Monday to give direction on SQ for the coming weeksSQ 4hr chart equilibrium break will give direction for the coming week - breaking up above 92.39 increases confidence in continuation to new all time highs this week, and a break of 89.31 will have us looking to test 83.34 as a daily support. The weekly chart is getting extended with 6 green weeks in a row and a bearish reversal spinning top doji on declining bull volume. If we do lose daily support, consolidation on the weekly would be very healthy so long as the bulls can hold the MA20, somewhere around $70 next week, and do it on decreasing bear volume. Weekly support is 63.21 and is nowhere near at risk of being lost
SQ
$SQ - SQUARE SCREAMING TO TAKE PROFIT$SQ
If you are trading Square, I would be very careful. On the weekly chart, price is touching the top of the massive ascending channel (likely to test the bottom eventually), huge bear div on RSI, and a potential reversal doji. Technically, this screams "take profit."
$SQ Overbought - Topped Out$SQ Square - After some positive news today Square pushed once again for fresh all-time highs - for a stock that was already looking fairly over-extended before today.
I'm long term bullish, but this stock definitely looks due for a corrective pull-back in the very near term. The rise since early may (>80% gain) is now looking borderline parabolic. Targeting mid-70s before end of September.
Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
Square: Short term drop coming - Wait for support to be testedSQ still moving in the upward channel, but failed to drop down after touching resistance a couple weeks ago. Resistance was retested and rejected, with the RSI showing a strong bearish divergence. Wait for the bottom of the channel to be tested to buy in, or wait for breakout above resistance. Target in the low $60's. Good luck.
My opinion not financial advice
Square, SQ - Time for pull back?Lets keep it simple!
Square has been doing great, but what goes up must come down. Is that time now? Lets see...
Besides SQ selling BTC this year giving it a jump in revenue, we can see it may have topped out at 70 for now. I don't really have any doubt in my mind about it reaching the 236 around that 55 - 57$ mark, bouncing to a possible double top around 64$ as shown with the first buy and sell zone Ive set. I have more concerns of the end of the year outlook.
If this plays out, I believe we could see a massive drop to potentially the 618 at that juicy 32$ area. Like most of the charts I've been posting, I think we may be in for a all around drop around new years. This doesn't mean im bearish long term, I believe SQ is going to be great in the future, but I like to buy and sell a bounce. We will need patients for this play.
You can see the sell signals stacking up for the second month in a row with godmode, which I dont completely like to go off of, but its there.
We also have momentum changing on the DAILY, which ill be watching for a momentum change before making my next update.
Theres not much else to say about SQ, considering its up over 600% since a year and a half, a pullback doesn't seem out of the question. Earnings coming up in August will give me a much better idea as to which direction we could be heading.
Follow for updates! Happy Trading, debating and speculating!
SQ Trend AnalysisWe have an established long term rising trend line (purple)
We had a downward trend line (cyan) that we broke out of and retested
Now there is an (orange) downward trend line that could lead to a nice push in SQ if we break above that green line area (probably a break out and retest) and I think we go at least into the all time high area
Naked puts over earnings on SQSold x2 naked puts at the $43 strike for this week's expiration. SQ is gapping down, but should see support in the $45 area. If $45 is lost, that lower trend line will most certainly be tested. I expect a bounce there unless the market completely rolls over.
FYI I don't mind owning shares of SQ long term since I'm confident the stock will rebound.
Cheers!
SQ Returning to Top of Channel: 40+% IncreaseBullish crossing on the MACD, bounced off strong RSI support, and upward channel has been holding strong. Moving back up toward top of the channel, completing the 5th Elliot wave as predicted.
Square has had exponential growth recently, with a forecasted growth in earnings by over %100 in 2018 and over 700% in 2019. Its payment system has had widespread adoption and is growing very fast, with no signs of slowing down. After the recent dip, this is an excellent buying opportunity.
SQ Upward Channel and Horizontal Support Lines.A conservative upward channel for SQ as charted from its Autumnal breakout. I found it interesting that the parabolic trend that seemed to be forming around November crashes almost in concert with the beginning of the BTC breakout around the same time, far afield from each other in market (NYSE vs. OPENSOURCE) but deeply correlated. Vague ad-hoc speculation but perhaps young-excited money switched their digital finance investments and went with the hype on BTC over SQ. Most importantly for me however, the fall from parabolic did not see a correction beyond the strong upward channel. Note that whenever the channel lines have been violated historically, we see quick corrections.
Expect slight lingering at each horizontal line, be wary which way it breaks if the candles do not hover around these lines, market neglect of a particular previous resistance/support may indicate a slight trend adjustment be very concerned if it falls below lowest horizontal.
MY PERSONAL NOT TRADING ADVICE strategy here is to ride the channel up selling 10% at every 24hr successive higher-highs that break above the trend (cream the top), until 72hrs of growth, and then reassess. And buying 2.5% more at every 24hr successive lower-low (BUY THE DIP). BUT if 36hrs successive lower lows, I will sell 5%, 10% at 48 hrs, and then reassess, a scaling stop loss of sorts.
The rationale here is hopefully obvious, sell a little on crazy upwards moves, you can recover most of it back if long term trend continues with minor violations/corrections of trend. I want to capitalize on these corrections (up or down) as long as I still believe the trend is intact. That is why I "reassess" after 72 straight hours of 4hr greens, perhaps I should stop selling and hold on, maybe the trend has shifted to a higher growth trend. Similarly I reassess after 36 hours of 4hr reds, slightly more conservative, because I am much more concerned about the trend shifting sideways or downwards then I am it going up more.
Excuse the rant, this is more for me than you ;)
Recognizing High Probability in SQRecognizing high probability in HQ. Until we lose this $45 level, the higher probability is still to go long. Hope this video helps show you how to zoom out. When in doubt, zoom out. There's always a trade somewhere that's against the primary trend. This does not mean you should be taking it. Know the difference between patience and aggressiveness. Waiting for a high probability pullback at the right long term areas is patience, shorting the 60 minute because buyers are selling at profit levels is aggressive.
Both can work, both can fail. Hopefully, now you can see a little clearer reason why one can work better than the other over a 3 month period.
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Remember. It's your money, it needs to be your plan. Only trade what you've tested and proven out, your account will thank you.
My thoughts on SQRight now we are holding the 50 day sma on daily and previous support at $47.61, which is also the 50% of the most recent measured move.
Purple line: what I am looking to see is if we hold here, consolidate then move higher. However, $49.56 is a resistance SQ needs to close above before continue back north of $50.
Orange line: we fail the 50% fib and test the 38.2% fib around $45, which is also near the 100 day sma and lower trend line that we bounced off on the last dip. Failure of the 38.2% fib would mean a definite test of the lower trend line.
Obviously this all depends on the overall state of the markets. The tech sector has been getting hammered for the past week so let's see if she can hold. I would prefer the orange line or lower trend line to buy longer term calls and/or shares.
Cheers!