Bank Nifty Levels & Strategy for 07/Dec/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading.
Bank Nifty: Options data indicating mild bearishness ahead of RBI policy. Smart money/big players have added plenty of new bearish positions. USA market are already nervous ahead of another rate in next week. Tomorrow, we can expect a sideway move ahead of RBI policy. Post RBI policy market direction will be dependent on rate hike & commentary by RBI regarding inflation & growth outlook.
Red Flags to keep in mind for coming days:
1.RBI meeting is going on. Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is likely to go ahead with another rate hike approx. 0.35% on Dec-07
2.USA Fed meeting (next week). Another rate hike of 0.75% is likely to happen.
3.Gujrat results on Dec-08. Exit-poll results looking good for market
Is volatility likely to grow in coming days????? Please trade carefully with hedged positions (overnight)/strict SL (intraday)
Please find below scorecard, PCR update & options statistics for your reference:
BANK NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 06/DEC/2022
BANK NIFTY IS DOWN BY -194 POINTS
Name Price Previous Day Change % Change
Bank Nifty 43139 43333 -194.40 -0.45%
India VIX 14.04 13.73 0.31 2.26%
OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 08/DEC/2022 EXPIRY DATA
Max OI (Calls) 43200 (Open Interest: 2962250, CE LTP: 235.15)
Max OI (Puts) 43000 (Open Interest: 3863625, PE LTP: 111.2)
PCR 0.78 (PCR is in bearish zone)
Bank Nifty Calls:
ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Long Liquidation, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Bank Nifty Puts:
ATM: Short covering, OTM:Long Liquidation, ITM:Short covering, FAR OTM:Long Liquidation
Stockmarketanalysis
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 06/Dec/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading.
Nifty: Options data indicating sideways. Smart money/big players are adding bullish positions. However, as a retail investor, we should continue to book profit near new lifetime high & wait for good trade setup/good buy on dips opportunities.
Red Flags to keep in mind for coming days:
1.Today, RBI meeting started. Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is likely to go ahead with another rate hike (approx. 0.25%) on Dec-07 then what will happen in banking stocks?????
2.USA Fed meeting (next week). Another rate hike of 0.75% is likely to happen.
3.Gujrat results on Dec-08. Exit-poll stuff started today evening.
Is volatility likely to grow in coming days????? Please trade carefully with hedged positions (overnight)/strict SL (intraday)
Please find below scorecard, PCR update & options statistics for your reference:
NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 05/DEC/2022
NIFTY IS UP BY 5 POINTS
Name Price Previous Day Change % Change
Nifty 18701 18696 4.95 0.03%
India VIX 13.73 13.45 0.28 2.10%
OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 08/DEC/2022 EXPIRY DATA
Max OI (Calls) 19000 (Open Interest: 9728050, CE LTP: 15.95)
Max OI (Puts) 18700 (Open Interest: 5218500, PE LTP: 78)
PCR 0.68 (PCR is in bearish zone)
Nifty Calls:
ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Nifty Puts:
ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Long Liquidation, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
LVMH in a flag.LVMH - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 713 (stop at 695)
The primary trend remains bullish.
Posted a bullish Flag formation.
A break of 714 is needed to confirm the outlook.
712 has been pivotal.
The measured move target is 760.
Our outlook is bullish.
Our profit targets will be 758 and 768
Resistance: 705 / 713 / 730
Support: 689 / 680 / 670
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Air Liquide has formed a bull flag!Air Liquide - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 134.52 (stop at 129.88)
Posted a Double Bottom formation.
Prices have reacted from 114.44. Posted a bullish Flag formation.
A break of 134.30 is needed to confirm the outlook.
The bias is to break to the upside.
Our outlook is bullish.
The primary trend remains bullish.
Our profit targets will be 145.88 and 149.88
Resistance: 134.30 / 138.00 / 142.50
Support: 130.36 / 127.00 / 122.50
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Selling CCL into swing highs.Carnival Corporation - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 10.88 (stop at 11.67)
The primary trend remains bearish.
Prices have reacted from 6.11.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
11.00 continues to hold back the bulls.
11.10 has been pivotal.
The previous swing high is located at 11.19.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 8.91 and 8.41
Resistance: 9.10 / 10.00 / 11.00
Support: 8.50 / 7.70 / 7.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Selling JD into strong resistance.JD.com - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 66.98 (stop at 71.07)
Bespoke resistance is located at 67.
Resistance could prove difficult to breakdown.
67 continues to hold back the bulls. 67.87 has been pivotal.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
Our profit targets will be 57.04 and 55.04
Resistance: 62.00 / 64.50 / 67.00
Support: 54.50 / 52.00 / 49.24
Daily chart
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
S&P 500 index: When you reach the top...A very robust US labour market data released on Friday shocked equity markets, which had surged in the aftermath of Powell's speech confirming a slower pace of rises in December.
