SQ: Trend Analysis and Key Points to watch!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how SQ is doing today!
Despite the drop in the past two days, SQ just reversed its bear trend and now it is in a bull trend. We see higher highs/lows, it is trading above the 21 ema, and the volume is increasing, just after it hit the support at $ 87 (keep this price in mind). It is the first time we see SQ doing these movements since mid-2021.
It broke the previous resistance at $ 130, and this price level is supposed to work as a support for us next. In addition to the $ 130, we have the ascending 21 ema, which is another technical support. SQ could drop to these supports, and this wouldn’t invalidate the bullish bias seen in the daily chart.
In order to reverse and become bearish again, we must see a clear reversal structure, and so far, there’s none.
In my view, it is normal to see SQ struggling right now, because we just hit a key point in the weekly chart:
As usual, the 21 ema is working as a resistance here, and SQ is having a hard time breaking it. However, we have some good news.
Remember the $ 87? This price level is one of the most important for SQ, if not the most. It worked as a nice support level in February, because exactly 2 years ago (Feb 2020) this was the pre-Covid top. SQ lost 2 years of growth, along with the "tech enthusiasm" during the pandemic.
However, I like how the market reacted at this price, and the volume tells us everything, as it had one of the highest spikes ever seen.
To me, SQ looks interesting, and the bullish bias is intact, as we don’t see bearish structures. Either way, we must pay attention to the support/resistances mentioned in this analysis. I’ll keep you guys updated on this, so remember to follow me to keep in touch with my analyses!
SQ
Square | SQ | Short to SupportSquare ( NYSE:SQ ) may not be done its decline in the coming weeks. It currently sits in a falling wedge formation. After an earnings beat on February 24th, retail jumped back in, but the gap-up was quickly filled 8 days later. It continues to show signs of weakness. Last dip to $82.72 may not be the near-term bottom. If Square continues its decline, true support may be in the $70s (or much lower).
A continued break through the falling wedge's resistance and above the 50 EMA (yellow line) will nullify this thesis.
Block Breaking Higher? Block - Short Term - We look to Buy at 128.09 (stop at 115.10)
Preferred trade is to buy on dips. 50 1day EMA is at 124.21. Previous resistance at 130.00 now becomes support. 5 positive daily performances in succession. There is scope for mild selling at the open but losses should be limited.
Our profit targets will be 168.31 and 185.19
Resistance: 150.00 / 170.00 / 200.00
Support: 130.00 / 100.00 / 83.00
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SQ: Could this be the beginning of a reversal?Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how SQ is doing today!
First, in the 1h chart, we see early signs of a bullish reversal going on. After earnings, it did a strong breakaway Gap, and it seems nothing can hold SQ anymore.
However, pullbacks are expected, and the 21 ema is our first support level, which is holding SQ nicely so far. What if we lose the 21 ema? Then the retracements are going to work as supports. The 38.2% ($ 113) is the most interesting to me, and I’ll explain why in a few moments.
Since SQ has too many support levels, it won’t be easy for the sellers, and we would need to see a clear bearish structure in order for it to hit the $ 80s again. So far, SQ seems fine.
In the daily chart, for the first time since November 2021 it is trading above the 21 ema, a very good sign, but we don’t see a clear bullish structure here. It would be great to see higher highs/lows, therefore, a pullback might create the opportunity for SQ to build a true reversal structure in the daily chart.
To me, the moment for a correction is ideal: We just hit the previous resistance at $ 130 area (red line), and since we are above the 21 ema in the daily chart, this indicator is now a support level for us. Coincidence or not, the 21 ema is at $ 113, the same price level of the 38.2% retracement in the 1h chart. This tells me the $ 113 is an interesting key point to watch from here.
What reinforces a bullish thesis is the volume. Yesterday it dropped with decreasing volume, meaning that there is no true sell pressure on it. Remember the Dow Theory 5th tenet: The volume must confirm the trend.
To me, SQ is about to do a reversal, but we must be careful, and always wait for confirmation, as we lack bullish structure in the daily chart. I’ll keep you guys updated on this, so remember to follow me to not miss any of my future analyses!
SQ - Back to pre-covid levelscatching a falling sword only brings hurt...no reason whatsoever to bottom fish at this level...if 100 is taken out, next level is way down.
