$SOFISoFi Technologies has received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement over the last few months, increasing to US$23.89 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$13.75
It seems Sofi Technologies has be gaining as a platform, and members seem to be growing.
The further development of their app and platform should increase user satisfaction and create networking benefits.
SoFi Technologies is just starting its journey and will have a lot to prove before it can become what it sees itself as - an automated banking and financial service platform.
The last quarter showed some encouraging growth, but should be taken with a grain of salt because it seems to be reflective of current trends for investing and financial distress because of COVID.
Analysts are estimating close to $2b in revenue and a break in profitability after 2023. However, the current market cap for SoFi is US$11.8b, which is reflective of the very long term potential of the company.
It may be too early to assess if the company can actually reach that potential, and the current valuation seems a bit speculative.
But overall, I think this company has an incredible future ahead.
When we move to the technical side of things
SoFi Technologies has been a little everywhere but it’s currently sitting on strong support on the higher timeframe and should be a level to watch out for.
A break of support could see this stock tumble but if it continues to hold, we could see Sofi move towards the $16 level to fill the gap.
Keep this on your watchlist.
Sofi
SOFI correction looks to be nearing completionA brief Elliott Wave analysis of SOFI shows a 5-3-5 corrective structure that appears to be complete or almost complete. With market weakness in the overall indicies, it's possible this sees a little more downside, perhaps in an ending diagonal structure (falling wedge), that would ultimately resolve to the upside. Alternatively, the 13.50 print from 8/17 was the low, and we should see higher prices from here.
Opening: SOFI October 15th 15 Short Put... for a 1.76 credit.
Comments: Adding to my relatively small SOFI position here on weakness as a little bit of an engagement trade while I wait for a higher volatility environment in the broad market or exchange-traded funds.
My cost basis in any shares I may get assigned is the strike price (15.00) minus the credit received (1.76) or 13.24. The whole position is 2 x October 15th 20 covered calls, September 17th 15 short put, and (now) October 15th 15 short put. As with my September 17th 15, I'll run this to expiry or approaching worthless and -- if assigned shares -- will proceed to "wheel" it, selling calls against at the strike at which I originally sold my put. I'm comfortable with leaving these on through a vacation since they're kind of a "what happens happens" trade.
Rolling: SOFI September 17th 20 Covered Calls to October... for a .41/contract credit.
Notes: Rolling my covered calls from September to October here with a resulting cost basis of 16.17 (See Post Below) - .42 or 15.76/share. I wanted to do this before more volatility pisses out post-earnings announcement. Still have the September 17th 15 short put on, which I'm intending to run to expiry, since this is a relatively small position and am fine with picking up additional shares if that happens.
$PBTS Squeeze$PBTS squeeze inbound, heavily shorted. Check charts and short interest and shares available
SOFI So Good?After plotting the Fib retracement using January's low as the anchor, some really interesting levels started to present themselves...mainly the 786 fib line. Each time it has broken down and tested it, SOFI bounced shortly after. Now that volume is beginning to gain ground, this could get interesting. On top of that you can see that the 618 fib line has also been a technical resistance level this year with SOFI getting rejected more times than it has managed to break and hold above it. Aside from the Social Sentiment being a factor, fintech as a whole has gotten play this year. That's not only for COVID helping advance "social distancing" stocks but also the fact that people just don't want to be bothered by going to a bank if they can do things virtually.
"In the second quarter of this year, the U.S. GDP shot up by around 6.5%, indicating that expansion is well underway following the onset of the pandemic. Right now we have to consider the effects of the Delta variant on a reopening economy. In line with this, investors should understand what this means for stocks across the board. With the tech industry, investors remain bullish on the potential impact of the pandemic. As we saw early on in the course of Covid, many tech stocks were able to benefit greatly. The increased need for new tech products and better work-from-home/educate-from-home offerings created a highly bullish environment for the tech industry."
Quote Source & Read More: 3 Tech Penny Stocks To Watch In August 2021
SOFI - New long term - breakout!Hi,
SOFI Technologies about to break up. All technical indicators suggest upwards movement as highlighted on the chart.
I will monitor closely but massive opportunity to buy now or wait for a little bit more weakness.
Targets as per Chart
Idea only.
Open for discussion right here or in private.
Let me know what you think .
Regards
KZ
Opening (IRA): SOFI September 17th 15 Short Put... for a 1.70 credit.
Notes: I already have a two lot of covered calls on, but want to take advantage of high implied volatility here to potentially add at support. As usual, I'm fine with taking on additional shares, particular where the cost basis would be 15 - 1.70 or 13.30/share. 12.78% ROC at max as a function of notional risk.
Trend Reversal! SOFI is ready to blast some shortsSOFI has performed a solid crossover of the 14 period Linear Regression Line over the 30 period regression line on CMF trending towards positive. The slope of the 30-period linear regression line has also turned slightly positive, confirming another aspect of my system.
After today's 9% gain, it's likely that Redditors will be pouring into this one again, which could send it substantially higher. Long with confidence.
Backtest of my RLCO system on /ES (hourly trades): imgur.com
Exercising: SOFI 2 x 15 August 20th Long Calls... and closing August 20th 20 Short Call and opening September 2x 20 Short Calls.
Notes: This is a trade that started out as a call ratio where I bought 2 x the 15's calls and sold a 20 call in the August 20th expiry, after which it promptly moved toward 15.
I'm inclined to think that it will need more time to work out, so exercised the long calls today to take on a two-lot of shares before more of the extrinsic value pisses out of them and then proceeded to sell calls against the two-lot in the September monthly. In a nutshell, I'm converting it to a 2 lot of September 17th 20 covered calls, which was basically my original plan if I didn't get a fairly immediate move.
Here's the math:
Original Setup: 5.79 Debit
Exercise of the Long Calls and Close of the August 20th 20 Short Call: 27.75
Subtotal: 33.54 debit ($3354)
Cost Basis Per Share: 33.54/2 = 16.77
September 20th 20 Calls: .60/contract Credit
Resulting Cost Basis: 16.17/share
And we'll see how things go from here.
Banking on SoFiFinancial Technology (FinTech) is revolutionizing the way we transact in our daily lives. The days of paying in cash are far and few between. Say goodbye to those pesky coins. Regardless of blockchain disruption, the future of finance will for certain be digital. So how do you play this industry? You can go through high flyers like Paypal (PYPL) or Square(SQ) but these companies have had their run. Instead rely on an industry-low flier, Social Finance (SoFi).
This company is going above and beyond traditional finance. This company is creating a one-stop-shop, financial community. The company has endeavored in debit, credit, insurance, crypto, and much more. This is exactly the financial innovation that the millennial+ (1981-present) generation needed. Image an entity that you can use for daily transactions, mortgage loans, auto insurance, and stock/crypto investing, that is SoFi.
Did I mention they have a community aspect as well? SoFi is the banking industry in multiple facets. SoFi provides membership to its clients to where you can get financial planning, transaction summaries, store discounts, personalized career advice, and exclusive events. That the antonym to traditional, wall-street banking. A community environment that provides you knowledge and partnership in your financial journey. The insights provided are enlightening and insightful. The best part yet, the recent price action.
The company has been on a downtrend for the past couple of months but it is reaching a potential inflection point at its well-established support. The company has previously bounced off these levels indicating a possibility for another reversal. The risk-reward is very compelling considering that the downside is less than -10% while the upside is a more favorable +75% to the prior resistance. That is a modest price target of ~$23. However, the company is currently trading at a market cap of ~$13B. At the same time, PYPL and SQ have market caps of $353B and $108B, respectively. If it is truly the disruptor in its infancy ages, in due time the stock will have similar market cap trajectories, a potential 10x.
Finally, the smart money is already in this name. Although the coverage by analysts is minimal they are all indicating upside movement. If other analysts start covering the name it could serve as a catalyst. Renowned venture capitalist, Chamath Palihapitiya, is the CEO and a major shareholder (good management). Large institutional money such as SoftBank entered the stock at a higher price. Smart money is leading the way.
Bank on it.
Trade Idea: SOFI August 20th 2x15 Long Call/20 Short Call RatioHere, looking to potentially get into this underlying on weakness with a high long delta setup while not spending a lot of buying power doing it.
Unfortunately, the strikes aren't as granular as I'd like with my general standard setup for these being (a) buying 2 x 75 delta; and (b) selling a 1 x 50 delta, resulting in a net delta long metric of around 100 so that the setup behaves like long stock and such that the short finances all the extrinsic in the longs. Nevertheless, I get close delta-wise to what I'd like to see out of these and get a break even close to where the underlying is currently trading.
Metrics:
Max Profit: Theoretically Infinite
Max Loss: 5.88 ($588)
Break Even: 17.94 versus a Friday close of 18.08
Delta/Theta: 110.26/-.60
Long Call Vertical Aspect Max Profit: 2.99 ($299)
Generally, I look at these setups in two parts: (a) A standalone/extra long call; and (b) A long call vertical. The reason why I do that is that the long call vertical -- consisting of one of the 15 longs and the 20 short -- has a max profit metric, and if I get the move I'm looking for (which would be a move through $20), I want to potentially take profit on that aspect of the setup. There is, after all, little point in hanging onto a position that is converging on max profit, since you can't make any more money on it (but can naturally still lose money on it).
Given the duration I've got to work with (around 45 days), I could also consider doing a money/take/run on a print that is a function of the long call vertical's max (e.g., 25% of 2.99 = .75, which wouldn't be all that bad of a return on capital -- 12.8%).
Additionally, if I get a monstrous move (e.g., to the top of the range at $25+), I can consider not only peeling off the long call vertical aspect in profit, but also selling another call against that is higher up the ladder and against the "extra" 15, converting the remaining part of the position into a second long call vertical with its own max profit metric (and improved break even).
Lastly (and again assuming a big move), I can pull off the long call vertical on approaching max, ride the extra long and then proceed to exercise it for shares and then sell call against, converting it into a covered call, assuming I want to tie up the buying power in a full one lot at that point in time.