Non-farm payrolls ( NFPs ) came in at 263k, which was significantly higher than the 200k that had been anticipated, and average hourly wages rose 5.1% y/y, well above the 4.6% expected. The job report came as a surprise following an event hosted by the Brookings Institution on Wednesday, at which Powell emphasized the need to slow the pace of rate hikes as early as the December FOMC meeting, therefore solidifying a 50 basis point hike rather than a 75 basis point boost.
The market was overly optimistic about a "Santa rally," spurred by Powell's latest dovish attitude, but may now face a rough two-week road leading up to the next US CPI data and FOMC meeting.
Prior to Friday, 92% of S&P 500 equities were trading above their 50-day moving average, a level that has historically triggered a bearish reversal. Currently, the level has just fallen to 90%, which remains in the top high of the historical range.
During the Friday session, the S&P 500 index encountered fresh bearish pressure at 4,100 levels on Friday, after strongly breaching its 200-day moving average for the first time since April and firmly trading above the 4,000 psychological mark.
The price action had reversed solidly when it met the dynamic resistance, represented by the 2022 trendline. The S&P is currently seeking support near 4,000 points, which coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement line of the low to high of 2022.
If this level is broken to the downside, there is the potential for a move to 3,800 (23.6% Fibonacci) prior to important data (US CPI) and the FOMC meeting.
Given the expected repricing of Fed rates for 2023 after the NFP reading, and the Fed blackout period, bull efforts to break over 4,100 have fewer probabilities.
Not In The Clear Just Yet... 🚨👀Taking a look at possibly the 3 most important charts for any trader; VIX, SPX, and USD 🔮
With a massive rebound in equities, crypto, risk assets, we're seeing much chatter that "the bottom is in".
Although we've made some nice trades in this week's pump, we don't think we're in the clear just yet.🥶
You don't have to look too far either.
Looking at the VIX 1W chart. We can see we are approaching a sure-fire support level with a rebound all but guaranteed if you're just looking at the chart.
Line this up with the SPX 1W chart, and you'll see we're approaching significant resistance at the same time.
Combine these two with a bullish trending US dollar, and you have the perfect recipe for another leg down.📉
Now we can certainly push up further. We would almost expect it.
However, to say the "bottom is in" would be naive.
As always, we'll continue to look for intraday setups, but mid to long term we remain bearish.
Stay safe and happy trading!
-TucciNomics
Chief Overlord, AlgoBuddy
PayPal: Below Deck 🚢Paypal is currently following a downward trend below the resistance line at $93.52, where it should stay until the overarching wave II is completed within the grey target zone between $66.16 and $34.93. Thereupon, the course should turn back North and recover to continue its movement further above the $93.52-mark.
Dow Jones Industrial Average - higher for longerNew analysts claim that the S&P 500 provides a better picture of the markets compared to the Dow. Although the S&P 500 obviously has a larger catalog, the Dow is a direct reflection of international capital flows. Look toward the Dow to see where big money is moving.
The S&P 500 is domestic-oriented, and fund managers and institutions tend to focus on this index. The NASDAQ typically reflects retail, tech-heavy, and usually is the last to the peak. Each index offers a completely different perspective. The Dow Jones Industrials is the big money. You will notice that this index leads the way. It is the first out of a key low because it is typically the foreign capital that comes in based on currency. You will also notice the Dow tends to top out first because the big money tends to pull out first also due to currency.
Capital is flowing like never before, and the smart money is on the move. The USD remains the last safe haven, and money is pouring into the US – for now. Look to the Dow for the best international perspective. ©Martin Armstrong
The trend is higher on the DJIA and stops are being trailed to lock in profits. The PA has taken out the August highs and is now looking for liquidity above the double top around March 2022. The idea is always to look to buy a high and sell higher. I would expect the rest of the major US indices to follow suit.
Beoing at overbought extremes.The Boeing Company - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 168.38 (stop at 175.05)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Trading within a Corrective Channel formation.
A break of the recent low at 168.50 should result in a further move lower.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
The bearish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart is negative for sentiment.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
This stock has seen poor sales growth.
Our profit targets will be 151.71 and 149.71
Resistance: 180 / 190 / 198
Support: 171 / 163 / 155
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Buying ASM on dips.ASM International - Intraday - We look to Buy at 232.1 (stop at 219.8)
Levels below 230 continue to attract buyers.
Trading has been mixed and volatile.
A lower correction is expected.
Bespoke support is located at 230.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 230 level.
The primary trend remains bullish.
Our profit targets will be 262.9 and 272.9
Resistance: 270.0 / 280.0 / 290.0
Support: 255.0 / 245.0 / 230.0
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
USOILBeen charting this move since mid July 2022, we are getting close to a bottom IMO, currently
testing the bottom TL of the mega phone pattern.
Now looks like a support flipped into resistance.
Targets remain $45-$55 for a bottom and likely big bounce from there. Which is the 618% from the covid 2020 crash when prices went negative.
Bad econ data = Fed Pivot = Good Mid-Term Markets = Blow-off TopTraders,
My apologies for being exempt with weekly market updates for the last several weeks. We have a lot to cover so this video will be a longer one. We'll talk Dollar, VIX, S&P500, Stocks, U.S. Housing Markets, Freight Container collapse, Crypto, and more.
I'll see you all in the next video.
Stew
S&P500 - Big Correction Incoming 📉Taking a look at the SPX Daily chart.🍿
We've drawn out 3 dip + rallies to illustrate that a 4th dip might be on the way. ⬇️
After being rejected at 4000, we can see the path down to 3300-3400 looks increasingly more likely. 📉
This combined with an expected/rumored earnings slump & lackluster Q4 for companies...🥶
We've also thrown on the US Equity Gaps indicator to help confirm this thought process.
Credit card debt at record levels, thousands being laid off, basically dead real estate market...not much reason to be bullish rolling into 2023. 🐻
-TucciNomics
Chief Overlord
Nasdaq 100 will keep falling. Here are some key levels to trade!The chart shows my macro plan on the Nasdaq. I believe with fed rate hikes today we will start again another decent lower in the markets. The Nasdaq has great potential to see a nice relief bounce off of the Golden Pocket noted on the chart. This small rally will most likely be stopped in its tracks at the descending trendline (if it even gets that far). After a solid rejection at the trendline the Nasdaq will head lower into the .786 fib retracement and into a major uptrend support line. If this line holds and the fed has stopped hiking rates it is very possible that the Nasdaq could breakout of the descending parallel channel.
BYND bind in a range.Beyond Meat - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 16.18 (stop at 17.45)
The primary trend remains bearish.
This stock has seen poor sales growth.
Price action continued to range between key support & resistance (12 - 16) and we expect this to continue.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
16 continues to hold back the bulls.
The bias is to break to the downside.
Our profit targets will be 13.01 and 12.51
Resistance: 13.10 / 14.30 / 15.50
Support: 12.10 / 11.56 / 11.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
SPX Daily TA Neutral BullishSPXUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 52% SPX, 48% Cash.
* CRITICAL RESISTANCE WATCH . US Equity Futures are starting the week down as Cryptos are attempting to finish the week up (barely). Markets are apparently getting spooked by the unrest in China and how it may affect demand if the CCP is to enforce stricter lockdowns with the uptick in Covid infections. It's unprecedented to see this kind of revolt in China in modern times, with chants in Shanghai for the CCP and Xi Jinping to step down ; all I can say is, bravo to the Chinese citizens for standing up to the scam that is Covid lockdowns. It's a big week for economic data so be prepared for a bit of volatility if the numbers point to more inflation.
JPYUSD is up. Meanwhile DXY, US Treasuries, US Equity Futures, Cryptos, Metals, Energy, Agriculture, HSI, NI225, CNYUSD, GBPUSD and EURUSD are down.
Key Upcoming Dates: US Consumer Confidence Index at 10am EST 11/29; 2nd BEA Estimate of US Q3 GDP at 830am EST 11/30; Fed Chair Jerome Powell speech at Brookings Institute at 130pm EST 11/30; Beige Book at 2pm EST 11/30; October PCE Index at 830am EST 12/01; November Employment Situation at 830am EST 12/02; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14 .*
Price finished last week stalling at $4026, just below $4058 minor resistance which coincides with the 200MA. Volume was Low (high) due to a shortened trading session and has favored buyers for three consecutive sessions; it has also been shrinking for ten consecutive sessions which is indicative of an impending breakout/breakdown. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $3867, this margin is mildly bearish at the moment. RSI is currently trending sideways at 62; the next resistance is at 68 and the next support at 53. Stochastic remains bullish and is currently trending up at 97 as it approaches a retest of max top. MACD remains bullish and is currently trending up at 62 but is still technically testing 55 minor resistance. ADX is currently trending up slightly at 21 as Price continues to push higher, this is mildly bullish at the moment.
If Price is able to breakout above $4058 minor resistance + the 200MA then it will likely retest the upper trendline of the descending channel from November 2021 at $4175 resistance for the first time since 08/22/22. However, if Price breaks down here, it will likely fall back to ~$3953 as support before potentially retesting $3913 minor support . Mental Stop Loss: (one close below) $3953.
Is TSLA setting the tone!Bulls found some sort of solidarity in the FEDs minutes today. And showed it with a strong stance by buyers closing the day with strength and displaying the majority will of todays retailers. And their desire to reap profit from this shopping season .
We need to consider that the big institutions where not actively trading today. And yet Volume on some stocks did not decline by much.
Question can this be a definitive stance?
Or a retest of resistances in $184 and $187 since we are still in a macro Bear trend.
Bear will attempt a stance at $183 but if a Daily open is above this price they will not be able to hold and I would be looking for $187 and $190 for next targets.
A rejection of $183 will be decided between $181 and $180 with potential selloff if Buyers are unable to keep price above $180