Spy500
Spy Levels for 06/24-06/28As we can see in the charts, we have several levels that are key to buy since SPX and SPY both briefly touched the levels 5500 and 550 respectively. With that important level in mind, and the overall direction of spy being bullish, we can identify several key levels for the weekly support. The biggest resistance still holds at 550 level that would be key rejection zone if the markets keep pushing higher. if that happens. Spy should see another selloff which can initiate a possible correction until good economic data doesn't come forward. But as of now, these zones can help identify a quick scalp and possibly even a swing trade. Keep an eye out, we don't want to miss out on the quick bullish momentum!
$SPY update: Idea hasn't changed, only the timing. $480 next.Update:
Largely the same idea, just the timing changed.
I was wrong in that I initially thought we'd reject the $525-530 area and move down to my target of $480, then form a final high by the end of July/August around $550. However price decided it wanted to go straight higher to $550 area before it falls.
Think we'll see a final high be put in sometime in the next week, then we'll finally make the move lower to my target of $480.
The current move extending all the way to $550 gives me confidence that this is likely to be the top for the year and we shouldn't see a move back to this area.
While the index is going to start its decline into a bear market, certain individual stocks will still see new highs. The tricky part will be identifying which ones still have upside left. Largely I think we'll see the long-term reversals on the Mag 7 and money flow into value stocks.
Lots of beaten up charts that look good for upside soon. I'll start sharing those shortly.
Tesla at a Crossroads: Slowing Growth But High Future HopesTesla, the world's leading electric vehicle manufacturer, is presenting a mixed picture to investors. While the company is still experiencing revenue growth, profitability remains a challenge, and the stock price has dipped significantly in the past year.
Growth on Autopilot?
Tesla's revenue has grown 10.12% year-over-year, reaching $94.75 billion over the trailing twelve months. However, this growth has slowed down compared to historical levels.
Earnings in the Red
A major concern for investors is Tesla's current lack of profitability. The company reported a negative EPS (earnings per share) of -$22.67 over the past year. Despite a positive gross margin of 17.78%, high operating expenses seem to be eating into their revenue.
Is the Stock Overvalued?
Tesla's P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio) sits at a high 45.49. This suggests the stock might be overvalued based on current earnings. However, the forward P/E of 54.06 hints that investors are anticipating significant future growth.
Other Signs to Consider
The analyst recommendation for Tesla is currently a cautious 2.62, leaning towards a "Hold" position. The high beta of 2.31 indicates the stock is more volatile than the overall market. Short interest, at 3.65%, suggests some investors are betting on a decline in the stock price.
A Look Ahead
Tesla's future hinges on its ability to improve profitability. Can the company achieve consistent earnings and justify its current valuation? Maintaining its historical growth rates and navigating competition from other EV manufacturers will also be crucial factors.
Overall, Tesla remains an intriguing but risky investment. Investors should carefully consider the company's financial health, future prospects, and their own risk tolerance before making any decisions.
Disclaimer:
This content has been automatically generated by an AI system and should be used for entertainment purposes only. It should not be used for any other purpose, such as making financial decisions. The information provided may contain errors, inconsistencies, or outdated information. It is provided as-is without any warranties or guarantees of accuracy. We disclaim any liability for damages or losses resulting from the use or reliance on this content.
SPY is gonna crater - NVDA was the sign like Cisco and Enron!Besides the TTM squeeze being fired off - I've seen some hedgies go to cash, PLUS I'm seeing huge dark pool buying for 2x and 3x BEARISH SPY ETF's. I bought some $11 SPXS puts for .07 a piece as a hedge. There was a ton of OI in those calls...
Links to dark pool buying in the comments.
Analyzing Bitcoin's Weekly Trend: Potential Sell Opportunity DetBitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, continues to captivate the attention of investors worldwide. As of the latest weekly trend study, Bitcoin is trading at a price of $66554.74, reflecting a substantial increase of 35.01% above the midpoint of its 52-week range. This surge places Bitcoin squarely at the zenith of its 52-week range, a notable feat considering its volatile nature.
A closer look at technical indicators reveals an interesting picture. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with a 13-period stands proudly above the Simple Moving Average (SMA) with a 30-period. This alignment suggests a bullish sentiment prevailing in the market, potentially signaling further upward momentum in the short to medium term.
However, amidst this seemingly bullish scenario, a cautious signal emerges from our technical analysis. Our proprietary indicator has assigned Bitcoin a TA score of 2, indicating a moderate signal. This score, coupled with Bitcoin's position at the top of its 52-week range, raises a flag for potential overbought conditions. While the EMA/SMA crossover implies short to medium-term bullishness, the TA score underscores the need for prudence.
Despite the indications of a potential sell opportunity, prudent investors are advised to exercise patience and conduct further analysis on a lower time frame before executing any trades. Lower time frame analysis can provide valuable insights into short-term price movements, potential support and resistance levels, and confirmation of the sell signal detected by the TA score.
In conclusion, while Bitcoin's weekly trend study reveals promising signs of bullish momentum, the presence of potential overbought conditions warrants caution. Investors are encouraged to remain vigilant and leverage additional analysis tools to make informed decisions. By staying informed and adopting a disciplined approach, investors can navigate the dynamic landscape of cryptocurrency markets with confidence.
Disclaimer:
This content has been automatically generated by an AI system and should be used for entertainment purposes only. It should not be used for any other purpose, such as making financial decisions. The information provided may contain errors, inconsistencies, or outdated information. It is provided as-is without any warranties or guarantees of accuracy. We disclaim any liability for damages or losses resulting from the use or reliance on this content.
BIG MOVE! SHORTS TRAPPED! What's next?Based on the chart analysis, the rising wedge pattern signals a likely bearish correction in the short term, with the price potentially testing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level around $518.36 as a key support. However, the Elliott Wave projection suggests a bullish reversal toward point (C) if support holds, indicating a medium-term upward move. Traders should watch for confirmation of support at the 0.618 level and look for signs of reversal to enter long positions, targeting the previous high around $532.99 and beyond. We must stay above $524.71 to escape this wedge channel and maintain the potential for an upward breakout. Maintain vigilance for a break below the 0.618 retracement, which could signal further downside risk.
Leave a comment of what you think about where the market is heading!
SPY still bullish, holding both the 1D MA50 and MA100.Last time we looked at SPY (May 01, see chart below) we gave a strong buy signal following the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) bottom and we are already well into new All Time High territory:
As you can see, the price hit the top of the short-term (dotted) Channel Up and pulled back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again. This inability to break above the Channel Up, leads us to believe that it will continue to be the dominant pattern, instead of the long-term (blue) Channel Up, and will dictate the price action higher but only gradually.
Another test of the 1D MA100 is possible under those conditions that will allow for a smooth hit on our 555.00 long-term Target.
If however the dashed line holds, it is possible to see an even more aggressive Channel Up materializing, in which case we will move our Target even higher at 580.00, in order to represent a Bullish Leg similar to January - February 2024.
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S&P500 ETF Trust (SPY) Fell 0.55% Today is the Bullish Run Over?Economic indicators are crucial for policymakers, advisors, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions regarding business strategies and financial markets. In the week ending May 23, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) fell 0.52%, while the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) was down 1.75%. This article examines three indicators from last week — existing home sales, new home sales, and consumer sentiment. These data points provide an update on the current state of the housing market and consumer attitudes about the current and future strength of the economy.
Existing home sales fell for a second straight month in April as elevated mortgage rates and increased home prices continue to weaken demand. The median price for an existing home sold last month was $407,600, an all-time high for the month of April, marking the 10th consecutive month of year-over-year increases for existing homes. New home sales fell 4.7% in April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 634,000 units, falling short of the expected 677,000 units. April’s sales are 7.7% below what they were a year ago, marking the first annual decline in over a year.
Consumer sentiment fell to its lowest level in six months, according to this month’s final report for the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is a monthly survey measuring consumers’ opinions with regard to the economy, personal finances, business conditions, and buying conditions. A closer look at May’s report revealed that consumers are concerned over the labor market, high interest rates, income growth, and inflation.
The outlook for the stock market's most important driver just keeps getting better. S&P 500 earnings grew 6% in the first quarter from a year ago, according to data from FactSet. When excluding dismal earnings from Bristol Myers-Squibb (BMY), the results were even better, with earnings growing 10%, per Bank of America. Consensus now sees earnings growing 11.4% in 2024, up from a projection of 10.9% on April 5. In 2025, earnings growth estimates have moved up to 14.2% in 2025 from the 11.6% growth seen that day.
On Tuesday, UBS Investment Bank US equity strategist Jonathan Golub boosted his year-end S&P 500 target to 5,600 from 5,400, citing "stronger earnings." This trend is supported by further market upside, as economic "tail risks" have declined, with consensus estimates for economic growth increasing throughout the year. Deutsche Bank's chief global strategist Binky Chadha recently told Yahoo Finance that further growth than expected in the economy could help the S&P 500 reach 6,000 by the end of the year.
Technically, the S&P500 ETF Trust index price charts depicts the ending of the 5th wave Bullish Divergence pattern which resonates with Elliot Waves theory. The Relative Strength Index which sits at 58.60 signifies weaker growth from the consumer Index.
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Weekly - Potential Resistance Price TestSPY (S&P500 ETF) has been in an uptrend since 2023 and is approaching its all-time-high price resistance again.
$523.07 is the current all-time-high price resistance.
$497.83 is the current support level price, and also the 0.236 fibonacci level.
Bullish Scenario: If SPY price breaks out above $523.07, the next resistance price targets could be: $537, $550, $563, $575.
Bearish Scenario: If SPY price reversse back down, a potential lower-low in the price could be set over time. Support price levels could be: $508, $497, $489, $476, $466.
Note: corporate earnings, FOMC interest rate changes, government legislation, breaking news, and global events could override technical chart patterns.
Date created: 05/10/2024
Market Direction using SPY historical trend patternsFrom a technical perspective, there hasn't been a definitive signal indicating a trend reversal for the SPY 500. Back in May to October 2023, the SPY exhibited a clear "M" pattern or double top, experiencing a drop of approximately 5%, retracing back, and then dropping around 10%, forming the M pattern.
If we compare this M pattern with the current price action, we observe a striking resemblance in the market behavior, as the price retraces from a similar percentage drop of around 5%. The question arises: Is the market genuinely recovering, or are we merely witnessing the formation of another M-shaped pattern!