If you are a believer (aka LT investor) you might want to dip your toes a little. There is a good support at 100 and structurally, company is not worse than what it was pre-covid.
TSLA, Dilemma of Previous wave is the key for future move !Recognizing Wave relationships is a key step in decision making and adjusting expectations from the market.
TSLA, always shows some interesting aspect of wave relationships. Do we have a large degree completed wave cycle and inside a major correction which makes TSLA crash to unbelievable targets? Or we are experiencing a less amount of correction and will see new ATH before such a crash?
Answering to those questions needs going back and see what has happened in previous correction which began at former ATH 900.40 USD . Before taking a closer look to that correction lets see what we have for TSLA in Weekly chart.
Weekly chart which has been shown on lefts side suggest that TSLA's move from end of last correction dating back to 5 Mar 2021 or 19 May 2021 is onset of intermediate degree wave (5). If completed, this wave makes a primary degree wave 1 completed and calls for a major fall ! Is that a case? Is intermediate wave (5) and primary degree wave 1 completed? To answer this question wee need to take a closer look on daily chart and investigate previous correction and wave forms in more details.
Daily chart on the right side suggest two possible scenarios :
First and the best case one : Intermediate wave (4) correction has ended on 5th Mar 2021 at 539.49 USD. In this case 780.79 high on 14th Apr 2021 can be labeled as minor degree wave 1 (Terminal wave 1 which is not usual in Classic Elliott waves) , Low at 546.98 on 19th May 2021 can be labeled as wave 2 and ATH to be top of wave 3 . In this scenario , we are in minor degree wave 4 which showed flat correction so far ( which is well matched with SPX and NDX 100 flat correction scenarios, See related idea for NDX 100 ). For this scenario to be valid , we need a strong bounce back to new ATH from 770-813 Support zone .
If happens, I can strongly recommend you to close your long positions at new ATH or go short since there will be a major crash just like what happened to ETSY , SQ , SHOP in stock market or SOLANA in Crypto ( See related ideas ). This scenario was pre-requisite of my publication titled " Elliott waves, Possibility VS Certainty ".
Second and worst case scenario : Intermediate wave (4) correction has ended on 19th may 2021 at 546.98 USD with truncated wave C . A truncated wave C does not go below the low of wave A and this may be the case for TSLA's wave (4). If so, Intermediate wave (5) and primary degree wave 1 have already been completed and we are inside wave 3 of primary degree wave 2 which means TESLA may crash to strange prices !.
To me, Both are valid with the best case one to be the most probable. If 770-813 support can not protect the stock I will think about second most probable scenario ( which is worst case) more seriously and seek for taking a SHORT position in appropriate time. For now I have my eyes on the mentioned support zone.
This analysis shows clearly that decision making in stock market is never an easy task.
Hope this to be useful for you. Good luck.
What to expect with SQ stock earnings reportBlock Inc (NYSE: SQ), the point-of-sale payment provider formerly known as Square, is reporting its Q4 2022 earnings this Thursday, February 24.
What to expect with SQ stock earnings report?
The usual market dynamic of ‘good report = stock price rise’ and ‘bad report = stock price fall’ may not be entirely appropriate to expect after the report’s release.
As we have seen over the past month, a favourable earnings report does not necessarily mean that the market will respond favourably in turn. For one, when Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) reported its impressive Q4 2022 results on February 16, its stock proceeded to sell-off. As of writing, NVDA is down 12% since its earnings call as investors were all too happy to overlook its earnings beats and strong guidance for the next quarter.
On the flip side, an unfavourable report can sink SQ stock considerably more than at any time in the past. Investors have little patience for growth tech stocks at the moment, with US Federal Reserve rate hikes just around the corner and post-covid revenue surges seemingly coming to an end.
Will SQ suffer a similar fate to PYPL?
PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL), a leading competitor of Block, reported its own Q4 2021 earnings report three weeks ago, on the first day in February this year. While PYPL beat earnings expectations, its dismal guidance for Q1 2022 has helped tank the stock price 46% in 2022, YTD.
As of writing, SQ is not far off PYPL’s shocking price retreat. SQ’s stock price has lost 40% of its value, YTD.
An unfavourable report may push this loss into the 50s or even the 60s. Tech stocks dropping more than 20% in a single trading day is not unheard of this year, as you may have seen Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: FB) trim 25% (USD 230 billion) from its market cap on February 3.
