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SPX (S&P 500 Index)

Megaphone - BearishSPY weekly looking interesting heading into the week. Staying hedged with the SPY holding another megaphone. The SPY is being carried by buyer volume with some hidden bearish divergence on the RSI and nearing overbought territory yet again. With so many sectors and indexes flashing red and a massive bearish cipher on the weekly timeframe as further confirmation, looking forward to playing the downside. Some FIB levels and RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime (Accompanying Charts Attached Below)
AMEX:SPYShort
by jacobosiason7
S&P sets new high but weakness is mountingLast week, the market traded within a narrow range, yet still managed to reach new highs. The bulls remain in control of both the daily and weekly timeframes, although I’m not entirely comfortable with the structure that has developed over the past five days. Most of the growth occurred during extended hours, while during regular trading hours, the market either remained in a tight range or moved downward. This structure is fragile and could easily break, though I’m not ready to call for shorts just yet. Firstly, it hasn’t broken. We're still in a bullish wave on the daily timeframe — in the past two weeks, none of the days have closed below the previous day's low. Secondly, even if the structure breaks, we should not expect significant follow-through, as the market remains very bullish. Here's a quick recap of the key points supporting the bullish thesis (you can find the rest in my previous review): 1. The Fed cut interest rates by 0.5 percentage points, which is positive for both the economy and the stock market for several reasons, such as cheaper borrowing costs. 2. The SPX has reached a new all-time high, which is highly bullish. 3. Both the weekly and daily charts show a strong uptrend. For the market to reverse, there would need to be a significant shift in sentiment, likely triggered by some fundamental event. From a technical standpoint, the uptrend remains intact as long as the bulls hold the previous major low ( 538 ). Until then, any "red" waves should be viewed as mere pullbacks within the broader upward movement.
AMEX:SPY
by hermes_trisme
SPX: boosted by lower inflationThe Fed's rate cut and further slowdown of the US inflation boosted the US equity markets, where S&P 500 reached the newly fresh all-time highest level as of the end of the previous week. The highest weekly level reached was 5.761, while the index is closing the week at the level of 5.738. Released inflation data showed that the Fed's favorite inflation gauge, the PCE index slowed down further to the level of 2,2% y/y in August, below market consensus, which increased sentiment in investors that the Fed might confidently cut rates further during the year. On the other hand, the environment of decreasing interest rates will be supportive to business, increasing expectations of higher profitability in the coming period. Analysts are noting that, with a cooling inflation, the Fed might now fully focus on the labor market in the coming period, and expect a positive impact for the further strengthening of the US economy. Aside from the tech companies, the materials sector especially gained during the week, adding a 3,4% to the value of stocks in this sector for the week. There are analysts who are pointing that the financial sector might also gain in the coming period, with an increase in lending activity.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Weekly Recap & Market Forecast $SPX (Sept 29th—> Oct 4th)**Looking Ahead:** Next week will feature several key events and data releases: - **U.S. Jobs Report** - **U.S. PMI Surveys** - **Fed Chair Powell Speech** - **Earnings Reports:** Nike ( NYSE:NKE ), Carnival ( NYSE:CCL ), Levi Strauss & Co. ( NYSE:LEVI ), Constellation Brands ( NYSE:STZ ) - **Tesla Q3 Deliveries ( NASDAQ:TSLA )** As we look forward, these developments will be crucial in shaping market sentiment and guiding investment decisions. If you have any questions or need further insights, feel free to reach out. Here’s to another week of informed investing and strategic decision-making! 🌟
TVC:DXY
by WallSt007
Mastering Market Signals &How to Use the VX Algo? In this video, we'll break down how to maximize your success rate by using key indicators and strategies during the optimal trading window (9:00 AM - 2:00 PM EST). Learn how to identify high-probability buy and sell signals, manage risk effectively, and stay in the 'winning zone' like a pro. Whether you’re a beginner or an experienced trader, this guide will help you gain the edge you need to navigate the markets confidently. Don't miss out on these actionable insights!" Hashtags: #TradingStrategy #VXAlgo #StockMarket #DayTrading #AlgoTrading #MarketSignals #TradingSuccess #Investing #Finance #TradingTips #MarketAnalysis #Stocks #ESFutures #FinancialFreedom
AMEX:SPY
by WallSt007
spx &nasdaq in an iminent drop of valuespx showing an iminent short going in value, where it can go? last time i tryed to do the math it would go arround 2700 but without any sure, the major stock whealtiest did a 3x wealth since covid drop, this could be another timer that can quintuple the value, or make more 15x time the value that they had before covid, it is an iminent drop coming, in my opinion, good for everyone even for world economies, to triple their whealth and put the profits in their balance sheet and put time their gdp growth, is a question of timing, after covid drop, that in my opinion, didnt had too much growth in manufactories and jobs, only people gowing ther whealth by the 'inflation' fault, anyway, there is an iminent drop in the stock market in the western countries, at least, im not into asian market but american indexes are in an eminent significant drop, in my POV.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Carlosdrcunha
The S&P rally continues, defying all fears of a recessionLast week was marked by erratic price movements, leading many to recall the old adage, "no trade might be your best trade." The most confusing (and devastating) price action occurred on Thursday following the FOMC's interest rate decision. The Fed cut rates by 0.5 percentage points, sparking fears of an upcoming recession. Wednesday ended with a strong bearish "falling star" candle, tempting traders to take large SHORT positions. To be honest, I would have likely done the same if I had been trading that day (luckily, I wasn’t), as the least one would have expected was an overnight rally that wiped out short positions when the market opened on Thursday. This series of events is a perfect example of what makes trading so challenging— even a solid setup can fail spectacularly without any clear reason. Now, let's try to assess the current situation : 1. The Fed cut rates by 0.5 percentage points – This is actually positive for the economy and the stock market for many reasons (e.g. cheaper borrowing costs). At the same time there are no objective signs of a recession, only fears. 2. The SPX reached a new all-time high – How can this be bearish? 3. Both weekly and daily charts show a strong uptrend. 4. Almost all major SPX sectors closed the week strong, reflecting investor confidence. In summary, the market remains very bullish , with no indication that the trend is reversing anytime soon. Short term price action might be erratic, but long-term things look good both from technical and fundamental perspectives. Let’s stay calm and prudent. Important levels: Last major weekly high (538). As long as it holds buyers have control over weekly chart.
