Bank Nifty Levels & Strategy for 30/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support, and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared here for educational purpose. Please consult your financial advisor before trading. Global cues are quite negative. FIIs sold in cash as well as F&O contracts by 6000 plus crores. Today also Dow Jones and Nasdaq are trading in red. Shall continue to look for sell on rise opportunities till global market sentiments remains negative? Please do share your comments. Have a happy, healthy & profitable day ahead!
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by manishmgupta
2
Bank Nifty Levels & Strategy for 29/08/2022 and new few daysDear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support, and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared here for educational purpose. Please consult your financial advisor before trading. Global cues are clearly negative. Dow Jones has closed with sharp cut of 1000 plus points and Nasdaq with 500 plus points based on outcome of Jacksone Hole meeting. Market sentiments became negative. BANK NIFTY Bank Nifty is up by 36 points. Bank Nifty closed near day’s low, below 20 EMA, VWAP levels. Bank Nifty trader firmly and sideways throughout the day Last hour sharp selling/volatility gave opportunities to bears as well as bulls. PCR stayed almost at same from 0.66 to 0.67 which is clearly in bearish zone. Highest open interest on call side at 39500 (Remained at same level) Highest open interest on put side at 39000 (Remained at same level) NIFTY Nifty is up by 36 points. However, Nifty closed near day’s low, below 20 EMA, VWAP levels. Market was stable for most of the day on Friday but we have seen fear & high volatility in last hour. PCR shifted slightly below from 0.76 to 0.73 which is clearly in bearish zone. Highest open interest on call side at 17700 (Shifted down from 18500 to 17700) Highest open interest on put side at 17000 (Remained same at 17000) Shall we expect downward trending market on Monday based on Jackson Hole meeting outcome? Shall now look for only sell on rise opportunities till global market sentiments remains negative? Shall we expect decent profit booking after significant one way relief rally which almost became bull run now? Please do share your comments. Have a nice weekend and wish you happy, healthy & profitable Monday!
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by manishmgupta
4
Nifty levels & strategy for 29/08/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support, and resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared here for educational purpose. Please consult your financial advisor before trading. NIFTY Nifty is up by 36 points. However, Nifty closed almost flat, below 20 EMA, VWAP levels. Market was stable for most of the day on Friday but we have seen fear & high volatility in last hour. PCR shifted slightly below from 0.76 to 0.73 which is clearly in bearish zone. Highest open interest on call side at 17700 (Shifted down from 18500 to 17700) Highest open interest on put side at 17000 (Remained same at 17000) BANK NIFTY Bank Nifty is up by 36 points. Bank Nifty closed almost flat, below 20 EMA, VWAP levels. Bank Nifty trader firmly and sideways throughout the day Last hour sharp selling/volatility gave opportunities to bears as well as bulls. PCR stayed almost at same from 0.66 to 0.67 which is clearly in bearish zone. Highest open interest on call side at 39500 (Remained at same level) Highest open interest on put side at 39000 (Remained at same level) Shall we expect downward trending market on Monday based on Jackson Hole meeting outcome? Shall now look for only sell on rise opportunities till global market sentiments remains negative? Shall we expect decent profit booking after significant one way relief rally which almost became bull run now? Please do share your comments. Have a nice weekend and wish happy, healthy & profitable Monday!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by manishmgupta
How occur the House Debt Bubble on 2008I'm watching the past how occur the House Debt Bubble on 2008 in the Real State Housing in America. This it's S&P 500 how this economic indicator behavior during the year 2008-2009 into this worse financial crisis in North America. So, I want to share our present situation what the S&P it's behavior now: Ok, we're in the possible bubble financial in this high point as we forming a higher low in the market structure indicating weak in the trend. Now, if I see that S&P 500 break down the EMA 200 and make a resistance pull back below of the EMA 200, this will be the beginning of the death cross in the stock market and market crash entering in the bubble financial. Ok, and now we're going to discuss How the S&P 500 behavior in the past? 1) We see a very similar patron formed in our present. 2) We see a higher low formed in the past indicating weak in the trend, and the recently market structure a market trap that I see in our present 3) When break down the EMA 200 and make this pull back below of the EMA 200, the financial market began their bubble financial on 2008 and crash of the financial market. At the moment, we see the 2 criteria confirmed, and we could to entry in the exactly moment of market trap developing now. So guys, if you want to read about how this House Debt Bubble occur on 2008, there're a lot educational content in You Tube, documental, wikipedia or blog to read and watching this past history that look very interesting to understand how this occur, the history it's very extensive to post it here. Also, there a lot content to check out in internet, and also, I suggsted to study and watch the 2 bubble in our history 1) "Crack of 29", called the bubble financial on 1929, the most famous oil financial crisis in the worldwide occur in America in the century XX. 2) House Debt bubble on 2008, called the Real State Housing crisis in America that made an deep impact in the financial market and one of the worse bubble in the history of the humanity. I hope that this content educational support you
SP:SPXEducation
by harisonhbn9718
2
S&P 500: Weekly outlookS&P 500 show us a weak in the stock market where we would need to be very carefully what we look, after that Federal Reserve continue tightening the U.S. monetary policy, and also get strength the interest rates. We could to experiment a global recession. Remember: The S&P 500 measure the health of the U.S. economy, and the global financial market. What if that occur what I mark, we could to see a worst global financial crisis and more worse than 2008 (Housing crisis debt), that in that time was a horrible financial crisis in USA when housing price down. Also to take in note, we see a similar patron what occur in the world, and more worse than we can't to imagine it. i believe that you must to find up this history or find up a video that explain why this crisis occur in America, and other study case as " crack of 29", that it's the oil bubble and crisis in this past year, that you must to be prepare and know this vital information in your career as investor or trader. Now, talking about technical analysis, I see that S&P 500 forming a higher low in this market structure indicating weak in the trend. And the currently candlestick show a weak indicating that it's moment to keep away of the stock market and sell shares, including crypto as they're in the bear market. Now ,if I see the following that S&P 500 break down the EMA 200 and make a pull back resistance in it, we could to see a strong bear market and crash of the stock market, and this it's fault by FED what the U.S. Central Bank do. Also, in some minutes I will share a special analysis because I found out a similar patron in the debt housing crisis on 2008 in the S&P 500 that occur and past the same that we live in the present, and the past occur and it's very similar what we see in our present and how to project it in the future. This it's my prediction that I look. So guys, I hope that this idea support you. I suggested to share this idea with everyone who need to get advice and being prepare for this possible financial crisis more worse than 2008.
SP:SPXShort
by harisonhbn9718
S&P 500: Daily outlookS&P 500 forming a bearish Gartley pattern that I found out in Daily chart, what we could to see a bearish movement to the previously lower like 3600 pts. Also, remember that this occur what happen what the FED could to hike interest rate right now in September put the global financial market in worst situation of the bear market. And also tightening the America monetary policy. Talking about technical analysis, we see that S&P 500 forming a higher low in 3 occasion that maybe, I thinking that stock market could to be a possible market crash what FED do, and also cooling down the inflation rate But now, S&P 500 show us that stock market could to be weak during the next days, and also very correlated with Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies to short this assets. I hope that this idea support you!!!
SP:SPXShort
by harisonhbn9718
Dollar 🌲Tree🌲 Analyze!!!Dollar Tree is an American multi-price-point chain of discount variety stores. Headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia, it is a Fortune 500 company and operates 15,115 stores throughout the 48 contiguous U.S. states and Canada. Its stores are supported by a nationwide logistics network of 24 distribution centers. Dollar Tree made a symmetrical triangle near the trend line, and it lost the lower line of the triangle. I expect Dollar Tree to lose at least 10% of its value. Dollar Tree Analyze (DLTRUSD), Timeframe 1H (Log Scale /Heikin Ashi)⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position that you want to open). Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NASDAQ:DLTRShort
by pejman_zwin
4
SPX Daily TA Neutral BearishSPXUSD Daily neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 47% SPX, 53% Cash . *I incorrectly mentioned that PCE numbers would be released today, they are scheduled for release tomorrow at 830am EST. The 2nd US Q2 GDP estimate was reported today at -0.6% compared to the previous Advanced estimate of -0.9% , the third and final Q2 estimate will be reported on 09/29/22. Equities, Cryptos and Energy are up while VIX, DXY, US Treasuries and Commodities (aside from Energy) are all down or flat. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard made a pitch for more frontloading to bring down inflation and mentioned that he'd like to see EOY FFR at 3.75%-4%. Bullard isn't a voting member on the rates but his view could gain momentum depending on tomorrow's July PCE report and August's Jobs + CPI numbers. The Risk-On appetite seems to be growing ahead of the anticipated speech by Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole tomorrow. Market consensus is that Powell will remain hawkish but tomorrow's PCE numbers may inspire a more dovish tone regarding end of year expectations. Key Upcoming Dates: US July PCE at 830am EST 08/26 ; UofM Final August Sentiment Survey Index at 10am EST 08/26 ; Jackson Hole Economic Symposium on 08/25-08/27 (Fed Chair Jerome Powell scheduled to speak at 10am EST on 08/26).* Price is currently trending up at $4199 and is still technically testing $4175 support. Volume remains Moderate (high) and has favored buyers in both of the last two sessions as Price tests $4175 support. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $4290, this margin is neutral at the moment. RSI is currently trending up at 56.73 after forming a trough at, and bouncing off of, 52.68 support. Stochastic crossed over bullish in today's session and is currently trending up at 12 as it approaches 18.32 resistance. MACD remains bearish and is currently beginning to form a trough at 55.35 minor support. ADX is currently beginning to form a trough at 25 as Price is pushing higher, this is mildly bullish at the moment. If Price is able to close above $4175 in tomorrow's session, it will likely retest $4254 minor resistance before potentially retesting the upper trendline of the descending channel from November 2021 at ~$4300 as resistance . However, if Price breaks down here, the next likely target would be a retest of the uptrend line from 06/16/22 at ~$4100 as support . Mental Stop Loss: (two b2b closes above) $4175.
SP:SPX
by dailytaguy
2