Is there a buying opportunity with SQ stock?
According to several investment banks and analysts, including Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse, SeekingAlpa and MarketBeat, an even greater rout in the SQ’s share price may set investors up for a great long-term buying opportunity. SeekingAlpha and MarketBeat have price targets in the mid USD 200 range, which represent substantial upside potential.
SQAnalysis done on 30 minute candles. Block Inc, formally known as Square, is trading near a 52 week low and bulls are still wary of buying the stock. Looking at their financials, the company's revenue and bottom line are moving in the right direction, but their balance sheet needs work, specifically in its asset to debt ratios and free cash flow. Square's growth has been consistent, but new threats from Apple's new payment processing software are making it hard to foresee a robust future for the company. Square may see itself in trouble if they don't pivot or consider a buyout. Looking at the short term potential, the daily candle (not shown) peaked above the 20 day moving average today, making that line the primary support in focus. If SQ's daily candle opens above it tomorrow then use it for support, but if it gaps below it then it will become a strong resistance. Another resistance in the way is the 116.20 mark, which SQ will need to break for a chance to move towards 118.00-119.00.
Square/Block Analysis 05.02.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
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Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
SQ Block Inc: 1D Chart ReviewHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for Block, Inc. (SQ).
The chart is self-explanatory. The price is in a descending broadening wedge and making an attempt to break out of the wedge. If price gets rejected it could fall into the Support Areas. RSI is at the S/R line and has potential to bounce off of it. If RSI breaks down, expect the price to continue falling down. Price is below the EMA Ribbons and SMA (50 and 200).
Included in the chart: Trend line, Support and Resistance Lines, RSI, MFI, Descending Broadening Wedge, Fibonacci Retracement, Death Cross, Simple Moving Average, Exponential Moving Average, Volume.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
I have additional charts below on cryptocurrencies, stocks and more to review. Check them out!
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
What is the common feature between PayPal, Block, and DocU?The simple answer is ARK invest and social media Fools ..!
When on February 28, 2021, I wrote the article:
The Social Media Trading Bubble comes to its end..!
These kids (generation Z) called me PERMA BEAR..!
After 339 days you can read that and if I were right or wrong..!
I think most of them are now Near Margin Call if they have not been wiped out yet..!
I am pretty much confident that this phenomenon will be called the "Social Media Bubble" in the future..!
Do not be angry with me, be angry with those who offered these and promised you a trip to the Moon..!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
Leaps On SQ - Apple BS NarrativeBuying SQ right here right now for big discount, I haven’t even checked I just know it’s cheap and the indicators look good for a potential bottom. I’m looking to buy 6 month and 12 month calls out of the money. The 4 hour has flipped bullish and daily is close, markets could see a nice bounce here over this week and next week before we resume a plunge to the abyss. I’m gonna start averaging in one call a week or every 2 weeks and maybe even play a few shorter term higher risk calls.
Paypal vs BlockPYPL and SQ are among the biggest fintech companies!
PYPL P/E: 38
SQ P/E: 109
I think both have the potential to have a P/E ratio below 20..!
If you are looking at price volume it clearly shows in 2021 they had experienced a huge decline of 16% and 46% which means lower ambition to invest in these companies in comparison to 2020!
Soon they will be double digits!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
$SQ Trade update $SQ Trade update
Averaged down today here.
New average 125.88
New sell target 156.11 for 24%
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I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. Check out my ideas, but also do your own due diligence.
I am not a bull. I am not a bear. I just see what I see in the charts and I don’t pay too much attention to the noise in the news.
If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can. (If I have time)
Have fun, y’all!!
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Block/Square needs consolidate in the bullish pattern Block needs to consolidate in the bullish pattern in 'a' wave of the 2nd wave.
crab harmonic pattern:
X=$426
AB=0.61 XA
BC=0.38 AB
0.78 BC=$81
0.88 BC=$90
0.78 XA=$183
1.6 BC=$209
0.88 XA=$271
2 BC=$322
2.24 BC=$424
2.6 BC=$654
1.13 XA=$712
1.27 XA=$1248
3.6 BC=$2051
1.41 XA=2153
4.23 BC=$4157
1.6 XA=$4898