AMEX:SPYLong
by hermes_trisme
Bullish Stocks, But Watch Pullbacks and Gaps On SP500The stock market has been very bullish over the last two weeks, with strong gains this week following China's policy actions to support their economy. This has had a positive impact on stocks globally, and it’s no surprise to see the S&P 500 trading higher. Looking at the December futures contract, from an Elliott Wave perspective, we can clearly see a five-wave movement up from the September 9th low. While this bullish momentum continues, it’s important to be cautious as we may be nearing potential resistance in this fifth wave, around the 5,820 to 5,880 area. I think that pullbacks could occur in the next few days, especially if USD stays up with yields. If we do see a correction, the key levels to watch would be the previous swing supports, with the first at 5,754 followed by 5,674. These levels also correspond to regions of open gaps on the cash market, and typically when such gaps are filled, the market can resume its primary trend, which is up. So, if an ABC drop occurs into one of these gaps, it could present an opportunity to rejoin the uptrend in the stock market.
CBOE:SPX
by ew-forecast
SPX $ Key Levels | Day Trading Stats 70%+ AccuracyNew price targets for Sep 26 using Statistics and Data to drive a 70%+ historical accuracy. Topics: - Upside Target - Downside Target - Support & Resistance - High of Day - Low Of Day - Session Stats - News Release Times Overall we use stats and data pulled from a wide array of TradingView indicators and scripts so that I can have as much data as possible - even if it's unstructured or uncorrelated data. I then use AI and SOP's to systematically calculate a weekly and daily framework. My predictions are never 100% but ALL of them are mathematically proven to be 70%+ accurate historically or I wouldn't use them. Most indicators I use on my Data Dashboard chart has the stats in their associated boxes that I show during the recording if you'd like to verify yourself. Please leave me feedback as I am new to creating content and would like to improve. Personally I use these targets in combination with ICT Concepts to trade. Nothing I say is Financial Advice - Previous performance does not guarantee future success.
CME_MINI:MESZ2024
by DIY_Trades
SPX Is Bearish! Short! Take a look at our analysis for SPX. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 5,722.39. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 5,432.48 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SP:SPXShort
by SignalProvider
1
S&P 500, More Gains Coming... S&P 500 Closes at Record Highs The S&P 500 index closed at all-time highs on Monday as markets assessed comments from three Federal Reserve officials regarding the central bank's recent monetary policy decisions. Technically: The S&P 500 has reached the bullish target we previously identified, Now The bullish trend will continue towards another ATH, provided the price remains above 5731 and 5708. However, a bearish trend will be confirmed if the price breaks below 5675. Key Levels: Pivot Line: 5730 - 5708 Resistance Levels: 5784, 5805, 5890 Support Levels: 5675, 5643, 5621 Trend Outlook: Bullish Trend: Above 5730 and 5708 previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
SPX Key $ Levels | 70%+ Accuracy! | WednesdayNew price targets for Sep 25 using Statistics and Data to drive a 70%+ historical accuracy. Topics: - Today's Targets Overall we use stats and data pulled from a wide array of TradingView indicators and scripts so that I can have as much data as possible - even if it's unstructured or uncorrelated data. I then use AI and SOP's to systematically calculate a weekly and daily framework. My predictions are never 100% but ALL of them are mathematically proven to be 70%+ accurate historically or I wouldn't use them. Most indicators I use on my Data Dashboard chart has the stats in their associated boxes that I show during the recording if you'd like to verify yourself. Please leave me feedback as I am new to creating content and would like to improve. Personally I use these targets in combination with ICT Concepts to trade. Nothing I say is Financial Advice - Previous performance does not guarantee future success.
CME_MINI:MESZ2024Long
by DIY_Trades
S&P500 This rally isn't even halfway there!Last time we plotted the S&P500 index (SPX) against the Volatility Index (VIX) was almost a year ago (November 07 2023, see chart below) and that helped as catch a more than +20% rise: This time, the two assets who are on a negative correlation don't trade on exactly opposite patterns. The S&P500 has been trading within a Channel Up for almost 1 year (since the October 30 2023 Low), while VIX is on a (wide) range with a clear Support Zone and peaks within a 22.00 - 24.00 Resistance Zone, with the exception of the early August rise that spiked above it (recession fears). Naturally, VIX's spikes and rejections (red circles) are SPX's bottoms and reversals (green circles). The blue circles that are bottoms for VIX inside its Support Zone are mid rally consolidations on the S&P500. This indicates that even when the Volatility bottoms and starts rising, the market is still in euphoria and it takes another half rally before it realizes that an aggressive volatility spike is coming. This can be particularly helpful in determining how long we still have to keep buying. Based on VIX's current position (ellipse shape), we are on the consolidation phase before the Support Zone test. Which means that we aren't even halfway through SPX's Bullish Leg. We expect that to be around mid to end of October, just before the U.S. elections to come up as a needed correction. As a result, we are expecting an end-of-year price at around 6200. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXLong
by TradingShot
2
2024-09-24 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - More continuation of the expected. Bears trying to get lower with some spikes but enough bulls are happy to buy it. We will have a breakout either tomorrow or Thursday because one side will give up. As of now I favor the bulls for another leg up to kill the last shorts. (does not apply to DJI for example, where we basically make new ATH daily) sp500 e-mini futures comment: 1h chart tells the story. Bulls buy every dip but are not finding enough buyers above 5790 to push for 5800. One side will give up soon and I expect it to be the bears. This is the last push bulls have inside the smallest wedge and it’s either breakout above or below tomorrow. Don’t over analyze 50 point trading ranges. Clear support and resistance and you have to buy in the lower third and sell in the upper one until it clearly does not work anymore. current market cycle: trading range (bull wedge) key levels: 5730 - 5800 bull case: Bulls are poking at 5800. Couple more times and bears will probably give up. If we get above 5800, I don’t expect market to stop there. Might as well do a spike to 5850 or so. Look for longs around the 4h ema which is currently at 5768. Every touch has been bought for two weeks. Invalidation is below 5750. bear case: Bears need a lower low below 5750. They manage to print some spikes but no follow through what so ever. I don’t think they will fight 5800 much longer. We have almost daily bad news and market refuses to sell. Get the hint. Probably a gigantic short squeeze coming before we meaningfully correct before the year end rally. Invalidation is above 5810. short term: Buy low sell high inside given levels but breakout will most likely happen tomorrow. Can wait for it and hop along. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-01: Very much like my outlook in dax. Trading range on the daily chart and we are at the highs. We could make higher ones or not. Does not matter much. I expect 5000 to be hit again in 2024. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Buying 5775 and selling 5790. Sometimes it’s not rocket science but still hard to do mentally.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
SPX Key $ Levels | 70%+ Accuracy!New price targets for Sep 24 using Statistics and Data to drive a 70%+ historical accuracy. Topics: - Today's Targets Overall we use stats and data pulled from a wide array of TradingView indicators and scripts so that I can have as much data as possible - even if it's unstructured or uncorrelated data. I then use AI and SOP's to systematically calculate a weekly and daily framework. My predictions are never 100% but ALL of them are mathematically proven to be 70%+ accurate historically or I wouldn't use them. Most indicators I use on my Data Dashboard chart has the stats in their associated boxes that I show during the recording if you'd like to verify yourself. Please leave me feedback as I am new to creating content and would like to improve. Personally I use these targets in combination with ICT Concepts to trade. Nothing I say is Financial Advice - Previous performance does not guarantee future success.
CME_MINI:MESZ2024Short
by DIY_Trades
Major Top Forming on SPXHello Everyone, a simple analysis of the RSI and current price action appear eerily similar to the 2022 peak. During the 2022 top we had financial experts and the media claiming victory stating that this bull market will continue, however we crashed soon after. Now the SPX is currently forming a topping process, this could be done or we could go a little higher before the bear market continues. It's clear that the SPX is making new highs while NDX and IWM fail to make a new high suggesting that this is the top. If this economy is doing so good, then why does the FED need to cut interest rates? The fed is cutting interest rates because we are either in a recession or we are very close to one. There is no such thing as a soft landing. The truth is we may already be in a recession and it wouldn't be declared until we are deep into one. If anything we are no longer going into a recession, we are going into a depression. Do not get lulled into a false sense of security like many others during the 2000 and 2008 top.
SP:SPXShort
by justaturboman44
S&P500: Aiming at 6,000 before the elections.The S&P500 index is on a very healthy bullish technical 1D outlook (RSI = 64.688, MACD = 69.140, ADX = 44.589) which indicates that the rebound that started on the September 6th low should be extended. The volatility on the 4H RSI indicates that as long as the 4H MA200 supports, we will see a rally similar to June's and in fact we should symmetrically be on a same level as the June 14th consolidation. We are aiming for the -0.618 Fibonacci extension like June's rally (TP = 6,000) before the U.S. elections. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope